Wind Chill Advisory 47, NWS Fairbanks, AK

209 
WWAK42 PAFG 291827
WSWWCZ

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
927 AM AKST Mon Nov 29 2021

AKZ211-300200-
/O.EXA.PAFG.WC.Y.0047.000000T0000Z-211130T2100Z/
Southern Seward Peninsula Coast-
Including Nome, White Mountain, and Golovin
927 AM AKST Mon Nov 29 2021

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Very cold wind chills to 40 below zero expected.

* WHERE...White Mountain.

* WHEN...Now to noon Tuesday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The cold wind chills will cause frostbite 
  in as little as 10 minutes to exposed skin.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and sustained wind
speeds of 15 mph or more will create low wind chills. Frost bite
and hypothermia can occur if precautions are not taken.

$$

AKZ212-300200-
/O.CON.PAFG.WC.Y.0047.000000T0000Z-211130T2100Z/
Eastern Norton Sound and Nulato Hills-
Including Unalakleet, Stebbins, St Michael, Elim, Koyuk, 
and Shaktoolik
927 AM AKST Mon Nov 29 2021

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Very cold wind chills to 40 below zero expected.

* WHERE...Shaktoolik.

* WHEN...Now to noon Tuesday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The cold wind chills will cause frostbite 
  in as little as 10 minutes to exposed skin.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and sustained wind
speeds of 15 mph or more will create low wind chills. Frost bite
and hypothermia can occur if precautions are not taken.

$$

154 
WWAK42 PAFG 292304
WSWWCZ

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
204 PM AKST Mon Nov 29 2021

AKZ215-301500-
/O.EXB.PAFG.WC.Y.0047.211130T0300Z-211130T2100Z/
Lower Yukon Valley-
Including Russian Mission, Grayling, Holy Cross, Shageluk, Anvik,
and Flat
204 PM AKST Mon Nov 29 2021

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON
AKST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Very cold wind chills to 40 below zero expected.

* WHERE...Lower Yukon Valley.

* WHEN...6 PM this evening to noon Tuesday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The cold wind chills will cause frostbite 
  in as little as 10 minutes to exposed skin. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and sustained wind
speeds of 15 mph or more will create low wind chills. Frost bite
and hypothermia can occur if precautions are not taken.

$$

AKZ216-301500-
/O.EXB.PAFG.WC.Y.0047.211130T0300Z-211130T2100Z/
Lower Koyukuk and Middle Yukon Valleys-
Including Galena, Nulato, Huslia, Kaltag, Ruby, and Koyukuk
204 PM AKST Mon Nov 29 2021

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON
AKST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Very cold wind chills to 40 below zero expected.

* WHERE...Kaltag.

* WHEN...6 PM this evening to noon Tuesday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The cold wind chills will cause frostbite 
  in as little as 10 minutes to exposed skin.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and sustained wind
speeds of 15 mph or more will create low wind chills. Frost bite
and hypothermia can occur if precautions are not taken.

$$

AKZ211-301500-
/O.CON.PAFG.WC.Y.0047.000000T0000Z-211130T2100Z/
Southern Seward Peninsula Coast-
Including Nome, White Mountain, and Golovin
204 PM AKST Mon Nov 29 2021

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Very cold wind chills to 40 below zero expected.

* WHERE...White Mountain.

* WHEN...Now to noon Tuesday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The cold wind chills will cause frostbite 
  in as little as 10 minutes to exposed skin.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and sustained wind
speeds of 15 mph or more will create low wind chills. Frost bite
and hypothermia can occur if precautions are not taken.

$$

AKZ212-301500-
/O.CON.PAFG.WC.Y.0047.000000T0000Z-211130T2100Z/
Eastern Norton Sound and Nulato Hills-
Including Unalakleet, Stebbins, St Michael, Elim, Koyuk, 
and Shaktoolik
204 PM AKST Mon Nov 29 2021

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Very cold wind chills to 40 below zero expected.

* WHERE...Shaktoolik.

