Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2021
Small Craft Advisory 825, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Oct 17, 2021, 2:05 PM AKDT. It was in force for 49 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 17, 2021, 2:05 PM AKDT (22:05 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 19, 2021, 3:15 PM AKDT
- In force
- 49 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted.
888 FZAK52 PAFC 172205 CWFALU Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 205 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ199-181100- 205 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 975 mb low over the Alaska Peninsula this afternoon will rapidly move eastward into the Gulf tonight. A front will gradually move across the Aleutians this afternoon through Tuesday afternoon. $$ PKZ150-181100- South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape- 205 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt becoming N 40 kt after midnight. Seas 15 ft. .MON...N wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft. .MON NIGHT...N wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 15 ft. .TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. .FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. $$ PKZ155-181100- South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef- 205 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt with gusts to 50 kt out of bays and passes. From the Shumagin Islands E, NW wind 25 kt becoming N 35 kt after midnight. Seas 15 ft. .MON...N wind 35 kt becoming NW 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 15 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .THU...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. .FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft. $$ PKZ160-181100- Bristol Bay- 205 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft. .MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ165-181100- Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef- 205 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. From Port Moller E, N wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft except 12 ft from Port Moller E. .MON...N wind 25 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas 12 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt except W 15 kt from Port Moller E. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .THU...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. .FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ170-181100- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side- 205 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 19 ft. .MON...NW wind 20 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 13 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain. .TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. .WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. .THU...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 24 ft. .FRI...W wind 40 kt. Seas 27 ft. $$ PKZ171-181100- Unalaska Bay- 205 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. .MON...NW wind 20 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ172-181100- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side- 205 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt with gusts to 50 kts through gaps and passes. Seas 17 ft. .MON...NW wind 30 kt becoming W 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft subsiding to 6 ft in the afternoon. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. .THU...S wind 45 kt. Seas 28 ft. .FRI...W wind 45 kt. Seas 29 ft. $$ PKZ173-181100- Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side- 205 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 20 ft. .MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. .WED...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. .THU...S wind 45 kt. Seas 29 ft. .FRI...W wind 45 kt. Seas 29 ft. $$ PKZ174-181100- Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side- 205 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 20 ft subsiding to 15 ft after midnight. .MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. .WED...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. .THU...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 34 ft. .FRI...W wind 50 kt. Seas 34 ft. $$ PKZ175-181100- Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side- 205 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt becoming SW after midnight. Seas 17 ft. .MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. .WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 45 kt. Seas 27 ft. $$ PKZ176-181100- Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side- 205 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt becoming W 15 kt after midnight. Seas 14 ft. .MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain. .MON NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. .WED...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. .THU...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 29 ft. .FRI...W wind 45 kt. Seas 27 ft. $$ PKZ177-181100- Adak to Kiska- 205 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain. .MON NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. .WED...S wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. .THU...W wind 45 kt. Seas 25 ft. .FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. $$ PKZ178-181100- Kiska to Attu- 205 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt becoming SW 30 kt after midnight. Seas 14 ft. .MON...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. .WED...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. .THU...W wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft. .FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. $$ PKZ179-181100- Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters- 205 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt becoming NW 20 kt after midnight. Seas 15 ft. .MON...SW wind 20 kt becoming S 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain. .TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. .WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. .THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ180-181100- Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait- 205 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .MON...N wind 25 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft. .MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain. .TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ181-181100- North and West of Nunivak Island- 205 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt becoming NE 20 kt after midnight. Seas 10 ft. .MON...E wind 15 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft. Rain. .MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Widespread rain showers. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ185-181100- Saint Matthew Island Waters- 205 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...E of Saint Matthew Island, N wind 25 kt becoming E 15 kt after midnight. W of Saint Matthew Island, E wind 20 kt becoming SE 40 kt after midnight. Seas 11 ft. Rain. .MON...E of Saint Matthew Island, SE wind 25 kt becoming S 35 kt in the afternoon. W of Saint Matthew Island, S wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain and snow. .MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers and snow showers. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. .WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. .THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$
