Small Craft Advisory 868, NWS Anchorage, AK

009 
FZAK51 PAFC 011159
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
359 AM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-020030-
359 AM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A 992 mb North Pacific low at 290 nm southwest of 
Middleton Island moves to 310 nm south of Middleton Island at 990 mb
Mon afternoon. A trough and cyclonic flow remains over the Northern 
Gulf through Wed afternoon. 

$$

PKZ119-020030-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
359 AM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ120-020030-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
359 AM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E 30 kt in the morning becoming NE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ121-020030-
Resurrection Bay-
359 AM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021

.TODAY...N wind to 10 kt increasing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-020030-
Prince William Sound-
359 AM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Gusts to 40 kt near Hinchibrook Entrance in
the morning. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 6 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-020030-
Port Valdez-
359 AM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain
showers.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-020030-
Valdez Narrows-
359 AM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind increaisng to 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-020030-
Valdez Arm-
359 AM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-020030-
Passage Canal-
359 AM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt early diminishing to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-020030-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
359 AM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-020030-
Barren Islands East-
359 AM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ132-020030-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
359 AM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ136-020030-
Chiniak Bay-
359 AM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-020030-
Marmot Bay-
359 AM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-020030-
Shelikof Strait-
359 AM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt becoming W 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 6 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-020030-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
359 AM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-020030-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
359 AM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-020030-
Kachemak Bay-
359 AM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

007 
FZAK51 PAFC 020006
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
406 PM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-021300-
406 PM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 992 mb Gulf of Alaska low 215 nm southeast of Kodiak and a 990 
mb North Pacific low consolidate to form a 985 mb low 195 nm south
of Middleton Island Tue evening. This low then moves to 35 nm north 
of Middleton Island at 991 mb Wed morning.

$$

PKZ119-021300-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
406 PM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ120-021300-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
406 PM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
10 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 13 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ121-021300-
Resurrection Bay-
406 PM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 
ft. Rain.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain
showers.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-021300-
Prince William Sound-
406 PM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 6 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. Rain showers.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-021300-
Port Valdez-
406 PM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and
snow.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain
showers.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-021300-
Valdez Narrows-
406 PM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-021300-
Valdez Arm-
406 PM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-021300-
Passage Canal-
406 PM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-021300-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
406 PM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt becoming W 15 kt after midnight. Seas
8 ft subsiding to 5 ft after midnight. Rain and snow.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-021300-
Barren Islands East-
406 PM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ132-021300-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
406 PM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ136-021300-
Chiniak Bay-
406 PM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-021300-
Marmot Bay-
406 PM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-021300-
Shelikof Strait-
406 PM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt becoming W 20 kt after midnight. Seas 7
ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ139-021300-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
406 PM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt becoming S after midnight. Seas 5 ft.
Rain.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-021300-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
406 PM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-021300-
Kachemak Bay-
406 PM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Higher winds and seas in the outer bay. Seas
2 ft. Rain.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain with snow.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt becoming SW 20 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft building to 6 ft after midnight. Rain showers.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

321 
FZAK51 PAFC 021201
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
401 AM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-030045-
401 AM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A 987 mb low 350 nm southeast of Seward this
morning will move 80 nm southeast of Seward at 993 mb Wednesday 
morning, then dissipate Wednesday afternoon. A front will move across
the Gulf Wednesday afternoon and Thursday morning. 

$$

PKZ119-030045-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
401 AM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind increasing to 40 kt. Seas 11 ft early building to 15 ft.
Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ120-030045-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
401 AM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas building to 11 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
14 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ121-030045-
Resurrection Bay-
401 AM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt. Gusts to 25 kt near Pilot Rock. Seas 2 ft. 
Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-030045-
Prince William Sound-
401 AM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 4 ft after
midnight. Rain showers.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ126-030045-
Port Valdez-
401 AM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ127-030045-
Valdez Narrows-
401 AM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...N wind 15 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Rain
showers.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-030045-
Valdez Arm-
401 AM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-030045-
Passage Canal-
401 AM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 1 ft building to 4 ft in the afternoon. 
Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-030045-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
401 AM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt becoming W 15 kt after midnight. Seas 5 ft.
Rain and snow.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ131-030045-
Barren Islands East-
401 AM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt becoming W after midnight. Seas 11 ft.
Rain showers.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ132-030045-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
401 AM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ136-030045-
Chiniak Bay-
401 AM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-030045-
Marmot Bay-
401 AM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...S wind 10 kt becoming SE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft
building to 6 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-030045-
Shelikof Strait-
401 AM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the
afternoon. Snow.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-030045-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
401 AM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-030045-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
401 AM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
5 ft.
.WED...SE wind 10 kt becoming S 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Rain.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-030045-
Kachemak Bay-
401 AM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain with snow.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...S wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

