Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2021
Small Craft Advisory 160, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this small craft advisory at Mar 16, 2021, 4:36 AM AKDT. It was in force for 48 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 16, 2021, 4:36 AM AKDT (12:36 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 18, 2021, 4:35 AM AKDT
- In force
- 48 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted.
958 FZAK51 PAJK 161236 CWFAJK Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska National Weather Service Juneau AK 436 AM AKDT Tue Mar 16 2021 Southeast Alaska Inside Waters from Dixon Entrance to Skagway Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ098-170400- 436 AM AKDT Tue Mar 16 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A developing storm force low enters the eastern gulf from the south late Tuesday, then tracks north through the eastern gulf through Wednesday afternoon. $$ PKZ011-170400- Glacier Bay- 436 AM AKDT Tue Mar 16 2021 .TODAY...SE wind 10 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft or less. Patchy fog in the morning. .TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow. Rain late. .WED...NW wind 20 kt becoming SE 25 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft. Snow and rain showers in the morning, then rain showers. .WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt diminishing late. Seas 5 ft. Snow and rain showers. .THU...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .FRI...SE wind 10 kt becoming light. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...Light winds becoming N 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ012-170400- Northern Lynn Canal- 436 AM AKDT Tue Mar 16 2021 .TODAY...Light winds becoming S 15 kt early in the morning, then diminishing diminishing in the afternoon. Seas building to 3 ft, then subsiding. Snow showers early in the morning. .TONIGHT...NW wind increasing to 20 kt in the evening. Seas 4 ft. Snow late. .WED...N wind 20 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft. Snow showers in the morning, then rain showers. .WED NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers with snow showers. .THU...S wind 10 kt becoming NE. Seas 2 ft or less. .FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...SE wind 10 kt becoming NE. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ013-170400- Southern Lynn Canal- 436 AM AKDT Tue Mar 16 2021 .TODAY...N wind 10 kt shifting to the SW 20 kt early in the morning, then diminishing in the afternoon. Seas building to 4 ft, then subsiding. Snow showers early in the morning. .TONIGHT...N wind increasing to 20 kt in the evening. Seas 4 ft. Snow. Rain late. .WED...N wind 25 kt becoming S 30 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to 45 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain and snow showers in the morning, then rain showers in the afternoon. .WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt diminishing late. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers. .THU...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .FRI...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ021-170400- Icy Strait- 436 AM AKDT Tue Mar 16 2021 .TODAY...SW wind 20 kt becoming E 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft. .TONIGHT...E wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow. .WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain and snow showers in the morning, then rain showers. .WED NIGHT...S wind 30 kt diminishing late. Seas 6 ft. .THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .FRI...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ022-170400- Cross Sound- 436 AM AKDT Tue Mar 16 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS MORNING AND TONIGHT... .TODAY...W wind 25 kt diminishing in the morning, then becoming NE 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft. .TONIGHT...E wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. S swell in the evening. Rain and snow. .WED...E wind 30 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 14 ft. Snow showers in the morning. Rain showers. .WED NIGHT...W wind 30 kt diminishing late. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers. .THU...S wind 15 kt becoming E. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...S wind 15 kt becoming E. Seas 7 ft. .SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ031-170400- Stephens Passage- 436 AM AKDT Tue Mar 16 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS MORNING... .TODAY...S wind 25 kt becoming SE 10 kt in the morning, then becoming NE in the afternoon. Gusts to 35 kt early in the morning. Seas 5 ft early in the morning then 2 ft or less. Rain showers early in the morning. .TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt in the evening becoming SE 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt late. Seas 4 ft. Rain. .WED...S wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers. .WED NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt diminishing late. Gusts to 35 kt in the evening. Seas 4 ft. .THU...N wind 10 kt becoming SE. Seas 2 ft or less. .FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas building to 3 ft. $$ PKZ032-170400- Northern Chatham Strait- 436 AM AKDT Tue Mar 16 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT... .TODAY...S wind 20 kt diminishing in the morning, then becoming N 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft subsiding in the morning. Patchy fog in the morning. Rain in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt becoming SE 25 kt late. Seas 5 ft. Rain. Snow late. .WED...S wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers. .WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt diminishing late. Seas 4 ft. .THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .FRI...Light winds becoming S 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ033-170400- Southern Chatham Strait- 436 AM AKDT Tue Mar 16 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TODAY...S wind 20 kt diminishing in the morning, becoming N 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft. Near ocean entrances, seas 11 ft. Rain in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt becoming SE 30 kt late. