Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2021

Small Craft Advisory 102, NWS Juneau, AK

February 17, 2021

NWS Juneau, AK issued this small craft advisory at Feb 17, 2021, 3:39 PM AKST. It was in force for 3 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 17, 2021, 3:39 PM AKST (00:39 UTC)
Expired
Feb 20, 2021, 4:06 PM AKST
In force
3 days
Issued by
NWS Juneau, AK

The text

As transmitted.

713 
FZAK52 PAJK 180039
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
339 PM AKST Wed Feb 17 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-181845-
339 PM AKST Wed Feb 17 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A storm force low moves into the eastern gulf. The low then moves
onshore South of Cross Sound on Friday. 

$$

PKZ041-181845-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
339 PM AKST Wed Feb 17 2021

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt becoming E 55 kt. Seas 9 ft building to
25 ft. Rain late. 
.THU...SE wind 50 kt becoming S 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
29 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...S gale to 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt late. Seas
25 ft. Rain.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.SUN...SW gale to 35 kt. Seas 29 ft. 
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 27 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-181845-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
339 PM AKST Wed Feb 17 2021

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt becoming E 50 kt late. Seas 10 ft 
building to 24 ft. Rain late. 
.THU...E wind 50 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 29 ft.
Rain.
.THU NIGHT...S gale to 40 kt. Seas 27 ft. Rain.
.FRI...W gale to 35 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain and snow. 
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.SUN...SW gale to 35 kt. Seas 29 ft. 
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 26 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-181845-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
339 PM AKST Wed Feb 17 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt becoming E 40 kt late. Seas 13 ft
building to 19 ft late. 
.THU...E wind 50 kt. Seas 27 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...E gale to 40 kt. Seas 26 ft. Rain.
.FRI...W gale to 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain and snow. 
.SAT...S wind 20 kt becoming SW 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 28 ft. 
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 25 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-181845-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
339 PM AKST Wed Feb 17 2021

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain in the evening. 
.THU...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain late. 
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. SW swell. Rain.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 25 ft. 
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 22 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-181845-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
339 PM AKST Wed Feb 17 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.THU...E wind 20 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 16 ft.
SE swell in the afternoon. 
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft. SE swell. 
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. SE swell. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 24 ft. 
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft. 

$$
8 follow-up statements
305 
FZAK52 PAJK 181135
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
235 AM AKST Thu Feb 18 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-190545-
235 AM AKST Thu Feb 18 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A storm force low in the southeast gulf continues to track
northward through late Thursday. The low comes ashore near Cross
Sound on Friday. 

$$

PKZ041-190545-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
235 AM AKST Thu Feb 18 2021

...STORM WARNING THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...SE wind 55 kt becoming S 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas
22 ft building to 30 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 26 ft. Rain.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. 
.SUN...SW gale to 35 kt. Seas 27 ft. 
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-190545-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
235 AM AKST Thu Feb 18 2021

...STORM WARNING THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...E wind 55 kt becoming S 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas
21 ft building to 29 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 27 ft. Rain.
.FRI...W gale to 35 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.SUN...SW gale to 35 kt. Seas 27 ft. 
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-190545-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
235 AM AKST Thu Feb 18 2021

...STORM WARNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...E wind 50 kt diminishing. Seas 17 ft building to 27 ft. 
Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 26 ft. Rain.
.FRI...W gale to 35 kt. Seas 23 ft subsiding to 18 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 26 ft. 
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-190545-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
235 AM AKST Thu Feb 18 2021

...GALE WARNING THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt becoming NE 40 kt. Seas 12 ft building to
19 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain late. 
.FRI...W wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
18 ft subsiding to 14 ft in the afternoon. SE swell in the
morning. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. SW swell. Rain.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 22 ft. 
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-190545-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
235 AM AKST Thu Feb 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft
building to 17 ft. SE swell in the afternoon. Rain early in the
morning. 
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. SE swell. 
.FRI...W wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
13 ft. SE swell in the morning. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft. 
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. 

$$
507 
FZAK52 PAJK 190041
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
341 PM AKST Thu Feb 18 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-191845-
341 PM AKST Thu Feb 18 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A storm force low in the eastern gulf comes onshore  near Cross
Sound on Friday. Another system moves into the eastern  gulf
Saturday. 

