Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2021

Small Craft Advisory 151, NWS Juneau, AK

March 12, 2021

NWS Juneau, AK issued this small craft advisory at Mar 12, 2021, 3:33 AM AKST. It was in force for 36 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 12, 2021, 3:33 AM AKST (12:33 UTC)
Expired
Mar 13, 2021, 3:11 PM AKST
In force
36 hr
Issued by
NWS Juneau, AK

The text

As transmitted.

749 
FZAK51 PAJK 121233
CWFAJK

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
333 AM AKST Fri Mar 12 2021

Southeast Alaska Inside Waters from Dixon Entrance to Skagway

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ098-130400-
333 AM AKST Fri Mar 12 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A surface low in the NE Gulf remains offshore while tracking
south through Friday reaching the southern Panhandle  Saturday.
Strong offshore and northerly winds in the northern  Panhandle
increase Friday into Saturday.  

$$

PKZ011-130400-
Glacier Bay-
333 AM AKST Fri Mar 12 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 10 kt becoming N. Seas building to 3 ft in the
afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...NW wind increasing to 25 kt late. Seas 5 ft. Freezing 
spray.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SUN...N wind 10 kt becoming light. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.MON...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ012-130400-
Northern Lynn Canal-
333 AM AKST Fri Mar 12 2021

...GALE WARNING THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 10 kt becoming N 20 kt. Seas building to 4 ft. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt late. Seas building to
8ft. Freezing spray. 
.SAT...N gale to 45 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 10 kt becoming S. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ013-130400-
Southern Lynn Canal-
333 AM AKST Fri Mar 12 2021

...GALE WARNING THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt becoming N 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt increasing to 45 kt late. Seas 9 ft. 
Freezing spray late.
.SAT...N gale to 45 kt. Gusts to 60 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing
spray in the morning. 
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 4 ft.
Freezing spray. 
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft then 2 ft or less. 
.MON...N wind 10 kt becoming SE. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...Light winds becoming E 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ021-130400-
Icy Strait-
333 AM AKST Fri Mar 12 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...Light winds becoming E 15 kt. Seas building to 3 ft. 
.TONIGHT...N wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ022-130400-
Cross Sound-
333 AM AKST Fri Mar 12 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...Light winds becoming NE 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. Snow showers
and rain showers. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ031-130400-
Stephens Passage-
333 AM AKST Fri Mar 12 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 10 kt becoming N. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TONIGHT...N wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SUN...N wind 20 kt becoming E 10 kt. Seas 4 ft then 2 ft or
less. 
.MON...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...Light winds becoming E 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ032-130400-
Northern Chatham Strait-
333 AM AKST Fri Mar 12 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...Light winds becoming NE 15 kt. Seas building to 3 ft in
the afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt increasing to 30 kt late. Seas building 
to 6 ft.
.SAT...N gale to 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...N wind 10 kt becoming S. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ033-130400-
Southern Chatham Strait-
333 AM AKST Fri Mar 12 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less, except 7 ft near ocean
entrances. 
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt becoming N 30 kt late. Seas 3 ft
building to 6 ft late. 
.SAT...N gale to 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...Light winds becoming S 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.MON...N wind 10 kt becoming S. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...S wind 10 kt becoming E. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ034-130400-
Frederick Sound-
333 AM AKST Fri Mar 12 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TONIGHT...N wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...Light winds becoming E 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ035-130400-
Sumner Strait-
333 AM AKST Fri Mar 12 2021

.TODAY...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt becoming N 20 kt late. Seas building to
4 ft late. 
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.SUN...Light winds becoming E 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt becoming S. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...Light winds becoming NE 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ036-130400-
Clarence Strait-
333 AM AKST Fri Mar 12 2021

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN...NW wind 10 kt becoming SE. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.MON...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$
4 follow-up statements
765 
FZAK51 PAJK 122309
CWFAJK

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
209 PM AKST Fri Mar 12 2021

Southeast Alaska Inside Waters from Dixon Entrance to Skagway

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ098-131530-
209 PM AKST Fri Mar 12 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A surface low in the NE Gulf decays through Friday night while
another low moves east across the Dixon Entrance  through
Saturday morning. Strong offshore and northerly winds in  the
northern Panhandle increase Friday into Saturday.  