* WHEN...Now to noon Tuesday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The cold wind chills will cause frostbite 
  in as little as 10 minutes to exposed skin.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and sustained wind
speeds of 15 mph or more will create low wind chills. Frost bite
and hypothermia can occur if precautions are not taken.

$$

336 
WWAK42 PAFG 301135
WSWWCZ

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
235 AM AKST Tue Nov 30 2021

AKZ211-301245-
/O.CAN.PAFG.WC.Y.0047.000000T0000Z-211130T2100Z/
Southern Seward Peninsula Coast-
Including Nome, White Mountain, and Golovin
235 AM AKST Tue Nov 30 2021

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

$$

AKZ212-302100-
/O.CON.PAFG.WC.Y.0047.000000T0000Z-211130T2100Z/
Eastern Norton Sound and Nulato Hills-
Including Unalakleet, Stebbins, St Michael, Elim, Koyuk, 
and Shaktoolik
235 AM AKST Tue Nov 30 2021

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKST TODAY...

* WHAT...Very cold wind chills to 40 below zero expected.

* WHERE...Shaktoolik.

* WHEN...Until noon today.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The cold wind chills will cause frostbite 
  in as little as 10 minutes to exposed skin.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and sustained wind
speeds of 15 mph or more will create low wind chills. Frost bite
and hypothermia can occur if precautions are not taken.

$$

AKZ215-302100-
/O.CON.PAFG.WC.Y.0047.000000T0000Z-211130T2100Z/
Lower Yukon Valley-
Including Russian Mission, Grayling, Holy Cross, Shageluk, Anvik,
and Flat
235 AM AKST Tue Nov 30 2021

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKST TODAY...

* WHAT...Very cold wind chills to 40 below zero expected.

* WHERE...Lower Yukon Valley.

* WHEN...Until noon today.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The cold wind chills will cause frostbite 
  in as little as 10 minutes to exposed skin.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and sustained wind
speeds of 15 mph or more will create low wind chills. Frost bite
and hypothermia can occur if precautions are not taken.

$$

AKZ216-302100-
/O.CON.PAFG.WC.Y.0047.000000T0000Z-211130T2100Z/
Lower Koyukuk and Middle Yukon Valleys-
Including Galena, Nulato, Huslia, Kaltag, Ruby, and Koyukuk
235 AM AKST Tue Nov 30 2021

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKST TODAY...

* WHAT...Very cold wind chills to 40 below zero expected.

* WHERE...Kaltag and higher terrain of the Nulato Hills.

* WHEN...Until noon today.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The cold wind chills will cause frostbite 
  in as little as 10 minutes to exposed skin.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and sustained wind
speeds of 15 mph or more will create low wind chills. Frost bite
and hypothermia can occur if precautions are not taken.

$$

377 
WWAK42 PAFG 301856
WSWWCZ

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
956 AM AKST Tue Nov 30 2021

AKZ215-216-302000-
/O.CAN.PAFG.WC.Y.0047.000000T0000Z-211130T2100Z/
Lower Yukon Valley-Lower Koyukuk and Middle Yukon Valleys-
Including Russian Mission, Grayling, Holy Cross, Shageluk, Anvik,
Flat, Galena, Nulato, Huslia, Kaltag, Ruby, and Koyukuk
956 AM AKST Tue Nov 30 2021

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Conditions have improved.

$$

AKZ212-010100-
/O.EXT.PAFG.WC.Y.0047.000000T0000Z-211201T0900Z/
Eastern Norton Sound and Nulato Hills-
Including Unalakleet, Stebbins, St Michael, Elim, Koyuk, 
and Shaktoolik
956 AM AKST Tue Nov 30 2021

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKST
TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Very cold wind chills to 40 below zero expected.

* WHERE...Shaktoolik.

