Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2021

Small Craft Advisory 142, NWS Fairbanks, AK

October 1, 2021

NWS Fairbanks, AK issued this small craft advisory at Oct 1, 2021, 1:35 PM AKDT. It was in force for 5 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 1, 2021, 1:35 PM AKDT (21:35 UTC)
Expired
Oct 6, 2021, 3:08 PM AKDT
In force
5 days
Issued by
NWS Fairbanks, AK

The text

As transmitted.

600 
FZAK52 PAFG 012135
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
135 PM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-021415-
135 PM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
Strong low pressure will persist over the Gulf of AK while a high
pressure ridge persists over Wrangell Island through Sat night. A
front will move into the N Bering Sea on Sun and Mon.

$$

PKZ200-021415-
Norton Sound-
135 PM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...NW winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...NW winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...S winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow showers and rain showers. 
.MON NIGHT...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers and snow
showers. 
.TUE...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...S winds 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-021415-
Dall Point to Wales-
135 PM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT...N winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...S winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers and snow showers. 
.MON NIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers. 
.TUE...S winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...S winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-021415-
Kotzebue Sound-
135 PM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SAT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SAT NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...S winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...SE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. 
.MON NIGHT...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...E winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...E winds 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-021415-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
135 PM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. 
.MON...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...E winds 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...E winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.  

$$

Oct 21
10 follow-up statements
132 
FZAK52 PAFG 021219
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
419 AM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-030200-
419 AM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A ridge of high pressure that extends from a 1035 mb high near
Adak to a 1025 mb high over the Chukotsk Peninsula to a 1025 mb
high north of Wrangel Island will slowly slide E. The ridge will
lie along 170W late this evening and will move over the West Coast
Sun morning and inland by Sun afternoon. A strong 963 mb low will
move into the Western Bering Sea Sun and across the Northern
Bering Sea to St Lawrence Island by Tue. 

$$

PKZ200-030200-
Norton Sound-
419 AM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...NW winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers with snow
showers. 
.TUE...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...S winds 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-030200-
Dall Point to Wales-
419 AM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...NW winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...SE winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers. 
.MON...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain showers. 
.MON NIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers. 
.TUE...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...SW winds 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-030200-
Kotzebue Sound-
419 AM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...N winds 25 kt diminishing to 20 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding.
Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN...N winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...S winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...E winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...E winds 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-030200-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
419 AM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...N winds 25 kt diminishing to 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TONIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...N winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...E winds 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...E winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.  

$$

SDB Oct 21
146 
FZAK52 PAFG 022326
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
326 PM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-031415-
326 PM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A strong low in the Gulf of Alaska will weaken through Sun. 
A strong low developing in the western Bering Sea on Sunday will 
move to 200 NM southwest of Cape Navarin as a 970 mb low by 4pm 
Mon, and 100 NM west of Gambell as a 978 mb low by 4pm Tue. 

$$

PKZ200-031415-
Norton Sound-
326 PM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding. 
.SUN...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers with snow
showers. 
.TUE...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers. 
.WED...S winds 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-031415-
Dall Point to Wales-
326 PM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...SE winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers. 
.MON...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain showers. 
.MON NIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers. 
.TUE...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers. 
.WED...SW winds 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-031415-
Kotzebue Sound-
326 PM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021

.TONIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft subsiding. 
.SUN...N winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...S winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...E winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers and snow
showers. 
.WED...E winds 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...S winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-031415-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
326 PM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021

.TONIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding. 
.SUN...N winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...E winds 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers and snow
showers. 
.WED...E winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU...S winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

Oct 21
596 
FZAK52 PAFG 031203
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
403 AM AKDT Sun Oct 3 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-040200-
403 AM AKDT Sun Oct 3 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
High pressure extends from the Central Aleutians through the
Bering Strait to a 1028 mb high in the Arctic and will move over
mainland Alaska tonight as the remnants of Typhoon Mindulle move 
into the Western Bering Sea at 963 mb. The remnants will continue
E across the Northern Bering Sea with a weather front moving to
the West Coast early Mon morning, and the low moving to the
Dateline Tue morning at 974 mb. The low will slowly weaken as it 
continues E to St Lawrence Island Wed morning.

