Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2021
Small Craft Advisory 4, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this small craft advisory at Jan 1, 2021, 3:39 AM AKST. It was in force for 60 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 1, 2021, 3:39 AM AKST (12:39 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 3, 2021, 3:39 PM AKST
- In force
- 60 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted.
634 FZAK52 PAJK 011239 CWFAEG Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska National Weather Service Juneau AK 339 AM AKST Fri Jan 1 2021 Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to Cape Suckling out 100 NM Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ099-020645- 339 AM AKST Fri Jan 1 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A weakening low in the southeast gulf moves east through Friday. A second low tracks along the southern AK Gulf through Saturday. $$ PKZ041-020645- Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision- 339 AM AKST Fri Jan 1 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE wind 20 kt becoming S 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas building to 19 ft. Rain in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain. .SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft building to 24 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .SAT NIGHT...SW gale to 35 kt. Seas 29 ft. Rain. .SUN...SW wind 30 kt becoming SE. Seas 24 ft. .MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft. .TUE...SE gale to 35 kt becoming S 25 kt. Seas 22 ft. $$ PKZ042-020645- Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe- 339 AM AKST Fri Jan 1 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas building to 18 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. SW swell. Rain. .SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft building to 19 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 25 ft. SW swell. .SUN...SW wind 25 kt becoming SE. Seas 22 ft. .MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. .TUE...SE gale to 35 kt becoming S 25 kt. Seas 21 ft. $$ PKZ043-020645- Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather- 339 AM AKST Fri Jan 1 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON... .TODAY...E wind 35 kt. Seas building to 17 ft. Rain in the morning. .TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain late. .SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain. .SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 21 ft. SW swell. .SUN...S wind 20 kt becoming SE 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. .MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. .TUE...SE gale to 35 kt. Seas 21 ft. $$ PKZ051-020645- Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape- 339 AM AKST Fri Jan 1 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas building to 15 ft. .TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. S swell. .SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft. SW swell. .SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. .MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. .TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. $$ PKZ052-020645- Icy Cape to Cape Suckling- 339 AM AKST Fri Jan 1 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas building to 14 ft. .TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .SAT...E wind 20 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft. .SAT NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 12 ft. S swell. .SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft. $$
5 follow-up statements
950 FZAK52 PAJK 020026 CWFAEG Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska National Weather Service Juneau AK 326 PM AKST Fri Jan 1 2021 Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to Cape Suckling out 100 NM Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ099-021830- 326 PM AKST Fri Jan 1 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A weakening low over the panhandle moves east into B.C. through Friday. A second low tracks moves toward the panhandle through Saturday. $$ PKZ041-021830- Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision- 326 PM AKST Fri Jan 1 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain. .SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft building to 24 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .SAT NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 27 ft. Rain in the evening. .SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 26 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 24 ft. Rain. .MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 22 ft. .TUE...SE gale to 35 kt becoming S 25 kt. Seas 22 ft. .WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 22 ft. $$ PKZ042-021830- Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe- 326 PM AKST Fri Jan 1 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. SW swell. Rain. .SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft. SW swell in the morning. Rain. .SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt becoming SW late. Seas 25 ft. .SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 23 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 24 ft. Rain. .MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft. .TUE...SE gale to 35 kt becoming S 25 kt. Seas 20 ft. .WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft. $$ PKZ043-021830- Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather- 326 PM AKST Fri Jan 1 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS EVENING... .TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. .SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain. .SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 19 ft. .SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 20 ft. SW swell. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain. .MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. .TUE...SE gale to 35 kt. Seas 21 ft. .WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 21 ft. $$ PKZ051-021830- Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape- 326 PM AKST Fri Jan 1 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Out of interior bays and passes, gusts to 35 kt early in the evening. Seas 14 ft. .SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. SW swell. .SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. SW swell. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. SW swell. Rain. .MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. .TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. .WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft. $$ PKZ052-021830- Icy Cape to Cape Suckling- 326 PM AKST Fri Jan 1 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .SAT...E wind 20 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft. .SAT NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt becoming S late. Seas 12 ft. S swell increasing to SW late. .SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. SW swell. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. SW swell. .MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft. .WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft. $$