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 6 ft. Near ocean entrances, seas 12 ft building to 16 ft late. Rain. .WED...S gale to 35 kt. Seas 7 ft, except 16 ft near ocean entrances. Rain showers in the morning. .WED NIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming light. Seas 3 ft, except 11 ft near ocean entrances. .THU...N wind 10 kt becoming SW. Seas 2 ft or less. .FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ034-170400- Frederick Sound- 436 AM AKDT Tue Mar 16 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW wind 20 kt diminishing in the morning, then becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to 35 kt early in the morning. Seas 4 ft. Rain in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. .WED...SE wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers. .WED NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt diminishing late. Seas 4 ft. .THU...N wind 10 kt becoming SW. Seas 2 ft or less. .FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ035-170400- Sumner Strait- 436 AM AKDT Tue Mar 16 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW wind 20 kt diminishing in the morning, then becoming E 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft then subsiding. Near ocean entrances, seas 8 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. Rain in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft, except 8 ft near ocean entrances. Rain. .WED...SE wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft, except 9 ft near ocean entrances. Rain showers. .WED NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less, except 6 ft near ocean entrances. .THU...N wind 10 kt becoming W. Seas 2 ft or less. .FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ036-170400- Clarence Strait- 436 AM AKDT Tue Mar 16 2021 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE wind 20 kt diminishing in the morning, then increasing to 30 kt in the late afternoon. Seas building to 6 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain. .WED...SE wind 25 kt diminishing in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers in the morning. .WED NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming N. Seas 3 ft. .THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$
4 follow-up statements
335 FZAK51 PAJK 170020 CWFAJK Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska National Weather Service Juneau AK 420 PM AKDT Tue Mar 16 2021 Southeast Alaska Inside Waters from Dixon Entrance to Skagway Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ098-171730- 420 PM AKDT Tue Mar 16 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A developing storm force low enters the eastern gulf from the south late Tuesday. It will move north through the eastern gulf tonight and Wednesday. $$ PKZ011-171730- Glacier Bay- 420 PM AKDT Tue Mar 16 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas building to 3 ft. Snow. .WED...NW wind 15 kt becoming SE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft. Rain and snow showers. .WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers in the evening. .THU...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .THU NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .FRI...SE wind 10 kt becoming light. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...Light winds becoming N 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ012-171730- Northern Lynn Canal- 420 PM AKDT Tue Mar 16 2021 ...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas building to 3 ft. Snow late. .WED...N wind 20 kt becoming S 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft building to 7 ft in the afternoon. Snow and rain showers. .WED NIGHT...SE gale to 35 kt becoming S 25 kt late. Seas 6 ft. Rain and snow showers. .THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...SE wind 10 kt becoming NE. Seas 2 ft or less. .SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas building to 3 ft. $$ PKZ013-171730- Southern Lynn Canal- 420 PM AKDT Tue Mar 16 2021 ...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Gusts to 35 kt late. Seas building to 4 ft. Snow. .WED...N wind 25 kt becoming S 35 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to 40 kt out of interior passes. Seas 6 ft. Snow and rain showers. .WED NIGHT...SE gale to 35 kt becoming S 20 kt late. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 4 ft late. Rain and snow showers in the evening. .THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .FRI...Light winds becoming SE 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ021-171730- Icy Strait- 420 PM AKDT Tue Mar 16 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas building to 4 ft. Rain and snow. .WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Snow and showers. .WED NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 15 kt late. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 3 ft late. Rain showers in the evening. .THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .FRI...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ022-171730- Cross Sound- 420 PM AKDT Tue Mar 16 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain and snow. .WED...E wind 20 kt becoming S 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 14 ft. Rain and snow showers. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt diminishing to 15 kt late. Seas 14 ft subsiding to 9 ft late. .THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. S swell. .THU NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. S swell. Snow showers. .FRI...SW wind 15 kt becoming E. Seas 7 ft. .SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft building to 12 ft. $$ PKZ031-171730- Stephens Passage- 420 PM AKDT Tue Mar 16 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming SE 25 kt in the evening. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain and snow. .WED...S wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers. .WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt late. Seas 4 ft. .THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .THU NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .FRI...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas building to 3 ft. .SUN...N wind 10 kt becoming SE. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ032-171730- Northern Chatham Strait- 420 PM AKDT Tue Mar 16 2021 ...