5 follow-up statements
047 FZAK52 PAFC 172337 CWFALU Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 337 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ199-181245- 337 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 975 mb low over the Alaska Peninsula this afternoon will rapidly move eastward into the Gulf tonight. A front will gradually move across the Aleutians this afternoon through Tuesday afternoon. $$ PKZ150-181245- South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape- 337 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt becoming N 40 kt after midnight. Seas 15 ft. .MON...N wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft. .MON NIGHT...N wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 15 ft. .TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. .FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. $$ PKZ155-181245- South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef- 337 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt with gusts to 50 kt out of bays and passes. From the Shumagin Islands E, NW wind 25 kt becoming N 35 kt after midnight. Seas 15 ft. .MON...N wind 35 kt becoming NW 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 15 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .THU...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. .FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft. $$ PKZ160-181245- Bristol Bay- 337 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft. .MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ165-181245- Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef- 337 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. From Port Moller E, N wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft except 12 ft from Port Moller E. .MON...N wind 25 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas 12 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt except W 15 kt from Port Moller E. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .THU...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. .FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ170-181245- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side- 337 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 19 ft. .MON...NW wind 20 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 13 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain. .TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. .WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. .THU...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 24 ft. .FRI...W wind 40 kt. Seas 27 ft. $$ PKZ171-181245- Unalaska Bay- 337 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. .MON...NW wind 20 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ172-181245- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side- 337 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt with gusts to 50 kts through gaps and passes. Seas 17 ft. .MON...NW wind 30 kt becoming W 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft subsiding to 6 ft in the afternoon. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. .THU...S wind 45 kt. Seas 28 ft. .FRI...W wind 45 kt. Seas 29 ft. $$ PKZ173-181245- Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side- 337 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 20 ft. .MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. .WED...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. .THU...S wind 45 kt. Seas 29 ft. .FRI...W wind 45 kt. Seas 29 ft. $$ PKZ174-181245- Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side- 337 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 20 ft subsiding to 15 ft after midnight. .MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. .WED...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. .THU...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 34 ft. .FRI...W wind 50 kt. Seas 34 ft. $$ PKZ175-181245- Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side- 337 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt becoming SW after midnight. Seas 17 ft. .MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. .WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 45 kt. Seas 27 ft. $$ PKZ176-181245- Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side- 337 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt becoming W 15 kt after midnight. Seas 14 ft. .MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain. .MON NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. .WED...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. .THU...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 29 ft. .FRI...W wind 45 kt. Seas 27 ft. $$ PKZ177-181245- Adak to Kiska- 337 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain. .MON NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. .WED...S wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. .THU...W wind 45 kt. Seas 25 ft. .FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. $$ PKZ178-181245- Kiska to Attu- 337 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt becoming SW 30 kt after midnight. Seas 14 ft. .MON...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. .WED...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. .THU...W wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft. .FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. $$ PKZ179-181245- Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters- 337 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt becoming NW 20 kt after midnight. Seas 15 ft. .MON...SW wind 20 kt becoming S 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain. .TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. .WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. .THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ180-181245- Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait- 337 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .MON...N wind 25 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft. .MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain. .TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ181-181245- North and West of Nunivak Island- 337 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt becoming NE 20 kt after midnight. Seas 10 ft. .MON...E wind 15 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft. Rain. .MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Widespread rain showers. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ185-181245- Saint Matthew Island Waters- 337 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...E of Saint Matthew Island, N wind 25 kt becoming E 15 kt after midnight. W of Saint Matthew Island, E wind 20 kt becoming SE 40 kt after midnight. Seas 11 ft. Rain. .MON...E of Saint Matthew Island, SE wind 25 kt becoming S 35 kt in the afternoon. W of Saint Matthew Island, S wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain and snow. .MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers and snow showers. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. .WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. .THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$
