Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2021
Gale Warning 216, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this gale warning at Oct 11, 2021, 4:13 AM AKDT. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 11, 2021, 4:13 AM AKDT (12:13 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 12, 2021, 4:29 AM AKDT
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted.
232 FZAK51 PAJK 111213 CWFAJK Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska National Weather Service Juneau AK 413 AM AKDT Mon Oct 11 2021 Southeast Alaska Inside Waters from Dixon Entrance to Skagway Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ098-120230- 413 AM AKDT Mon Oct 11 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A storm force low moves into the north central Gulf Monday night while the associated front moves across the panhandle. Outlook: The low weakens and moves onshore near Yakutat Bay Tuesday evening. Lower pressure remains in the northern gulf through the week. $$ PKZ011-120230- Glacier Bay- 413 AM AKDT Mon Oct 11 2021 .TODAY...Light winds becoming SE 15 kt. Seas building to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. .TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers. .WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .FRI...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ012-120230- Northern Lynn Canal- 413 AM AKDT Mon Oct 11 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas building to 4 ft. Rain in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. .TUE...SE wind 25 kt increasing to gale to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers. .WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas building to 3 ft. $$ PKZ013-120230- Southern Lynn Canal- 413 AM AKDT Mon Oct 11 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE wind 15 kt. Seas building to 3 ft. Rain in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. .TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Showers. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Showers. .WED...SE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ021-120230- Icy Strait- 413 AM AKDT Mon Oct 11 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TODAY...Light winds early in the morning becoming E 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas building to 5 ft. Showers in the morning. Rain in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain. .TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Showers. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Showers. .WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ022-120230- Cross Sound- 413 AM AKDT Mon Oct 11 2021 ...GALE WARNING THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming E 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft. Rain in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt becoming SW 25 kt late. Seas 12 ft. Rain. .TUE...SW gale to 35 kt. Seas 10 ft building to 15 ft in the afternoon. Showers. .TUE NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Showers. .WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU...E wind 20 kt becoming S. Seas 11 ft. .FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ031-120230- Stephens Passage- 413 AM AKDT Mon Oct 11 2021 ...GALE WARNING THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE wind 10 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas building to 5 ft. Rain in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain. .TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Showers. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Showers. .WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ032-120230- Northern Chatham Strait- 413 AM AKDT Mon Oct 11 2021 ...GALE WARNING THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas building to 4 ft. Showers in the morning. Rain in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...SE wind increasing to 35 kt. Gusts to 50 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain. .TUE...S wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft. Showers in the afternoon. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Showers. .WED...SE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ033-120230- Southern Chatham Strait- 413 AM AKDT Mon Oct 11 2021 ...GALE WARNING THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TODAY...Light winds becoming SE 25 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas building to 6 ft. Near ocean entrances, seas 9 ft. Rain in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt late. Seas 14 ft, except 20 ft near ocean entrances. Rain. .TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft, except 13 ft near ocean entrances. Showers. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft, except 16 ft near ocean entrances. .WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ034-120230- Frederick Sound- 413 AM AKDT Mon Oct 11 2021 ...GALE WARNING THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE wind 10 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas building to 5 ft. Rain in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Gusts to 50 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain. .TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft. Showers. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Showers. .WED...SW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ035-120230- Sumner Strait- 413 AM AKDT Mon Oct 11 2021 ...GALE WARNING THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE wind 10 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas building to 5 ft. Near ocean entrances, seas 7 ft. Rain in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Gusts to 50 kt. Seas 9 ft, except 14 ft near ocean entrances. Rain. .TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 6 ft, except 9 ft near ocean entrances. Showers. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft, except 11 ft near ocean entrances. Showers. .WED...S wind 30 kt becoming SE 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ036-120230- Clarence Strait- 413 AM AKDT Mon Oct 11 2021 ...GALE WARNING THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE wind 10 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas building to 5 ft. Near ocean entrances, seas 6 ft. Rain in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...SE wind increasing to 45 kt. Seas 14 ft building to 19 ft late. Rain. .TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft in the morning. Near ocean entrances, seas 8 ft in the afternoon. Showers in the afternoon. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft, except 9 ft near ocean entrances. .WED...S wind 30 kt becoming SE 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$