748 
FZAK51 PAFC 030002
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
402 PM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-031300-
402 PM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 983 mb low 150 nm south of Middleton Island moves over Middleton
Island at 984 mb tonight and then moves inland. A 985 mb low 
moves 70 nm southwest of Sitkinak.

$$

PKZ119-031300-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
402 PM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ120-031300-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
402 PM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ121-031300-
Resurrection Bay-
402 PM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ125-031300-
Prince William Sound-
402 PM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 6 ft after
midnight. Widespread rain showers.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-031300-
Port Valdez-
402 PM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and
snow.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain
and snow showers.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread
rain and snow showers.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ127-031300-
Valdez Narrows-
402 PM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.WED...N wind 15 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Widespread rain and snow showers.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-031300-
Valdez Arm-
402 PM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt becoming SE in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Rain.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-031300-
Passage Canal-
402 PM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.WED...E wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain and snow
showers.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-031300-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
402 PM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain and snow.
.WED...Variable wind 15 kt becoming SE 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 
3 ft building to 8 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ131-031300-
Barren Islands East-
402 PM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ132-031300-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
402 PM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ136-031300-
Chiniak Bay-
402 PM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt becoming W 10 kt after midnight. Seas 4
ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4
ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt becoming S 10 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft.
.THU...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-031300-
Marmot Bay-
402 PM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft building to 6 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight.
Seas
6 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight.
.THU...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-031300-
Shelikof Strait-
402 PM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5
ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-031300-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
402 PM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt becoming S 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft
building to 5 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt becoming NE 20 kt after midnight. Seas
5 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-031300-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
402 PM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NE 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft building to 5 ft after midnight.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-031300-
Kachemak Bay-
402 PM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...S wind 10 kt becoming SE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt after midnight. Higher
winds and seas in the outer bay. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

268 
FZAK51 PAFC 031206
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
406 AM AKDT Wed Nov 3 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-040045-
406 AM AKDT Wed Nov 3 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A 987 mb low pressure 30 nm south of Middleton Island
will move onshore near Cordova later this afternoon. A front moves 
across the western Gulf today. A broad trough of low pressure will 
develop across the northern Gulf Thursday night and continue through 
Friday morning.

$$

PKZ119-040045-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
406 AM AKDT Wed Nov 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt except SE along the coast early. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ120-040045-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
406 AM AKDT Wed Nov 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt becoming S 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
10 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt becoming NE in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft.
Rain.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ121-040045-
Resurrection Bay-
406 AM AKDT Wed Nov 3 2021

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.THU...S wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ125-040045-
Prince William Sound-
406 AM AKDT Wed Nov 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 6 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.THU...E wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft
subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-040045-
Port Valdez-
406 AM AKDT Wed Nov 3 2021

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ127-040045-
Valdez Narrows-
406 AM AKDT Wed Nov 3 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Rain
showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-040045-
Valdez Arm-
406 AM AKDT Wed Nov 3 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt becoming SE in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-040045-
Passage Canal-
406 AM AKDT Wed Nov 3 2021

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.THU...E wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain and snow.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-040045-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
406 AM AKDT Wed Nov 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt becoming SE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-040045-
Barren Islands East-
406 AM AKDT Wed Nov 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ132-040045-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
406 AM AKDT Wed Nov 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ136-040045-
Chiniak Bay-
406 AM AKDT Wed Nov 3 2021

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-040045-
Marmot Bay-
406 AM AKDT Wed Nov 3 2021

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-040045-
Shelikof Strait-
406 AM AKDT Wed Nov 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft 
building to 6 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight.
.THU...S wind 20 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas
3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-040045-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
406 AM AKDT Wed Nov 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt becoming SE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft
building to 5 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt becoming E 15 kt after midnight. Seas 5 ft. 
Rain.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-040045-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
406 AM AKDT Wed Nov 3 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt becoming N 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Snow with rain.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-040045-
Kachemak Bay-
406 AM AKDT Wed Nov 3 2021

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt becoming SE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming E 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

225 
FZAK51 PAFC 032358
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
358 PM AKDT Wed Nov 3 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-041245-
358 PM AKDT Wed Nov 3 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 981 mb low in Bristol Bay moves inland Thu night then dissipates 
by Fri afternoon. Its front moves across the Gulf Fri afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-041245-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
358 PM AKDT Wed Nov 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming W 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 8 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ120-041245-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
358 PM AKDT Wed Nov 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
8 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.THU...S wind 25 kt becoming variable 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9
ft. Rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ121-041245-
Resurrection Bay-
358 PM AKDT Wed Nov 3 2021

