Small Craft Advisory 465, NWS Anchorage, AK

751 
FZAK52 PAFC 101153
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
353 AM AKDT Thu Jun 10 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-110100-
353 AM AKDT Thu Jun 10 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 1007 mb northern Kamchatka low 100 nm west of Saint Matthew 
Island Fri morning will move to 130 nm southeast of Gambell at 
1009 mb Sat morning. Its associated front will move across the 
Bering and then inland Fri morning. 

$$

PKZ150-110100-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
353 AM AKDT Thu Jun 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ155-110100-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
353 AM AKDT Thu Jun 10 2021

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ160-110100-
Bristol Bay-
353 AM AKDT Thu Jun 10 2021

.TODAY...W wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ165-110100-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
353 AM AKDT Thu Jun 10 2021

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ170-110100-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
353 AM AKDT Thu Jun 10 2021

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ171-110100-
Unalaska Bay-
353 AM AKDT Thu Jun 10 2021

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-110100-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
353 AM AKDT Thu Jun 10 2021

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ173-110100-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
353 AM AKDT Thu Jun 10 2021

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ174-110100-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
353 AM AKDT Thu Jun 10 2021

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ175-110100-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
353 AM AKDT Thu Jun 10 2021

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ176-110100-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
353 AM AKDT Thu Jun 10 2021

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ177-110100-
Adak to Kiska-
353 AM AKDT Thu Jun 10 2021

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ178-110100-
Kiska to Attu-
353 AM AKDT Thu Jun 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ179-110100-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
353 AM AKDT Thu Jun 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft. Patchy fog.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ180-110100-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
353 AM AKDT Thu Jun 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt becoming SW 20 kt after midnight. Seas 4
ft. Patchy fog.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ181-110100-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
353 AM AKDT Thu Jun 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ185-110100-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
353 AM AKDT Thu Jun 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E of Saint Matthew Island, SW wind 15 kt. W of Saint
Matthew Island, SW wind 15 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...E of Saint Matthew Island, S wind 15 kt increasing to
25 kt after midnight. W of Saint Matthew Island, S wind 25 kt.
Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

645 
FZAK52 PAFC 102358
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
358 PM AKDT Thu Jun 10 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-111230-
358 PM AKDT Thu Jun 10 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 1006 mb low 190 nm west of Saint Matthew Island Thu night moves
to 80 nm northeast of Saint Matthew Island at 1009 mb by Sat 
afternoon. Its associated front moves across the Bering and then 
inland Fri morning. 

$$

PKZ150-111230-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
358 PM AKDT Thu Jun 10 2021

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ155-111230-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
358 PM AKDT Thu Jun 10 2021

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ160-111230-
Bristol Bay-
358 PM AKDT Thu Jun 10 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming W 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ165-111230-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
358 PM AKDT Thu Jun 10 2021

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ170-111230-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
358 PM AKDT Thu Jun 10 2021

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ171-111230-
Unalaska Bay-
358 PM AKDT Thu Jun 10 2021

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-111230-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
358 PM AKDT Thu Jun 10 2021

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ173-111230-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
358 PM AKDT Thu Jun 10 2021

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ174-111230-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
358 PM AKDT Thu Jun 10 2021

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ175-111230-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
358 PM AKDT Thu Jun 10 2021

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ176-111230-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
358 PM AKDT Thu Jun 10 2021

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ177-111230-
Adak to Kiska-
358 PM AKDT Thu Jun 10 2021

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ178-111230-
Kiska to Attu-
358 PM AKDT Thu Jun 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ179-111230-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
358 PM AKDT Thu Jun 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ180-111230-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
358 PM AKDT Thu Jun 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt becoming SW after midnight. Seas 4 ft.
Patchy fog.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ181-111230-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
358 PM AKDT Thu Jun 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ185-111230-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
358 PM AKDT Thu Jun 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E of Saint Matthew Island, S wind 15 kt increasing to
25 kt after midnight. W of Saint Matthew Island, S wind 25 kt.
Seas 7 ft. Isolated thunderstorms W of 180.
.FRI...E of Saint Matthew Island, S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt
in the afternoon. W of Saint Matthew Island, W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 
ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

423 
FZAK52 PAFC 111107
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
307 AM AKDT Fri Jun 11 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-120015-
307 AM AKDT Fri Jun 11 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 1006 mb low over St Matthew Island this morning moves to 100 nm
north of the island and then dissipates by Sat afternoon. Its 
front moves inland this morning. A 1005 mb low enters the Bering
Sat morning 400 nm north of Attu. It moves east to be located 500
nm north of the Rat Islands Sat afternoon

$$

PKZ150-120015-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
307 AM AKDT Fri Jun 11 2021