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt becoming S 25 kt late. Seas building to 5 ft. Rain and snow. .WED...S wind 35 kt. Gusts to 50 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers. .WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt late. Seas 4 ft. .THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .THU NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .FRI...W wind 10 kt becoming S. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ033-171730- Southern Chatham Strait- 420 PM AKDT Tue Mar 16 2021 ...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt becoming S 25 kt in the evening. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft. Near ocean entrances, seas 9 ft building to 14 ft. Rain. .WED...S wind 35 kt. Gusts to 50 kt. Seas 7 ft, except 17 ft near ocean entrances. Rain showers in the morning. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft in the evening then 2 ft or less. Near ocean entrances, seas 11 ft. .THU...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less, except 7 ft near ocean entrances. .THU NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less, except 6 ft near ocean entrances. .FRI...W wind 10 kt becoming S. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas building to 3 ft. .SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ034-171730- Frederick Sound- 420 PM AKDT Tue Mar 16 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming E 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. .WED...E wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers. .WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt becoming S 10 kt late. Gusts to 35 kt in the evening. Seas 4 ft in the evening then 2 ft or less. .THU...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. .THU NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ035-171730- Sumner Strait- 420 PM AKDT Tue Mar 16 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt becoming SE 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain. .WED...SE wind 25 kt. Gusts to 45 kt. Seas 6 ft, except 10 ft near ocean entrances. Rain showers. .WED NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt in the evening becoming light. Seas 3 ft in the evening then 2 ft or less. Near ocean entrances, seas 6 ft. .THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .THU NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .FRI...W wind 10 kt becoming S. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ036-171730- Clarence Strait- 420 PM AKDT Tue Mar 16 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Gusts to 40 kt out of interior passes. Seas 10 ft. Rain. .WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers in the morning. .WED NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt becoming N late. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers late. .THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. .THU NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers. .FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft building to 6 ft. .SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$
155 FZAK51 PAJK 171246 CWFAJK Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska National Weather Service Juneau AK 446 AM AKDT Wed Mar 17 2021 Southeast Alaska Inside Waters from Dixon Entrance to Skagway Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ098-180345- 446 AM AKDT Wed Mar 17 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A storm force low in the eastern gulf will move northward today, reaching the coast near Mount Fairweather tonight. Another low will develop in the northern gulf and will move east toward the panhandle Thursday. $$ PKZ011-180345- Glacier Bay- 446 AM AKDT Wed Mar 17 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TODAY...N wind 15 kt becoming SE 20 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas building to 4 ft. Snow early in the morning, then rain and snow showers. .TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft. Snow and rain showers in the evening. .THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Snow and rain showers in the afternoon. .THU NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming light. Seas 3 ft. Snow showers and rain showers. .FRI...Light winds becoming NW 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...Light winds becoming N 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SUN...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ012-180345- Northern Lynn Canal- 446 AM AKDT Wed Mar 17 2021 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...N wind 10 kt becoming S 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas building to 6 ft. Snow early in the morning, then rain and snow showers. .TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt late. Seas 7 ft. Rain and snow showers in the evening, then snow showers. .THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow showers. Rain showers in the afternoon. .THU NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Snow showers and rain showers. .FRI...Light winds becoming NW 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SUN...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ013-180345- Southern Lynn Canal- 446 AM AKDT Wed Mar 17 2021 ...GALE WARNING THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING... .TODAY...N wind 20 kt becoming SE 35 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to 50 kt. Seas building to 7 ft. Snow and rain showers. .TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt diminishing to 15 kt late. Seas 7 ft. Rain and snow showers in the evening, then snow showers. .THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .THU NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Snow showers. .FRI...Light winds becoming N 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...Light winds becoming N 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SUN...