314 FZAK52 PAJK 021246 CWFAEG Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska National Weather Service Juneau AK 346 AM AKST Sat Jan 2 2021 Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to Cape Suckling out 100 NM Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ099-030700- 346 AM AKST Sat Jan 2 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A low moves into the SE AK Gulf early Saturday then weakens by Sunday. Another low tracks into the AK Gulf Sunday night with increasing winds and seas. $$ PKZ041-030700- Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision- 346 AM AKST Sat Jan 2 2021 ...GALE WARNING LATE TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE wind 25 kt becoming S 30 kt. Seas 18 ft building to 23 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .TONIGHT...SW wind increasing to 35 kt. Seas 27 ft. Rain late. .SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 25 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SE gale to 35 kt. Seas 21 ft. .MON...S wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt. Seas 21 ft. .TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 23 ft. .WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 22 ft. $$ PKZ042-030700- Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe- 346 AM AKST Sat Jan 2 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft building to 19 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt becoming SW late. Seas 24 ft. .SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 22 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SE gale to 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. .MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 20 ft. .TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 23 ft. .WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 22 ft. $$ PKZ043-030700- Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather- 346 AM AKST Sat Jan 2 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 20 ft. .SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 19 ft. SW swell. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. .MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. .TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft. .WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 23 ft. $$ PKZ051-030700- Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape- 346 AM AKST Sat Jan 2 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft. SW swell. .SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft. SW swell. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. .TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft. .WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 21 ft. $$ PKZ052-030700- Icy Cape to Cape Suckling- 346 AM AKST Sat Jan 2 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TODAY...E wind 20 kt becoming N 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt becoming S late. Seas 12 ft. S swell increasing to SW late. .SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. SW swell. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. .MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 21 ft. .WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 21 ft. $$
823 FZAK52 PAJK 030055 CWFAEG Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska National Weather Service Juneau AK 355 PM AKST Sat Jan 2 2021 Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to Cape Suckling out 100 NM Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ099-031900- 355 PM AKST Sat Jan 2 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A weakening low is drifting NE and will move over the southern inner channels Saturday night. A trough of low pressure will lift into the northern gulf through Sunday as a ridge builds over the southern inner channels. Another low tracks into the central gulf Sunday night with increasing winds and seas. $$ PKZ041-031900- Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision- 355 PM AKST Sat Jan 2 2021 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt becoming W. Seas 18 ft building to 24 ft in the evening. Rain early in the evening. .SUN...W wind 35 kt becoming SW 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 24 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. .MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 21 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain showers. .TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 23 ft. .WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 22 ft. .THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 21 ft. $$ PKZ042-031900- Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe- 355 PM AKST Sat Jan 2 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt becoming W late. Seas 10 ft building to 21 ft late. SW swell early in the evening. Rain early in the evening. .SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 21 ft. SW swell. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. .MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain showers. .TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 23 ft. .WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 22 ft. .THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft. $$ PKZ043-031900- Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather- 355 PM AKST Sat Jan 2 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming NW late. Seas 10 ft building to 17 ft late. SW swell early in the evening. .SUN...W wind 15 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 18 ft. SW swell. .SUN NIGHT...S wind 30 kt becoming E late. Seas 18 ft. .MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain showers. .TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft. .WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 23 ft. .THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft. $$ PKZ051-031900- Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape- 355 PM AKST Sat Jan 2 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt becoming W late. Seas 9 ft building to 13 ft late. SW swell. .SUN...E wind 10 kt becoming S 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 13 ft. SW swell. Rain in the afternoon. .SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming SE 30 kt late. Seas 15 ft. .MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft. .WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 21 ft. .THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. $$ PKZ052-031900- Icy Cape to Cape Suckling- 355 PM AKST Sat Jan 2 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. SW swell. Rain in the afternoon. .SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming E gale to 35 kt late. Seas 13 ft. Rain showers late. .MON...SE gale to 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain showers. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. SW swell. .TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 21 ft. .WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 21 ft. .THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. $$