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.THU...S wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain and snow showers.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread
rain and snow showers.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ125-041245-
Prince William Sound-
358 PM AKDT Wed Nov 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft building to 6 ft after
midnight. Widespread rain showers.
.THU...E wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft
subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Widespread rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-041245-
Port Valdez-
358 PM AKDT Wed Nov 3 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread
rain and snow showers.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow showers.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ127-041245-
Valdez Narrows-
358 PM AKDT Wed Nov 3 2021

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain and snow
showers.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow showers.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-041245-
Valdez Arm-
358 PM AKDT Wed Nov 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 4 
ft. Widespread rain showers.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-041245-
Passage Canal-
358 PM AKDT Wed Nov 3 2021

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.THU...E wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. 
Widespread rain and snow showers.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Widespread snow showers.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-041245-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
358 PM AKDT Wed Nov 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less than 
10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-041245-
Barren Islands East-
358 PM AKDT Wed Nov 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 8 
ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ132-041245-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
358 PM AKDT Wed Nov 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ136-041245-
Chiniak Bay-
358 PM AKDT Wed Nov 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 
ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft in the afternoon.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-041245-
Marmot Bay-
358 PM AKDT Wed Nov 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt becoming S 20 kt after midnight. Seas 7
ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ138-041245-
Shelikof Strait-
358 PM AKDT Wed Nov 3 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
5 ft. Rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less than 10
kt. Seas 3 ft subsiding to 1 ft after midnight.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-041245-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
358 PM AKDT Wed Nov 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 6
ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt becoming E 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Snow showers.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft subsiding to 1 ft after midnight.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-041245-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
358 PM AKDT Wed Nov 3 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain and snow 
showers.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow showers.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft subsiding to 1 ft after 
midnight.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-041245-
Kachemak Bay-
358 PM AKDT Wed Nov 3 2021

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

536 
FZAK51 PAFC 041158
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
358 AM AKDT Thu Nov 4 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-050045-
358 AM AKDT Thu Nov 4 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A 981 mb low in Bristol Bay slowly slides to just
east of Kodiak Island at 994 mb Friday morning before falling apart 
200 nm east of Kodiak Island Sat morning. A front lingers across the 
central Gulf today until dissipating Fri afternoon. A new 990 mb low 
moves 215 nm southeast of Cordova Saturday morning. 

$$

PKZ119-050045-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
358 AM AKDT Thu Nov 4 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
10 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming W 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ120-050045-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
358 AM AKDT Thu Nov 4 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt becoming NW 15 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to 
40 kt in the morning near the coast. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ121-050045-
Resurrection Bay-
358 AM AKDT Thu Nov 4 2021

.TODAY...S wind to 10 kt becoming variable in the aftenroon. Gusts 
to 40 kt in the morning near Pilot Rock. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow 
showers.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-050045-
Prince William Sound-
358 AM AKDT Thu Nov 4 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the
afternoon. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...W wind 10 kt becoming SE in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-050045-
Port Valdez-
358 AM AKDT Thu Nov 4 2021

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow showers.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-050045-
Valdez Narrows-
358 AM AKDT Thu Nov 4 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers and snow showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Snow showers.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-050045-
Valdez Arm-
358 AM AKDT Thu Nov 4 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow showers.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-050045-
Passage Canal-
358 AM AKDT Thu Nov 4 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt becoming W 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. 
Snow showers with rain.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft. Snow showers.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-050045-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
358 AM AKDT Thu Nov 4 2021

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-050045-
Barren Islands East-
358 AM AKDT Thu Nov 4 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ132-050045-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
358 AM AKDT Thu Nov 4 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ136-050045-
Chiniak Bay-
358 AM AKDT Thu Nov 4 2021

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-050045-
Marmot Bay-
358 AM AKDT Thu Nov 4 2021

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ138-050045-
Shelikof Strait-
358 AM AKDT Thu Nov 4 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
6 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-050045-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
358 AM AKDT Thu Nov 4 2021

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt becoming E 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft subsiding to 1 ft after midnight.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-050045-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
358 AM AKDT Thu Nov 4 2021

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt becoming SE 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-050045-
Kachemak Bay-
358 AM AKDT Thu Nov 4 2021