$$

PKZ200-040200-
Norton Sound-
403 AM AKDT Sun Oct 3 2021

.TODAY...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft subsiding. 
.TONIGHT...S winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog.
.MON...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Fog. Rain showers. 
.MON NIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Fog. Rain showers. 
.TUE...S winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog. Rain showers. 
.TUE NIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.WED...SW winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.THU...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-040200-
Dall Point to Wales-
403 AM AKDT Sun Oct 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
MONDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SE winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TONIGHT...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Fog. Rain showers. 
.MON...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Fog. Rain showers. 
.MON NIGHT...S winds 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Fog. Rain showers. 
.TUE...S winds 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Fog. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...S winds 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.WED...SW winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.THU...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-040200-
Kotzebue Sound-
403 AM AKDT Sun Oct 3 2021

.TODAY...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft subsiding. 
.TONIGHT...W winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing fog. 
.MON...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog and freezing fog. 
.MON NIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog.
.TUE...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers and snow showers. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers. 
.WED...SE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-040200-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
403 AM AKDT Sun Oct 3 2021

.TODAY...N winds 15 kt becoming S. Seas 3 ft subsiding. 
.TONIGHT...S winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing fog. 
.MON...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Fog and freezing fog. Freezing
spray. 
.MON NIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Fog.
.TUE...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog. Rain showers. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers. 
.WED...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

SDB Oct 21
917 
FZAK52 PAFG 032341
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
341 PM AKDT Sun Oct 3 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-041445-
341 PM AKDT Sun Oct 3 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A weather front in the Central Bering Sea will move to the Bering
Strait to the Yukon Delta by 4pm Mon, and move inland on Tue.
A strong low in the Western Bering Sea will move to 150 NM 
southwest of Gambell as a 978 mb low by 4pm Tue, and to Gambell as
a 987 mb low by 4pm Wed.

$$

PKZ200-041445-
Norton Sound-
341 PM AKDT Sun Oct 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S winds 10 kt becoming SE 20 kt. Seas 5 ft building to
7 ft. Fog.
.MON...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers and snow showers. 
.MON NIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog. Rain showers. 
.TUE...S winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Fog. Rain showers. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers. 
.WED...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...SW winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...E winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-041445-
Dall Point to Wales-
341 PM AKDT Sun Oct 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog. Rain showers. 
.MON...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Fog. Rain showers. 
.MON NIGHT...S winds 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Fog. Rain showers. 
.TUE...S winds 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Fog. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.WED...W winds 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...SW winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.FRI...N winds 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-041445-
Kotzebue Sound-
341 PM AKDT Sun Oct 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...W winds 10 kt becoming SE. Seas building to 5 ft.
Freezing fog. 
.MON...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Fog and freezing fog. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Fog.
.TUE...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers and snow showers. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers. 
.WED...E winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...S winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-041445-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
341 PM AKDT Sun Oct 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog. 
.MON...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Fog and freezing fog. 
.MON NIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Fog.
.TUE...SE winds 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Fog. Rain showers. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers. 
.WED...E winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...SE winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.  

$$

Oct 21
121 
FZAK52 PAFG 041213
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
413 AM AKDT Mon Oct 4 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-050200-
413 AM AKDT Mon Oct 4 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A weather front will move to the West Coast this morning, then
inland. A 968 mb low in the Northwest Bering Sea will move to 500
nm N of Shemya by Tue morning, then 150 nm W of Gambell Wed 
morning as it weakens to 976 mb. A 985 mb low will move to Cape
Romanzof Wed morning. 

$$

PKZ200-050200-
Norton Sound-
413 AM AKDT Mon Oct 4 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Snow showers and rain
showers. 
.TONIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog. Rain showers. 
.TUE...S winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Fog. Rain showers. 
.TUE NIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...SE winds 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.THU...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-050200-
Dall Point to Wales-
413 AM AKDT Mon Oct 4 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Fog. Rain showers. 
.TONIGHT...S winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Fog. Rain showers.
.TUE...S winds 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. Fog. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...S winds 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain showers. 
.WED...W winds 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...W winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...N winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-050200-
Kotzebue Sound-
413 AM AKDT Mon Oct 4 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM EARLY THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing fog and fog.
Freezing spray. 
.TONIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Fog. Rain showers. 
.TUE...E winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers and snow showers. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers. 
.WED...E winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers. 
.WED NIGHT...SE winds 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU...S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-050200-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
413 AM AKDT Mon Oct 4 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog. Rain showers. 
.TONIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers and snow
showers. 
.TUE...E winds 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Fog. Rain showers. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.WED...E winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU...S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI...N winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.  

$$

SDB Oct 21
552 
FZAK52 PAFG 042257
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
257 PM AKDT Mon Oct 4 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-051415-
257 PM AKDT Mon Oct 4 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 971 mb low 550 NM W of Gambell by Tue morning, then 300 NM SSW 
of Gambell Wed morning as it weakens to 980 mb. A 980 mb low will
move to Cape Romanzof Wed morning.