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ021-180345- Icy Strait- 446 AM AKDT Wed Mar 17 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS EVENING... .TODAY...E wind 15 kt in the morning increasing to 30 kt. Seas 3 ft building to 6 ft in the afternoon. Snow showers and rain showers early in the morning, then rain showers in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt late. Seas 5 ft. Rain and snow showers in the evening. .THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft in the morning then 2 ft or less. .THU NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ022-180345- Cross Sound- 446 AM AKDT Wed Mar 17 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E wind 20 kt in the morning increasing to 30 kt. Seas 8 ft building to 12 ft. Snow and rain showers early in the morning, then rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. .TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt late. Seas 13 ft subsiding to 9 ft late. Rain showers in the evening then snow showers. .THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. S swell. .THU NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. S swell. Snow showers and rain showers. .FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SUN...E wind 15 kt becoming S. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ031-180345- Stephens Passage- 446 AM AKDT Wed Mar 17 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING... .TODAY...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain and snow early in the morning, then rain showers. .TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt late. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft. Rain and snow showers in the evening. .THU...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. .THU NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .FRI...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas building to 3 ft. .SUN...N wind 10 kt becoming SE. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ032-180345- Northern Chatham Strait- 446 AM AKDT Wed Mar 17 2021 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE wind 20 kt in the morning becoming S 40 kt. Seas 5 ft building to 8 ft in the afternoon. Snow showers early in the morning then rain showers. .TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt diminishing to 15 kt late. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 3 ft late. .THU...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. .THU NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...Light winds becoming SE 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SUN...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ033-180345- Southern Chatham Strait- 446 AM AKDT Wed Mar 17 2021 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE wind 25 kt becoming S 40 kt. Seas 7 ft. Near ocean entrances, seas 14 ft building to 18 ft. Rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. .TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt becoming SW 10 kt late. Seas 6 ft in the evening then 2 ft or less. Near ocean entrances, seas 13 ft subsiding to 9 ft late. .THU...Light and variable winds. Seas 2 ft or less, except 6 ft near ocean entrances. .THU NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less, except 6 ft near ocean entrances. .FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas building to 3 ft. .SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ034-180345- Frederick Sound- 446 AM AKDT Wed Mar 17 2021 ...GALE WARNING THIS AFTERNOON... .TODAY...SE wind 25 kt becoming S 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas building to 7 ft. Rain showers. .TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt diminishing to 10 kt late. Seas 5 ft in the evening then 2 ft or less. .THU...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .THU NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas building to 3 ft. .SUN...E wind 15 kt becoming S. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ035-180345- Sumner Strait- 446 AM AKDT Wed Mar 17 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...SE wind 20 kt in the morning increasing to 30 kt. Seas building to 6 ft, except 10 ft near ocean entrances. Rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. .TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt in the evening becoming light and variable. Seas 3 ft in the evening then 2 ft or less. Near ocean entrances, seas 6 ft. .THU...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less, except 4 ft near ocean entrances. .THU NIGHT...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less, except 4 ft near ocean entrances. .FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas building to 3 ft. .SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ036-180345- Clarence Strait- 446 AM AKDT Wed Mar 17 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON... .TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain early in the morning and slight chance of thunderstorms. .TONIGHT...SE wind 10 kt becoming N late. Seas 2 ft or less. Rain showers late. .THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers and snow showers in the morning. .THU NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas building to 5 ft. .SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$
452 FZAK51 PAJK 172334 CWFAJK Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska National Weather Service Juneau AK 334 PM AKDT Wed Mar 17 2021 Southeast Alaska Inside Waters from Dixon Entrance to Skagway Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ098-181700- 334 PM AKDT Wed Mar 17 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A strong surface low weakens near Yakutat tonight. Another low will develop near Cordova and move east towards Yakutat on Thursday. By Friday, the surface low will reach the northern panhandle. $$ PKZ011-181700- Glacier Bay- 334 PM AKDT Wed Mar 17 2021 .TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt in the evening. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow showers. .THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow showers in the evening. .FRI...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .FRI NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...Light winds becoming N 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SUN...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. .MON...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ012-181700- Northern Lynn Canal- 334 PM AKDT Wed Mar 17 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS EVENING... .TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt late. Gusts to 55 kt in the evening. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 4 ft late. Rain and snow showers. .THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SUN...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .MON...NW wind 10 kt becoming SE. