Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2021
Small Craft Advisory 85, NWS Fairbanks, AK
NWS Fairbanks, AK issued this small craft advisory at Aug 15, 2021, 3:08 AM AKDT. It was in force for 48 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 15, 2021, 3:08 AM AKDT (11:08 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 17, 2021, 3:32 AM AKDT
- In force
- 48 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Fairbanks, AK
The text
As transmitted.
802 FZAK51 PAFG 151108 CWFNSB Coastal Waters Forecast for Arctic Alaska National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 308 AM AKDT Sun Aug 15 2021 Arctic Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one- third of the combined wind-wave and swell height. PKZ298-160200- 308 AM AKDT Sun Aug 15 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST... A 985 mb low 350 nm NW of Point Barrow will push a series of weather fronts east across the northern Chukchi Sea and Beaufort Sea. $$ PKZ225-160200- Cape Thompson to Cape Beaufort- 308 AM AKDT Sun Aug 15 2021 .TODAY...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Fog. .TONIGHT...W winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog. .MON...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog. .MON NIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog. .TUE...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog. .TUE NIGHT...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog. .WED...W winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...S winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ230-160200- Cape Beaufort to Point Franklin- 308 AM AKDT Sun Aug 15 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING... .TODAY...W winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog. .TONIGHT...W winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Fog. .MON...W winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Fog. .MON NIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog. .TUE...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog. .TUE NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Fog. .WED...W winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...S winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ235-160200- Point Franklin to Cape Halkett- 308 AM AKDT Sun Aug 15 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING... .TODAY...W winds 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog. .TONIGHT...W winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Fog. .MON...W winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Fog. .MON NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog. .TUE...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog. .TUE NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog. .WED...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ240-160200- Cape Halkett to Flaxman Island- 308 AM AKDT Sun Aug 15 2021 .TODAY...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog. .TONIGHT...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...W winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ245-160200- Flaxman Island to Demarcation Point- 308 AM AKDT Sun Aug 15 2021 .TODAY...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TONIGHT...W winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ Aug 21
4 follow-up statements
399 FZAK51 PAFG 152136 CWFNSB Coastal Waters Forecast for Arctic Alaska National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 136 PM AKDT Sun Aug 15 2021 Arctic Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one- third of the combined wind-wave and swell height. PKZ298-161415- 136 PM AKDT Sun Aug 15 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST... A 985 mb low 350 nm NW of Point Barrow will push a series of weather fronts east across the northern Chukchi Sea and Beaufort Sea. $$ PKZ225-161415- Cape Thompson to Cape Beaufort- 136 PM AKDT Sun Aug 15 2021 .TONIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog. .MON...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog. .MON NIGHT...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog. .TUE...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog. .TUE NIGHT...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog. .WED...SW winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED NIGHT...SW winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...S winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ230-161415- Cape Beaufort to Point Franklin- 136 PM AKDT Sun Aug 15 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...W winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Fog. .MON...W winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Fog. .MON NIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog. .TUE...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog. .TUE NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Fog. .WED...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED NIGHT...W winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...S winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ235-161415- Point Franklin to Cape Halkett- 136 PM AKDT Sun Aug 15 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...SW winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Fog. .MON...W winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Fog. .MON NIGHT...W winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog. .TUE...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog. .TUE NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog. .WED...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ240-161415- Cape Halkett to Flaxman Island- 136 PM AKDT Sun Aug 15 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...SW winds 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON NIGHT...W winds 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ245-161415- Flaxman Island to Demarcation Point- 136 PM AKDT Sun Aug 15 2021 .TONIGHT...S winds 10 kt becoming W. Seas 2 ft. .MON...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON NIGHT...S winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...W winds 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ Aug 21