$$

PKZ200-051415-
Norton Sound-
257 PM AKDT Mon Oct 4 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE...S winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Fog, rain.
.TUE NIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog, rain.
.WED...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Fog, rain.
.WED NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.THU...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-051415-
Dall Point to Wales-
257 PM AKDT Mon Oct 4 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S winds 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Fog, rain.
.TUE...S winds 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Fog, rain.
.TUE NIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Fog, rain.
.WED...N winds 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Fog.
.WED NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Snow.
.FRI...N winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...NW winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-051415-
Kotzebue Sound-
257 PM AKDT Mon Oct 4 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TUE...E winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain and snow. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Snow.
.WED...E winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain and snow. 
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain and snow. 
.THU...S winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow. 
.THU NIGHT...SE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-051415-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
257 PM AKDT Mon Oct 4 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Fog, snow.
.TUE...E winds 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain and snow. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Fog, rain.
.WED...E winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog, rain.
.WED NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.THU...N winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow. 
.THU NIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...N winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SAT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.  

$$

Oct 21
392 
FZAK52 PAFG 051147
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
347 AM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-060230-
347 AM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 978 mb low that is 400 NM W of Gambell will move to 100 NM SSW 
of Gambell by Wed morning. A second low will will move over St 
Matthew Island this evening and will reach Cape Romanzof Wed 
morning.

$$

PKZ200-060230-
Norton Sound-
347 AM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog, rain.
.TONIGHT...S winds 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog, rain.
.WED...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Fog, rain.
.WED NIGHT...W winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Fog, rain.
.THU...W winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog.
.THU NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-060230-
Dall Point to Wales-
347 AM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...S winds 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Fog, rain.
.TONIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Fog, rain.
.WED...E winds 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. Fog, rain.
.WED NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog.
.THU...W winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Fog.
.THU NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...N winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SAT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-060230-
Kotzebue Sound-
347 AM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain and snow. 
.TONIGHT...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED...E winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain and snow. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain and snow. 
.THU...N winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-060230-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
347 AM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain and snow. 
.TONIGHT...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Fog, rain.
.WED...E winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog.
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain and snow. 
.THU...N winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog.
.THU NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.  

$$

Oct 21
008 
FZAK52 PAFG 060013
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
413 PM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-061415-
413 PM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 982 mb low 100 NM 100 NM west of Gambell and a 987 mb low in 
the southern Bering Sea will merge over Norton Sound as a 980 mb 
low by 4pm Wed, and then the low will move east over Alaska Wed 
night and Thu. 

$$

PKZ200-061415-
Norton Sound-
413 PM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Fog, rain. Vsby 1 NM or
less. 
.WED...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog, rain.
.WED NIGHT...W winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog, rain.
.THU...W winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Fog.
.THU NIGHT...W winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN...SE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-061415-
Dall Point to Wales-
413 PM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Fog, rain. Vsby 1 NM or
less. 
.WED...E winds 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog, rain.
.WED NIGHT...W winds 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Fog.
.THU...W winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI...N winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SAT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-061415-
Kotzebue Sound-
413 PM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.WED...E winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain and snow. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Fog, rain.
.THU...NW winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog.
.THU NIGHT...W winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-061415-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
413 PM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Fog, rain. Vsby 1 NM or
less. 
.WED...E winds 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Fog.
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Fog.
.THU...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog.
.THU NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...N winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

Oct 21
064 
FZAK52 PAFG 061207
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
407 AM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-070215-
407 AM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 982 mb low 100 NM west of Gambell and a 987 mb low in the 
southern Bering Sea will merge over Norton Sound as a 980 mb low 
by this afternoon then move inland. A 977 mb low will move into
the southern Bering Sea Thu. 

$$

PKZ200-070215-
Norton Sound-
407 AM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding. Fog, rain.
.TONIGHT...W winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog, rain.
.THU...W winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog.
.THU NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-070215-
Dall Point to Wales-
407 AM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...E winds 25 kt becoming N. Seas 7 ft. Fog.
.TONIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Fog.
.THU...W winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-070215-
Kotzebue Sound-
407 AM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...E winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain and snow. 
.TONIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain with snow. 
.THU...N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Fog.
.THU NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-070215-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
407 AM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...E winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Fog.
.TONIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog.
.THU...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog.
.THU NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SAT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

Oct 21
901 
FZAK52 PAFG 062308
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
308 PM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-071445-
308 PM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 986 mb low over Norton Sound will move and weaken to the east 
over Koyuk as a 1000 mb low by Thu morning. A strong 981 mb low
will be located in the southern Bering Sea Thu morning and move
over St. Paul Island as a 973 mb low by Thu afternoon. This low
will move to the Kuskokwim Bay as a 970 mb low by Fri morning.