$$

PKZ011-131530-
Glacier Bay-
209 PM AKST Fri Mar 12 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt becoming NW 30 kt late. Gusts to 45 kt
late. Seas building to 6 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing
spray. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Freezing spray. 
.SUN NIGHT...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. Snow showers. 
.MON...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ012-131530-
Northern Lynn Canal-
209 PM AKST Fri Mar 12 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt increasing to 40 kt. Seas 4 ft building 
to 8 ft late. Freezing spray. 
.SAT...N wind 45 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW gale to 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt late.
Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing
spray. 
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Snow showers. 
.MON...NW wind 10 kt becoming S. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ013-131530-
Southern Lynn Canal-
209 PM AKST Fri Mar 12 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt increasing to 45 kt. Seas 4 ft building
to 9 ft. Freezing spray late. 
.SAT...N wind 45 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray in the
morning. 
.SAT NIGHT...N gale to 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt late.
Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray late.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Snow showers. 
.MON...N wind 10 kt becoming SE. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...Light winds becoming E 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ021-131530-
Icy Strait-
209 PM AKST Fri Mar 12 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming N 30 kt. Seas building to 6 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Snow showers. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ022-131530-
Cross Sound-
209 PM AKST Fri Mar 12 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt late. Seas 8 ft. SW 
swell in the evening. 
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ031-131530-
Stephens Passage-
209 PM AKST Fri Mar 12 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 30 kt. Seas building to
6 ft. 
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray late. 
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Gusts to 35 kt out of interior passes.
Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Snow showers. 
.MON...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...Light winds becoming E 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...N wind 10 kt becoming SE. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ032-131530-
Northern Chatham Strait-
209 PM AKST Fri Mar 12 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt becoming N 35 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 7
ft late. 
.SAT...N wind 35 kt. Gusts to 50 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Snow showers. 
.MON...N wind 10 kt becoming S. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ033-131530-
Southern Chatham Strait-
209 PM AKST Fri Mar 12 2021

...GALE WARNING LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt becoming N 35 kt late. Seas building to 
7 ft. Near ocean entrances, seas 7 ft. 
.SAT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt late. Seas
4 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Snow showers. 
.MON...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...S wind 10 kt becoming E. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ034-131530-
Frederick Sound-
209 PM AKST Fri Mar 12 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt late. Seas building
to 6 ft. 
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft in the evening then
2 ft or less. 
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Snow.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...Light winds becoming E 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ035-131530-
Sumner Strait-
209 PM AKST Fri Mar 12 2021

.TONIGHT...Light winds becoming N 20 kt late. Seas building to 4 
ft late. 
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Snow showers. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt becoming S. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...Light winds becoming NE 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ036-131530-
Clarence Strait-
209 PM AKST Fri Mar 12 2021

.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt becoming 20 kt. Seas building to 4 ft. 
Snow. Rain late.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow and rain in the
morning. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.SUN...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Snow.
.MON...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas building to 3 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$
263 
FZAK51 PAJK 130212 CCA
CWFAJK

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Juneau AK
512 PM AKST Fri Mar 12 2021

Southeast Alaska Inside Waters from Dixon Entrance to Skagway

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ098-131530-
512 PM AKST Fri Mar 12 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A surface low in the NE Gulf decays through Friday night while
another low moves east across the Dixon Entrance  through
Saturday morning. Strong offshore and northerly winds in  the
northern Panhandle increase Friday into Saturday.  

$$

PKZ011-131530-
Glacier Bay-
512 PM AKST Fri Mar 12 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt becoming NW 30 kt late. Gusts to 45 kt
late. Seas building to 6 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing
spray. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Freezing spray. 
.SUN NIGHT...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. Snow showers. 
.MON...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ012-131530-
Northern Lynn Canal-
512 PM AKST Fri Mar 12 2021

...GALE WARNING LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt increasing to 40 kt. Seas 4 ft building 
to 8 ft late. Freezing spray. 
.SAT...N wind 45 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW gale to 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt late.
Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing
spray. 
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Snow showers. 
.MON...NW wind 10 kt becoming S. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ013-131530-
Southern Lynn Canal-
512 PM AKST Fri Mar 12 2021