549 FZAK52 PAFC 180243 CWFALU Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage AK 643 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ199-181515- 643 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... Semisopochnoi volcano, located 140 nautical miles west of Adak, is currently active. A 975 mb low over the Alaska Peninsula this afternoon will rapidly move eastward into the Gulf tonight. A front will gradually move across the Aleutians this afternoon through Tuesday afternoon. $$ PKZ150-181515- South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape- 643 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt becoming N 40 kt after midnight. Seas 15 ft. .MON...N wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft. .MON NIGHT...N wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 15 ft. .TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. .FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. $$ PKZ155-181515- South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef- 643 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt with gusts to 50 kt out of bays and passes. From the Shumagin Islands E, NW wind 25 kt becoming N 35 kt after midnight. Seas 15 ft. .MON...N wind 35 kt becoming NW 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 15 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .THU...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. .FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft. $$ PKZ160-181515- Bristol Bay- 643 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft. .MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ165-181515- Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef- 643 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. From Port Moller E, N wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft except 12 ft from Port Moller E. .MON...N wind 25 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas 12 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt except W 15 kt from Port Moller E. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .THU...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. .FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ170-181515- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side- 643 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 19 ft. .MON...NW wind 20 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 13 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain. .TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. .WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. .THU...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 24 ft. .FRI...W wind 40 kt. Seas 27 ft. $$ PKZ171-181515- Unalaska Bay- 643 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. .MON...NW wind 20 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ172-181515- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side- 643 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt with gusts to 50 kts through gaps and passes. Seas 17 ft. .MON...NW wind 30 kt becoming W 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft subsiding to 6 ft in the afternoon. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. .THU...S wind 45 kt. Seas 28 ft. .FRI...W wind 45 kt. Seas 29 ft. $$ PKZ173-181515- Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side- 643 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 20 ft. .MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. .WED...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. .THU...S wind 45 kt. Seas 29 ft. .FRI...W wind 45 kt. Seas 29 ft. $$ PKZ174-181515- Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side- 643 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 20 ft subsiding to 15 ft after midnight. .MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. .WED...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. .THU...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 34 ft. .FRI...W wind 50 kt. Seas 34 ft. $$ PKZ175-181515- Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side- 643 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt becoming SW after midnight. Seas 17 ft. .MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. .WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 45 kt. Seas 27 ft. $$ PKZ176-181515- Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side- 643 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt becoming W 15 kt after midnight. Seas 14 ft. .MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain. .MON NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. .WED...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. .THU...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 29 ft. .FRI...W wind 45 kt. Seas 27 ft. $$ PKZ177-181515- Adak to Kiska- 643 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain. .MON NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. .WED...S wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. .THU...W wind 45 kt. Seas 25 ft. .FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. $$ PKZ178-181515- Kiska to Attu- 643 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt becoming SW 30 kt after midnight. Seas 14 ft. .MON...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. .WED...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. .THU...W wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft. .FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. $$ PKZ179-181515- Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters- 643 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt becoming NW 20 kt after midnight. Seas 15 ft. .MON...SW wind 20 kt becoming S 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain. .TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. .WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. .THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ180-181515- Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait- 643 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .MON...N wind 25 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft. .MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain. .TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ181-181515- North and West of Nunivak Island- 643 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt becoming NE 20 kt after midnight. Seas 10 ft. .MON...E wind 15 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft. Rain. .MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Widespread rain showers. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ185-181515- Saint Matthew Island Waters- 643 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...E of Saint Matthew Island, N wind 25 kt becoming E 15 kt after midnight. W of Saint Matthew Island, E wind 20 kt becoming SE 40 kt after midnight. Seas 11 ft. Rain. .MON...E of Saint Matthew Island, SE wind 25 kt becoming S 35 kt in the afternoon. W of Saint Matthew Island, S wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain and snow. .MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers and snow showers. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. .WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. .THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$