$$

PKZ200-071445-
Norton Sound-
308 PM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...S winds 20 kt becoming W. Seas building to 4 ft. Fog.
.THU...W winds 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog.
.THU NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...E winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-071445-
Dall Point to Wales-
308 PM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

.TONIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Fog.
.THU...W winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog.
.THU NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI...N winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...N winds 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-071445-
Kotzebue Sound-
308 PM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

.TONIGHT...E winds 20 kt becoming NE 10 kt. Seas 3 ft subsiding.
Rain and snow. 
.THU...N winds 10 kt. Seas 1 foot. Fog.
.THU NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SAT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SAT NIGHT...N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...E winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-071445-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
308 PM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

.TONIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft subsiding. Fog.
.THU...N winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog.
.THU NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. 
.FRI NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SAT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SAT NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SUN...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...E winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.  

$$

Oct 21

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Oct 1, 5:12 AM AKDT, 8 hours 23 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 1, 5:12 AM AKDT, 8 hours 23 minutes before
Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
512 AM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

.SYNOPSIS...Winter Storm Warnings and Winter Weather Advisories
for the Eastern Arctic, and the Central and Eastern Interior are
in effect into Sunday for heavy snow accumulation. Go to
www.weather.gov/fairbanks for details. A strong low in the Gulf of
Alaska will send a weather front into the Interior today, and
another into the Interior on Saturday. Travel will be difficult
from Fairbanks south through the Alaska Range, along the Alaska
Highway, and on the Steese Highway. Strong north winds along the
West Coast will produce some ocean effect snow along the coast
with cloudy conditions in the inland areas. In the Arctic strong
onshore flow will produce ocean effect snow as well with enhanced
snowfall in the eastern areas in the Brooks Range.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Models...The 01/00Z solutions have come into much better
agreement in the short term details. In the midrange and extended
periods solutions are still struggling, and will most likely
continue to as they don't generally handle decaying extratropical
systems well. Solutions initialized well against the 01/12Z upper
air flights, and at the surface the solutions were within a couple
millibars for the major features when compared to the 01/06Z
local analysis. No significant differences in the 850 hpa
temperatures today. Will be using a general blend of the solutions
for most elements today which will provide good continuity with
the previous forecast. Going to kick the probabilities up using
the SREF to ensure categorical snow in the Central and Eastern
Interior and Arctic.

Aloft...At 500 hpa...Broad troughing remains over the state
extending north over the Arctic. A 516 dam low is over Galena with
a 511 dam low just south of the Kenai Peninsula, and a 518 dam
low 200 nm south of Kodiak Island. Ridging has moved over the
Western Bering Sea and continues to push over the Western Arctic.
Weak ridging is also pushing west over the Southern Beaufort Sea.
By this afternoon the low over Galena will drift west and weaken
while a 516 dam low will develop and move over King Salmon. The
low near the Kenai Peninsula will drift east as heights rise to
514 dam, and the low south of Kodiak Island will move to 300 nm
south of Yakutat. As the low in the northern Gulf of Alaska moves
east a shortwave moving around it will moves west over the Eastern
and Central Interior stalling and decaying as it moves west of
Fairbanks later tonight. Saturday morning a 523 dam low will be
over Norton Sound with a trough extending north to the Central
Arctic. The low in the Northern Gulf of Alaska will drift over
Prince William Sound at 516 dam with the stalled decaying trough
extending north over Manley Hot Springs to Coldfoot to Kaktovik.
The low that was south of Yakutat will move over Yakutat at 519
dam. Saturday afternoon the trough over the interior will
dissipate as the low over Prince William Sounds drifts southwest
and weakens to 520 dam. the low over Yakutat will move over the
Yukon Territory. Strong upslope flow will develop over the north
slopes of the Eastern and Central Alaska Range, and the Fortymile
country as the low persists, but weakens, through Sunday morning.
Ridging over the Western Bering Sea will move to the Dateline by
Sunday morning, and over the Bering Strait and West Coast Monday
morning. At 850 hpa...Temperatures range from 0C to -11C with the
warmest temperatures over the Southeast Interior and the coldest
generally west of Fairbanks and over the Western Arctic.
Temperatures will warm slightly through the middle of next week.