$$

PKZ041-191845-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
341 PM AKST Thu Feb 18 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt late. Seas 27 ft.
Rain.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain in the morning. 
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain showers late. 
.SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SW gale to 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SW gale to 35 kt. Seas 27 ft. 
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-191845-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
341 PM AKST Thu Feb 18 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 27 ft. Rain.
.FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain in the morning. 
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain showers late. 
.SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SW gale to 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SW gale to 35 kt. Seas 27 ft. 
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-191845-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
341 PM AKST Thu Feb 18 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 26 ft. Rain.
.FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain in the morning. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. SW swell. Rain with snow. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 26 ft. 
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-191845-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
341 PM AKST Thu Feb 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 25 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 15
ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. SW swell. Snow and rain. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 22 ft. 
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-191845-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
341 PM AKST Thu Feb 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. SE swell. 
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt late. Seas 13 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. SW swell. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain and snow. 
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft. 
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft. 

$$
523 
FZAK52 PAJK 191250
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
350 AM AKST Fri Feb 19 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-200700-
350 AM AKST Fri Feb 19 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A gale force low about 80 miles S of Cape Fairweather comes
onshore near Cross Sound on Friday. Strong westerly flow will 
persist in the gulf through Fri evening in its wake. Another 
system moves into the eastern gulf from the west on Saturday. 

$$

PKZ041-200700-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
350 AM AKST Fri Feb 19 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain early in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain showers late. 
.SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SW gale to 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.SUN...W gale to 40 kt. Seas 28 ft. 
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 25 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-200700-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
350 AM AKST Fri Feb 19 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
23 ft subsiding to 18 ft in the afternoon. Rain early in the 
morning.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt late. Seas 17 ft. 
.SAT...S wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SW gale to 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.SUN...W gale to 35 kt. Seas 30 ft. 
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 24 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt. Seas 20 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-200700-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
350 AM AKST Fri Feb 19 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt becoming W in the morning, then diminishing
to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 22 ft subsiding to 17 ft in the 
afternoon. Rain early in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt diminishing late. Seas 16 ft. 
.SAT...E wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. Snow in the 
morning. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SW gale to 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.SUN...W gale to 35 kt. Seas 29 ft. 
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-200700-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
350 AM AKST Fri Feb 19 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt becoming W 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain early 
in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. SW swell. Rain. Snow in
the afternoon. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain with snow. 
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 24 ft. 
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-200700-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
350 AM AKST Fri Feb 19 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt late. Seas 14 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. SW swell in the morning. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 22 ft. 
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 15 ft. 

$$
426 
FZAK52 PAJK 191259
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
359 AM AKST Fri Feb 19 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-200700-
359 AM AKST Fri Feb 19 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A gale force low about 80 miles S of Cape Fairweather comes
onshore near Cross Sound on Friday. Strong westerly flow will 
persist in the gulf through Fri evening in its wake. Another 
system moves into the eastern gulf from the west on Saturday. 

$$

PKZ041-200700-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
359 AM AKST Fri Feb 19 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain early in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain showers late. 
.SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SW gale to 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.SUN...W gale to 40 kt. Seas 28 ft. 
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 25 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-200700-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
359 AM AKST Fri Feb 19 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
23 ft subsiding to 18 ft in the afternoon. Rain early in the 
morning.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt late. Seas 17 ft. 
.SAT...S wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SW gale to 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.SUN...W gale to 35 kt. Seas 30 ft. 
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 24 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt. Seas 20 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-200700-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
359 AM AKST Fri Feb 19 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt becoming W in the morning, then diminishing
to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 22 ft subsiding to 17 ft in the 
afternoon. Rain early in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt diminishing late. Seas 16 ft. 
.SAT...E wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. Snow in the 
morning. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SW gale to 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.SUN...W gale to 35 kt. Seas 29 ft. 
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-200700-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
359 AM AKST Fri Feb 19 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt becoming W 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain early 
in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. SW swell. Rain. Snow in
the afternoon. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain with snow. 
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 24 ft. 
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-200700-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
359 AM AKST Fri Feb 19 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt late. Seas 14 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. SW swell in the morning. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 22 ft. 
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 15 ft. 

$$
798 
FZAK52 PAJK 191301
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
401 AM AKST Fri Feb 19 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-200715-
401 AM AKST Fri Feb 19 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A gale force low about 80 miles S of Cape Fairweather comes
onshore near Cross Sound on Friday. Strong westerly flow will 
persist in the gulf through Fri evening in its wake. Another 
system moves into the eastern gulf from the west on Saturday. 