* WHEN...Until midnight tonight.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The cold wind chills will cause frostbite 
  in as little as 10 minutes to exposed skin.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and sustained wind
speeds of 15 mph or more will create low wind chills. Frost bite
and hypothermia can occur if precautions are not taken.

$$

342 
WWAK42 PAFG 302315
WSWWCZ

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
215 PM AKST Tue Nov 30 2021

AKZ212-011500-
/O.EXT.PAFG.WC.Y.0047.000000T0000Z-211201T2100Z/
Eastern Norton Sound and Nulato Hills-
Including Unalakleet, Stebbins, St Michael, Elim, Koyuk, 
and Shaktoolik
215 PM AKST Tue Nov 30 2021

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKST WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Very cold wind chills to 40 below zero expected.

* WHERE...Shaktoolik.

* WHEN...Until noon Wednesday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The cold wind chills will cause frostbite 
  in as little as 10 minutes to exposed skin.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and sustained wind
speeds of 15 mph or more will create low wind chills. Frost bite
and hypothermia can occur if precautions are not taken.

$$

773 
WWAK42 PAFG 010329
WSWWCZ

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
629 PM AKST Tue Nov 30 2021

AKZ207-011600-
/O.NEW.PAFG.WW.Y.0112.211201T0329Z-211201T2100Z/
Chukchi Sea Coast-
Including Point Hope, Shishmaref, Kivalina, and Espenberg
629 PM AKST Tue Nov 30 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKST WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Strong winds, blowing snow with low visibility, and very
  cold wind chills occuring. Plan visibility of one half mile or
  less. Northeast winds gusting to 55 mph. Wind chills to 40 
  below. 

* WHERE...Near Point Hope. 

* WHEN...Until noon Wednesday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Northeast winds gusting to 55 mph at Point
  Hope are causing blowing snow with visibility one half or less
  at times and wind chills to 40 below. Conditions are expected to
  improve slowly Wednesday afternoon as winds slowly decrease.
  These winds chills will cause frostbite in as little as 10
  minutes to exposed skin. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for blowing snow means periods of
blowing snow will cause travel difficulties.

$$

AKZ212-011600-
/O.CON.PAFG.WC.Y.0047.000000T0000Z-211201T2100Z/
Eastern Norton Sound and Nulato Hills-
Including Unalakleet, Stebbins, St Michael, Elim, Koyuk, 
and Shaktoolik
629 PM AKST Tue Nov 30 2021

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKST
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Very cold wind chills to 40 below zero expected.

* WHERE...Near Shaktoolik.

* WHEN...Until noon Wednesday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The cold wind chills will cause frostbite 
  in as little as 10 minutes to exposed skin.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and sustained wind
speeds of 15 mph or more will create low wind chills. Frost bite
and hypothermia can occur if precautions are not taken.

$$

986 
WWAK42 PAFG 011144
WSWWCZ

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
244 AM AKST Wed Dec 1 2021

AKZ212-011245-
/O.CAN.PAFG.WC.Y.0047.000000T0000Z-211201T2100Z/
Eastern Norton Sound and Nulato Hills-
Including Unalakleet, Stebbins, St Michael, Elim, Koyuk, 
and Shaktoolik
244 AM AKST Wed Dec 1 2021

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

$$

AKZ207-012100-
/O.CON.PAFG.WW.Y.0112.000000T0000Z-211201T2100Z/
Chukchi Sea Coast-
Including Point Hope, Shishmaref, Kivalina, and Espenberg
244 AM AKST Wed Dec 1 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKST
TODAY...

* WHAT...Strong winds, blowing snow with low visibility, and very
  cold wind chills occuring. Plan visibility of one half mile or
  less. Northeast winds gusting to 45 mph. Wind chills to 40 
  below.

* WHERE...Near Point Hope.

* WHEN...Until noon today.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Northeast winds gusting to 45 mph at Point
  Hope are causing blowing snow with visibility one half mile or
  less at times and wind chills to 40 below. Conditions are
  expected to improve this afternoon as winds slowly decrease. 
  These winds chills will cause frostbite in as little as 10 
  minutes to exposed skin.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for blowing snow means periods of
blowing snow will cause travel difficulties.

$$

AKZ213-020400-
/O.NEW.PAFG.WS.A.0024.211203T0300Z-211203T2100Z/
St Lawrence Island and Bering Strait Coast-
Including Gambell, Savoonga, Brevig Mission, Teller, Wales, 
and Diomede
244 AM AKST Wed Dec 1 2021

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions possible. Travel could be very
  difficult to impossible. Total snow accumulations of up to two
  inches, with localized amounts up to 4 inches, are possible.