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

720 
FZAK51 PAFC 050003
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
403 PM AKDT Thu Nov 4 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-051300-
403 PM AKDT Thu Nov 4 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 987 mb low in Bristol Bay enters Shelikof Strait at 991 mb 
tonight, then moves to 125 nm east of Kodiak City at 996 mb Fri 
afternoon. A trough develops along the north Gulf coast Fri through 
Sat.

$$

PKZ119-051300-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
403 PM AKDT Thu Nov 4 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt becoming W after midnight. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ120-051300-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
403 PM AKDT Thu Nov 4 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ121-051300-
Resurrection Bay-
403 PM AKDT Thu Nov 4 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow
showers.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-051300-
Prince William Sound-
403 PM AKDT Thu Nov 4 2021

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-051300-
Port Valdez-
403 PM AKDT Thu Nov 4 2021

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-051300-
Valdez Narrows-
403 PM AKDT Thu Nov 4 2021

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-051300-
Valdez Arm-
403 PM AKDT Thu Nov 4 2021

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-051300-
Passage Canal-
403 PM AKDT Thu Nov 4 2021

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt becoming W 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
Rain.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Gusts up
to 25 kt near Whitter in the morning. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-051300-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
403 PM AKDT Thu Nov 4 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NW 15 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas  6 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-051300-
Barren Islands East-
403 PM AKDT Thu Nov 4 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ132-051300-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
403 PM AKDT Thu Nov 4 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. N of
Dangerous Cape, variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ136-051300-
Chiniak Bay-
403 PM AKDT Thu Nov 4 2021

.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NW 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-051300-
Marmot Bay-
403 PM AKDT Thu Nov 4 2021

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming SE 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NW 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-051300-
Shelikof Strait-
403 PM AKDT Thu Nov 4 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-051300-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
403 PM AKDT Thu Nov 4 2021

.TONIGHT...SE wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-051300-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
403 PM AKDT Thu Nov 4 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-051300-
Kachemak Bay-
403 PM AKDT Thu Nov 4 2021

.TONIGHT...SE wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
519 AM AKDT Sun Oct 31 2021

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
An upper level trough has stalled over western Alaska, while a
upper level ridge has remained stationary over western Canada,
extending north towards the Alaska-Canadian border. Just east of
the trough axis and west of the ridge, a deep southerly flow is
pulling a warm, moist airmass northward directly into the Gulf.
Inches of rain (2 to 7 inches so far) have fallen under this
swath of rich moisture, targeting the northeastern AKPen, Kenai
Peninsula, and the Prince William Sound, in what's known as an
atmospheric river. To the west of the trough axis, a northerly
flow has brought -6 to -12C 850 mb temperatures, resulting in
snowfall west of what looks like a pretty obvious frontal
boundary, with rain and southerly winds to the east, snow and
northerly winds to the west. This pattern will remain in place
through Monday.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Models remain is good agreement on the large scale pattern for the
next few days. What remains uncertain are the finer details that
will have the greatest impacts. In southcentral Alaska, this
refers to the nuances in a relatively stationary atmospheric
river as it shifts eastward, targeting both east and west Prince
William Sound, then shifts back west, targeting the Kenai
Peninsula and the western portion of Prince William Sound. Across
southwest Alaska, the finer details refers to where the rain-snow
line sets up, though the coldest air looks to push inland as the
moisture swath exits east. Overall forecast confidence is average,
but the finer details of the forecast remain below average.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions under a midlevel cloud deck today. More
notable is the LLWS in place through 01/08Z. Once wind shear
diminishes, there will be a period of VFR, midlevel ceilings and
winds around 10kts, before winds shift and ceilings lower with
rain showers once again.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2:
Today through Tuesday)...

A highly amplified blocking pattern in the upper-levels of the
atmosphere is keeping a ridge over the Canadian Rockies and
trough over the west coast of Alaska. The upper-level trough axis
is positioned over the west coast of the state this morning with a
shortwave trough ahead of the axis lifting north over the AKPen
and Kodiak Island. This feature has an associated surface low just
west of Kodiak Island along with a nearly stationary surface front
draped from the Kenai Peninsula south to the Gulf of Alaska. These
features are tapping into a deep tropical moisture feed and are
bringing that moisture northward along a stout southerly flow
aloft. While the initial front has weakened, the overall synoptic
pattern will allow for southeasterly gap winds to continue through
early Sunday morning, especially for the Portage Valley,
Turnagain arm, and the Knik River Valley. The moisture streaming
into coastal Southcentral will also allow for periods of heavy
rain and high elevation snow to persist through Tuesday, with the
highest amounts likely across the eastern Kenai Peninsula and
western Prince William Sound, including the Girdwood area. Flood
warnings are in effect for these locations. A flood advisory also
remains in effect for the Anchor River due to runoff from rains in
the higher elevations.

