Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2021

Small Craft Advisory 824, NWS Anchorage, AK

October 17, 2021

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Oct 17, 2021, 4:06 AM AKDT. It was in force for 4 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 17, 2021, 4:06 AM AKDT (12:06 UTC)
Expired
Oct 20, 2021, 4:15 PM AKDT
In force
4 days
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted.

411 
FZAK51 PAFC 171206
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
406 AM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-180045-
406 AM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 972 mb low enters the western Gulf near Sitkinak Sun afternoon 
then drifts to about 100 nm east of Kodiak City at 989 mb early Tue 
morning.

$$

PKZ119-180045-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
406 AM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt increasing to 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas
6 ft building to 15 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 24 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 45 kt. Seas 25 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.TUE...E wind 40 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ120-180045-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
406 AM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 35 kt becoming E 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8
ft
building to 17 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.TUE...E wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ121-180045-
Resurrection Bay-
406 AM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-180045-
Prince William Sound-
406 AM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft
building to 6 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-180045-
Port Valdez-
406 AM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-180045-
Valdez Narrows-
406 AM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-180045-
Valdez Arm-
406 AM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-180045-
Passage Canal-
406 AM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
building to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-180045-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
406 AM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.MON...N wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-180045-
Barren Islands East-
406 AM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 12 ft building to 20 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...E wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ132-180045-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
406 AM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 50 kt becoming W 20 kt by late afternoon. N of 
Dangerous Cape, SE wind 50 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt becoming NE 40 kt after midnight. N of
Dangerous Cape, E wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ136-180045-
Chiniak Bay-
406 AM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 40 kt diminishing to N 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 
16 ft subsiding to 9 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-180045-
Marmot Bay-
406 AM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-180045-
Shelikof Strait-
406 AM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt becoming NE in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft
building to 15 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.MON...N wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
12 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-180045-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
406 AM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
8 ft building to 12 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...N wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-180045-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
406 AM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ141-180045-
Kachemak Bay-
406 AM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
7 follow-up statements
493 
FZAK51 PAFC 172314
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
314 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-181215-
314 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 975 mb low 250 nm southeast of Kodiak City this afternoon will 
move 230 nm southeast of Kodiak City at 987 mb Monday night. The 
low then moves 260 nm southeast of Kodiak City at 983 mb Tuesday 
afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-181215-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
314 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 45 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 45 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ120-181215-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
314 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ121-181215-
Resurrection Bay-
314 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021

.TONIGHT...N wind increasing to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-181215-
Prince William Sound-
314 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 
ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-181215-
Port Valdez-
314 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-181215-
Valdez Narrows-
314 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-181215-
Valdez Arm-
314 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-181215-
Passage Canal-
314 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt near Whittier early. Seas 3 
ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-181215-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
314 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ131-181215-
Barren Islands East-
314 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ132-181215-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
314 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt becoming NE 45 kt after midnight. N of 
Dangerous Cape, NE wind 45 kt. Seas 23 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ136-181215-
Chiniak Bay-
314 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft subsiding to 10 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-181215-
Marmot Bay-
314 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-181215-
Shelikof Strait-
314 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.MON...N wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
14 ft subsiding to 9 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-181215-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
314 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft subsiding to 7 ft in the
afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-181215-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
314 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the
afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ141-181215-
Kachemak Bay-
314 PM AKDT Sun Oct 17 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after
midnight.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$
765 
FZAK51 PAFC 181155
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
355 AM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-190100-
355 AM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 975 mb low 90 nm northwest of Kodiak City drifts to 35 nm south of
Homer at 979 mb Tue night.

