Small Craft Advisory 473, NWS Anchorage, AK

037 
FZAK52 PAFC 132346
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
346 PM AKDT Sun Jun 13 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-141230-
346 PM AKDT Sun Jun 13 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 997 mb low 175 nm south of Atka moves to 180 nm west of Dutch 
Harbor by Mon afternoon, then shifts to 420 nm south of Chignik at
1002 mb by Tuesday afternoon. Its front moves across the Alaska
Peninsula and dissipates by Tue afternoon. A 1004 mb South Kamchatka 
low moves to 55 nm south of Seguam Island at 1006 mb by Tuesday 
afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-141230-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
346 PM AKDT Sun Jun 13 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S wind 15 kt after
midnight. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ155-141230-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
346 PM AKDT Sun Jun 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt except SE 20 kt from the Shumagin Islands
E. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ160-141230-
Bristol Bay-
346 PM AKDT Sun Jun 13 2021

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ165-141230-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
346 PM AKDT Sun Jun 13 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt except SE 30 kt from Port Moller E. Seas
9 ft.
.MON...SE wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ170-141230-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
346 PM AKDT Sun Jun 13 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.MON...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ171-141230-
Unalaska Bay-
346 PM AKDT Sun Jun 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 4
ft.
.MON...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-141230-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
346 PM AKDT Sun Jun 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ173-141230-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
346 PM AKDT Sun Jun 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ174-141230-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
346 PM AKDT Sun Jun 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NW 25 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ175-141230-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
346 PM AKDT Sun Jun 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt becoming S 15 kt after midnight. Seas 7 
ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ176-141230-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
346 PM AKDT Sun Jun 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt becoming S 15 kt after midnight. Seas 7 
ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ177-141230-
Adak to Kiska-
346 PM AKDT Sun Jun 13 2021

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ178-141230-
Kiska to Attu-
346 PM AKDT Sun Jun 13 2021

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt becoming N 15 after midnight. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ179-141230-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
346 PM AKDT Sun Jun 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt becoming N 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ180-141230-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
346 PM AKDT Sun Jun 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ181-141230-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
346 PM AKDT Sun Jun 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ185-141230-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
346 PM AKDT Sun Jun 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E of Saint Matthew Island, S wind 25 kt becoming SE 15
kt after midnight. W of Saint Matthew Island, W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 
ft.
.MON THROUGH MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

173 
FZAK52 PAFC 141204
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
404 AM AKDT Mon Jun 14 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-150045-
404 AM AKDT Mon Jun 14 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 995 mb low 100 nm west of Nikolski moves to 270 nm south of Sand
Point at 1002 mb by Tue morning as it exits into the North 
Pacific. Another low moves to 60 nm south of Shemya Tue afternoon
at 1006 mb then moves to 200 nm southwest of Dutch Harbor at 1007
mb by Wed morning.

$$

PKZ150-150045-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
404 AM AKDT Mon Jun 14 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 
ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ155-150045-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
404 AM AKDT Mon Jun 14 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ160-150045-
Bristol Bay-
404 AM AKDT Mon Jun 14 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ165-150045-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
404 AM AKDT Mon Jun 14 2021

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt except E 25 kt from Port Moller E. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ170-150045-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
404 AM AKDT Mon Jun 14 2021

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 10
kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ171-150045-
Unalaska Bay-
404 AM AKDT Mon Jun 14 2021

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ172-150045-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
404 AM AKDT Mon Jun 14 2021

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ173-150045-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
404 AM AKDT Mon Jun 14 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ174-150045-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
404 AM AKDT Mon Jun 14 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt in the morning becoming NW 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ175-150045-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
404 AM AKDT Mon Jun 14 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt becoming SE after midnight. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ176-150045-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
404 AM AKDT Mon Jun 14 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ177-150045-
Adak to Kiska-
404 AM AKDT Mon Jun 14 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ178-150045-
Kiska to Attu-
404 AM AKDT Mon Jun 14 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ179-150045-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
404 AM AKDT Mon Jun 14 2021

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ180-150045-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
404 AM AKDT Mon Jun 14 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ181-150045-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
404 AM AKDT Mon Jun 14 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ185-150045-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
404 AM AKDT Mon Jun 14 2021

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...SW 15 kt W
of Saint Matthew Island. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

810 
FZAK52 PAFC 150003
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
403 PM AKDT Mon Jun 14 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-151300-
403 PM AKDT Mon Jun 14 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA 
WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 1000 mb low 235 nm south of Dutch Harbor swings to 350 nm south of
Kodiak City at 1008 mb by Wed afternoon. Its front extends from the 
southern Bering across the southern Gulf by Wed afternoon. A 1008 mb 
low 60 nm south of Shemya moves to 250 nm south of Cape Sarichef Wed
afternoon while strengthening to 1005 mb. Its front spreads over the
Aleutian Islands Wed afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-151300-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
403 PM AKDT Mon Jun 14 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ155-151300-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
403 PM AKDT Mon Jun 14 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ160-151300-
Bristol Bay-
403 PM AKDT Mon Jun 14 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ165-151300-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
403 PM AKDT Mon Jun 14 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. From Port Moller E, E wind 30 kt
diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt except NE 25 kt from Port Moller E. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ170-151300-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
403 PM AKDT Mon Jun 14 2021