512 FZAK51 PAFG 161125 CWFNSB Coastal Waters Forecast for Arctic Alaska National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 325 AM AKDT Mon Aug 16 2021 Arctic Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one- third of the combined wind-wave and swell height. PKZ298-170215- 325 AM AKDT Mon Aug 16 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST... A 990 mb low 200 nm N of Point Barrow will remain nearly stationary through Wednesday. A series of weather fronts will move east across the Chukchi and Beaufort Seas. $$ PKZ225-170215- Cape Thompson to Cape Beaufort- 325 AM AKDT Mon Aug 16 2021 .TODAY...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Fog. .TONIGHT...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog. .TUE...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog. .TUE NIGHT...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog. .WED...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...S winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...S winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ230-170215- Cape Beaufort to Point Franklin- 325 AM AKDT Mon Aug 16 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON... .TODAY...W winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Fog. .TONIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog. .TUE...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog. .TUE NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog. .WED...W winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED NIGHT...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...S winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ235-170215- Point Franklin to Cape Halkett- 325 AM AKDT Mon Aug 16 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...W winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Fog. .TONIGHT...W winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Fog. .TUE...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog. .TUE NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog. .WED...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED NIGHT...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ240-170215- Cape Halkett to Flaxman Island- 325 AM AKDT Mon Aug 16 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW winds 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TONIGHT...W winds 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...W winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ245-170215- Flaxman Island to Demarcation Point- 325 AM AKDT Mon Aug 16 2021 .TODAY...S winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TONIGHT...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...W winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...SW winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ Aug 21
016 FZAK51 PAFG 162224 CWFNSB Coastal Waters Forecast for Arctic Alaska National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 224 PM AKDT Mon Aug 16 2021 Arctic Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one- third of the combined wind-wave and swell height. PKZ298-171415- 224 PM AKDT Mon Aug 16 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST... A 990 mb low 200 nm N of Point Barrow will remain nearly stationary through Wednesday. A series of weather fronts will move east across the Chukchi and Beaufort Seas. $$ PKZ225-171415- Cape Thompson to Cape Beaufort- 224 PM AKDT Mon Aug 16 2021 .TONIGHT...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog. .TUE...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog. .TUE NIGHT...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog. .WED...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...SE winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU NIGHT...S winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...S winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SAT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ230-171415- Cape Beaufort to Point Franklin- 224 PM AKDT Mon Aug 16 2021 .TONIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog. .TUE...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog. .TUE NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog. .WED...W winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED NIGHT...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...S winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU NIGHT...S winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SAT...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ235-171415- Point Franklin to Cape Halkett- 224 PM AKDT Mon Aug 16 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...W winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Fog. .TUE...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog. .TUE NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog. .WED...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED NIGHT...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...W winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU NIGHT...S winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SAT...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ240-171415- Cape Halkett to Flaxman Island- 224 PM AKDT Mon Aug 16 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...W winds 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU NIGHT...W winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ245-171415- Flaxman Island to Demarcation Point- 224 PM AKDT Mon Aug 16 2021 .TONIGHT...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...SW winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SAT...W winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ Aug 21