$$

PKZ119-190100-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
355 AM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 45 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...E wind 45 kt. Seas 26 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ120-190100-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
355 AM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 24 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ121-190100-
Resurrection Bay-
355 AM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-190100-
Prince William Sound-
355 AM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-190100-
Port Valdez-
355 AM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ127-190100-
Valdez Narrows-
355 AM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-190100-
Valdez Arm-
355 AM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-190100-
Passage Canal-
355 AM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain showers and snow.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-190100-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
355 AM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-190100-
Barren Islands East-
355 AM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 40 kt becoming E 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 21
ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ132-190100-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
355 AM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt becoming W 20 kt in the afternoon. N of
Dangerous Cape, N wind 35 kt becoming NW 25 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 18 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ136-190100-
Chiniak Bay-
355 AM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 35 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 16 ft 
subsiding to 11 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-190100-
Marmot Bay-
355 AM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt becoming NW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft
subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-190100-
Shelikof Strait-
355 AM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
15 ft subsiding to 11 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ139-190100-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
355 AM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-190100-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
355 AM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-190100-
Kachemak Bay-
355 AM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 
5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
400 
FZAK51 PAFC 181206 AAA
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast...UPDATED
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
406 AM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021

Coastal waters forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-190315-
406 AM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 975 mb low 90 nm northwest of Kodiak City drifts to 35 nm south of
Homer at 979 mb Tue night.

$$

PKZ119-190315-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
406 AM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 45 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT AND TUE...E wind 45 kt. Seas 26 ft. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ120-190315-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
406 AM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 24 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT AND TUE...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ121-190315-
Resurrection Bay-
406 AM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Widespread rain showers. 
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-190315-
Prince William Sound-
406 AM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Widespread rain showers. 
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-190315-
Port Valdez-
406 AM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain showers. 
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ127-190315-
Valdez Narrows-
406 AM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-190315-
Valdez Arm-
406 AM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Widespread rain showers. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-190315-
Passage Canal-
406 AM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain showers and snow.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-190315-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
406 AM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-190315-
Barren Islands East-
406 AM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...NE wind 40 kt becoming E 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
21 ft. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ132-190315-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
406 AM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. 
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt becoming W 20 kt in the afternoon. N of
Dangerous Cape, N wind 35 kt becoming NW 25 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 18 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ136-190315-
Chiniak Bay-
406 AM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 35 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 16 ft 
subsiding to 11 ft in the afternoon. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-190315-
Marmot Bay-
406 AM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...N wind 25 kt becoming NW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft
subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-190315-
Shelikof Strait-
406 AM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
15 ft subsiding to 11 ft in the afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ139-190315-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
406 AM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-190315-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
406 AM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-190315-
Kachemak Bay-
406 AM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon.
Seas  5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
306 
FZAK51 PAFC 182336
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
336 PM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-191245-
336 PM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 988 mb low will develop 270 nm southeast of Cordova this 
evening and will move 70 nm east of Kodiak City at 979 mb Tuesday
afternoon. The low then moves inland Wednesday morning. A second 
986 mb low will move 270 nm southeast of Cordova Wednesday 
afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-191245-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
336 PM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 24 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 45 kt. Seas 25 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt becoming S 25 kt after midnight. Seas
17 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ120-191245-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
336 PM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 45 kt. Seas 23 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight.
Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ121-191245-
Resurrection Bay-
336 PM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming S 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-191245-
Prince William Sound-
336 PM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt becoming E 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft
building to 9 ft in the afternoon. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-191245-
Port Valdez-
336 PM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ127-191245-
Valdez Narrows-
336 PM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-191245-
Valdez Arm-
336 PM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt becoming E 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft
building to 6 ft in the afternoon. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-191245-
Passage Canal-
336 PM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2
ft building to 4 ft in the afternoon. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-191245-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
336 PM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-191245-
Barren Islands East-
336 PM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 35 kt becoming SW 20 kt after midnight. Seas
15 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ132-191245-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
336 PM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ136-191245-
Chiniak Bay-
336 PM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft subsiding to 5 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 7 ft in the afternoon.
Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-191245-
Marmot Bay-
336 PM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft.
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-191245-
Shelikof Strait-
336 PM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after
midnight.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ139-191245-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
336 PM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 30 kt becoming SW 25 kt after midnight. Seas
9 ft subsiding to 5 ft after midnight. Widespread rain showers.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-191245-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
336 PM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft building to 8 ft in the afternoon.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. Seas
9 ft subsiding to 6 ft after midnight.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-191245-
Kachemak Bay-
336 PM AKDT Mon Oct 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.WED...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
190 
FZAK51 PAFC 191207
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
407 AM AKDT Tue Oct 19 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-200100-
407 AM AKDT Tue Oct 19 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 982 mb low 100 nm south of Middleton Island moves to 40 nm 
southwest of Seward at 979 mb Tue afternoon. The low then moves 
inland through Tue night. A 984 mb low develops 60 nm south of 
Chiniak Tue night, then moves to 60 nm east of Seldovia at 996 mb Wed
night.