...GALE WARNING LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt increasing to 45 kt. Seas 4 ft building
to 9 ft. Freezing spray late. 
.SAT...N wind 45 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray in the
morning. 
.SAT NIGHT...N gale to 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt late.
Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray late.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Snow showers. 
.MON...N wind 10 kt becoming SE. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...Light winds becoming E 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ021-131530-
Icy Strait-
512 PM AKST Fri Mar 12 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming N 30 kt. Seas building to 6 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Snow showers. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ022-131530-
Cross Sound-
512 PM AKST Fri Mar 12 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt late. Seas 8 ft. SW 
swell in the evening. 
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ031-131530-
Stephens Passage-
512 PM AKST Fri Mar 12 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 30 kt. Seas building to
6 ft. 
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray late. 
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Gusts to 35 kt out of interior passes.
Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Snow showers. 
.MON...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...Light winds becoming E 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...N wind 10 kt becoming SE. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ032-131530-
Northern Chatham Strait-
512 PM AKST Fri Mar 12 2021

...GALE WARNING LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt becoming N 35 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 7
ft late. 
.SAT...N wind 35 kt. Gusts to 50 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Snow showers. 
.MON...N wind 10 kt becoming S. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ033-131530-
Southern Chatham Strait-
512 PM AKST Fri Mar 12 2021

...GALE WARNING LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt becoming N 35 kt late. Seas building to 
7 ft. Near ocean entrances, seas 7 ft. 
.SAT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt late. Seas
4 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Snow showers. 
.MON...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...S wind 10 kt becoming E. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ034-131530-
Frederick Sound-
512 PM AKST Fri Mar 12 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt late. Seas building
to 6 ft. 
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft in the evening then
2 ft or less. 
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Snow.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...Light winds becoming E 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ035-131530-
Sumner Strait-
512 PM AKST Fri Mar 12 2021

.TONIGHT...Light winds becoming N 20 kt late. Seas building to 4 
ft late. 
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Snow showers. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt becoming S. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...Light winds becoming NE 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ036-131530-
Clarence Strait-
512 PM AKST Fri Mar 12 2021

.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt becoming 20 kt. Seas building to 4 ft. 
Snow. Rain late.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow and rain in the
morning. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.SUN...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Snow.
.MON...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas building to 3 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$
300 
FZAK51 PAJK 131247
CWFAJK

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
347 AM AKST Sat Mar 13 2021

Southeast Alaska Inside Waters from Dixon Entrance to Skagway

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ098-140430-
347 AM AKST Sat Mar 13 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A surface high in interior Canada and an opposing  surface low
south of the Panhandle results in a strong offshore  flow and
northerly winds in the northern Panhandle Saturday. A  surface
low develops near Cordova on Sunday and lingers west of 
Yakutat. 

$$

PKZ011-140430-
Glacier Bay-
347 AM AKST Sat Mar 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing
spray. 
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt diminishing late. Seas 5 ft. Freezing 
spray.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt in the morning becoming light. Seas 2 ft
or less. Freezing spray in the morning. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Snow.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ012-140430-
Northern Lynn Canal-
347 AM AKST Sat Mar 13 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...N wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
9 ft in the morning then 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SUN...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 5 ft in the morning then 2 ft or less. Freezing spray. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.MON...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ013-140430-
Southern Lynn Canal-
347 AM AKST Sat Mar 13 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...N wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9
ft in the morning then 7 ft. Freezing spray. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Out of interior passes, gusts to 50 kt 
in the evening. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft in the morning then 2 ft or
less. Freezing spray in the morning. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ021-140430-
Icy Strait-
347 AM AKST Sat Mar 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ022-140430-
Cross Sound-
347 AM AKST Sat Mar 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 

$$

PKZ031-140430-
Stephens Passage-
347 AM AKST Sat Mar 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray
in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Gusts to 40 kt out of interior passes. 
Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray late.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Out of interior passes, gusts to 35 kt in
the morning. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray in the morning. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ032-140430-
Northern Chatham Strait-
347 AM AKST Sat Mar 13 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...N wind 35 kt diminishing in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ033-140430-
Southern Chatham Strait-
347 AM AKST Sat Mar 13 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...N wind 35 kt diminishing in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 10 kt in the morning becoming light. Seas 2 ft
or less. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Snow.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ034-140430-
Frederick Sound-
347 AM AKST Sat Mar 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 10 kt in the morning becoming light. Seas 2 ft
or less. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ035-140430-
Sumner Strait-
347 AM AKST Sat Mar 13 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow early in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.SUN...N wind 10 kt in the morning becoming light. Seas 2 ft
or less. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ036-140430-
Clarence Strait-
347 AM AKST Sat Mar 13 2021

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow early in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$
686 
FZAK51 PAJK 140011
CWFAJK

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
311 PM AKST Sat Mar 13 2021

