Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2021

Small Craft Advisory 578, NWS Anchorage, AK

July 23, 2021

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Jul 23, 2021, 3:39 PM AKDT. It was in force for 60 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 23, 2021, 3:39 PM AKDT (23:39 UTC)
Expired
Jul 26, 2021, 3:37 AM AKDT
In force
60 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted.

164 
FZAK52 PAFC 232339
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
339 PM AKDT Fri Jul 23 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-241230-
339 PM AKDT Fri Jul 23 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A front over the western Bering Sea/Aleutians this afternoon will
move over the eastern Bering Sea/Aleutians by Sunday afternoon. 

$$

PKZ150-241230-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
339 PM AKDT Fri Jul 23 2021

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ155-241230-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
339 PM AKDT Fri Jul 23 2021

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ160-241230-
Bristol Bay-
339 PM AKDT Fri Jul 23 2021

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ165-241230-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
339 PM AKDT Fri Jul 23 2021

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ170-241230-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
339 PM AKDT Fri Jul 23 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ171-241230-
Unalaska Bay-
339 PM AKDT Fri Jul 23 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-241230-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
339 PM AKDT Fri Jul 23 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. NW wind 15 kt E of Dutch
Harbor. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ173-241230-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
339 PM AKDT Fri Jul 23 2021

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Areas of fog.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Areas of fog. Rain.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ174-241230-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
339 PM AKDT Fri Jul 23 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of fog.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming SW 25 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ175-241230-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
339 PM AKDT Fri Jul 23 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Areas of fog.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Areas of fog.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ176-241230-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
339 PM AKDT Fri Jul 23 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of fog.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of fog.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ177-241230-
Adak to Kiska-
339 PM AKDT Fri Jul 23 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
6 ft. Areas of dense fog. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ178-241230-
Kiska to Attu-
339 PM AKDT Fri Jul 23 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ179-241230-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
339 PM AKDT Fri Jul 23 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Areas of fog.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Areas of fog. Rain. 
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ180-241230-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
339 PM AKDT Fri Jul 23 2021

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ181-241230-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
339 PM AKDT Fri Jul 23 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ185-241230-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
339 PM AKDT Fri Jul 23 2021

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$
5 follow-up statements
036 
FZAK52 PAFC 241133
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
333 AM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-250030-
333 AM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 1017 mb low 200 nm east of Shemya on Sat evening moves to 80 nm
southwest of Cold Bay at 1010 mb on Sun evening. A 1012 mb low
moves to 115 nm southwest of Shemya on Sun evening. 

$$

PKZ150-250030-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
333 AM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ155-250030-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
333 AM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021

.TODAY...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ160-250030-
Bristol Bay-
333 AM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ165-250030-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
333 AM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021

.TODAY...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ170-250030-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
333 AM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021

.TODAY...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ171-250030-
Unalaska Bay-
333 AM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-250030-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
333 AM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021

.TODAY...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt becoming NW in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ173-250030-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
333 AM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Areas of fog. Rain.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ174-250030-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
333 AM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming SW 25 kt after midnight. Seas 5
ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ175-250030-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
333 AM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft building to 7 ft after
midnight. Areas of fog.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
7 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ176-250030-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
333 AM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ177-250030-
Adak to Kiska-
333 AM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
5 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ178-250030-
Kiska to Attu-
333 AM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of dense fog. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ179-250030-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
333 AM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming S 10 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ180-250030-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
333 AM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021