$$

PKZ119-200100-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
407 AM AKDT Tue Oct 19 2021

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 45 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
17 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Near the coast, E wind 25 kt becoming
SE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 16 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ120-200100-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
407 AM AKDT Tue Oct 19 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
17 ft. Rain.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ121-200100-
Resurrection Bay-
407 AM AKDT Tue Oct 19 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 
ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-200100-
Prince William Sound-
407 AM AKDT Tue Oct 19 2021

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.WED...E wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Rain.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-200100-
Port Valdez-
407 AM AKDT Tue Oct 19 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.WED...E wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ127-200100-
Valdez Narrows-
407 AM AKDT Tue Oct 19 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-200100-
Valdez Arm-
407 AM AKDT Tue Oct 19 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-200100-
Passage Canal-
407 AM AKDT Tue Oct 19 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 
ft building to 7 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
7 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...E wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-200100-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
407 AM AKDT Tue Oct 19 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt after midnight. Seas 9
ft. Rain showers.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-200100-
Barren Islands East-
407 AM AKDT Tue Oct 19 2021

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt becoming S 15 kt after midnight. Seas 15 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 20 kt becoming N 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ132-200100-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
407 AM AKDT Tue Oct 19 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ136-200100-
Chiniak Bay-
407 AM AKDT Tue Oct 19 2021

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-200100-
Marmot Bay-
407 AM AKDT Tue Oct 19 2021

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-200100-
Shelikof Strait-
407 AM AKDT Tue Oct 19 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt becoming W 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft. 
Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-200100-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
407 AM AKDT Tue Oct 19 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt becoming SW 15 kt after midnight. Seas 9
ft subsiding to 6 ft after midnight. Widespread rain showers.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-200100-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
407 AM AKDT Tue Oct 19 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft building to 8 ft in the afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt becoming S 15 kt after midnight. Seas 9
ft subsiding to 6 ft after midnight.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ141-200100-
Kachemak Bay-
407 AM AKDT Tue Oct 19 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
051 
FZAK51 PAFC 192358
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
358 PM AKDT Tue Oct 19 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-201315-
358 PM AKDT Tue Oct 19 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 977 mb low 125 nm northeast of Kodiak City this afternoon will 
move inland tonight. A second 982 mb low 300 nm southeast of
Cordova Tuesday night will move 40 nm southwest of Cordova at 987
mb Wednesday afternoon. The low then moves inland Wednesday 
evening. A front enters the western Gulf Thursday afternoon. 

$$

PKZ119-201315-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
358 PM AKDT Tue Oct 19 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 14
ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ120-201315-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
358 PM AKDT Tue Oct 19 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
14 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ121-201315-
Resurrection Bay-
358 PM AKDT Tue Oct 19 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt becoming S wind 25 kt in the evening. 
Diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft 
after midnight. Rain.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain
showers.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-201315-
Prince William Sound-
358 PM AKDT Tue Oct 19 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
7 ft. Rain.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt becoming N 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Rain.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt becoming SE 20 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-201315-
Port Valdez-
358 PM AKDT Tue Oct 19 2021

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.WED...E wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread
rain showers.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ127-201315-
Valdez Narrows-
358 PM AKDT Tue Oct 19 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-201315-
Valdez Arm-
358 PM AKDT Tue Oct 19 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE wind 15 kt
after midnight. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-201315-
Passage Canal-
358 PM AKDT Tue Oct 19 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...E wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain
showers.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-201315-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
358 PM AKDT Tue Oct 19 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt becoming SE 15 kt after midnight. Seas 4
ft. Rain showers.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NW 20 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ131-201315-
Barren Islands East-
358 PM AKDT Tue Oct 19 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt becoming SE 15 kt after midnight. Seas
13 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt becoming N 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ132-201315-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
358 PM AKDT Tue Oct 19 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. N of
Dangerous Cape, variable wind 10 kt becoming NW 15 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ136-201315-
Chiniak Bay-
358 PM AKDT Tue Oct 19 2021