808 FZAK52 PAFC 181118 CWFALU Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 318 AM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021 Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ199-190015- 318 AM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A broad front moves across the Bering through Tuesday night. A 973 mb low associated with the front moves to 140 nm northwest of Saint Matthew Island at 973 mb Tue morning, then to 170 nm northwest of Nunivak Island at 975 mb by Tue night. $$ PKZ150-190015- South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape- 318 AM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...N wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 19 ft. .TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. .TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft. $$ PKZ155-190015- South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef- 318 AM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...N wind 35 kt becoming NW 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 15 ft. .TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. From the Shumagin Islands E, NW 15 kt becoming SW 15 kt after midnight. Seas 10 ft. .TUE...W wind 30 kt except W 20 kt from the Shumagin Islands E. Seas 9 ft. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .THU...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 25 ft. .FRI...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 25 ft. $$ PKZ160-190015- Bristol Bay- 318 AM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft. .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...S wind 20 kt becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ165-190015- Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef- 318 AM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...N wind 25 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas 12 ft subsiding to 6 ft in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt except S 20 kt from Port Moller E. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers. .TUE...W wind 25 kt. From Port Moller E, SW wind 15 kt becoming W 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. .WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. .THU...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. .FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. $$ PKZ170-190015- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side- 318 AM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...N wind 20 kt becoming SW wind 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 13 ft. .TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers. .TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain showers. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. .WED...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 20 ft. .THU...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 26 ft. .FRI...W wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft. $$ PKZ171-190015- Unalaska Bay- 318 AM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY... .TODAY...NW wind 20 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .TUE...W wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ172-190015- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side- 318 AM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...NW wind 30 kt becoming W 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft subsiding to 7 ft in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. .WED...W wind 45 kt. Seas 13 ft. .THU...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 24 ft. .FRI...W wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft. $$ PKZ173-190015- Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side- 318 AM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY... .TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...W wind 50 kt. Seas 22 ft. .FRI...W wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft. $$ PKZ174-190015- Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side- 318 AM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY... .TODAY...NW wind 15 kt becoming SW 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft. .TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain. .TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. .WED...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft. .THU...W wind 45 kt. Seas 25 ft. .FRI...W wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft. $$ PKZ175-190015- Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side- 318 AM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY... .TODAY...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft building to 16 ft after midnight. Rain showers. .TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain showers. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. .WED...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. .THU...W wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft. .FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. $$ PKZ176-190015- Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side- 318 AM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY... .TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. .WED...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 20 ft. .THU...W wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft. .FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ177-190015- Adak to Kiska- 318 AM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY... .TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. .TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. .WED...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. .THU...W wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. .FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ178-190015- Kiska to Attu- 318 AM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. .TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. .WED...N wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. .THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. .FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ179-190015- Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters- 318 AM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...SW wind 20 kt becoming S 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft. .TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers. .TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain and snow showers. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft. .WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. .THU...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. .FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. $$ PKZ180-190015- Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait- 318 AM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY... .TODAY...N wind 20 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft. .TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain. .TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ181-190015- North and West of Nunivak Island- 318 AM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...E wind 15 kt becoming S 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft. Rain and snow. .TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain. .TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ185-190015- Saint Matthew Island Waters- 318 AM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021 ...GALE WARNING TODAY AND TUESDAY... .TODAY...E of Saint Matthew Island, SE wind 25 kt becoming S 35 kt in the afternoon. W of Saint Matthew Island, S wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. Widespread rain showers and snow. .TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain showers. .TUE...SW wind 25 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...W 35 kt W of Saint Matthew Island. Seas 19 ft. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. .WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. .THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$