* WHERE...St Lawrence Island and Bering Strait Coast.

* WHEN...From Thursday evening through Friday morning.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds gusting as high as 55 mph could cause
  whiteout conditions in blowing snow. Significant drifting of the
  snow is also possible. Cold wind chills as low as 40 below zero
  will cause frostbite in as little as 10 minutes to exposed 
  skin.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Watch for blizzard conditions means there is a
potential for falling and/or blowing snow with strong winds and
extremely poor visibilities. This can lead to whiteout conditions
and make travel very difficult.

$$

Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
151 AM AKST Mon Nov 29 2021

.SYNOPSIS...Cold will hang on but moderate a few degrees warmer as
a strong low moves into the Gulf of Alaska and some warmer air and
high clouds moves over the area into Thursday. Temperatures in
the Interior will cool again later in the week. A trough moving
around the low will bring some chances of snow or flurries to the
Interior Wednesday and Thursday. The Arctic will remain quiet. The
West Coast will be quiet until late in the week when a strong
weather system will move to the coast bringing warmer temperatures,
strong winds, and snow.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Models...Very good run to run continuity with the 29/00Z
solutions, and they are in good agreement through the extended
periods. Will use a general blend of the solutions again today,
but limit the amount of GFS for precipitation as it seems to be a
bit of an outlier at this time.

Aloft...At 500 hpa...Broad troughing with a 500 dam low over
St Marys and troughing extending northeast to a 501 dam low over
Chandalar Lake, and a 497 dam over Banks Island, then north to a
501 dam low in the high Arctic. Ridging extends southeast across
the Arctic over MacKenzie Bay from a 517 dam high near 78N 175E.
Ridging extends south from the same high over Chukotka to a 521
dam high west of the Gulf of Anadyr and south over the Western
Bering Sea. A low that was near Amchitka yesterday has moved to
150 nm south Sand Point at 502 dam with another low 200 nm south
of Adak at 512 dam. Weak ridging is pushing northeast over the
Gulf of Alaska, then just north of the Aleutians. Tuesday morning
the low over St Marys will move to 100 nm east of the Pribilofs
with trough extending north to a 499 dam low over Buckland, then
northeast over Prudhoe Bay and the Beaufort Sea. The low that was
south of Sand Point will move over the Western Gulf of Alaska at
506 dam and eventually merge with the low near the Pribilofs as it
moves over Kodiak Island Tuesday night. Ridging will slide
northeast to the south slopes of the Brooks Range and push west
to the Middle Yukon Valley with 510 dam heights over Fairbanks.
At 850 hpa...Temperatures below -20C this morning with the -20C
isotherm being pushed north and west to the Yukon River this
afternoon. By Tuesday morning the -20C isotherm will move to the
Brooks Range and over the West Coast. Temperatures around -10C
will move over the Alaska Range Tuesday morning. Temperatures will
start cooling Tuesday night.

Surface...High in the Arctic is 400 nm north of Wrangel Island at
1030 mb, with a 1022 mb high in the central Arctic Plain, and a
1024 mb high near Dawson YT. High pressure also extends south to
a 1023 mb high over the Chukotsk Peninsula, then south across
the Western Bering Sea. The low that has been in Prince William
Sound has weakened and merged with the low that was near Nikolski
and has moved to 150 nm south of Sand Point at 964 mb with a 984
mb low 200 nm south of Adak. By Tuesday morning the high in the
Arctic will be quasi stationary as it weakens to 1029 mb with
ridging extending southeast across the Eastern Arctic Coast to a
1019 mb high east of Old Crow YT. Low that was near Sand Point
will move to 100 nm southeast of Kodiak City at 972 mb while the
low that was trailing it will move east along 50N. A low will form
along the front associated with the low and move to Sitka Tuesday
morning at 974 mb. A inverted trough will form over the West
Coast Tuesday with another forming over the Central Interior west
of Fairbanks.