Surface...Low pressure continues to dominate the forecast area
with a 979 mb low in the Northern Gulf of Alaska, a 986 mb low 300
nm south of Kodiak Island, and a 987 mb low has developed along a
weather front and moved into the Upper Tanana Valley near the
AlCan Border crossing. A 1000 mb low has moved to the Northern
Beaufort Sea. High pressure extends from the Western Bering Sea to
the Siberian Arctic with a 1030 mb high near Kiska Island and a
1025 mb high 200 nm northwest of Wrangel Island. By this afternoon
the weather front in the southeast Interior will move west to the
Fairbanks area spreading snow to the area, and will continue to
the west then stall in the vicinity of Tanana and eventually
dissipate. By Saturday morning the low in the Gulf will move to
Yakutat at 976 mb as a low moves into the Yukon Territory at 985
mb. The high pressure to the west will move to the Dateline with a
1034 mb high near Adak, and a 1026 mb high 300 nm northeast of
Wrangel Island. A second front will be moving around the low near
Yakutat and will spread heavy snow to the Southeast Interior as
upslope flow develops along the north slopes of the Eastern and
Central Alaska Range.

Arctic Coast and Brooks Range...Winter Storm Warnings for the
Eastern area as snow develops and becomes heavy at times with
accumulations of 4 to 12 inches. Remainder of the are will remain
mostly cloudy with some light snow or flurries with accumulations
less than 3 inches. Northeast to east winds will persist at 10 to
30 mph with areas of blowing snow east of Utqiagvik reducing
visibility to one mile or less. Highs in the 30s, lows in the 20s.

West Coast and Western Interior...Strong north to northeast winds
at 109 to 35 mph from the Upper Kobuk west and the Nulato Hills
west. Strongest winds will be on the capes. Elevated surf from
Cape Espenberg to the Bering Strait, on St Lawrence Island, and
west of Stebbins to Cape Romanzof. Expect wave runup to, or
slightly above, the Normal High Tide Line. A mix of sun and clouds
across the area with some flurries or light snow showers along
the coast as ocean effect snow showers develop with the cold air
being pulled south over the open water in the area. Locally up to
2 inches of snow is possible on and near the capes. Inland a mix
of clouds and sun. Winds inland much lighter at 5 to 10 mph. Highs
in the 30s and lows in the 20s and will be slowly cooling through
the weekend.

Central and Eastern Interior...Winter Storm Warnings and Winter
Weather Advisories are in effect for areas from Fairbanks south
and east today into Sunday. First of a couple front will move
moving through the area today eventually stalling west of
Fairbanks later tonight as it weakens and eventually dissipates.
Snow developing to the southeast and moving into the Fairbanks
area around noon today will taper off from the southeast late this
evening. Snow accumulations today will be in the 2 to 4 inch
range. Another front moving into the southeast Interior early
Saturday morning will bring heavy snow to the area and it will
spread west into the Interior. Snow will eventually taper off by
Sunday afternoon. Heaviest snow will be to the southeast of
Fairbanks along the Alaska Highway and in the Eastern Alaska
Range. Snowfall amounts through Sunday will range from around 3
inches at Livengood and 4 inches at Minchumina, to 4 to 6 inches
in the Fairbanks area and east to Eagle, to 6 to 12 inches from
Nenana south and Birch Lake southeast to the Border. Temperatures
fairly steady with highs in the mid 30s and lows in the 20s.
Slight warmer to start next week.

Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...A strong low will be
moving across the Bering Sea with increasing winds and potential
for elevated surf on south and southwest facing shorelines from
the Bering Strait south Monday into Wednesday.

Extended forecast for days 4 to 7...High pressure moving over
most of the forecast area by Sunday afternoon with clearing skies.
A decaying extra tropical low will be moving across the Bering
Sea sending a weather front to the coast Monday with a mix of rain
and snow along the coast by late Monday. The rain and snow will
move into the Western Interior Tuesday with showers lingering in
the western areas into Thursday before tapering off. Offshore flow
to start the week in the Arctic turning onshore by late in the
week. The Interior east of Galena will generally be partly cloudy
as high pressure hangs on in the area.

&&

.Hydrology...None.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

Winter Storm Warning for AKZ203-AKZ204-AKZ206-AKZ223-AKZ224-
AKZ226.

Winter Weather Advisory for AKZ220-AKZ221-AKZ222-AKZ225.

Small Craft Advisory for PKZ200-PKZ215-PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ230-
PKZ240-PKZ245.

Heavy Freezing Spray Warning for PKZ500-PKZ505.

Gale Warning for PKZ210.

&&

SDB SEP 21

The office that day

Everything else NWS Fairbanks, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 1, 4:23 AM AKDTWinter Storm WarningAFG47 hr
Oct 1, 4:39 AM AKDTWinter Storm WarningAFG62 hr
Oct 1, 4:47 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFG47 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2021Every small craft advisory in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.