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ013-181700- Southern Lynn Canal- 334 PM AKDT Wed Mar 17 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS EVENING... .TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt late. Gusts to 55 kt in the evening. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 4 ft late. Rain and snow showers. .THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow showers. .FRI NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...Light winds becoming N 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SUN...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .MON...Light winds becoming SE 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ021-181700- Icy Strait- 334 PM AKDT Wed Mar 17 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft late. Rain and snow showers. .THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .MON...Light winds becoming SE 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ022-181700- Cross Sound- 334 PM AKDT Wed Mar 17 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY... .TONIGHT...W 30 kt becoming 15 kt in the evening. Seas 13 ft subsiding to 9 ft late. Slight chance of thunderstorms early in the evening. .THU...W wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. S swell. .THU NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain and snow showers. .FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. S swell. .SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SUN...E wind 15 kt becoming S. Seas 8 ft. .MON...Light winds becoming E 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ031-181700- Stephens Passage- 334 PM AKDT Wed Mar 17 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING... .TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt late. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft late. Rain and snow showers. .THU...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. .THU NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .FRI...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .FRI NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN...N wind 10 kt becoming SE. Seas 2 ft or less. .MON...Light winds becoming SE 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ032-181700- Northern Chatham Strait- 334 PM AKDT Wed Mar 17 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS EVENING... .TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt diminishing to 15 kt. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 3 ft late. Rain showers. .THU...S wind 10 kt in the morning becoming light. Seas 2 ft or less. .THU NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...Light winds becoming SE 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SUN...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. .MON...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ033-181700- Southern Chatham Strait- 334 PM AKDT Wed Mar 17 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING... .TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt becoming SW 15 kt. Gusts to 45 kt early in the evening. Seas 6 ft in the evening then 3 ft. Near ocean entrances, seas 15 ft subsiding to 9 ft late. .THU...Light winds becoming NW 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft or less, except 6 ft near ocean entrances. .THU NIGHT...N wind 10 kt becoming S late. Seas 2 ft or less, except 5 ft near ocean entrances. .FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 7 ft near ocean entrances. .FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 7 ft near ocean entrances. .SAT...Light winds becoming SE 15 kt. Seas building to 3 ft. .SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .MON...Light winds becoming SE 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ034-181700- Frederick Sound- 334 PM AKDT Wed Mar 17 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING... .TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt diminishing to 10 kt late. Seas 6 ft in the evening then 2 ft or less. .THU...SW wind 10 kt in the morning becoming light. Seas 2 ft or less. .THU NIGHT...W wind 10 kt becoming E late. Seas 2 ft or less. .FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .FRI NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN...E wind 15 kt becoming S. Seas 3 ft. .MON...Light winds becoming SE 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ035-181700- Sumner Strait- 334 PM AKDT Wed Mar 17 2021 .TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt becoming variable and light late. Seas 4 ft in the evening then 2 ft or less. Near ocean entrances, seas 8 ft subsiding to 5 ft late. .THU...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. .THU NIGHT...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. Near ocean entrances, seas building to 4 ft late. .FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas building to 3 ft. .SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .MON...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ036-181700- Clarence Strait- 334 PM AKDT Wed Mar 17 2021 .TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming N late. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. .THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers in the morning. .THU NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt becoming S late. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...Light winds becoming SE 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$
655 FZAK51 PAJK 181235 CWFAJK Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska National Weather Service Juneau AK 435 AM AKDT Thu Mar 18 2021 Southeast Alaska Inside Waters from Dixon Entrance to Skagway Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ098-190345- 435 AM AKDT Thu Mar 18 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A developing low south of Prince William Sound will move slowly eastward through Thursday night, then weaken as it tracks east-southeast into Cross Sound Friday afternoon. Meanwhile, a trough of low pressure will linger over the far southern inner channels. $$ PKZ011-190345- Glacier Bay- 435 AM AKDT Thu Mar 18 2021 .TODAY...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Snow showers. .FRI...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NW. Seas 2 ft or less. .FRI NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SUN...