The upper-level trough and associated surface features will
slowly drift eastward through late Monday. As they do, a
shortwave will lift north ahead of the trough axis, shifting the
atmospheric river east over the Prince William Sound and into the
Copper River Basin. The moisture, combined with colder air
filtering in, looks to bring a period of snow to the basin for
Monday. A secondary shortwave will track with the trough axis east
from Southwest Alaska. This feature will also bring a period of
rain and snow from the Susitna Valley south to Cook Inlet for
Monday as colder air begins to advect in with the trough. The
challenge here will be how much cold air moves in ahead of the
precipitation and whether any of the liquid precipitation
transitions to all snow before moving east of the area. Right now,
the Susitna Valley looks best for light snow with rain or a mix
of rain and snow farther south.

As the trough moves to the Copper River Basin late Monday, the
ridge over Canada will begin to build back toward the state. This
will allow the trough to retrograde back toward Southwest Alaska
and spread precipitation back across the Mat-Su Valleys south to
Cook Inlet. With colder air now in place behind the trough, this
precipitation looks to fall as snow. However, a developing
southeasterly flow in the wake of the retrograding trough will
push warmer air aloft over the region. This could make for a
tricky type forecast by Tuesday for locations in the lee of the
Talkeetna, Chugach, and Kenai Mountains as the warmer air overtop
colder air at the surface could introduce a wintry mix of snow,
sleet, freezing rain, and rain. Stay tuned for updates as there is
still model uncertainty with regard to how this trough pivots
back through the region.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

The King Salmon (PAKC) and Bethel (PABC) radars continue to be
active early this morning as the low moves inland bisecting SW
AK. On satellite imagery (CIMSS MIMIC PW) there is a discernible
fetch of moisture from the Central Pacific to Ambler. The Winter
Weather Advisories for this event for zones 152, 155 and 161
remain in effect this morning. Expect a break in activity later
today. Then the next round of precipitation is expected on Monday
evening for coastal areas near Nunivak and Nightmute. A
reinforcing shortwave will near the K-Bay Monday night and then
moisture will push into Cape Newenham and Togiak.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...

The longwave pattern is highly amplified and progressive. There
is a surface low in the north Bering that will move towards
Nunivak. There is a second low south of Adak that will stay south
of the Aleutians and in the open seas. There is a developing low
by Kamchatka and is headed towards the central Bering and will be
in the Eastern Bering by Tuesday night. Areas of gale force winds
are expected.

&&

.MARINE (Days 3 through 5 - Tuesday through Thursday)...

Aleutians/Bering... A low complex and front sweep into the
Eastern Bering for Thursday. Gusty winds across the Bering with
areas of gales over the Northern Bering, diminishing. Seas to 20
feet over the Central Bering, subsiding Wednesday. Forecast trend
becomes unsettled by Thursday. A Northern Bering low moves South
by Thursday, bringing Westerly gales from the Western Bering
Wednesday into the Central Aleutians by Thursday. Seas building to
28 feet over the Southern Bering for Thursday.

Gulf of Alaska... A well-developed North Pacific low moves over
the Western Gulf and inland for Wednesday. Southeasterly gales
with its front continue over the Gulf, diminishing Wednesday.
Gusty Northwesterly winds on the Western flank diminish late
Tuesday. Seas to 22 feet will subside Wednesday. A second North
Pacific low moves to the Central North Gulf Coast, then dissipates
Thursday.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7: Tuesday through Saturday)...

A series of weak to moderate-strength lows moving northwestward
across the Gulf will keep conditions unsettled across the entire
north Gulf Coast Tuesday, with some indication that some of that
moisture will make it over the mountains to impact areas such as
Anchorage, the Mat Valley, and the Copper River Basin. The same
pattern continues into Wednesday as the last of the lows move into
the coast. A separate front will begin impacting the coast of
Southwest Alaska either Tuesday or Wednesday, and is expected to
stall out along the coast, keeping conditions mild and unsettled
across the area. As a low tracks southward along the front
Thursday, it will gradually take much of the associated moisture
along with it. This will make for a dry day on Friday and
Saturday. For Southcentral, the low centered somewhere near Kodiak
on Friday will keep conditions unsettled until Saturday.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Winter Weather Advisories: 152, 155, 161. High Wind
Warning: 101, 125. Flood Advisory: 121. Flood Warning: 125.
MARINE...Gale 411 185 178 177 160 155 150 119 125 129 130 131 351.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...AB
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...TM
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...PJS
MARINE/LONG TERM...KZ/JPW