.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NW 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-201315-
Marmot Bay-
358 PM AKDT Tue Oct 19 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NW 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt becoming W 10 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-201315-
Shelikof Strait-
358 PM AKDT Tue Oct 19 2021

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft building to 5 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-201315-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
358 PM AKDT Tue Oct 19 2021

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt becoming S 10 kt after midnight. Seas 5
ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Rain showers.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt becoming N 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 10 kt becoming W 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-201315-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
358 PM AKDT Tue Oct 19 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt becoming SW 15 kt after midnight. Seas 8
ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-201315-
Kachemak Bay-
358 PM AKDT Tue Oct 19 2021

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming SE 10 kt after midnight. Seas 4
ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
544 
FZAK51 PAFC 201157
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
357 AM AKDT Wed Oct 20 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-210015-
357 AM AKDT Wed Oct 20 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 978 mb low enters the southeastern Gulf this morning, then 
advances to 50 nm south of Cordova at 989 mb Wed night. The low then 
moves inland Thu morning. A front enters the western Gulf Thu 
afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-210015-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
357 AM AKDT Wed Oct 20 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt becoming S after midnight. Seas 15 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ120-210015-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
357 AM AKDT Wed Oct 20 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ121-210015-
Resurrection Bay-
357 AM AKDT Wed Oct 20 2021

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt becoming S 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-210015-
Prince William Sound-
357 AM AKDT Wed Oct 20 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt becoming SE 40 kt after midnight. Seas 4
ft building to 9 ft after midnight. Rain.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-210015-
Port Valdez-
357 AM AKDT Wed Oct 20 2021

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ127-210015-
Valdez Narrows-
357 AM AKDT Wed Oct 20 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-210015-
Valdez Arm-
357 AM AKDT Wed Oct 20 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft building to 5 ft after midnight. Rain.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-210015-
Passage Canal-
357 AM AKDT Wed Oct 20 2021

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt diminishing this morning then becoming W 10 kt
in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 3 
ft. Rain.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-210015-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
357 AM AKDT Wed Oct 20 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...W wind 15 kt becoming SE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ131-210015-
Barren Islands East-
357 AM AKDT Wed Oct 20 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt becoming N 20 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt becoming SE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11
ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ132-210015-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
357 AM AKDT Wed Oct 20 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. N of Dangerous Cape, E wind 15 kt becoming N
20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ136-210015-
Chiniak Bay-
357 AM AKDT Wed Oct 20 2021

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NW 15 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt becoming W 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 15 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-210015-
Marmot Bay-
357 AM AKDT Wed Oct 20 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt becoming NW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...SW wind 10 kt becoming SE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft
building to 4 ft in the afternoon.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-210015-
Shelikof Strait-
357 AM AKDT Wed Oct 20 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft .
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt becoming SE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4
ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ139-210015-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
357 AM AKDT Wed Oct 20 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt becoming N 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt becoming W 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft.
.THU...SW wind 10 kt becoming SE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ140-210015-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
357 AM AKDT Wed Oct 20 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NW 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-210015-
Kachemak Bay-
357 AM AKDT Wed Oct 20 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt becoming W 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2
ft building to 4 ft after midnight.
.THU...SW wind 10 kt becoming E 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Oct 16, 4:51 PM AKDT, 11 hours 15 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 16, 4:51 PM AKDT, 11 hours 15 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
451 PM AKDT Sat Oct 16 2021