102 FZAK51 PAFG 171132 CWFNSB Coastal Waters Forecast for Arctic Alaska National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 332 AM AKDT Tue Aug 17 2021 Arctic Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one- third of the combined wind-wave and swell height. PKZ298-180215- 332 AM AKDT Tue Aug 17 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST... A 993 mb low 400 nm N of Prudhoe Bay will remain in place through Wednesday then move northeast into the high Arctic Thursday. A series of weather fronts will move east across the Arctic coast through Wednesday, then high pressure will build east from the Chukchi Sea Thursday. $$ PKZ225-180215- Cape Thompson to Cape Beaufort- 332 AM AKDT Tue Aug 17 2021 .TODAY...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog. .TONIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog. .WED...W winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED NIGHT...S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU NIGHT...N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .FRI...S winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ230-180215- Cape Beaufort to Point Franklin- 332 AM AKDT Tue Aug 17 2021 .TODAY...W winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog. .TONIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog. .WED...W winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED NIGHT...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...SW winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU NIGHT...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...S winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SAT...W winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ235-180215- Point Franklin to Cape Halkett- 332 AM AKDT Tue Aug 17 2021 .TODAY...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog and freezing fog. .TONIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog. .WED...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU NIGHT...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...SW winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT...W winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ240-180215- Cape Halkett to Flaxman Island- 332 AM AKDT Tue Aug 17 2021 .TODAY...W winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TONIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow and rain. .WED NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 1 foot. .FRI...S winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SAT...SW winds 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ245-180215- Flaxman Island to Demarcation Point- 332 AM AKDT Tue Aug 17 2021 .TODAY...W winds 15 kt. Seas building to 4 ft. .TONIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...W winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog. .WED NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog. .THU...W winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .FRI...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ Aug 21
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Aug 15, 3:02 AM AKDT, 6 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 15, 3:02 AM AKDT, 6 minutes before
Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 302 AM AKDT Sun Aug 15 2021 .Synopsis...Rain across the forecast area the next couple days with some area seeing 2 inches or more through Tuesday evening. Heaviest rainfall is still expected from the White Mountains southwest along the Central and Western Alaska Range. There is a continued threat of mud slides in steep terrain and wildfire areas, along with rising rivers, streams, and creeks that can impact outdoor enthusiasts. Those in the backcountry should pay close attention to their surroundings as rivers, streams, and creeks can rise rapidly making them dangerous to cross. && .Discussion... Models...Not seeing much change run to run in the solutions. They handle the short term will, then some rather significant timing issues show up in the midrange and extended periods. 15/00Z solutions are in good agreement for most of the forecast, though they differ on the location of the heaviest precipitation. Models continue to have difficulty with the zonal flow and progressive pattern that will persist through the week. Like yesterday, will be leaning toward the concensus QPF as it provides a broader area of heavy precipitation. For the probabilities will be adjusting them up. Moving into late Monday solutions differ on the location of a low along the front and that will impact the location of the heaviest precipitation. For now will be leaning more toward the GFS and Canadian which keep the low a bit weaker and further south. Aloft...At 500 hpa...No significant change from the broad troughy pattern that extends from a 513 dam low 200 nm north of Utqiagvik over the southwest mainland. Zonal flow will continue as the shortwaves move across the state. A weak transitory ridge has moved over the Eastern Aleutians and will move over Southcentral Alaska and the Gulf tonight. A trough extends from the low south over the Central Brooks Range, then southwest over the Lower Yukon Delta this morning and will move east through the day to lie from Demarcation Point to the White Mountains then southwest. Another trough extends southwest from the low in the Arctic to a 560 dam low near 50N and the Dateline and will move over the West Coast Monday as the low near the Aleutians moves over Nikolski. At 850 hpa...A pool of temperatures around 0C has moved over the northeast Interior and will move northeast today. The 0C isotherm will dig southwest over the state to lie from Demarcation Point to Huslia to Gambell Monday morning, and Demarcation Point to Cape Romanzof to St Matthew Island Tuesday morning. Surface...A 987 mb low has moved to 300 nm north of Utqiagvik this morning with a weather front extending south to Wainwright to Selawik then southwest to Gambell. Weak high pressure that pushed into the Central and Eastern Interior is hanging on over the Southeast Interior this morning, but will continue to weaken and be pushed south of the Alaska Range later today. The front will move east and southeast to lie from Oliktok Point to Beaver to Galena to a 1007 mb low in the Northern Bering Sea as the low in the Arctic moves to 300 nm northwest of Utqiagvik. Monday morning the low will be 200 nm north of Utqiagvik with the front lying from Old Crow YT southwest to Bettles to