111 FZAK52 PAJK 031247 CWFAEG Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska National Weather Service Juneau AK 347 AM AKST Sun Jan 3 2021 Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to Cape Suckling out 100 NM Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ099-040700- 347 AM AKST Sun Jan 3 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A trough of low pressure will lift into the northern gulf through Sunday as a ridge builds over the southern inner channels. Another low tracks into the central gulf Sunday night with increasing winds and seas. $$ PKZ041-040700- Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision- 347 AM AKST Sun Jan 3 2021 ...GALE WARNING LATE TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 23 ft. .TONIGHT...E wind increasing to 35 kt late. Seas 20 ft. .MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW gale to 35 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain. .TUE...SE gale to 45 kt becoming S gale to 35 kt. Seas 24 ft. .WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 25 ft. .THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 24 ft. $$ PKZ042-040700- Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe- 347 AM AKST Sun Jan 3 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 21 ft. SW swell. .TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. .MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. .TUE...S gale to 40 kt. Seas 24 ft. .WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 25 ft. .THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft. $$ PKZ043-040700- Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather- 347 AM AKST Sun Jan 3 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TODAY...N wind 15 kt becoming S. Seas 19 ft. SW swell. .TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming E 30 kt late. Seas 17 ft. .MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. .MON NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. .TUE...E gale to 45 kt becoming S. Seas 24 ft. .WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 24 ft. .THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 24 ft. $$ PKZ051-040700- Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape- 347 AM AKST Sun Jan 3 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 14 ft. SW swell. .TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. SW swell. .MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. S swell. .MON NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. S swell. .TUE...SE gale to 40 kt. Seas 22 ft. .WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft. .THU...SE gale to 35 kt. Seas 21 ft. $$ PKZ052-040700- Icy Cape to Cape Suckling- 347 AM AKST Sun Jan 3 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TODAY...W wind 10 kt becoming S in the morning, then increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft. SW swell. .TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt becoming E late. Seas 12 ft. SW swell. .MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain showers in the morning. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. S swell. .TUE...SE gale to 40 kt. Seas 22 ft. .WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 22 ft. .THU...SE gale to 35 kt. Seas 21 ft. $$
832 FZAK52 PAJK 040039 CWFAEG Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska National Weather Service Juneau AK 339 PM AKST Sun Jan 3 2021 Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to Cape Suckling out 100 NM Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ099-041845- 339 PM AKST Sun Jan 3 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A ridge builds over the southern inner channels Sunday night. Another low tracks into the central gulf by early Monday with increasing winds and seas for the eastern gulf. Outlook. The remains of the low will move to the Prince of Wales Island area Monday night. $$ PKZ041-041845- Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision- 339 PM AKST Sun Jan 3 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming E 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. .MON...SE wind 35 kt diminishing late. Gusts to 50 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt becoming S gale to 35 kt late. Seas 22 ft. Rain late. .TUE...SE storm force wind to 50 kt. Seas 25 ft. Rain. .TUE NIGHT...S gale to 35 kt. Seas 24 ft. .WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 26 ft. .THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 24 ft. .FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ042-041845- Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe- 339 PM AKST Sun Jan 3 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming SE in the evening, then becoming E 35 kt late. Seas 18 ft. .MON...E wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain late. .TUE...SE storm force wind to 50 kt. Seas 25 ft. Rain. .TUE NIGHT...S gale to 35 kt. Seas 24 ft. .WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 25 ft. .THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft. .FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ043-041845- Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather- 339 PM AKST Sun Jan 3 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming E 30 kt late. Seas 17 ft. .MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. .MON NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. .TUE...E gale to 45 kt. Seas 23 ft. Rain. .TUE NIGHT...SE gale to 35 kt. Seas 23 ft. .WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 24 ft. .THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 24 ft. .FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ051-041845- Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape- 339 PM AKST Sun Jan 3 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...SE wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. SW swell. Rain showers early in the evening. .MON...E wind 25 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 13 ft. S swell. .MON NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. S swell. .TUE...E gale to 40 kt. Seas 23 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SE gale to 35 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain. .WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft. .THU...SE gale to 35 kt. Seas 21 ft. .FRI...S wind 15 kt becoming light. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ052-041845- Icy Cape to Cape Suckling- 339 PM AKST Sun Jan 3 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt becoming E late. Seas 12 ft. SW swell. Rain showers early in the evening. .MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. S swell. .MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt late. Seas 11 ft. S swell. .TUE...E gale to 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SE gale to 35 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain. .WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 21 ft. .THU...SE gale to 35 kt. Seas 21 ft. .FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Dec 31, 3:04 PM AKST, 12 hours 35 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 31, 3:04 PM AKST, 12 hours 35 minutes before
Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
304 PM AKST Thu Dec 31 2020
.SHORT TERM...The next weather system continues to advance on the
panhandle. Clearing and associated patchy fog for parts of the
central and northern panhandle on Thursday evening will be
displaced by increasing cloud cover as a front moves in from the
south. As the front pushes to north, rain and snow will spread
across the southern and central panhandle. Temperatures in the
south will favor rain, while the central panhandle is more favored
to receive snow. It is anticipated that cold air will become
trapped in the valleys of Eastern Misty Fjords, enabling
substantial snowfall around Hyder. A Winter Weather Advisory is in
effect for them from late Thursday through Friday evening. The
front is expected to weaken and dissipate as it pushes northward.