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. .MON...Light winds becoming SE 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ012-190345- Northern Lynn Canal- 435 AM AKDT Thu Mar 18 2021 .TODAY...S wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft early in the morning then 2 ft or less. Snow and rain showers. .TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt becoming variable late. Seas 2 ft or less. Snow showers. .FRI...Variable wind 10 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft or less. Snow showers. .FRI NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SUN...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .MON...NW wind 10 kt becoming SE. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ013-190345- Southern Lynn Canal- 435 AM AKDT Thu Mar 18 2021 .TODAY...S wind 15 kt in the morning becoming light. Seas 3 ft then subsiding. Snow showers early in the morning. .TONIGHT...SE wind increasing to 15 kt in the evening. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...SE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming light and variable. Seas 2 ft or less. Snow showers in the morning. .FRI NIGHT...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .MON...Light winds becoming SE 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ021-190345- Icy Strait- 435 AM AKDT Thu Mar 18 2021 .TODAY...S wind 10 kt becoming variable in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft or less. .TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow showers late. .FRI...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Snow showers in the morning. .FRI NIGHT...Light and variable winds becoming E 10 kt late. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...SE 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ022-190345- Cross Sound- 435 AM AKDT Thu Mar 18 2021 .TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. Snow showers and rain showers in the morning. .TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. S swell late. Snow showers. .FRI...W wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. S swell. .FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NE. Seas 6 ft. S swell. .SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ031-190345- Stephens Passage- 435 AM AKDT Thu Mar 18 2021 .TODAY...S wind 10 kt early in the morning becoming light and variable. Seas 2 ft or less. Patchy fog early in the morning. .TONIGHT...Light winds becoming SE wind 15 kt. Seas building to 3 ft late. .FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow showers. Rain showers in the afternoon. .FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN...N wind 10 kt becoming SE. Seas 2 ft or less. .MON...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ032-190345- Northern Chatham Strait- 435 AM AKDT Thu Mar 18 2021 .TODAY...S wind 10 kt early in the morning becoming light. Seas 2 ft or less. Patchy fog early in the morning. .TONIGHT...S wind increasing to 15 kt late. Seas building to 3 ft. .FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Snow and rain showers in the morning. .FRI NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. .MON...Light winds becoming SE 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ033-190345- Southern Chatham Strait- 435 AM AKDT Thu Mar 18 2021 .TODAY...Light winds becoming N 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft or less, except 6 ft near ocean entrances. .TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt becoming SW late. Seas 2 ft or less, except 6 ft near ocean entrances. .FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 7 ft near ocean entrances. .FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 7 ft near ocean entrances. .SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .MON...Light winds becoming SE 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ034-190345- Frederick Sound- 435 AM AKDT Thu Mar 18 2021 .TODAY...Light winds becoming NW 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Patchy fog early in the morning. .TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt becoming S 15 kt late. Seas building to 3 ft late. .FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN...E wind 15 kt becoming S. Seas 3 ft. .MON...Light winds becoming SE 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ035-190345- Sumner Strait- 435 AM AKDT Thu Mar 18 2021 .TODAY...Light winds becoming NW 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less, except 4 ft near ocean entrances. Patchy fog early in the morning. .TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt becoming SW late. Seas 2 ft or less. .FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers in the morning. .FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .MON...Light winds becoming SE 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ036-190345- Clarence Strait- 435 AM AKDT Thu Mar 18 2021 .TODAY...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Rain showers. .TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt becoming variable late. Seas 2 ft or less. Rain showers. .FRI...Light and variable winds becoming S 15 kt. Seas building to 3 ft in the afternoon. .FRI NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON...Light winds becoming SE 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Mar 15, 4:16 PM AKDT, 12 hours 20 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 15, 4:16 PM AKDT, 12 hours 20 minutes before
Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
416 PM AKDT Mon Mar 15 2021
.SHORT TERM...Initial portion of the forecast is taken up by the
incoming weather system from the Gulf of Alaska and through SE AK.
Temperatures across the panhandle are on the cooler side after
the passing of the last weather system, and sufficient cooler air
will be present to start much of the precip for SEAK as snow. The
organization of the front and anticipated moisture has lead to
multiple Winter Storm Warnings over the northern half of the
panhandle and several Advisories for snowfall amounts. The heavier
snow will be starting before midnight in the Yakutat region and
spreading east, it should reach the Juneau/Haines and Skagway
areas by sunrise. Accumulations will vary by region of the
panhandle, so please see the appropriate warning product regarding
the expected amounts. The far southern panhandle will start as
snow tonight with minor snowfall amounts, not that portions of the
southern panhandle are looking for more snow after yesterday. The
snow should start mixing with or changing to rain during Monday.