.TODAY...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ181-250030-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
333 AM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...S wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ185-250030-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
333 AM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$
420 
FZAK52 PAFC 242344
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
344 PM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-251215-
344 PM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 1014 mb low 70 nm northeast of Shemya moves to 100 nm northwest
of Cold Bay at 1006 mb Sun night. The low then crosses into the 
North Pacific about 140 nm south of Sand Point at 1009 mb Mon 
afternoon. A 1012 mb low 120 nm southwest of Shemya enters the 
western Aleutians Sun night and then drifts to 160 nm north of Adak 
Mon afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-251215-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
344 PM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ155-251215-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
344 PM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. From the
Shumagin Islands E, variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ160-251215-
Bristol Bay-
344 PM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming SW after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ165-251215-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
344 PM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. From Port Moller E, variable wind 10 kt
becoming SE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ170-251215-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
344 PM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming S 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ171-251215-
Unalaska Bay-
344 PM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Areas of fog.
Rain.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt becoming W 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot
building to 3 ft in the afternoon. Areas of fog. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-251215-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
344 PM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ173-251215-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
344 PM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
5 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ174-251215-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
344 PM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming SW 25 kt after midnight. Seas 5 ft.
Areas of fog.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ175-251215-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
344 PM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 8 ft after midnight.
Areas of fog.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ176-251215-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
344 PM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ177-251215-
Adak to Kiska-
344 PM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ178-251215-
Kiska to Attu-
344 PM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 7 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ179-251215-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
344 PM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Areas of fog. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Areas
of fog. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ180-251215-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
344 PM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021

.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ181-251215-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
344 PM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...S wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ185-251215-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
344 PM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$
104 
FZAK52 PAFC 251115
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
315 AM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-260000-
315 AM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 1010 mb low 170 nm north of Unalaska on Sun afternoon moves to
208 nm south of Cold Bay at 1009 mb by Mon afternoon. A 1010 mb
low moves to 135 nm west of Shemya on Sun afternoon moves to 225 
nm north of Adak at 1012 mb by Mon afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-260000-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
315 AM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ155-260000-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
315 AM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt becoming S 20 kt in the afternoon.
From the Shumagin Islands E, variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Areas 
of fog.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ160-260000-
Bristol Bay-
315 AM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

.TODAY...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 foot.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ165-260000-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
315 AM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt except SE 15 kt from Port Moller E. Seas 2
ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ170-260000-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
315 AM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ171-260000-
Unalaska Bay-
315 AM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 10 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2
ft. Areas of fog. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-260000-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
315 AM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of fog. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ173-260000-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
315 AM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
8 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ174-260000-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
315 AM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...W wind 15 kt becoming variable 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5
ft. Areas of fog.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ175-260000-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
315 AM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
8 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ176-260000-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
315 AM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ177-260000-
Adak to Kiska-
315 AM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ178-260000-
Kiska to Attu-
315 AM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming NW after midnight. Seas 8 ft. 
Areas of fog.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ179-260000-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
315 AM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Areas of dense fog. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ180-260000-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
315 AM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

.TODAY...S wind 10 kt becoming SE in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft.
.MON...SE wind 10 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ181-260000-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
315 AM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...S wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ185-260000-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
315 AM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$
540 
FZAK52 PAFC 252342
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
342 PM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-261245-
342 PM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA 
WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 1009 mb low 75 nm southeast of Saint George moves into the North  
Pacific by Mon morning. A second 1009 mb low 125 nm southwest of 
Shemya moves to 125 nm southwest of Adak at 1012 mb Mon afternoon, 
then weakens into a trough. A separate front moves into the northern 
Bering Tue morning.

$$

PKZ150-261245-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
342 PM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ155-261245-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
342 PM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ160-261245-
Bristol Bay-
342 PM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
1 foot.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ165-261245-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
342 PM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ170-261245-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
342 PM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ171-261245-
Unalaska Bay-
342 PM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Areas of dense fog. Rain.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Areas of
dense fog.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-261245-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
342 PM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ173-261245-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
342 PM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
9 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ174-261245-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
342 PM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ175-261245-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
342 PM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ176-261245-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
342 PM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ177-261245-
Adak to Kiska-
342 PM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ178-261245-
Kiska to Attu-
342 PM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ179-261245-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
342 PM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ180-261245-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
342 PM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.MON...SE wind 10 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...S wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ181-261245-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
342 PM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...S wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ185-261245-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
342 PM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...S wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$
633 
FZAK52 PAFC 261137
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
337 AM AKDT Mon Jul 26 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-270045-
337 AM AKDT Mon Jul 26 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A weak trough moves across the Bering through Tuesday afternoon. A
separate front moves into the northern Bering Tuesday morning.