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ171-151300-
Unalaska Bay-
403 PM AKDT Mon Jun 14 2021

.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...W wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft. Rain.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ172-151300-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
403 PM AKDT Mon Jun 14 2021

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ173-151300-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
403 PM AKDT Mon Jun 14 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ174-151300-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
403 PM AKDT Mon Jun 14 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas
6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ175-151300-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
403 PM AKDT Mon Jun 14 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt becoming SE after midnight. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ176-151300-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
403 PM AKDT Mon Jun 14 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ177-151300-
Adak to Kiska-
403 PM AKDT Mon Jun 14 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ178-151300-
Kiska to Attu-
403 PM AKDT Mon Jun 14 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ179-151300-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
403 PM AKDT Mon Jun 14 2021

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ180-151300-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
403 PM AKDT Mon Jun 14 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ181-151300-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
403 PM AKDT Mon Jun 14 2021

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ185-151300-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
403 PM AKDT Mon Jun 14 2021

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...SW 15 kt W
of Saint Matthew Island. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

362 
FZAK52 PAFC 151152
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
352 AM AKDT Tue Jun 15 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-160030-
352 AM AKDT Tue Jun 15 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 1000 mb North Pacific low extends a front over the Alaska
Peninsula and Southern Bering through Wed morning. A 1007 mb low
60 nm west of Adak moves to 100 nm south of Nikolski Wed morning 
at 1003 mb and then moves to 250 nm south of Cold Bay as it 
weakens Thu morning.

$$

PKZ150-160030-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
352 AM AKDT Tue Jun 15 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ155-160030-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
352 AM AKDT Tue Jun 15 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ160-160030-
Bristol Bay-
352 AM AKDT Tue Jun 15 2021

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 1 foot.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ165-160030-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
352 AM AKDT Tue Jun 15 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt except E 25 kt from Port Moller E. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ170-160030-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
352 AM AKDT Tue Jun 15 2021

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas 
5 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ171-160030-
Unalaska Bay-
352 AM AKDT Tue Jun 15 2021

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ172-160030-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
352 AM AKDT Tue Jun 15 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ173-160030-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
352 AM AKDT Tue Jun 15 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ174-160030-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
352 AM AKDT Tue Jun 15 2021

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ175-160030-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
352 AM AKDT Tue Jun 15 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ176-160030-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
352 AM AKDT Tue Jun 15 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt becoming NW in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ177-160030-
Adak to Kiska-
352 AM AKDT Tue Jun 15 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ178-160030-
Kiska to Attu-
352 AM AKDT Tue Jun 15 2021

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ179-160030-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
352 AM AKDT Tue Jun 15 2021

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ180-160030-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
352 AM AKDT Tue Jun 15 2021

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ181-160030-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
352 AM AKDT Tue Jun 15 2021

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ185-160030-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
352 AM AKDT Tue Jun 15 2021

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
459 PM AKDT Sat Jun 12 2021

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

Aloft, a complex pattern exists over Alaska today. Weak flow
continues over Southcentral AK. However, a difference in the
pattern from yesterday is that a closed 500mb low is sliding
southeast across Southwest AK, which has added at least some flow
aloft and has diminished the col at least a bit. It is also
sandwiching a shortwave ridge in the Gulf between it and a low off
the coast of British Columbia. Over the Bering, zonal flow exists
coming around the base of a long wave trough with multiple low
centers. This zonal flow is also nearly cutting off a low in the
North Pacific just south of the Aleutians. All of this to say
there are multiple lows at play and some complicated long wave
troughing, with high pressure managing to sneak into Southcentral.

On the surface, weather is much simpler with high pressure over
mainland AK. Two surface lows exist in the Bering, one in the
eastern Bering and another moving east into the central Bering.
The low in the eastern Bering is weakening and will be absorbed
into the second low later today. Before it does, it will continue
to push a surface front through Southwest AK. This front is
producing a band of rain and rain showers moving through Southwest
AK that can be observed on RADAR. So, there is active weather in
the Bering and Southwest AK with high pressure keeping things
generally quiet in Southcentral AK.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Models continue to perform well. They have been consistent in
depicting synoptic scale features at least for the past day. The
primary forecast challenge continues to be location for convection
in Southcentral. High confidence overall in model guidance today.

&&

.AVIATION...

PANC...VFR conditions and light winds will persist through today.
A weak Turnagain Arm wind event will cause winds to switch to the
south tonight.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3: Sat
afternoon through Tue)...