Southeast Alaska Inside Waters from Dixon Entrance to Skagway

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ098-141730-
311 PM AKST Sat Mar 13 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
Offshore flow and northerly winds diminish late Saturday night
into Sunday for the northern panhandle. A surface low develops 
near Kodiak Island early Sunday and moves towards Prince William 
Sound by Monday. The associated gale force front approaches the 
northern and central gulf coast Sunday night moving inland on 
Monday. 

$$

PKZ011-141730-
Glacier Bay-
311 PM AKST Sat Mar 13 2021

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt in the evening. Seas
5 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SUN...N wind 10 kt in the morning becoming light. Seas 2 ft
or less. 
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt becoming E late. Seas 2 ft or less. 
Snow late.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Snow with rain. 
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Snow.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ012-141730-
Northern Lynn Canal-
311 PM AKST Sat Mar 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SUN...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 5 ft in the morning subsiding to 2 ft or less in the
afternoon. Freezing spray in the morning.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray late.
Snow late. 
.MON...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Snow.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Snow.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ013-141730-
Southern Lynn Canal-
311 PM AKST Sat Mar 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray in the morning.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow late. 
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow and rain. 
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Snow.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ021-141730-
Icy Strait-
311 PM AKST Sat Mar 13 2021

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow late. 
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow. 
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ022-141730-
Cross Sound-
311 PM AKST Sat Mar 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt diminishing. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Snow late. 
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain and snow. 
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. SW swell. Snow.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ031-141730-
Stephens Passage-
311 PM AKST Sat Mar 13 2021

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Out of interior passes, gusts to 35 kt in
the morning. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Gusts to 40 kt late. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow and rain. 
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow. 
.TUE...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ032-141730-
Northern Chatham Strait-
311 PM AKST Sat Mar 13 2021

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt late. Seas 4 ft.
Snow late. 
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow with rain. 
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Snow.
.TUE...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ033-141730-
Southern Chatham Strait-
311 PM AKST Sat Mar 13 2021

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 10 kt in the morning becoming light. Seas 2 ft
or less. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt increasing to 25 kt late. Seas 2 ft or
less building to 5 ft late. Snow late. 
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 9 ft near ocean
entrances. Rain and snow. 
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 8 ft near ocean
entrances. Snow.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ034-141730-
Frederick Sound-
311 PM AKST Sat Mar 13 2021

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 10 kt in the morning becoming light. Seas 2 ft
or less. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt late. Seas
3 ft building to 5 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain with snow. 
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ035-141730-
Sumner Strait-
311 PM AKST Sat Mar 13 2021

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.SUN...N wind 10 kt in the morning becoming light. Seas 2 ft
or less. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain with
snow. 
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less, except 6 ft
near ocean entrances. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ036-141730-
Clarence Strait-
311 PM AKST Sat Mar 13 2021

.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.SUN...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.SUN NIGHT...Light winds becoming SE 15 kt late. Seas building
to 3 ft late. 
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain and snow. 
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Mar 11, 2:46 PM AKST, 12 hours 47 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 11, 2:46 PM AKST, 12 hours 47 minutes before
Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
246 PM AKST Thu Mar 11 2021

.SHORT TERM...Satellite imagery indicates a broad fetch of colder,
unstable air directing numerous showers across much of the
northern Panhandle. Visibility has tanked in brief snow squalls.
Despite 850 mb air temperatures dropping to near -10 C, solar
insolation has warmed temperatures just enough to allow some rain
to mix in at times in various locations across the north.
Continued marine, cool, unstable air should still support
scattered snow showers tonight into Saturday. But the real action
lies to the southeast of the low where strong southwest flow
directs wave after wave into the southern Panhandle. A leftover
frontal boundary persists across the region and was responsible
for a surprise burst of snow for Ketchikan this morning where
images on social media indicated an estimated quick inch of new
snow. Hyder, for its part, crept above freezing and has stayed
mostly rain all day. A mid-morning update changed p-type to mixed
for most all of the southern Panhandle to support snow-melt
cooling in heavier embedded showers across the region.

Cold air continues to filter into the entire Panhandle tonight,
even across the south. What once was a concerning wave scheduled
to spread across the entire southern Panhandle with an overrunning
snow event over Ketchikan and Prince of Wales Island has trended
eastward over the last 36 hours. Winter storm watches were
cancelled. But there is still concerns if the models are correct.
We did hold the forecast of 4 inches of snow for Hyder tonight,
with an inch possible in Ketchikan. Should the band trend west
again, these totals will be greater. But confidence is higher than
moderate at this point.