$$

PKZ150-270045-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
337 AM AKDT Mon Jul 26 2021

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ155-270045-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
337 AM AKDT Mon Jul 26 2021

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ160-270045-
Bristol Bay-
337 AM AKDT Mon Jul 26 2021

.TODAY...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 foot.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ165-270045-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
337 AM AKDT Mon Jul 26 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt becoming variable 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ170-270045-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
337 AM AKDT Mon Jul 26 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SE 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ171-270045-
Unalaska Bay-
337 AM AKDT Mon Jul 26 2021

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SE 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE...SE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-270045-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
337 AM AKDT Mon Jul 26 2021

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ173-270045-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
337 AM AKDT Mon Jul 26 2021

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ174-270045-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
337 AM AKDT Mon Jul 26 2021

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ175-270045-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
337 AM AKDT Mon Jul 26 2021

.TODAY...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ176-270045-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
337 AM AKDT Mon Jul 26 2021

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ177-270045-
Adak to Kiska-
337 AM AKDT Mon Jul 26 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ178-270045-
Kiska to Attu-
337 AM AKDT Mon Jul 26 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ179-270045-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
337 AM AKDT Mon Jul 26 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ180-270045-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
337 AM AKDT Mon Jul 26 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 10 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...S wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ181-270045-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
337 AM AKDT Mon Jul 26 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...S wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ185-270045-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
337 AM AKDT Mon Jul 26 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...S 30 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas 7 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jul 23, 5:38 AM AKDT, 10 hours 1 minute earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 23, 5:38 AM AKDT, 10 hours 1 minute before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
538 AM AKDT Fri Jul 23 2021

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

Morning satellite shows the state of Alaska remains under a rex
block pattern with high pressure ridging southwestward from Fort
Yukon into Minchumina and an ongoing vertically stacked low
located over the Gulf. Between these two features is an area of
east to northeasterly flow with areas of scattered showers noted
on radar that extend from Prince William Sound southwestward into
the Alaska Peninsula. An easterly wave of low pressure is just
entering into the Copper River Basin with additional light rain
and increasing clouds per moisture channel imagery. To the west,
an area of low pressure remains positioned over the northern
Bering with a ridge of high pressure noted over the Western
Aleutians. Northwesterly gap winds 20-25 knots are persisting over
the Eastern Aleutians beneath a 90+ knot jet streak which
stretches eastward and immediately south of the aforementioned
Gulf low.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Model agreement remains unchanged and in good agreement with large
scale features. Discrepancies begin to appear when looking at the
finer details. The main concerns for Friday entail the speed at
which the easterly wave, currently moving into the Copper Basin,
moves across South Central and how quickly associated rainfall
arrives to the region. As has been the case over the past couple
of days, the higher resolution models are a tad quicker with
bringing shower activity as well as further south. This would
favor heavier rainfall across the Chugach Mountains and the
Talkeetnas. Meanwhile, the large scale models are slower and
further north, also with less precipitation. High confidence
exists in rain over Southcentral; however, confidence decreases
with exact timing and location of the more substantial rain. All
in all, can expect generally cool, wet conditions with cloudy
conditions.

&&

.AVIATION...

PANC...Turnagain winds have diminished this morning but are
expected to redevelop later this evening, perhaps to a lesser
degree. Much of Friday should remain dry with VFR conditions
extending into the afternoon and early evening hours, although
areas of light rain could develop at times with brief MVFR
conditions. One caveat will be if any heavy showers develop which
would reduce ceilings even more. Confidence in the intensity of
rain later this evening and exact placement is average to below
average.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2: Today
through Saturday Night)...

An area of dense fog has developed across Kachemak Bay, including
Homer and Seldovia this morning. A Dense Fog Advisory is in effect
for that area until Noon. Please use caution when traveling
around the area this morning until the fog lifts by midday.

A strong easterly wave will cross over Southcentral through the
day today. The wave is not being particularly well resolved,
especially with when any associated rain starts and how far south
the rain gets. There is good agreement that the greatest rainfall
amounts will be the farther north you go, so the Copper River
Basin and Susitna Valley are likely to pick up the most rain from
this feature through Saturday.