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

An impressive 180 knot jet streak at 300mb is situated over the
north Pacific just south of the western Aleutians. A broad upper
level trough is in place over the Bering while a transient ridge
moves over the Alaska Peninsula. A front extending from a low
centered over the western Bering (just north of Shemya) is
gradually lifting inland over Southwest Alaska. A vertically
stacked low is nearly stationary over the southeastern Gulf while
a weak surface low centered near Middleton Island is producing
some light rain across the northern Gulf coast. Most of
Southcentral saw some low level stratus this morning, and that has
persisted across the Anchorage Bowl, Kenai Peninsula, and Mat-Su
Valleys. Along the Aleutian Chain, gusty southerly winds and rain
are spreading in along the frontal boundary as it moves from west
to east across the Bering today. Surface observations on the
Pribilof Islands also recorded storm force gusts earlier today
with the front progressing eastward.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Synoptically, model solutions are in good agreement. The main
forecast challenge continues to be the smaller scale details. In
particular, models are struggling with the progression of a front
associated with a low in the Gulf as it moves from west to east.
Additionally, models disagree on the development of several
smaller lows forming along the front through Monday. At this time
the NAM solution places the low center farther north than the
GFS/Canadian. Farther west, there is good agreement regarding the
arrival of another low arriving over the northern Bering by
Tuesday. Overall, forecast confidence across Southcentral Alaska beyond
Monday remains low.

&&

.AVIATION...

PANC...Low stratus is expected to erode once southeasterly flow
picks up through Turnagain Arm tonight. Winds at the terminal are
expected to remain northerly Sunday with gusts in the afternoon
hours. With persistent southeasterly flow through the Arm, have
introduced wind shear beginning late tonight. Threat of wind shear
is expected to last through Sunday.

&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 to 3, tonight
through Tuesday)...

An upper level trough passing over Prince William Sound has
induced the formation of a small, weak surface low near Middleton
Island this evening. Areas of rain and snow will continue
drifting near and north of the center through tonight over areas
including Valdez and Cordova. To the west, stubborn low stratus
along the western Kenai Peninsula and over the MatSu Valleys is
slowly beginning to break up base on satellite imagery. What's
left of the cloud deck should continue to mix out overnight
tonight as southeast flow increases ahead of what will be the next
impactful system to affect parts of the region over the next
several days.

By early Sunday morning, a strong front associated with a Bering
low will enter the western Gulf and spread a band of moderate to
heavy precipitation and potent southeast winds northeast across
Kodiak Island. Winds up to storm force are now expected in the
southern Gulf ahead of the front on Sunday as it begins to slow
down and nearly stall out on a west-east axis. Warm sea surface
temperatures and decent warm air advection with the southeast
winds should allow for mainly rain to fall at the onset of
precipitation in Kodiak, though a very brief period of snow or
rain/snow mix is possible late tonight before changing to all
rain. Precipitation aided by onshore and upslope flow will also
spread north along the Kenai Peninsula and around Prince William
Sound, but downslope drying to the northwest across much of the
MatSu Valleys and Anchorage area should keep things generally dry
here. Snow is expected to transition to or mix with rain at low
elevations by Sunday afternoon along the eastern Kenai Peninsula
with continued warm, southeast flow off of the Gulf. Higher
elevations above around 1000 to 1500 feet over the Chugach and
Kenai Mountains will likely to see all snow lasting through Sunday
night.

By early Monday, the entire large, complex low will have
transitioned from the eastern Bering to the Gulf, with one or more
smaller centers likely to spin up along the Low's gale to
possibly storm force front wrapping across much of the Gulf. There
should be a break in the steady precip along the north Gulf Coast
and Kenai Peninsula by this point in time, as low level winds
back to a more northeast direction and shut off the moist onshore
flow and related upslope enhancement.

On Tuesday, a digging trough moving into the Eastern Aleutians
and AKPen will begin to interact with the then weakening Gulf low,
effectively pulling it back north towards the Gulf coast.
Increasing chances for rain and snow are expected once again as
the system moves back north, with the highest chances again
focused along the Kenai Peninsula and Prince William sound.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3: tonight
through Monday)...

