Brisk Wind Advisory 193, NWS Fairbanks, AK

620 
FZAK51 PAFG 281201
CWFNSB

Coastal Waters Forecast for Arctic Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
401 AM AKDT Mon Jun 28 2021

Arctic Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ298-290200-
401 AM AKDT Mon Jun 28 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A weather front associated with a 981 mb low near 80N and the
Dateline lies from the northern Beaufort Sea over the Northwest
Arctic Coast and will move E. High pressure will push E over the
Arctic Coast behind the front with a 1006 mb high near Utqiagvik
tonight. Tue the low will move E along 80N to 160W with another 
front moving to the Northwest Arctic Coast.

$$

PKZ225-290200-
Cape Thompson to Cape Beaufort-
401 AM AKDT Mon Jun 28 2021

.TODAY...N winds 20 kt becoming NE 15 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding.
Rain.
.TONIGHT...N winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.  

$$

PKZ230-290200-
Cape Beaufort to Point Franklin-
401 AM AKDT Mon Jun 28 2021

.TODAY...W winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft subsiding. 
.TONIGHT...W winds 10 kt. Seas 1 foot. 
.TUE...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED...NW winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...NW winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.  

$$

PKZ235-290200-
Point Franklin to Cape Halkett-
401 AM AKDT Mon Jun 28 2021

.TODAY...W winds 15 kt. 
.TONIGHT...W winds 10 kt. 
.TUE...W winds 10 kt. 
.TUE NIGHT...W winds 10 kt. 
.WED...W winds 10 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...W winds 10 kt. 
.THU...NW winds 10 kt. 
.FRI...E winds 20 kt.  

$$

PKZ240-290200-
Cape Halkett to Flaxman Island-
401 AM AKDT Mon Jun 28 2021

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH
TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW winds 25 kt. Rain and snow. 
.TONIGHT...W winds 25 kt. Snow and rain. 
.TUE...W winds 15 kt. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. 
.WED...N winds 5 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...W winds 5 kt. 
.THU...W winds 5 kt. 
.FRI...E winds 20 kt.  

$$

PKZ245-290200-
Flaxman Island to Demarcation Point-
401 AM AKDT Mon Jun 28 2021

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM EARLY THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...SW winds 25 kt. 
.TONIGHT...SW winds 25 kt diminishing to 20 kt. Snow.
.TUE...SW winds 20 kt. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW winds 20 kt. 
.WED...W winds 15 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...W winds 5 kt. 
.THU...W winds 5 kt. 
.FRI...E winds 20 kt.  

$$

SDB Jun 21

236 
FZAK51 PAFG 282253
CWFNSB

Coastal Waters Forecast for Arctic Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
253 PM AKDT Mon Jun 28 2021

Arctic Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ298-291415-
253 PM AKDT Mon Jun 28 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A weather front associated with a 981 mb low near 80N and the
Dateline lies from the northern Beaufort Sea over the Northwest
Arctic Coast and will move E. High pressure will push E over the
Arctic Coast behind the front with a 1006 mb high near Utqiagvik
tonight. Tue the low will move E along 80N to 160W with another 
front moving to the Northwest Arctic Coast.

$$

PKZ225-291415-
Cape Thompson to Cape Beaufort-
253 PM AKDT Mon Jun 28 2021

.TONIGHT...NE winds 10 kt becoming E 20 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding.
Snow.
.TUE...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...N winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.  

$$

PKZ230-291415-
Cape Beaufort to Point Franklin-
253 PM AKDT Mon Jun 28 2021

.TONIGHT...W winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE...W winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.  

$$

PKZ235-291415-
Point Franklin to Cape Halkett-
253 PM AKDT Mon Jun 28 2021

.TONIGHT...W winds 10 kt. 
.TUE...W winds 15 kt. 
.TUE NIGHT...W winds 15 kt. 
.WED...W winds 10 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...NW winds 5 kt. 
.THU...N winds 10 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. 
.FRI...E winds 20 kt. 
.SAT...E winds 20 kt.  