High pressure will continue to build over Southcentral through
early next week leading to bright blue skies and hot temperatures.
Afternoon convection has kicked off across the northern Susitna
Valley and Copper River Basin with a few lightning strikes between
Trapper Creek and Chulitna. These storms should continue through
the evening. On Sunday expect ample sunshine and temperatures
climbing into the upper 60s to low 70s from the Kenai Peninsula
north to Anchorage with mid 70s across the interior valleys.
Coastal areas along the Kenai Peninsula and Prince William Sound
will likely remain in the low to mid 60s due to a strong sea
breeze. A thunderstorm or two are possible over the Talkeetna,
Wrangell, and northern Chugach Mountains again in the afternoon.
Convection should be limited on Monday due to strong subsidence,
though a northeasterly shortwave moving over the Wrangell
Mountains might kick off a thunderstorm in the afternoon. Expect
highs in the upper 70s across the interior with low 80s possible
on Tuesday.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...

Two separate weather phenomena will bring wetting rains over
Southwest Alaska through the short term. The first event is the
expected frontal system over the Bering which will bring rainfall
along the Southwest Coast and Kuskokwim Delta on Sunday. Meanwhile
a second front wrapped across the Aleutians and southern AKPEN
will merge with the trailing front extending from the Southwest
Coast by Sunday night. This will usher more clouds and rain over
Southwest Coast, Kuskokwim Delta, and portions of Bristol Bay
area on Monday through Tuesday morning. The second event will be
concentrated over the lower Kuskokwim Valley this evening and
mainly in the afternoon through evening hours for Sunday and
Monday. The 850 mb temperature solution maintains high
temperatures soaring across the lower Kuskokwim Valley through
Tuesday.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3)...

Three separate upper-lows and their associated shortwaves will
bring weather over the area, with the first one closer to the
Pribilof Islands this evening. Strong southeast winds will pass
through north of the Pribilof Islands on Sunday. The next low
will reach the Aleutians by Sunday night, which will linger over
central Aleutians through Monday morning before diving back over
the North Pacific Monday afternoon. Strong gusts, elevated seas
and rain associated with this system will be focused mainly over
the central and eastern Aleutians starting Sunday afternoon into
Monday night. The third low from the Northwest Pacific will move
south of the western Aleutians by Monday night and will mainly
bring a lot of rain there through Tuesday. Winds could lead to
small craft conditions like the second low ahead of it over the
central Aleutians. A ridge of high pressure between the second and
third low will yield to marine layer as light winds pass over the
Aleutians, but most of all, mainly stratiform low clouds and
patchy fog will lead to lowered visibility for several areas
across the Aleutians and Bering Sea.

&&

.MARINE (Days 3 through 5 - Tuesday through Thursday)...

A western Aleutian low moves into the central Bering and weakens
by Thursday. Its front wraps over the Bering and across the
Aleutians through Thursday. Forecast confidence is good. Expect gale
force winds with the front from the North Pacific to central
Bering through Thursday. Seas to 15 feet south of the western
Aleutians Tuesday. Generally light winds over the Gulf through
Thursday. A North Pacific low spreads gusty winds across the
Southern Gulf on Thursday, though winds are expected to be less
than gale force at this time.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7: Tuesday through Saturday)...

A summer-like pattern is expected to predominate the weather
across mainland Southern Alaska through the long-term forecast
period. A semi-permanent upper level ridge, typical of summertime
patterns, will be anchored over the interior of the state for
much of the week. This will favor mainly sunny skies and warm
temperatures. When the ridging is at its strongest on Tuesday and
Wednesday, temperatures in interior areas of the Mat-Su and Copper
River Basin may get above the 80 degree mark.

With that said, there is considerable uncertainty on those times
when the ridge weakens and allows upper level disturbances to move
across the area. This is significant because those disturbances
are frequently responsible for setting off thunderstorms in the
afternoons and evenings. This thunderstorm activity would be in
addition to any that are set off by the instability caused by the
thermal trough. Tuesday looks the most likely to have the least
amount of storms as compared to the subsequent days. Thursday
looks the most likely to have a disturbance moving through causing
extra storms. The track and strength of those disturbances is
highly uncertain, and therefore, it cannot yet be said with any
certainty which areas are most likely to see convective activity
yet.

A low moving over the far western Aleutians on Tuesday remains
the main feature out west where there is a decent amount of model
agreement. However, whether it stalls or moves north or south
through mid-week is also uncertain. It appears likely that a low
will track along the Aleutians through late in the workweek,
keeping conditions wet and unstable. Meanwhile the eastern Bering
and Southwest Alaska look to remain mostly quiet through Thursday,
once a front causing some light rain along the Kuskokwim Delta
coast Tuesday morning moves west out to sea.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...JPW
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...CJ
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...CB
MARINE/LONG TERM...KZ/JPW