2 follow-up statements
873 FZAK51 PAJK 112358 CWFAJK Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska National Weather Service Juneau AK 358 PM AKDT Mon Oct 11 2021 Southeast Alaska Inside Waters from Dixon Entrance to Skagway Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ098-121700- 358 PM AKDT Mon Oct 11 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A storm force low moves into the north central Gulf Monday night while the associated front moves across the panhandle. The low weakens and moves onshore near Yakutat Bay Tuesday evening. Outlook. Another quick moving front will traverse the gulf by Wednesday morning. $$ PKZ011-121700- Glacier Bay- 358 PM AKDT Mon Oct 11 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. .TUE...SE wind increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas building to 5 ft. Rain showers. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt late. Gusts to 40 kt in the evening. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft late. Rain showers. .WED...SE wind 15 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .WED NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .THU...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .FRI...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ012-121700- Northern Lynn Canal- 358 PM AKDT Mon Oct 11 2021 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. .TUE...SE wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas building to 6 ft. Rain showers. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers. .WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. .WED NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ013-121700- Southern Lynn Canal- 358 PM AKDT Mon Oct 11 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the evening. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 3 ft building to 5 ft. Rain. .TUE...SE wind increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to 45 kt. Seas building to 6 ft. Showers. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft. Showers. .WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. .WED NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ021-121700- Icy Strait- 358 PM AKDT Mon Oct 11 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain. .TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Showers. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Showers. .WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. .WED NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ022-121700- Cross Sound- 358 PM AKDT Mon Oct 11 2021 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt in the evening, then becoming SW 25 kt late. Seas 7 ft building to 13 ft. Rain. .TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft building to 24 ft in the afternoon. Showers. .TUE NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft subsiding to 15 ft late. Showers. .WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain. .WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain. .THU...E wind 20 kt becoming S. Seas 11 ft. .FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ031-121700- Stephens Passage- 358 PM AKDT Mon Oct 11 2021 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt increasing to 40 kt then diminishing to 30 kt late. Seas 5 ft building to 8 ft. Rain. .TUE...S wind 30 kt. Gusts to 40 kt out of interior passes. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Showers. .WED...SE wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. .WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. .THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ032-121700- Northern Chatham Strait- 358 PM AKDT Mon Oct 11 2021 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt, then diminishing to 25 kt late. Seas 5 ft building to 7 ft, then subsiding. Rain. .TUE...S wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft. Showers. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Showers. .WED...SE wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. .WED NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ033-121700- Southern Chatham Strait- 358 PM AKDT Mon Oct 11 2021 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt increasing to 40 kt in the evening, then diminishing to 25 kt late. Seas 5 ft building to 8 ft. Near ocean entrances, seas 8 ft building to 21 ft in the evening, then subsiding to 15 ft late. Rain. .TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft, except 17 ft near ocean entrances. Showers. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft, except 17 ft near ocean entrances. Showers. .WED...S wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft, except 14 ft near ocean entrances. Rain. .WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 11 ft near ocean entrances. Rain. .THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ034-121700- Frederick Sound- 358 PM AKDT Mon Oct 11 2021 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt increasing to 40 kt, then diminishing to 25 kt late. Seas 5 ft building to 8 ft, then subsiding. Rain. .TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft. Showers. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt late. Seas 4 ft. Showers. .WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. .THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ035-121700- Sumner Strait- 358 PM AKDT Mon Oct 11 2021 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt increasing to 40 kt, then diminishing to 25 kt late. Gusts to 55 kt, Seas 5 ft building to 8 ft, then subsiding. Near ocean entrances, seas 6 ft building to 16 ft in the evening, then subsiding to 12 ft late. Rain. .TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft, except 11 ft near ocean entrances. Showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 13 ft near ocean entrances. Showers. .WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft, except 10 ft near ocean entrances. Rain. .WED NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 8 ft near ocean entrances. Rain. .THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ036-121700- Clarence Strait- 358 PM AKDT Mon Oct 11 2021 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt increasing to 45 kt, then diminishing to 25 kt late. Seas 5 ft building to 9 ft, then subsiding. Rain. .TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 9 ft near ocean entrances. Showers. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 9 ft near ocean entrances. Showers. .WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain. .WED NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 9 ft near ocean entrances. Rain. .THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$