Arctic Coast and Brooks Range...Low remains near Banks Island
with trough just offshore of the Eastern Arctic Coast east of
Utqiagvik. Stratus remains over the coastal areas with flurries.
Breaks in the stratus as high pressure has built in over the
Plains. Winds north to northeast at 5 to 15 mph for coastal areas
west of Nuiqsut, with west to northwest winds from Nuiqsut east,
and lighter winds in the Plains. Winds from Prudhoe Bay east
southwest to west at 5 to 15 mph. Wind Chill near 40 below east of
Prudhoe Bay into the afternoon. Highs today 10 below to 20s
below. Lows tonight falling to 15 to 30 below for most areas along
the coast, and 25 below to 45 below in the Plains and Brooks
Range.

West Coast and Western Interior...Mostly clear except on the
Capes and St Lawrence Island, and stratus that was over the
Interior has moved over the Lower Yukon Delta and Nulato Hills.
A few snow squalls remain possible on the Capes and St Lawrence
Island. Stratus will be eroding today and sliding south. Gusty
north winds through the Bering Strait continue. Strong winds
extend from Point Hope through the Strait to Cape Romanzof with
the strongest winds around Little Diomede and on St Lawrence
Island with gusts around 30 mph. Winds will continue from the
north moving inland and diminish rapidly to less than 10 mph.
Further inland winds will continue to be light and variable.
Highs today ranging from near 10 above west of Nome to around 10
below around Nome, to the teens below in the Middle Yukon, and
range from 20 below to around 30 below in the Kotzebue Sound
Region and Upper Kobuk. Lows tonight will range from the single
digits above on St Lawrence Island to the single digits below on
the Capes to the 20s below from Nome east to the Middle Yukon
Valley, to around 40 below from Buckland to Selawik to Ambler.

Central and Eastern Interior...Inverted trough moved west and
skies have cleared for the most part with temperatures bottoming
out this morning around 40 below with most areas in the 30s below.
Around Fairbanks Industrial plumes will produce a few flurries.
Mostly clear conditions will continue into the evening, then
expect some high clouds to move over the southern Interior. Winds
northeast to 5 mph for most locations with winds to 10 to 20 mph
on summits this morning diminishing to 5 to 15 mph. With cold
temperatures continuing across the area Wind Chill around 40
below still possible above treeline on summits and in the White
Mountains. Alaska Range winds will turn from the south at 5 to 15
mph today, while the Tanana Valley Jet will set up near Delta
Junction with southeast winds increasing to 15 to 25 mph and
gusty. Temperatures slightly warmer with overnight lows falling
to 20 to 35 below. Highs Tuesday will range from around 5 below
to 20 below.

Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...Strong southeast to
southwest winds will move to the West Coast Thursday evening
breaking up the ice along the south edge. There is potential for
an Ivu at Scammon Bay as conditions will be similar to a 2019
event. The strong winds will also push water on top of the ice
through breaks, and along the coast.

Extended forecast for days 4 to 7...Low in the Northern Gulf of
Alaska will weaken with high pressure that was over the West Coast
moving over the Interior with clearing skies and cooling
temperatures. A strong low moving across the Bering Sea and
Siberia will bring a warming trend to the West Coast Thursday and
Friday along with strong south winds and a mix of precipitation
with potential for blizzard conditions west of the Middle Yukon
Valley and in the Chukchi Sea Region. The storm system will move
into the Western Arctic Thursday night with winds swinging around
from the south.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

Wind Chill Advisory for AKZ203-AKZ204-AKZ223.

Heavy Freezing Spray Warning for PKZ210.

Small Craft Advisory for PKZ210.

Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ200-PKZ220-PKZ225.

&&

SDB NOV 21