$$

PKZ041-200715-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
401 AM AKST Fri Feb 19 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain early in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain showers late. 
.SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SW gale to 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.SUN...W gale to 40 kt. Seas 28 ft. 
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 25 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-200715-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
401 AM AKST Fri Feb 19 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
23 ft subsiding to 18 ft in the afternoon. Rain early in the 
morning.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt late. Seas 17 ft. 
.SAT...S wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SW gale to 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.SUN...W gale to 35 kt. Seas 30 ft. 
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 24 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt. Seas 20 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-200715-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
401 AM AKST Fri Feb 19 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt becoming W in the morning, then diminishing
to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 22 ft subsiding to 17 ft in the 
afternoon. Rain early in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt diminishing late. Seas 16 ft. 
.SAT...E wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. Snow in the 
morning. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SW gale to 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.SUN...W gale to 35 kt. Seas 29 ft. 
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-200715-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
401 AM AKST Fri Feb 19 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt becoming W 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain early 
in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. SW swell. Rain. Snow in
the afternoon. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain with snow. 
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 24 ft. 
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-200715-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
401 AM AKST Fri Feb 19 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt late. Seas 14 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. SW swell in the morning. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 22 ft. 
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 15 ft. 

$$
466 
FZAK52 PAJK 200047
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
347 PM AKST Fri Feb 19 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-201900-
347 PM AKST Fri Feb 19 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
Strong westerly flow will persist in the gulf through Fri night
in the wake of a low that came onshore Friday. Another system 
moves into the eastern gulf from the west on Saturday. 

$$

PKZ041-201900-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
347 PM AKST Fri Feb 19 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain showers late. 
.SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SW gale to 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.SUN...W gale to 40 kt. Seas 26 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...W gale to 35 kt. Seas 26 ft. Rain.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 25 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft. 
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft building to 20 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-201900-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
347 PM AKST Fri Feb 19 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SW gale to 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SW gale to 40 kt. Seas 28 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...W gale to 35 kt. Seas 28 ft. Rain.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 24 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt. Seas 20 ft. 
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft building to 20 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-201900-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
347 PM AKST Fri Feb 19 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain with snow in the
morning, then rain in the afternoon. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt increasing to gale to 35 kt late.
Seas 14 ft building to 19 ft late. Rain.
.SUN...SW gale to 35 kt. Seas 28 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...W gale to 40 kt. Seas 29 ft. Rain.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft building to 17 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-201900-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
347 PM AKST Fri Feb 19 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt late. Seas 16 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain and snow. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. Snow in the evening.
Rain.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 25 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 26 ft. Rain.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-201900-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
347 PM AKST Fri Feb 19 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt late. Seas 14 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. SW swell in the morning.
Rain in the morning. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 23 ft. S swell. 
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft. 
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. 

$$
593 
FZAK52 PAJK 201213
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
313 AM AKST Sat Feb 20 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-210615-
313 AM AKST Sat Feb 20 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A low moves into the northwest gulf as an associated front moves
over the eastern gulf and panhandle Saturday. Gale force
westerly flow increases Saturday night into Sunday as the low
moves into the northeast gulf. 

$$

PKZ041-210615-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
313 AM AKST Sat Feb 20 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain and snow. 
.TONIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain in the evening. 
.SUN...W gale to 40 kt. Seas 24 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...W gale to 35 kt. Seas 25 ft. Rain showers. 
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 24 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft subsiding to 15 ft. 
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 26 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-210615-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
313 AM AKST Sat Feb 20 2021

...GALE WARNING LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain and snow. 
.TONIGHT...SW wind increasing to 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SW gale to 35 kt. Seas 25 ft. Showers.
.SUN NIGHT...W gale to 35 kt. Seas 25 ft. Rain showers. 
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 24 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 30 kt becoming S. Seas 20 ft subsiding to 15 ft. 
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-210615-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
313 AM AKST Sat Feb 20 2021