Expect much more cloud cover area-wide today due to the
persistence of the low over the Gulf and this easterly wave for
inland areas. The Gulf low will continue to sink southward into
the North Pacific tonight. Thus, Kodiak should finally get a break
at least from the steadier rain and lower ceilings tonight. It
appears that if steadier rain spreads south into Anchorage it will
be overnight tonight into Saturday morning. Likely probabilities
of rain have been added to the forecast for tonight in Anchorage.

During the day on Saturday, the wave will stall out over the Cook
Inlet region, which means rain will continue through the day
everywhere, including across the Kenai Peninsula. Due to the wave
weakening, rainfall rates will diminish with time. Drizzle,
sprinkles, and overall wet conditions will persist through
Saturday night.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2...Friday and
Saturday)...

Quiet weather is expected over Southwest Alaska as a shortwave
ridge builds in from the west. Rain over southern Bristol Bay this
morning should taper off later this morning as the shortwave
producing the uplift moves south of the area. Fog has begun to
show up from Iliamna to Port Heiden with greater development
possible near King Salmon after the rain moves through. Otherwise,
onshore flow over the Kuskokwim Delta will bring the typical
overcast weather, though a few breaks in the clouds are possible
due to diurnal heating and a slight increase in instability.
Expect an increase in temperatures over the next two days for
inland areas with highs approaching 70 over the Middle Kuskokwim
Valley. Diurnally driven instability will likely bring a few
showers to the Western Alaska Range each afternoon though
parameters appear too weak to support thunderstorms.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2: Friday
and Saturday)...

A shortwave ridge of high pressure will move west to east over
the Bering through the forecast period. This will lead to the
typical fog and low stratus throughout the region. A series of
shortwaves will follow the ridge, bringing rain to the Central
and Western Aleutians on Saturday. Westerly winds up to 30 kts
will accompany the stronger of the two shortwaves from Shemya to
Adak.

&&

.MARINE (Days 3 through 5: Sunday through Tuesday)...

There is good confidence in the development of localized gale
force winds with a low south of the Aleutians through Sunday
morning. Sunday afternoon through Tuesday morning, expect winds
less than 35 kts and seas less than 20 ft. By Tuesday afternoon, a
developing western Bering low produces the potential for
localized gale force winds over the northern Bering.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Monday through
Thursday)...

The extended timeframe continues to look rather murky as
operational models struggle with the handling of the breakdown of
a Rex Block over the southern mainland and Gulf between Sunday
and Tuesday. Another key uncertainty that will greatly impact the
pattern evolution for the remainder of the week involves the
track and timing of a shortwave that will likely be crossing the
southern Bering and into the AKPen or Eastern Aleutians by the
start of the forecast period on Monday. The operational GFS
attempts to move this wave as a closed upper low much farther
east than other solutions back into the Gulf, essentially re-
establishing the blocking pattern and imparting continued cool
and wet southeasterly flow into Southcentral through the first
half of the week. The EC/Canadian suggest the upper low is more
likely to become stalled farther west over the North Pacific,
allowing instead for a developing longwave ridge to amplify into
the southern mainland. This would result in a much drier and
somewhat warmer outlook for the first few days of the workweek
for Southcentral and perhaps even Southwest AK. These scenarios
both have some support from corresponding ensembles, although
run- to- run continuity for the ensemble means has also recently
been rather poor at the extended timeframe.

In short,there are quite a few details in flux that will have key
impacts on the sensible weather next week, and additional
forecast changes during this period are likely as the synoptic
pattern becomes better resolved.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...BL
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...JPW
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...CJ
MARINE/LONG TERM...CQ/AS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 23, 3:44 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC5 days
Jul 23, 4:02 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC12 hr
Jul 23, 5:15 AM AKDTDense Fog AdvisoryAFC6 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2021Every small craft advisory in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.