Small Craft Advisory 532, NWS Juneau, AK

555 
FZAK52 PAJK 090029
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
329 PM AKST Mon Nov 8 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-091830-
329 PM AKST Mon Nov 8 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
High pressure persists in Northern Canada through Tuesday. A
strong low pressure west of Haida Gwaii weakens as it moves
north into the southern panhandle by Tuesday evening.  

$$

PKZ041-091830-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
329 PM AKST Mon Nov 8 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt becoming E 45 kt. Seas 12 ft building to
21 ft. Rain showers in the evening. 
.TUE...E wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 18 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain showers. 
.THU...S gale to 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.FRI...S gale to 35 kt becoming SW 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-091830-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
329 PM AKST Mon Nov 8 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt becoming NE 40 kt. Seas 8 ft building to
17 ft. Rain showers. 
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt becoming NW late. Seas 10 ft. 
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.THU...E gale to 40 kt becoming S. Seas 17 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-091830-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
329 PM AKST Mon Nov 8 2021

...GALE WARNING LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt late. Seas 11 ft.
Rain showers late. 
.TUE...NE wind 35 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 
14 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming NW late. Seas 10 ft. 
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.THU...E gale to 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-091830-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
329 PM AKST Mon Nov 8 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming N 30 kt late. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming SE late. Seas 9 ft. SE
swell. 
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. SE swell. 
.WED NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.THU...E gale to 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 25 kt becoming S. Seas 11 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-091830-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
329 PM AKST Mon Nov 8 2021

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt becoming N. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 20 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming W late. Seas 9 ft. 
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt becoming S 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 

$$

568 
FZAK52 PAJK 091250
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
350 AM AKST Tue Nov 9 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-100700-
350 AM AKST Tue Nov 9 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
High pressure persists in Northern Canada through Tuesday. A
strong low pressure west of Haida Gwaii weakens as it moves north
into the Dixon Entrance by Tuesday evening. 

$$

PKZ041-100700-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
350 AM AKST Tue Nov 9 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...SE wind 35 kt becoming S 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 16
ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind increasing to 20 kt in the evening. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt becoming SE in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...SE increasing to gale to 35 kt late. Seas 13 ft. 
.THU...S gale to 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. 
.FRI...S gale to 35 kt becoming W 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-100700-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
350 AM AKST Tue Nov 9 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt becoming NE 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
15 ft. Rain showers early in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.WED...NW wind 15 kt becoming SE 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
7 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...SE wind increasing to gale to 35 kt late. Seas 11 
ft.
.THU...E gale to 40 kt becoming S. Seas 21 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-100700-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
350 AM AKST Tue Nov 9 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...NE wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 13 ft. Rain showers in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming NW in the evening. Seas 9 ft. 
.WED...W wind 15 kt becoming S 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming E 25 kt late. Seas 10 ft. 
.THU...E gale to 40 kt. Seas 21 ft. 
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt becoming SW. Seas 16 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-100700-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
350 AM AKST Tue Nov 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 10 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming W late. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. S swell in the morning. 
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt late. Seas 8 ft. 
.THU...E gale to 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. 
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft subsiding to 12 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-100700-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
350 AM AKST Tue Nov 9 2021

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt becoming SW 15 kt late. Seas 7 ft. S 
swell late.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt becoming SE in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming E 25 kt late. Seas 8 ft. 
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 25 kt becoming S. Seas 15 ft subsiding to 11 ft.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 

$$

998 
FZAK52 PAJK 100051
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
351 PM AKST Tue Nov 9 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-101900-
351 PM AKST Tue Nov 9 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
Low pressure over Dixon Entrance weakens as it moves eastward
through Wednesday morning as a high pressure ridge tracks over
the E Gulf and Panhandle. A gale force low moves into the SE
Gulf by Thursday. 