Therefore, am only anticipating light snow for northern parts of
the area, although parts of the Icy Strait Corridor could receive
up to 3 inches. The flow pattern should keep the weather drier for
the northeast gulf coast until Saturday when the second front
gets closer.
This second frontal band will spread into the southern half of
the panhandle on a similar track late Friday through Saturday.
Expect this front to maintain cohesion and make it further
north ultimately reaching Haines and Skagway. Expect to see the
heavier snow band (3 to 5 inches) to be from the Icy Strait
corridor and northward. Overall, a snowy pattern for the central
and northern parts of SE.
The other notable hazards will be the winds. Gales and small
crafts will dominate the for the marine waters offshore the
and some of the inner channels. Strong winds are possible with the
first front moving into the panhandle through Thursday night for
parts of the outer coast. A mountain wave will likely develop in
Juneau late Thursday night and bring gusty conditions to Downtown
through Friday. Downsloping from these winds could create
localized warmer conditions, reducing snowfall totals in these
areas. Forecaster confidence was average.
.LONG TERM.../Saturday through Wednesday/ As of 9pm Wednesday.
Active weather pattern through the extended forecast with multiple
lows or troughs tracking through the area from south to north.
Each system looks to take a similar path, rotating about a larger
cyclonic flow and tracing the periphery of the Gulf of Alaska.
Behind Friday's main front is looking more convective/showery, so
have adjusted forecast wording to reflect the more on/off nature
of the precipitation expected through the next several days. The air
should be cold enough for snow showers, especially over the
northern inner channels and during overnight hours. However,
accumulations will be very dependent on track/timing of said
showers.
Model agreement on timing of upper level, let alone surface,
features is rather poor. Plus, models tend to struggle in
situations with multiple low centers, giving more weight to a
different one with each new model run. This will affect the marine
wind forecast for wind shifts and speed enhancements as each
trough passes by. Therefore there is lower confidence on when
these or the greatest POP will be, but does appear to be active
with little in the way of breaks outside of Haines/Skagway/Yakutat
throughout the next week. For this reason have made few changes
and limited POP to the likely category for most of the extended
period.
&&
.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Strong Wind from 6 PM AKST this evening through late tonight for
AKZ027.
Strong Wind from Friday morning through Friday afternoon for
AKZ025.
Strong Wind from 9 PM AKST this evening through late tonight for
AKZ023.
Winter Weather Advisory from 9 PM this evening to 9 PM AKST
Friday for AKZ029.
MARINE...Gale Warning for PKZ041>043.
Small Craft Advisory for PKZ012-013-021-022-031>036-051>053.
&&
GFS/Ferrin
Visit us at http://www.weather.gov/JuneauThe office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 23 hr | |
| Dec 31, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 5 days | |
| Dec 31, 4:02 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 36 hr | |
| Dec 31, 4:02 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 4 days | |
| Dec 31, 4:11 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 4 days |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2021Every small craft advisory in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.