045 FZAK52 PAFC 182346 CWFALU Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 346 PM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021 Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ199-191245- 346 PM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 976 mb low 580 nm north of Shemya this afternoon will move to 430 nm northwest of Bethel at 979 mb Tuesday afternoon. The low then remains nearly stationary and weakens to 992 mb Wednesday afternoon. A second 976 mb North Pacific low will move to 50 nm south of Shemya Wednesday afternoon. $$ PKZ150-191245- South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape- 346 PM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft. .SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. $$ PKZ155-191245- South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef- 346 PM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt except NW 15 kt from the Shumagin Islands E. Seas 9 ft. .TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. .WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .THU...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 25 ft. .FRI...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 25 ft. .SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ160-191245- Bristol Bay- 346 PM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021 .TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt becoming S 20 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ165-191245- Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef- 346 PM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain showers. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. .WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. .THU...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. .FRI AND SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. $$ PKZ170-191245- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side- 346 PM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft building to 17 ft in the afternoon. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft. .WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. .WED NIGHT THROUGH THU...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 23 ft. .FRI...W wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft. .SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ171-191245- Unalaska Bay- 346 PM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming W 25 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft after midnight. .TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers. .WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ172-191245- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side- 346 PM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. .WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .WED NIGHT THROUGH THU...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 22 ft. .FRI...W wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft. .SAT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ173-191245- Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side- 346 PM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. .WED NIGHT THROUGH THU...SE wind 50 kt. Seas 24 ft. .THU...SE wind 50 kt. Seas 24 ft. .FRI...W wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft. .SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ174-191245- Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side- 346 PM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. .WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. .WED NIGHT...S wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft. .THU...S wind 45 kt. Seas 25 ft. .FRI...W wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft. .SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ175-191245- Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side- 346 PM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft building to 16 ft after midnight. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. .WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. .WED NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. .THU...W wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft. .FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. .SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ176-191245- Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side- 346 PM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. .WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED NIGHT...S wind 45 kt. Seas 20 ft. .THU...W wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft. .FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. .SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ177-191245- Adak to Kiska- 346 PM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. .WED...S wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. .WED NIGHT THROUGH THU...W wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. .FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ178-191245- Kiska to Attu- 346 PM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. .TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. .WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. .THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. .FRI THROUGH SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ179-191245- Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters- 346 PM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft. .WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. .THU...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. .FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ180-191245- Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait- 346 PM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain. .TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ181-191245- North and West of Nunivak Island- 346 PM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt after midnight. Seas 9 ft. Rain. .TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ185-191245- Saint Matthew Island Waters- 346 PM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. .WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. .WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. .THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$
553 FZAK52 PAFC 191033 CWFALU Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 233 AM AKDT Tue Oct 19 2021 Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ199-192315- 233 AM AKDT Tue Oct 19 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 976 mb low 160 nm northwest of Saint Matthew Island drifts to 230 nm north of Saint Lawrence Island at 983 mb early Thu morning. A second 978 mb Northwest Pacific low treks toward the western Aleutians 200 nm southwest of Shemya Wed afternoon. The strengthening low then advances across the central Bering to 185 nm north of Atka at 956 mb early Thu morning. $$ PKZ150-192315- South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape- 233 AM AKDT Tue Oct 19 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...W wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .THU...S wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. .FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft. .SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. $$ PKZ155-192315- South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef- 233 AM AKDT Tue Oct 19 2021 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. .WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. .THU...