$$

PKZ041-101900-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
351 PM AKST Tue Nov 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Light winds becoming SW 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.WED...NW wind 15 kt becoming SE in the afternoon. Seas
7 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt increasing to gale to 35 kt
late. Seas 8 ft building to 14 ft late. Rain showers late. 
.THU...SE gale to 40 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...S gale to 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft subsiding to 15 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SUN...W wind 20 kt becoming E 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-101900-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
351 PM AKST Tue Nov 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt becoming NW 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.WED...NW wind 15 kt becoming SE in the afternoon. Seas
6 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt becoming E gale to 35 kt late.
Seas 7 ft building to 13 ft late. 
.THU...E gale to 40 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft subsiding to 15 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt becoming NE. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-101900-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
351 PM AKST Tue Nov 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming W. Seas 9 ft. 
.WED...W wind 15 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt late. Seas
5 ft building to 10 ft late. 
.THU...E gale to 40 kt. Seas 21 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...SE gale to 40 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 15 kt becoming N. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-101900-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
351 PM AKST Tue Nov 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming W late. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt late. Seas
7 ft. 
.THU...E gale to 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...E gale to 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt becoming S. Seas 14 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 10 kt becoming N. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-101900-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
351 PM AKST Tue Nov 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 25 kt becoming SW. Seas 13 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 10 kt becoming N. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

566 
FZAK52 PAJK 101241
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
341 AM AKST Wed Nov 10 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-110645-
341 AM AKST Wed Nov 10 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
Low pressure over the southern Panhandle weakens as it moves 
eastward through Wednesday morning and high pressure ridge tracks 
over the E Gulf. A gale force low moves into the SE Gulf by late 
Wednesday night. 

$$

PKZ041-110645-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
341 AM AKST Wed Nov 10 2021

...GALE WARNING LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt becoming SE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7
ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt becoming E 40 kt late. Seas 6 ft 
building to 14 ft late. 
.THU...SE gale to 40 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...S gale to 40 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt becoming E. Seas 13 ft subsiding to
9 ft. 
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-110645-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
341 AM AKST Wed Nov 10 2021

...GALE WARNING LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt becoming SE in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming E 35 kt late. Seas 7 ft 
building to 11 ft late. 
.THU...E gale to 45 kt. Seas building to 20 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...S gale to 40 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft subsiding to 9 ft. 
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-110645-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
341 AM AKST Wed Nov 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt becoming S 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 
ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming E 30 kt late. Seas 5 ft 
building to 9 ft late. 
.THU...E gale to 40 kt. Seas building to 19 ft. Rain in the 
afternoon.
.THU NIGHT...E gale to 40 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.FRI...S gale to 35 kt becoming SW 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt becoming SE. Seas 11 ft. 
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-110645-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
341 AM AKST Wed Nov 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming E 25 kt late. Seas 7 ft. 
.THU...E gale to 35 kt. Seas 10 ft building to 16 ft in the 
afternoon. 
.THU NIGHT...E gale to 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-110645-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
341 AM AKST Wed Nov 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS EVENING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming E 25 kt in the evening. Seas 
building to 8 ft late.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas building to 12 ft in the afternoon.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. S swell. 
.FRI...N wind 20 kt becoming W. Seas 13 ft subsiding to 10 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

949 
FZAK52 PAJK 110053
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
353 PM AKST Wed Nov 10 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-111900-
353 PM AKST Wed Nov 10 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A high pressure ridge tracks over the Eastern Gulf as a gale
force low moves into the SE Gulf by late Wednesday night. This
low will track to the NE along the panhandle coast through
Friday night. 

$$

PKZ041-111900-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
353 PM AKST Wed Nov 10 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt becoming E 40 kt late. Seas 8 ft
building to 14 ft late. Showers late. 
.THU...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...S gale to 40 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SW gale to 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt becoming E. Seas 10 ft. 
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-111900-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
353 PM AKST Wed Nov 10 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming E 35 kt. Seas 6 ft building to
12 ft late. 
.THU...E wind 45 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...S gale to 40 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SW gale to 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-111900-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
353 PM AKST Wed Nov 10 2021

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming E 30 kt late. Seas 8 ft. 
.THU...E wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain in the afternoon. 
.THU NIGHT...SE gale to 35 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain.
.FRI...W gale to 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt becoming SE. Seas 11 ft. 
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-111900-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
353 PM AKST Wed Nov 10 2021