...GALE WARNING LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt becoming SE 30 kt in the morning, then
becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 16 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt late. Seas 15 ft
building to 20 ft late. Rain.
.SUN...SW gale to 35 kt. Seas 24 ft. Rain showers. 
.SUN NIGHT...W gale to 35 kt. Seas 24 ft. Rain showers and
snow showers. 
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 25 kt becoming S. Seas 19 ft subsiding to 14 ft. 
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-210615-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
313 AM AKST Sat Feb 20 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt becoming E 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. SW swell in 
the morning. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain showers in the morning. 
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. 
.MON...W wind 25 kt becoming E. Seas 21 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 20 kt becoming S. Seas 17 ft subsiding to 12 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-210615-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
313 AM AKST Sat Feb 20 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 10 kt becoming E 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. S swell late. Rain.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain showers in the morning. 
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 20 kt becoming S. Seas 16 ft subsiding to 11 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. 

$$
645 
FZAK52 PAJK 210106
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
406 PM AKST Sat Feb 20 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-211915-
406 PM AKST Sat Feb 20 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A front will continue to impact the region Saturday night. Gale
force westerly flow increases Saturday night into Sunday as a low
moves into the northeast gulf. SW flow will set up in the Gulf 
for Sunday night into Monday. 

$$

PKZ041-211915-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
406 PM AKST Sat Feb 20 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.SUN...W wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...W gale to 35 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain showers late. 
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft subsiding to 15 ft. 
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 26 ft. 
.THU...SW wind 25 kt becoming NW. Seas 24 ft subsiding to
19 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-211915-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
406 PM AKST Sat Feb 20 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 building to 19 ft late. Rain in
the evening.
.SUN...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 25 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...W gale to 35 kt. Seas 22 ft. 
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...W gale to 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 30 kt becoming S. Seas 20 ft subsiding to
15 ft. 
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft. 
.THU...S wind 20 kt becoming NW. Seas 20 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-211915-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
406 PM AKST Sat Feb 20 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt. Seas 11 ft building
to 21 ft late. Rain.
.SUN...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 25 ft. Rain showers in the morning.
.SUN NIGHT...W gale to 35 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain showers and
snow showers. 
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 25 kt becoming S. Seas 19 ft subsiding to
14 ft. 
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.THU...E wind 15 kt becoming N 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-211915-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
406 PM AKST Sat Feb 20 2021

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt becoming S. Seas 12 ft building to 17 ft
late. Rain.
.SUN...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain showers in the morning.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft. SW swell. 
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. SW swell. 
.MON NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 20 kt becoming S. Seas 17 ft subsiding to
12 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-211915-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
406 PM AKST Sat Feb 20 2021

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. S swell. Rain.
.SUN...W wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain showers in the morning. 
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. SW swell. 
.TUE...N wind 20 kt becoming S. Seas 16 ft subsiding to
11 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.THU...N wind 20 kt becoming E. Seas 15 ft. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Feb 17, 2:56 PM AKST, 43 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 17, 2:56 PM AKST, 43 minutes before
Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
256 PM AKST Wed Feb 17 2021

SHORT TERM.../Wednesday Afternoon Through Friday/

The story for today was the front that continues to impact the
northern gulf coast. Good lift in the dendritic growth zone,
coupled with a persistent east wind, kept enough cold air in
place in Yakutat to efficiently produce snow. Seven inches
were reported as of 1pm this afternoon with snow still falling. A
change to rain is still expected this evening, but the exact
timing of the change remains uncertain. A Winter Storm Warning
remains in effect until 6pm. Elsewhere, light snow was observed
across the northern half of the panhandle with mostly cloudy skies
across the south. Winds were slow to respond in the inner
channels but are finally turning to the south and increasing in
Lynn Canal and Skagway, bringing some warmer air north for this
evening. On to the next storm ...

IR satellite imagery is currently showing high clouds from the
next approaching system already encroaching on Prince of Wales
Island. The storm force low (~965mb) will be entering the eastern
gulf from the south on Thursday. Today's forecast made slight
modifications to the track, taking it north into the central gulf
before turning northeast and coming onshore south of Cross Sound
Friday afternoon. The bulk of the work today focused on
pinpointing the high wind potential. This afternoon's forecast
package will include a High Wind Warning for the Ketchikan area,
Annette Island, and Prince of Wales Island and a High Wind Watch
for Sitka and vicinity. Gusts to 60mph will be more certain for
the southern Panhandle. The low will be weakening slightly as it
makes its trip north, making high wind criteria less certain for
Sitka but this will be monitored. Easterly flow ahead of this next
storm will dry the panhandle out a bit tonight with precipitation
starting in earnest on Thursday. Strong warm air advection is
present which will warm many areas up above freezing. The 40
degree mark might be reached as far north as Yakutat, and Gustavus
Thursday afternoon. As a result, the precipitation will mostly be
in the form of rain, with the exception of northern Lynn Canal
where a northerly pressure gradient will cause Haines and Skagway
to start as snow before changing to rain. The Haines and Skagway
areas will need to be watched for potentially moderate amounts of
snow accumulation before the changeover to rain. With continued
southerly flow for most areas into Thu night rain will continue to
be the main precipitation type into Fri.

