Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2021

Small Craft Advisory 304, NWS Juneau, AK

June 16, 2021

NWS Juneau, AK issued this small craft advisory at Jun 16, 2021, 4:00 AM AKDT. It was in force for 36 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jun 16, 2021, 4:00 AM AKDT (12:00 UTC)
Expired
Jun 17, 2021, 3:40 PM AKDT
In force
36 hr
Issued by
NWS Juneau, AK

The text

As transmitted.

911 
FZAK52 PAJK 161200
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
400 AM AKDT Wed Jun 16 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-170600-
400 AM AKDT Wed Jun 16 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A ridge over the Inner Channels remains through Wednesday. A 
trough presses northward through the southeastern Gulf and 
southern Panhandle on Thursday. An area of low pressure moves 
eastward to the south of the Gulf and Panhandle into the weekend. 

$$

PKZ041-170600-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
400 AM AKDT Wed Jun 16 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
6 ft. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 15 kt becoming light. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt becoming W. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-170600-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
400 AM AKDT Wed Jun 16 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...N wind 15 kt becoming E. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-170600-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
400 AM AKDT Wed Jun 16 2021

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-170600-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
400 AM AKDT Wed Jun 16 2021

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-170600-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
400 AM AKDT Wed Jun 16 2021

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 25 kt becoming S. Seas 9 ft. 

$$
3 follow-up statements
824 
FZAK52 PAJK 162348
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
348 PM AKDT Wed Jun 16 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-171800-
348 PM AKDT Wed Jun 16 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A ridge over the Inner Channels remains through Friday. A trough 
presses northward through the southeastern Gulf and southern 
Panhandle on Thursday. An area of low pressure moves eastward
through the southern Gulf into the weekend.

$$

PKZ041-171800-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
348 PM AKDT Wed Jun 16 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU...SE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 8 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 20 kt becoming light. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt becoming W. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-171800-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
348 PM AKDT Wed Jun 16 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-171800-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
348 PM AKDT Wed Jun 16 2021

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-171800-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
348 PM AKDT Wed Jun 16 2021

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-171800-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
348 PM AKDT Wed Jun 16 2021

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 25 kt becoming S. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON...SW wind 10 kt becoming light. Seas 6 ft. 

$$
197 
FZAK52 PAJK 171200
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
400 AM AKDT Thu Jun 17 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-180600-
400 AM AKDT Thu Jun 17 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A trough presses northward through the southeastern gulf and 
southern panhandle on Thursday. An area of low pressure moving 
into the SW gulf pushes a weakening front towards the panhandle 
Sunday. 

$$

PKZ041-180600-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
400 AM AKDT Thu Jun 17 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 8 ft. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 15 kt becoming S. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 10 kt becoming W. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-180600-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
400 AM AKDT Thu Jun 17 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-180600-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
400 AM AKDT Thu Jun 17 2021

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-180600-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
400 AM AKDT Thu Jun 17 2021

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt becoming S 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON...S wind 10 kt becoming light. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-180600-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
400 AM AKDT Thu Jun 17 2021

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 10 kt becoming light. Seas 7 ft. 

$$
816 
FZAK52 PAJK 172340
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
340 PM AKDT Thu Jun 17 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-181745-
340 PM AKDT Thu Jun 17 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A trough presses northward through the southeastern gulf and 
southern panhandle Thursday evening. An area of low pressure 
moving into the SW gulf pushes a weakening front towards the 
panhandle Sunday. 

$$

PKZ041-181745-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
340 PM AKDT Thu Jun 17 2021

.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 10 kt becoming W. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-181745-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
340 PM AKDT Thu Jun 17 2021

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-181745-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
340 PM AKDT Thu Jun 17 2021

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-181745-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
340 PM AKDT Thu Jun 17 2021

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON...S wind 10 kt becoming light. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-181745-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
340 PM AKDT Thu Jun 17 2021

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 10 kt becoming light. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jun 15, 2:38 PM AKDT, 13 hours 22 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 15, 2:38 PM AKDT, 13 hours 22 minutes before
Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
238 PM AKDT Tue Jun 15 2021

.SHORT TERM.../Tonight through Thursday night/ Thicker clouds and
rain in the northern panhandle are moving westward this
afternoon. This area of moderate to heavy rain will continue to
move westward tonight. Any leftover showers will be more isolated
in nature as temps cool to the 40s. Winds should remain on the
lighter side at 15 kts or less.

A building surface ridge tomorrow should bring drier weather with
decreasing chances for rain. Thicker clouds are expected in the
morning with clouds decreasing throughout the day. Temperatures
should reach the upper 50s to low 60s but if clouds break up
quicker, warmer weather is possible. Winds will still be light,
mainly less than 15 kts.

Wednesday night into Thursday looks a little more active. First
off, Wednesday night, a front looks to swing up from the south.
But around the time it reaches Prince of Wales Island, it looks
like it will get sheared apart. So winds and rain would be
contained to the southern areas. Behind the front, an area of low
pressure looks to move north. This low would push rain northward,
along the panhandle Thursday night into Friday. Thursday’s highs
look warmer, mostly in the 60s. Winds are expected to calm down
throughout the day.

.LONG TERM.../Thursday through Monday/ As of 10PM Monday. The
extended forecast continues the pattern of weakening frontal
bands causing occasional showers over the region. Through the mid
range, each low pressure system that tracks into the south-
central gulf from the west weakens to a trough by the time they
move into our area.

Thursday continues to be a break for the north and possibly the
warmest day of the long term forecast. For the south, the next
frontal band looks to bring showers during the daytime Thursday.
Latest models now agree on the showers tracking more eastward and
staying south of Frederick Sound, and primarily over the far
south (Hydaburg-Metlakatla areas).

Some shower potential remains Friday and Saturday, but with a good
shot at sunny breaks too. The next more organized system looks to
arrive Sunday. Whether or not the front holds together by the
time it gets here is still uncertain since each day the models
seem to push it back a day or are weaker. Models agree on an
initial warm front, so have continued with stratiform rain Sunday
followed by a switch back to showers Monday. Since Sunday is
Father's Day and opening day for many fisheries, the marine
forecast will be monitored closely. If the front holds together,
then winds through the inside waters will be increased,
potentially to 20-25kts.

&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory for PKZ041.

&&

GJS/Ferrin

Visit us at http://www.weather.gov/Juneau

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2021Every small craft advisory in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.