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 31 ft. .FRI...W wind 50 kt. Seas 31 ft. .SAT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. $$ PKZ160-192315- Bristol Bay- 233 AM AKDT Tue Oct 19 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers. .TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 11 ft. .FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ165-192315- Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef- 233 AM AKDT Tue Oct 19 2021 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain showers. .TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. .WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .THU...S wind 50 kt. Seas 28 ft. .FRI...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 28 ft. .SAT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. $$ PKZ170-192315- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side- 233 AM AKDT Tue Oct 19 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...W wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain showers. .TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft. .WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft. .WED NIGHT...S wind 50 kt. Seas 16 ft. .THU...W wind 60 kt. Seas 37 ft. .FRI...W wind 55 kt. Seas 36 ft. .SAT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft. $$ PKZ171-192315- Unalaska Bay- 233 AM AKDT Tue Oct 19 2021 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers. .TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers. .WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers. .WED NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 50 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ172-192315- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side- 233 AM AKDT Tue Oct 19 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...W wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. .WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. .WED NIGHT...S wind 45 kt. Seas 12 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 50 kt. Seas 29 ft. .SAT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. $$ PKZ173-192315- Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side- 233 AM AKDT Tue Oct 19 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...W wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft. .WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. .WED NIGHT...S wind 50 kt. Seas 15 ft. .THU...W wind 55 kt. Seas 33 ft. .FRI...W wind 45 kt. Seas 27 ft. .SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. $$ PKZ174-192315- Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side- 233 AM AKDT Tue Oct 19 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...W wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. .WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. .WED NIGHT...S wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft. .THU...W wind 50 kt. Seas 29 ft. .FRI...W wind 45 kt. Seas 25 ft. .SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ175-192315- Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side- 233 AM AKDT Tue Oct 19 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...W wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. .WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain. .WED NIGHT...S wind 50 kt. Seas 16 ft. .THU...W wind 50 kt. Seas 26 ft. .FRI...W wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft. .SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ176-192315- Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side- 233 AM AKDT Tue Oct 19 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...W wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. .WED...W wind 25 kt becoming S 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft. Rain. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 23 ft. .THU...W wind 45 kt. Seas 26 ft. .FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. .SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ177-192315- Adak to Kiska- 233 AM AKDT Tue Oct 19 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. .WED...SW wind 30 kt becoming S 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 14 ft. Rain. .WED NIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 22 ft. .THU...W wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft. .FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. .SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ178-192315- Kiska to Attu- 233 AM AKDT Tue Oct 19 2021 ...GALE WARNING TODAY AND WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. .WED...S wind 25 kt becoming SE 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft. Rain. .WED NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. .THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. .FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ179-192315- Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters- 233 AM AKDT Tue Oct 19 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...W wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 23 ft. Snow showers. .WED...W wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 21 ft. .WED NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 20 ft. .SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. $$ PKZ180-192315- Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait- 233 AM AKDT Tue Oct 19 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU...E wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft. .FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ181-192315- North and West of Nunivak Island- 233 AM AKDT Tue Oct 19 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU...E wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. .FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ185-192315- Saint Matthew Island Waters- 233 AM AKDT Tue Oct 19 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...W wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft. .WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. .FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Oct 17, 5:35 AM AKDT, 8 hours 30 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 17, 5:35 AM AKDT, 8 hours 30 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Anchorage AK 535 AM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021 .ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS... An upper trough combined with multiple shortwaves wrapped into an upper low over the eastern Bering brings steady rain and gusty winds over much of the Aleutians, Southwest Coast, Pribilof Islands and the western Gulf this morning. A weak shortwave ahead of the trough has ushered increased clouds and light rain over the southern Cook Inlet and around southern Kenai Peninsula. An upper ridge extends from the North Pacific through the State to the Bering Sea, causing a subtle break in showers for areas along the ridge axis. && .MODEL DISCUSSION... Computer models are in good agreement with the large scale patterns for both the short and long term. A series of combined former Northwest Pacific tropical systems and North Pacific lows will create prolonged active weather for both Southwest and Southcentral in the coming days. Whether these expected systems stay on-track or not as they approach the forecast area, there is at least adequate agreement on the timing of these isolated episodes especially through the short term. Overall, the forecast confidence is high. && .AVIATION... PANC...VFR conditions will persist. At near 2000 ft, wind shear is expected to pick up to 30 kt this morning for a few hours. Essentially, gentle to moderate northerly winds near surface and broken to overcast cloud coverage will potentially last through tonight. && .SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)... The strong front associated with the Bering Sea low is upon Kodiak Island early this morning. This is bringing strong winds and heavy rain to the Island with rainfall spreading to the north Gulf coast as well. As was discussed yesterday, the main low in the Bering Sea is a complex low with a new center developing along the front near Kodiak Island. What is interesting about the way this low is developing is that this low near Kodiak will move eastward as another low center farther west in the Bering moves toward Kodiak Island tonight. This will cause the front to elongate across the Gulf, but it will remain quite strong with Gale to Storm force winds associated with it. This will also keep the front from pushing inland and therefore keep precipitation mainly relegated to the coast and coastal mountains. Sea level locations will be all rain but areas above 1000 ft will see snowfall with this front. Inland areas such as Anchorage northward and the Copper River Basin will see the precipitation mostly downslope out and with the cross-barrier flow. The flow aloft will mainly have a east-to- northeast tilt, as opposed to a southeasterly direction. This is a drier pattern as well. The front will remain nearly stationary from the eastern Gulf to Prince William Sound through Tuesday and maintain gale force winds with the potential for some periods of storm force winds. This will really crank up the seas with widespread 20+ foot seas developing and then persisting for a few days. && .SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 2: Today through Monday)... As a low in the Bering moves into the Pacific, precipitation over the Southwest will slowly taper off through Sunday evening. Winter Weather Advisories remain in effect for parts of the Kuskokwim Delta and Bristol Bay until early Sunday morning, though additional snow accumulations are expected to be light. Strong winds may resuspend snow on the ground, potentially affecting visibilities even after snowfall ends. However, the likelihood of blowing snow diminishes by the afternoon as temperatures increase. Warming temperatures will also cause precipitation to transition from snow to rain or mix in areas over and north of Dillingham. A ridge builds in Sunday evening as the low progresses southward. Winds weaken and skies begin to clear, allowing temperatures to drop into the 20s Sunday night into Monday morning. Skies remain relatively clear through Monday, though clouds begin to build in from the west as another warm front approaches. Temperatures will initially be cold as the front pushes through the Southwest Monday night, but southerly flow along the front will quickly raise temperatures above freezing. Therefore, precipitation is currently expected to begin as snow but persist primarily as mix or rain as the front progresses inland. && .SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 2: Today through Monday)... A broad low in the Bering will continue to impact the Aleutians through Monday morning. Cold air advection along the back side of the low continues to drive strong winds through the Central Aleutians through Sunday morning. Over the Eastern Aleutians and AKPEN, light rain lingers through Sunday evening and winds become northerly as the low moves out of the area. Gusty winds are expected late Sunday night into Monday morning as winds funnel through gaps and passes. A ridge builds in behind the departing low, bringing weaker winds, clearer skies, and a break from the rain. However, unsettled weather quickly resumes as a low near the Kamchatka Peninsula pushes a warm front across the Aleutian Chain beginning Sunday night. Light rain and winds below gale force are expected with this weaker warm front. A cold front follows on the heels of the warm front, bringing gale force winds and ocean-effect rain showers beginning Monday morning. && .MARINE (Days 3 through 5/Tuesday through Thursday)... Bering/Aleutians Forecast confidence is above average for Tuesday and Wednesday as guidance shows similar solutions with respect to the placement and intensity of synoptic scale features. Forecast confidence becomes low on Thursday as guidance shows significant differences in solutions with the placement and intensity of a low pressure system in the western and central Bering/Aleutians. Gulf of Alaska Forecast confidence remains above average across the Gulf of Alaska during the days 3-5 period as guidance shows similar solutions in the placement and intensity of synoptic scale features. Minor differences exist between guidance with respect to the development and decay of the barrier jet expected in the northern Gulf on Tuesday and Wednesday. There is a high confidence gale force winds will occur in the northern Gulf during that time. && .LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7/Wednesday through Saturday)... A cloudy, wet and cool pattern is expected across Southcentral during the extended period. A positively-tilted upper level trough is expected to extend from the northern Bering Sea into the central Gulf of Alaska. The pattern will also be wet in Southcentral because the trough-axis will remain southwest of the Kenai Peninsula which will allow for an predominant onshore flow pattern while easterly upper level waves move across the area. For now, there is lower confidence with respect to precipitation type, though snow becomes more likely as elevation increases. The Bering/Aleutians will be in a persistent cloudy and cool pattern with showers as broad upper level troughing will remain in place across the area. && .AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... PUBLIC...Winter Weather Advisory: 155, 161. MARINE...Storm-force Warning: 132, 351, 352. Gale Warning: 119, 120, 130, 131, 136-139, 150, 155, 160, 165, 170-181, 185, 411-414. FIRE WEATHER...NONE. && SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...CB SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...EZ SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...KC/CJ MARINE/LONG TERM...ED
In the hours before
Local storm report, Oct 17, 10:30 AM AKDT, 3 hours 35 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1030 AM AKDT SUN OCT 17 2021
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1029 AM SNOW DILLINGHAM AIRPORT 59.04N 158.51W
10/17/2021 E2.5 INCH DILLINGHAM AK TRAINED SPOTTER
DILLINGHAM FLIGHT SERVICES ESTIMATED 2-3
INCHES OF SNOW FROM THE AFTERNOON OF OCTOBER
16TH THROUGH THE MORNING OF OCTOBER 17TH.
&&
EDThe office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 3:46 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 5 days | |
| Oct 17, 3:46 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 59 hr | |
| Oct 17, 3:49 AM AKDT | Storm Warning | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Oct 17, 4:06 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 4 days | |
| Oct 17, 4:06 AM AKDT | Storm Warning | AFC | 11 hr | |
| Oct 17, 3:14 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 24 hr |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2021Every small craft advisory in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.