Surface winds are expected to reach 35 kt ( or slightly higher )
gales for the outer coastal waters, and small crafts to gales for
most inner channels are in the forecast.
The following system rolling northward into the eastern gulf is
still having issues with a good solid agreement. Have continued
with a GFS/NAM timing on the feature, with a touch more GFS
influence for the low rolling up. This will bring in a slight warm
up for the southern panhandle spreading a mix precipitation type
into the although the northern panhandle will likely be staying
snow with the precipitation. So expect this section of the
forecast to be changing over the next couple of issuance's. A
second following low is not adding to the confidence factor headed
into midweek.
For a touch of good news, the equinox is around the corner (20th) so
that will mean more daylight than nighttime for SE AK so spring
is almost here. Confidence is fairly good through Monday, and a
lot less so late Monday through to Tuesday.
.LONG TERM.../Tuesday through Sunday night/...This extended range
forecast period begins with a very large upper level trough that
extends from the central interior south across the central Gulf
and past 50N. A 150 kt upper jet will aide in digging the trough
farther south and then, by Wednesday afternoon, cutting off an
upper low. Model solutions differ on how far south the upper low
will form, but all are very slow to move this trough/low off to
the east. By Friday, the upper low will have reverted to an open
wave once again and exhibit a strong negative tilt over the
Panhandle. The entire feature will be displaced to the east during
the weekend by a slightly more zonal jet pattern.
At the surface, a storm force low will develop with the aide of
the strong digging jet Tuesday night south of the Gulf. Models
are in better than average agreement on the strength of this low,
but differ significantly on the timing and track. All are tracking
it north over the eastern Gulf but vary in how close they track it
to the outer coast. Worst case scenarios will involve high winds
for at least the southern half of the Panhandle Tuesday night and
the central Panhandle on Wednesday.
There will be very modest low level warm air advection associated
with this storm. Current overnight lows Tuesday night are still
supporting snow over the northern Panhandle, but rain over the
southern Panhandle when winds will be the strongest. However, if
the low takes a more easterly track, easterly winds around the
northern periphery of the storm could result in snow vice rain
over the southern half as well.
Blended ECMWF and GFS for updates to pressure and wind through
Wednesday afternoon. PoP and QPF from GFS and SREF with some help
from ECMWF through Wednesday night. Overall confidence is average,
but below average on details of track and resultant wind speeds
over land.
&&
.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Winter Weather Advisory from 4 AM to 1 PM AKDT Monday for AKZ024-
026.
Strong Wind Monday morning for AKZ026.
Strong Wind from late tonight through Monday morning for AKZ024.
Strong Wind Monday afternoon for AKZ024.
Winter Storm Warning from 4 AM to 10 PM AKDT Monday for AKZ025.
Strong Wind from Monday morning through Monday afternoon for
AKZ025.
Winter Storm Warning from 4 AM to 1 PM AKDT Monday for AKZ020-
022.
Winter Weather Advisory from 1 AM to 10 AM AKDT Monday for
AKZ023.
Strong Wind from late tonight through Monday morning for AKZ023.
Winter Weather Advisory from 1 AM to 1 PM AKDT Monday for AKZ021.
Winter Storm Warning from 4 AM to 7 PM AKDT Monday for AKZ018-
019.
Winter Storm Warning from 10 PM this evening to 1 PM AKDT Monday
for AKZ017.
MARINE...Gale Warning for PKZ035-036-042-043-051-052.
Small Craft Advisory for PKZ012-013-021-022-031>034-041-053.
&&
Bezenek/Fritsch
Visit us at http://www.weather.gov/JuneauThe office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 3:35 AM AKDT | Storm Warning | AJK | 36 hr | |
| Mar 16, 3:58 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AJK | 48 hr | |
| Mar 16, 3:58 AM AKDT | Storm Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Mar 16, 5:43 AM AKDT | Winter Weather Advisory | AJK | 41 hr |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2021Every small craft advisory in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.