LONG TERM.../Friday through Wednesday as of 10 pm Tuesday/ Little
change in thinking for this forecast period. Friday, the panhandle
will be under the influence of a low pressure system off the
central coast. Guidance agreement has further aligned with one
another placing the low just southwest of Cape Spencer by early
Friday morning. The low then looks to shift east into the
panhandle through the Icy Strait corridor before dissolving into a
shortwave. Precipitation chances remain elevated through the
weekend as onshore flow funnels moisture into the panhandle.

A stronger low develops along the Aleutian Islands Saturday.
Ample moisture support also looks favorable as it transports
moisture from the Pacific into the Gulf. By Saturday afternoon QPF
values increase as the associated front lifts into the panhandle
through Sunday. The parent low looks to remain situated in the
northern Gulf before shifting south along the coast through early
next week.

During the long term forecast one tends to look for
pattern changes, for example dry vs wet patterns, as more detailed
pieces of the forecast are harder to nail down. For this forecast
period, one could say an active wet pattern looks favorable. For
the fair-weather lovers out there, don't loose hope just yet. By
Wednesday, new guidance suggest a surface ridge to build through
the panhandle for about 24 hrs providing brief relief before yet
another low impacts the panhandle late week.

As for temperatures, an overall warming trend can be expected.
Beginning Friday, 850 mb temps steadily rise as each passing low
transports midlevel warm/moist air into the panhandle. Daytime
highs in the upper 30s to lower 40s and overnight lows in the mid
to upper 30s are expected through the weekend. Forecast challenges
will be centered around precipitation type as marginal
temperatures will support both snow and rain depending on frontal
passage and diurnal tendencies.

&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Strong Wind from late tonight through Thursday afternoon for
     AKZ026.
     High Wind Warning from 3 AM to noon AKST Thursday for AKZ027-028.
     Strong Wind Thursday afternoon for AKZ027-028.
     Strong Wind Thursday afternoon for AKZ023-025.
     Strong Wind from Thursday morning through Thursday afternoon for
     AKZ022.
     High Wind Watch from Thursday morning through Thursday afternoon
     for AKZ023.
     Winter Storm Warning until 6 PM AKST this evening for AKZ017.
MARINE...Storm Warning for PKZ041-042.
     Gale Warning for PKZ033>036-043-051.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ012-013-021-022-031-032-052-053.

&&

BFL/CC

Visit us at http://www.weather.gov/Juneau

In the hours before

Local storm report, Feb 17, 11:06 AM AKST, 4 hours 33 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1106 AM AKST WED FEB 17 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1000 AM     HEAVY SNOW       4 SE YAKUTAT            59.50N 139.66W
02/17/2021  M2.0 INCH        YAKUTAT            AK   NWS EMPLOYEE

            2 INCHES OF SNOW IN ONE HOUR FROM 9-10AM.

&&

CM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 17, 3:21 PM AKSTHigh Wind WatchAJK13 hr
Feb 17, 3:21 PM AKSTHigh Wind WarningAJK21 hr
Feb 17, 3:39 PM AKSTGale WarningAJK48 hr
Feb 17, 3:39 PM AKSTGale WarningAJK24 hr
Feb 17, 3:39 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK5 days
Feb 17, 3:39 PM AKSTStorm WarningAJK24 hr
Feb 17, 3:39 PM AKSTStorm WarningAJK24 hr
Feb 18, 2:35 AM AKSTGale WarningAJK37 hr
Feb 18, 2:35 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK37 hr
Feb 18, 2:35 AM AKSTStorm WarningAJK13 hr
Feb 18, 4:00 AM AKSTWinter Weather AdvisoryAJK34 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2021Every small craft advisory in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.