The front off a larger Bering low reached the Southwest Coast
earlier this afternoon. Snow has already been reported in both
Kipnuk and Toksook Bays and winds in both areas have already
started to gradually increase. Winds along the coast are likely
to continue to increase throughout the rest of the day today due
to the tight thermal gradient before beginning to diminish by
tomorrow morning. A warmer air mass is traveling with the front,
thus, there may be a transition to a rain/snow mix at some point
this evening before turning back to all snow later tonight. By
tomorrow, there will be another transition back to rain/snow or
all rain. Snowfall spreads further inland later tonight as the
front continues moving across Southwest. The foothills of the
Kilbuck Mountains may end up seeing upwards of 6-8 inches, while
the lower elevations near Dillingham and Togiak may see anywhere
from 2-4 inches of accumulation possible. Snow will, again,
transition to a rain/snow mix and eventually all rain tomorrow.
Anticipate gusty winds along the Southwest Coast and the foothills
of the Kilbuck Mountains creating areas of blowing snow through
the night tonight. The front moves off to the east by tomorrow
afternoon, allowing winds to gradually continue decreasing through
the overnight hours Sunday night, and conditions to dry out. This
pattern will be short-lived, existing for a quick 30-hours before
the next front off a new Kamchatka low reaches the Southwest
Coast late Monday night.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3:
tonight through Monday)...

A strong jet streak south of the Aleutians is helping increase
winds on the back side of a low currently spinning in the Central
Bering. The jet becomes strongly amplified by tonight, digging the
trough across the Aleutians and dipping into the North Pacific.
Storm force winds are expected to track southward across the
Northern and Western Bering and down through the Central
Aleutians through tonight. The associated front reached the
Southwest coast earlier this afternoon, with areas of snow already
being reported from Kipnuk to Toksook Bay. There is a distinct
thermal gradient along the frontal boundary that is aiding in a
stronger wind field along the Southwest Coast, as well as being
wrapped around the northern edge of the system. Winds along the
coast are expected to get to high end gale force, while storm
force winds are likely along the northern Bering tonight.
Precipitation along the eastern Bering and the Alaska Peninsula
will likely start out as snow before transitioning to a rain/snow
mix and eventually all rain as a warmer air mass approaches from
behind the front. Heaviest precipitation will be along the AKPen
and the Bristol Bay coast.

&&

.MARINE (Days 3 through 5/Tuesday through Thursday)...

Bering/Aleutians

Forecast confidence is above average for Tuesday and Wednesday as
guidance shows similar solutions with respect to the placement and
intensity of synoptic scale features. Forecast confidence
decreases on Thursday as guidance shows significant differences
in solutions with the placement and intensity of a low pressure
system in the western and central Bering/Aleutians.

Gulf of Alaska

Forecast confidence remains above average across the Gulf of
Alaska during the days 3-5 period as guidance shows similar
solutions in the placement and intensity of synoptic scale
features. Minor differences exist between guidance with respect to
the development and decay of the barrier jet expected in the
northern Gulf on Tuesday and Wednesday. There is a high confidence
gale force winds will occur in the northern Gulf during that
time.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7/Wednesday through Saturday)...

A cloudy, wet and cool pattern is expected across Southcentral
during the extended period. A positively-tilted upper level trough
is expected to extend from the northern Bering Sea into the
central Gulf of Alaska. The pattern will also be wet in
Southcentral because the trough-axis will remain southwest of the
Kenai Peninsula which will allow for a predominant onshore flow
pattern while easterly upper level waves move across the area. For
now, there is lower confidence with respect to precipitation
type, though snow becomes more likely as elevation increases. The
Bering/Aleutians will be in a persistent cloudy and cool pattern
with showers as broad upper level troughing will remain in place
across the area.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Winter Weather Advisory: 155, 161.
MARINE...Storm Warning: 175-177, 185, 352, 411, 413.
         Gale Warning: 119-120, 130-132, 136-139, 150, 155, 160,
                       165, 170-174, 178-181, 351, 412, 414.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...KO
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...AS
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...KM
MARINE/LONG TERM...ED

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 17, 3:46 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC5 days
Oct 17, 3:46 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC59 hr
Oct 17, 3:49 AM AKDTStorm WarningAFC24 hr
Oct 17, 4:06 AM AKDTStorm WarningAFC11 hr
Oct 17, 2:05 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC49 hr
Oct 17, 3:14 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC24 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2021Every small craft advisory in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.