$$

PKZ240-291415-
Cape Halkett to Flaxman Island-
253 PM AKDT Mon Jun 28 2021

.TONIGHT...W winds 10 kt becoming N 20 kt. Snow.
.TUE...W winds 10 kt. 
.TUE NIGHT...W winds 10 kt. 
.WED...W winds 10 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...W winds 10 kt. 
.THU...NW winds 10 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...N winds 5 kt. 
.FRI...E winds 20 kt. 
.SAT...E winds 20 kt.  

$$

PKZ245-291415-
Flaxman Island to Demarcation Point-
253 PM AKDT Mon Jun 28 2021

.TONIGHT...W winds 20 kt becoming S. Rain and snow. 
.TUE...W winds 20 kt. Rain and snow. 
.TUE NIGHT...W winds 10 kt. Rain.
.WED...W winds 5 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. 
.THU...NE winds 10 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...NW winds 5 kt. 
.FRI...E winds 20 kt. 
.SAT...E winds 25 kt.  

$$

Jun 21

Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
245 PM AKDT Sun Jun 27 2021

.SYNOPSIS...
An upper level low over the West Coast continues to bring mostly
cloudy skies and showers to most of Northern Alaska today. Our
main focus continues to be on a series of fronts that will bring
heavy rain to the Chukchi Sea Coast, North Slope, Brooks Range,
and the Kobuk and Noatak Valleys from tonight through Wednesday.
Rainfall amounts of one to three inches are possible. Elsewhere,
quiet and seasonable weather is expected through mid week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Upper Levels and Analysis...
A weakening 551 dam 500 hpa upper level low is centered over the
West Coast, supporting broad southerly flow over most of Northern
Alaska. This upper level low is gradually being squashed between
two strong features, a 598 dam high over British Columbia, and a
510 dam low around 80N in the high Arctic. The low in the high
Arctic will send the first of several shortwaves and a steady
stream of moisture into the Chukchi Sea Coast starting this
evening, and continuing through Wednesday. These shortwaves will
gradually push broad troughing across most of N AK, with stable
southwest to west flow over the Interior.

Central and Eastern Interior...
Overall pretty quiet and seasonable weather across the area as we
transition into the work week with partly to mostly cloudy skies
and isolated showers each day under southwest flow. A few
thunderstorms are possible each afternoon east of Dot Lake.
Seasonable temperatures will continue with highs generally in the
upper 60s to low 70s.

West Coast and Western Interior...
The upper level low continues to bring mostly cloudy conditions,
gusty southerly winds, and isolated showers to the area. A strong
front will move into the Chukchi Coast late tonight through Monday,
bringing heavy rain and gusty winds to areas north of the Bering
Strait. Another front will move into the area Tuesday, with
another surge of moisture and heavy rain through Wednesday.
Rainfall accumulations from tonight through Wednesday will be one
to three inches or more for the Chukchi Coast, Noatak and Kobuk
Valleys, and Western Brooks Range, with the heaviest amounts in
the higher terrain. South of these areas will see some
occasionally gusty southwest winds, as well as seasonable temps
and isolated showers through mid week.

North Slope and Brooks Range...
A warm and partly cloudy day across the area under offshore
southwest flow. There could be a few showers and thunderstorms
that form over the Brooks Range this afternoon and then drift
across the eastern Arctic Coast through the evening. A front will
move from west to east across the area later on this evening
through Monday, bringing cooler temps, gusty southwest winds, and
widespread rain to most of the area. Additional surges of moisture
will continue to bring widespread rain across the Brooks Range
and most of the North Slope through Wednesday. Rainfall amounts of
two to three inches or more are expected across the Western and
Central Brooks Range, with one half to one inch across the North
Slope.