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming E 25 kt late. Seas 7 ft. 
.THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft building to 19 ft in the
afternoon. 
.THU NIGHT...E gale to 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. S swell. 
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-111900-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
353 PM AKST Wed Nov 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft building to 17 ft in the
afternoon. 
.THU NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain late. 
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. SE swell. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. S swell. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
206 PM AKST Sun Nov 7 2021

.SHORT TERM.../Sunday Evening through Tuesday Night/...Through
Sunday night, a relatively weak low in the southeast Gulf will
bring some isolated to scattered light shower activity to the
southern Panhandle. It is possible that the higher elevations on
the road system on Prince of Wales Island could get some light
snow accumulations up to around one inch Sunday night. Places
whose temperatures are moderated by being near sea level such as
Hydaburg, Craig, Klawock, and Edna Bay will stay warm enough to
only see scattered rain showers.

For the rest of the Panhandle, a ridge of high pressure up at
500mb look to give the central and northern Panhandle subjectively
nice weather through Sunday night with dry conditions and clear
to partly cloudy skies. Relatively non-impactful sustained land
winds will be felt over the Panhandle, generally staying less than
20 mph through Sunday night.

A weak front will move from south to north over the Panhandle on
Monday, bringing only very slight chances for shower activity.
The likelihood that most areas will remain dry on Monday is high.
Primarily, people will see increased cloudiness and marginally
increased wind magnitudes according to ECMWF and GFS ensemble
average model output.

Unlike Saturday night into Sunday morning, increased wind speeds
of at least 10 mph, causing convective mixing of the boundary-
layer, will keep the threat of any widespread persistent dense fog
at bay for the area, tonight, and for the remainder of the short-
term forecast period.

On Monday night, a much stronger system will move well to the
south of the southeast Gulf and Panhandle. The main impactful
changes for the region will be increased marine winds up to
borderline small craft and Gale over southeast Gulf outside waters
and over the Inner Channel waters. This will be due to the
increased pressure gradient between the aforementioned strong low
and established higher pressure over the Canadian Yukon region.
This will bring northerly outflow winds over the northern Inner
Channels where the pressure gradient will be the tightest.

Since chances remain quite low for any appreciable precipitation
over the Panhandle, temperatures will remain relatively non-
impactful through the short-term forecast period. Low
temperatures will primarily be in the 20s to 30s over the
Panhandle from north to south, respectively. Highs will generally
be in the 30s to 40s over the region.

Overall, forecast confidence remains above average, due to good
model agreement. Not many significant changes had to be made to
the forecast that we inherited to keep the forecast on-track.

.LONG TERM.../Tuesday through Sunday as of 10 PM Saturday/ Start
of the long term continues to hint at below-normal temperatures,
above-normal precipitation in the late long term, and chances
that whoever does not see their first snowfall at the start of the
short term, will likely see snow in the long term.

The surface low mentioned in the short term meanders south of the
panhandle, resulting in a very slight chance of precipitation in
the southern portion of Prince of Wales, but leaving the remainder
of the panhandle with offshore flow and dry weather through mid-
week. N/S pressure gradients will be strong, resulting in small
craft advisory potential for N/S oriented channels, especially
Northern Lynn Canal.

Models are still in agreement with the main system, which will
approach the panhandle sometime on Thursday/Friday with heavy
rainfall rates that may start as snow in the northern half of the
panhandle. This increase in precipitation is signaled in the
climate predication centers outlook, ensemble tables, and the
Alaska RFC. Winds will pick up in the Gulf first and then as the
low approaches the panhandle a strong W/E pressure gradient
will increase the chances of small crafts to those oriented
channels.

Continued to use the WPC and blended with GFS/NAM where
appropriate. Increasing confidence of a drying trend mid-week and
an impactful storm at the end of the week. Main changes tonight
included decreasing the probability of precipitation for Tuesday
and thus removing the snowfall, adding in the winds/precipitation
for the late week system, adding possibility of snowfall at the
start of the end of week system.

&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory for PKZ012-022-041>043.

&&

JLC/KRT

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