301 FZAK51 PAJK 121229 CWFAJK Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska National Weather Service Juneau AK 429 AM AKDT Tue Oct 12 2021 Southeast Alaska Inside Waters from Dixon Entrance to Skagway Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ098-130245- 429 AM AKDT Tue Oct 12 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A storm force low weakens and pushes into the NE gulf coast Tuesday. Another quick moving front will traverse the gulf by Wednesday morning. Outlook: Lower pressure will remain in the far northern gulf through the week with weak fronts moving east through the gulf. $$ PKZ011-130245- Glacier Bay- 429 AM AKDT Tue Oct 12 2021 .TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Rain showers. .TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. .WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .WED NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. .THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...N wind 20 kt becoming E. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ012-130245- Northern Lynn Canal- 429 AM AKDT Tue Oct 12 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt becoming S late in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft or less. Rain showers. .TONIGHT...S wind rapidly increasing to 30 kt in the evening. Gusts to 45 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers. .WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. .WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers. .THU...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ013-130245- Southern Lynn Canal- 429 AM AKDT Tue Oct 12 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY EARLY THIS EVENING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Showers. .TONIGHT...SE wind increasing to 30 kt in the evening. Gusts to 45 kt. Seas 6 ft. Showers. .WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. .WED NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Showers. .THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ021-130245- Icy Strait- 429 AM AKDT Tue Oct 12 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING... .TODAY...E wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 5 ft. Showers. .TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming SE late. Seas 5 ft. Showers. .WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. .WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Showers. .THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ022-130245- Cross Sound- 429 AM AKDT Tue Oct 12 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TODAY...E wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 11 ft building to 24 ft. Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. .TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 23 ft subsiding to 14 ft late. Showers. .WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain. .WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Showers. .THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. .FRI...W wind 20 kt becoming E. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ031-130245- Stephens Passage- 429 AM AKDT Tue Oct 12 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TODAY...S wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers. .TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Showers. .WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. .WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Showers. .THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ032-130245- Northern Chatham Strait- 429 AM AKDT Tue Oct 12 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Showers. .TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Showers. .WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. .WED NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Showers. .THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ033-130245- Southern Chatham Strait- 429 AM AKDT Tue Oct 12 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft, except 17 ft near ocean entrances. Showers. .TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft, except 17 ft near ocean entrances. Showers. .WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft, except 13 ft near ocean entrances. Rain. .WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft, except 12 ft near ocean entrances. Showers. .THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ034-130245- Frederick Sound- 429 AM AKDT Tue Oct 12 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON... .TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Showers. .TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Showers late. .WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Showers. .THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SAT...SE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ035-130245- Sumner Strait- 429 AM AKDT Tue Oct 12 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS AFTERNOON... .TODAY...S wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 6 ft, except 12 ft near ocean entrances. Showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft, except 12 ft near ocean entrances. Showers. .WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft, except 9 ft near ocean entrances. Rain. .WED NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 9 ft near ocean entrances. Showers. .THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ036-130245- Clarence Strait- 429 AM AKDT Tue Oct 12 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING... .TODAY...SE wind 25 kt early in the morning becoming S 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Seas 12 ft early in the morning. Near ocean entrances, seas 9 ft. Showers. .TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft, except 9 ft near ocean entrances. Showers. .WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft, except 12 ft near ocean entrances. Rain. .WED NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft, except 10 ft near ocean entrances. Showers. .THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SAT...S wind 25 kt becoming SE 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Oct 10, 2:57 PM AKDT, 13 hours 16 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 10, 2:57 PM AKDT, 13 hours 16 minutes before
Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
257 PM AKDT Sun Oct 10 2021
.SHORT TERM.../ Through Tuesday night / A few lingering showers
over the southern portion of the panhandle will be headed SE in
the upper level flow with mostly cloudy to cloudy skies over the
panhandle this evening. A few breaks in the clouds may lead to so
patchy fog development towards morning primarily for the northern
portion of the panhandle headed into early Monday.