Extended Forecast Days 4 to 7...
Beginning the extended forecast on Wednesday, there will be a
very large arctic low centered offshore of the Arctic Coast, and
another large low moving into the Aleutians, with ridging
building ahead of it into southwest Alaska. Heavy rain will still
be ongoing across parts of the North Slope and Brooks Range with
drier weather over the Interior. Thursday and into the weekend,
the ridge will gradually build up across the Interior resulting
in much warmer temperatures. For the Central and Eastern Interior,
highs could surge well into the 80s for Thu-Fri as 850 hpa
temperatures peak around 15 celsius. Meanwhile on the West Coast,
expect slightly above normal temperatures and chances for showers
thanks to the low parked over the Aleutians.

Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...None.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Southwest winds increase this afternoon and evening for areas
north of Fairbanks, especially across elevated terrain, and will
persist through Tuesday. A showery and wet pattern continues
across the West Coast with good chances for wetting rain north of
the Seward Peninsula, but precip chances wane across the Interior
through Monday. Isolated thunderstorm activity is possible across
the Brooks Range and eastern Arctic Coast, as well as east of Dot
Lake through this evening. Thunderstorm activity will be more
isolated and limited to east of Dot Lake on Monday and Tuesday.
Temperatures cool slightly through midweek. Minimum RH values
above 30 percent with good overnight recovery. It looks like a
big warm-up is on tap for the second half of the week in the
Interior as a ridge builds in.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Another round of heavy to significant rainfall is in the works
across the Brooks Range, North Slope, Chukchi Sea Coast, and Kobuk
and Noatak Valleys tonight through Wednesday. There remains a
little bit of uncertainty on how much and where the heaviest
precip falls, but the expectation is for one to three and a half
inches of rainfall across this area, highest in the Brooks Range.
This would lead to sharp rises on creeks, streams, and rivers
stemming from the Brooks Range.
For the latest river information go to www.weather.gov/aprfc.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Small Craft Advisory for PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ230.

Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ235-PKZ240-PKZ245.
&&

S.F. CULVER JUN 21

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
229 PM AKDT Sun Jun 27 2021

AKZ207-208-217-281500-
Chukchi Sea Coast-Lower Kobuk and Noatak Valleys-
Upper Kobuk and Noatak Valleys-
Including Point Hope, Shishmaref, Kivalina, Espenberg, Noatak,
Kiana, Red Dog Mine, Ambler, Shungnak, and Kobuk
229 PM AKDT Sun Jun 27 2021

...Heavy rainfall expected over the Brooks Range, Kobuk and Noatak
Valleys, and Chukchi Sea Coast Monday through Wednesday...

Heavy rain is expected Monday through Wednesday, as a weather
front moves over the area followed by a secondary surge of
moisture. Rainfall amounts of one to three inches are possible
over this area.

Drainages out of the Brooks Range will see sharp rises Monday
through Wednesday with rivers remaining high through the week.

Outdoor recreators should remain especially vigilant for very
fast rises on local streams and rivers draining out of the Brooks
Range, and Baird Mountains, including the Noatak and Kobuk
rivers.

For the latest river information go to www.weather.gov/aprfc.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
230 PM AKDT Sun Jun 27 2021

AKZ201-205-206-281500-
Western Arctic Coast-Northwestern Brooks Range-
Northeastern Brooks Range-
Including Wainwright, Atqasuk, Point Lay, Cape Lisburne,
Singiluk, Umiat, Anaktuvuk Pass, Atigun Pass, Galbraith Lake,
Sagwon, and Franklin Bluffs
230 PM AKDT Sun Jun 27 2021

...Heavy rainfall expected in the Brooks Range Monday through
Wednesday...

Heavy rain is expected in the Brooks Range Monday through
Wednesday, as a weather front moves over the area followed by a
secondary surge of moisture. One and a half to three inches of
rainfall is expected over this area.

Drainages out of the Brooks Range will see sharp rises Monday
through Wednesday with rivers remaining high through the week.

Outdoor recreators should remain especially vigilant for very fast
rises on local streams and rivers draining out of the Brooks
Range.