A surface low over the gulf underneath the main upper low should
spawn more numerous snow showers along the coast. We elevated the
typical inch of snow from showers near Cross Sound to 1 to 3. This
will have to be monitored for any training, as bands could set up
across this region that could drop much more than that. As this
low sinks southeast we do expect a drying trend to begin across
the north, expecially into Friday night. Outflow winds contribute
to this drying. Winds could be strong along the Klondike Highway
into Skagway and even Downtown Juneau. And considering
temperatures approaching zero, wind chill advisories are not out
of the question Friday night for White Pass.

Now back to the south, another wave looks to press into the far
southern region Friday night along the old frontal boundary. With
plenty of cold air in place, we expect accumulating snows in
Ketchikan and Hyder. Hyder's forecast of 7 to 10 inches from
Friday night into Saturday morning might not be so confident
because of some warmer air intrustion resulting in far wetter snow
that accumulates far less or even a change to rain. But
nevertheless we post a winter weather advisory for this time
period in coordination with our friends in Vancouver for Stewart,
BC. What becomes a challenge for us will be Ketchikan. It lies
precariously within the precipitation band. MOS snow numbers are
all over the map from the NAM's 1 inch to the GFS's 8 inches plus.
The Euro comes in with a much more moderate 4 to 6 inches. To
explore this possibility we have raised snowfall totals to 1 to 4
inches currently. But advisories or even a watch could be issued
Friday morning should confidence in a winter event rise.

.LONG TERM...Saturday through Thursday as of 10 pm Wednesday/By
the beginning of the long term forecast period, northerly winds
will be firmly entrenched in the region and moisture will be
coming up from the south around a low in the Gulf that is moving
south. This combinations sets up a significant forecast challenge
which if the models continue to show consistency, could lead to
some decent snow totals early Saturday morning and Sunday night.
The key questions will be how far will the moisture push north,
how warm will the southern panhandle stay at night, and how long
will this moisture continue to advect into the region before the
before the next frontal pressure system pushes into the region for
Monday/Monday night. The best certain answers we have for these
questions is that models continue to have some disagreement of
just how far north the impacts will travel. However, the prospect
of Juneau and even Skagway seeing at least some snow this weekend
appears more likely. As of now, snowfall amounts don't look to be
overly impactful, perhaps around advisory criteria, that far
north, but a few subtle changes to the PoP and QPF with newer
guidance could change this to a decent snow for at least Juneau,
or it could also just turn into a rather minor amount of snow. The
second question is that for the southern panhandle, the current
forecast keeps the temperatures at or below freezing during the
nighttime hours with warming to above freezing during the day. If
this push of warmer air from the south can overcome the colder
northerlies during the nighttime hours it would greatly inhibit
snow totals there. Which leads directly to the third question,
what the models are consistently agreeing on is that the bulk of
precipitation will fall in the far southern panhandle, Mainly to
areas up Clarence Strait, but also for Hyder and POW Island. If
temperatures do manage to drop enough at night to change over to
just snow, it could pile up down there pretty quick. So, for the
snow lovers out there, the snow was left in the forecast during
the night time hours, but we will have to see how the forecast
evolves.

By Sunday night, the northerly flow begins to break down and most
areas get a brief chance to dry out a bit with lingering chances
for showers. Diurnals will play an important role in determining
p-type through the week, mostly for the north as precipitation
chances continue through the end of the forecast period with yet
another front set to impact the region at a still uncertain time,
but right now looking like sometime Monday night or Tuesday. For
the south, conditions warm enough after Monday night that the most
likely precipitation type looks to be rain for sea level
locations regardless of the time of day.

&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Strong Wind until 6 PM AKST this evening for AKZ018.
     Winter Weather Advisory from 6 PM Friday to noon AKST Saturday
     for AKZ029.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory for PKZ012-022-041>043-051>053.

&&

JWA/JDR

Visit us at http://www.weather.gov/Juneau

The office that day

Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 11, 3:27 PM AKSTWinter Weather AdvisoryAJK45 hr
Mar 12, 3:33 AM AKSTGale WarningAJK36 hr
Mar 12, 1:38 PM AKSTWinter Storm WarningAJK25 hr
Mar 12, 2:08 PM AKSTGale WarningAJK25 hr
Mar 12, 2:09 PM AKSTGale WarningAJK25 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2021Every small craft advisory in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.