Only minor forecast changes were undertaken today as models were
still struggling to agree on a track and strength. They had the
same general idea so didn't need many big adjustments. Adjustments
in the future may be needed as the models become better aligned.
The next incoming weather system has a triple point feature south
of Cold Bay Sunday afternoon that will track ENE into the
northern gulf by Monday night. The main parent low remains over
the northern Bering Sea. The associated storm force front will
move to the eastern gulf and coastal waters Monday night, with
gales to strong small craft winds (30 to 40kt) spreading into the
inner channels. Have posted some strong wind head lines for some coastal
communities this afternoon, and may need more with tonight's
forecast package as the front becomes more of a near term issue.
A period of heavy rain is expected with the front and expected
rainfall totals from Monday night through Tuesday evening may be 2
to 4 inches, or locally more. Rivers and streams are anticipated
to rise, some quickly, however flooding in not expected.
Showers in the onshore flow behind the main front along with the
moisture associated with the wrap around moisture/second wrap
will move into the panhandle Tuesday.
.LONG TERM.../Tuesday through Saturday night/...Very poor model
agreement at the start of this extended range forecast period,
both between the models and from run to run. At issue is a storm
force low that will be located somewhere over the northern gulf.
GFS was by far the southerly outlier and was not used for updates
to pressure or wind. NAM in conjunction with the Canadian offered
the best continuity with respect to the end of the previous short
term forecast and was used for updates through Tuesday night.
Even so, the latest NAM and Canadian model run both take the low
inland west of Icy Bay vice east of Yakutat, which is what the
current long range forecast depicts. Regardless, winds over the
eastern gulf and along the outer coast will be impactful.
Unfortunately, apart from saying that there will be storm force
winds over the eastern gulf and the potential for high winds along
the outer coast is there, the details of when and where are not
clear yet. Confidence is very low on this aspect of the long range
forecast.
In spite of poor model agreement on the location and track of the
low, there is good agreement on the resulting precipitation
pattern for both this first system and the second. Another heavy
rain event will already be in progress by Tuesday morning, but
will begin to wind down by the afternoon. The second front will
arrive early on Wednesday and promises to bring more heavy
precipitation to Southeast Alaska. A third front will arrive late
on Saturday to round out this long range forecast period.
Temps are getting colder as we make our way through the month of
October, but snow does not look like it is on the horizon just
yet. Low and mid-level thicknesses are still not where they need
to be to support snowfall at the lower elevations. Nor are
overnight lows. And while low level winds will begin as southerly
over the inner channels on Tuesday, post frontal onshore flow
will usher in a warmer low level airmass. A similar situation will
exist for the second front. By next Saturday, conditions are a
little more favorable for snow at the lower elevations, but that
will have to be watched over the next few days, as it makes
little sense to put a lot of confidence in the long range model
solutions.
&&
.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Strong Wind Monday afternoon for AKZ017-023.
MARINE...Gale Warning for PKZ041>043-051-052-310.
Small Craft Advisory for PKZ021-022-031>036-053.
&&
Bezenek/Fritsch
Visit us at http://www.weather.gov/JuneauThe office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 4:08 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Oct 10, 4:08 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Oct 10, 4:08 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 60 hr | |
| Oct 11, 4:13 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 48 hr | |
| Oct 11, 4:13 AM AKDT | Storm Warning | AJK | 3 hr | |
| Oct 11, 4:13 AM AKDT | Storm Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Oct 11, 4:59 AM AKDT | High Wind Warning | AJK | 22 hr | |
| Oct 11, 7:21 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AJK | 21 hr | |
| Oct 11, 3:58 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AJK | 13 hr | |
| Oct 11, 3:58 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 13 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.