a 1004 mb low near southwest St Lawrence Island. Monday afternoon the low will be 200 nm northeast of Utqiagvik, while the front will lie from Old Crow to a 1003 mb low near Arctic Village to a 1005 mb low near Huslia to a 1004 mb low near Unalakleet, then southwest over Cape Romanzof. Arctic Coast and Brooks Range...A low north of Utqiagvik will continue to swing fronts across the area with rainy conditions prevailing. Snow may mix in with the rain in the overnight and morning hours, but no accumulation is expected along the coast or in the plains. At higher elevations of the Brooks Range expect some accumulations with the temperatures cooling. Atigun Pass will see up to 5 inches of snow through Tuesday with higher amounts to the east. High temperatures generally in the 40s with lows in the 30s. Winds southwest to northwest 10 to 25 mph. West Coast and Western Interior...Rain with rainfall amounts ranging from around 0.1 inch in the lower Yukon Delta to 1.5 inches in the Nulato Hills. High temperatures in the 50s, with lows in the 40s to around 50. South to west winds will prevail at 5 to 20 mph in the coastal areas with light and variable winds inland. Elevated water along the coast peaking this morning will fall slowly through Tuesday. Central and Eastern Interior...Rainy days through Tuesday with around 2 inches of rain possible by Tuesday evening from the White Mountains southwest to the Central and Western Alaska Range. There is a continued threat of mud slides in steep terrain and wildfire areas, along with rising rivers, streams, and creeks that can impact outdoor enthusiasts. Those in the backcountry should pay close attention to their surroundings as rivers, streams, and creeks can rise rapidly making them dangerous to cross. Winds southwest 5 to 15 mph through Monday. Above treeline winds 15 to 25 mph gusting around 35 mph. Temperatures cooler with highs generally in the 50s, and lows in the 40s. Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...None. Extended forecast for days 4 to 7...Zonal pattern will bring cloudy and showery conditions to most of the forecast area with brief periods of clearing skies. && .Fire Weather...Elevated chance of wetting rain across the Interior and in the Upper Kuskokwim Valley through Tuesday. Cooler Temperatures with high Relative Humidity will continue through the week. Southwest winds 5 to 20 mph gusting to 35 mph above treeline. && .Hydrology...Interior rivers and streams from the White Mountains southwest along the north slopes of the Alaska Range will rise this weekend. River and Streams draining from the Central and Western Alaska Range, including Denali Park, will see significant rises that push them to bankfull as rainfall of around 2 inches will occur through Tuesday evening. There is a continued threat of water backing up on rivers and streams along the West Coast this morning with the elevated water and wave action from Norton Sound north to the Chukchi Sea Coast, but no significant impacts are expected. For the latest river information go to www.weather.gov/aprfc. && .AFG Watches/Warnings/Advisories... Small Craft Advisory for PKZ200-PKZ230-PKZ235. && SDB AUG 21
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Aug 15, 2:50 AM AKDT, 18 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 250 AM AKDT Sun Aug 15 2021 AKZ221>223-225-226-160100- Central Interior-Middle Tanana Valley-Deltana and Tanana Flats- Denali-Eastern Alaska Range- Including Nenana, Anderson, Tanana, Minto, Manley Hot Springs, Rampart, Lake Minchumina, Livengood, Fairbanks, Fort Wainwright, Eielson AFB, Ester, North Pole, Moose Creek, Two Rivers, Fox, Chatanika, Chena Hot Springs, Sourdough Camp, Salcha, Delta Junction, Fort Greely, Harding/Birch Lake, Dry Creek, Dot Lake, Healy Lake, Healy, Denali National Park, Carlo Creek, Kantishna, Mentasta Lake, Black Rapids, Donnelly Dome, Trims DOT Camp, Eagle Trail, and Mineral Lake 250 AM AKDT Sun Aug 15 2021 ...Heavy rains through Tuesday in the Interior... Rainfall of 1 to 2 inches will produce rising rivers, streams, and creeks across the interior with potential for mud slides in steep terrain and wildfire burn areas. A weather front will stall from the White mountains southwest along the north slopes of the Alaska Range, including Denali Park spreading heavy rains into those areas. In addition southwest winds will increase to 10 to 20 mph with stronger winds to 35 mph above treeline. Outdoor enthusiasts should pay close attention to their surroundings as rivers and streams can rise rapidly to bankfull making them dangerous to cross. With the rainy conditions and cooler temperatures hypothermia can occur quickly. For the latest forecasts go to www.weather.gov/fairbanks, and for the latest river information go to www.weather.gov/aprfc.
Special weather statement, Aug 15, 2:53 AM AKDT, 15 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 253 AM AKDT Sun Aug 15 2021 AKZ205-206-160100- Northwestern Brooks Range-Northeastern Brooks Range- Including Singiluk, Umiat, Anaktuvuk Pass, Atigun Pass, Galbraith Lake, Sagwon, and Franklin Bluffs 253 AM AKDT Sun Aug 15 2021 ...Snow in the Brooks Range... A low pressure system in the Arctic will swing a series of fronts across the area spreading snow into the Brooks Range. Snowfall accumulation of 5 inches is expected at Atigun Pass through Tuesday with higher amounts to the east. Snow will fall at lower elevations including Anaktuvuk Pass, but any accumulation of snow will melt during the day. Temperatures will be cooling in the Brooks Range with highs in the mid 30s to mid 40s, and lows in the mid 20s to mid 30s. The cooler temperatures will hold on into Thursday before warming a few degrees. For the latest forecasts go to www.weather.gov/fairbanks.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Fairbanks, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 1:36 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFG | 38 hr |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2021Every small craft advisory in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.