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ155-120015-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
307 AM AKDT Fri Jun 11 2021

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ160-120015-
Bristol Bay-
307 AM AKDT Fri Jun 11 2021

.TODAY...SW wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft.
Patchy fog.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ165-120015-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
307 AM AKDT Fri Jun 11 2021

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ170-120015-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
307 AM AKDT Fri Jun 11 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ171-120015-
Unalaska Bay-
307 AM AKDT Fri Jun 11 2021

.TODAY...SW wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-120015-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
307 AM AKDT Fri Jun 11 2021

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ173-120015-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
307 AM AKDT Fri Jun 11 2021

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ174-120015-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
307 AM AKDT Fri Jun 11 2021

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ175-120015-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
307 AM AKDT Fri Jun 11 2021

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ176-120015-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
307 AM AKDT Fri Jun 11 2021

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ177-120015-
Adak to Kiska-
307 AM AKDT Fri Jun 11 2021

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ178-120015-
Kiska to Attu-
307 AM AKDT Fri Jun 11 2021

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ179-120015-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
307 AM AKDT Fri Jun 11 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ180-120015-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
307 AM AKDT Fri Jun 11 2021

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ181-120015-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
307 AM AKDT Fri Jun 11 2021

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ185-120015-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
307 AM AKDT Fri Jun 11 2021

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

096 
FZAK52 PAFC 112317
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
317 PM AKDT Fri Jun 11 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-121215-
317 PM AKDT Fri Jun 11 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 1008 mb low 60 nm northeast of Saint Matthew Island moves to 130 
nm northwest of Saint Matthew Island by Sat morning and dissipates. 
Its front continues across Southwest Alaska through Sat morning. A 
1008 mb Northwest Pacific low 390 nm west of Shemya Island moves to 
160 nm northwest of Saint Matthew Island by Sun afternoon. Its 
associated front moves across the Bering Sea through Sun afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-121215-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
317 PM AKDT Fri Jun 11 2021

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ155-121215-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
317 PM AKDT Fri Jun 11 2021

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ160-121215-
Bristol Bay-
317 PM AKDT Fri Jun 11 2021

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft.
Patchy fog.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ165-121215-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
317 PM AKDT Fri Jun 11 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. From Port Moller W, SW 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
Patchy fog.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ170-121215-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
317 PM AKDT Fri Jun 11 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight.
Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ171-121215-
Unalaska Bay-
317 PM AKDT Fri Jun 11 2021

.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt becoming SW after midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SE 15 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-121215-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
317 PM AKDT Fri Jun 11 2021

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ173-121215-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
317 PM AKDT Fri Jun 11 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 
5 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ174-121215-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
317 PM AKDT Fri Jun 11 2021

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ175-121215-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
317 PM AKDT Fri Jun 11 2021

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ176-121215-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
317 PM AKDT Fri Jun 11 2021

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ177-121215-
Adak to Kiska-
317 PM AKDT Fri Jun 11 2021

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ178-121215-
Kiska to Attu-
317 PM AKDT Fri Jun 11 2021

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ179-121215-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
317 PM AKDT Fri Jun 11 2021

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ180-121215-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
317 PM AKDT Fri Jun 11 2021

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 4 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ181-121215-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
317 PM AKDT Fri Jun 11 2021

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft. 
Patchy fog.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ185-121215-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
317 PM AKDT Fri Jun 11 2021

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 20 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...variable wind
10 kt W of Saint Matthew Island. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
544 AM AKDT Wed Jun 9 2021

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

An elongated longwave trough extending along the Chukchi Sea to
the northern Bering with an embedded cold, upper level low has
shifted slightly over the Bering Strait and eastern Russia. A
piece of upper level energy rounding the base of the trough can be
seen on WV imagery traversing from Saint Matthew's Island toward
the Kuskokwim Delta. Meanwhile, a moist, frontal boundary in the
eastern Gulf associated with a parent low south of AKPEN is
bringing widespread rain showers over Kodiak, the Kenai
Peninsula, and into Cook Inlet. With the help of onshore flow,
some light rain is making it over Prince William Sound, Anchorage
Bowl and the Mat-Su Valleys. Moreover, gusty southeasterly winds
are funneling through the usual gaps, including Turnagain Arm.
Moisture from the parent low and associated front is also
streaming northward into Bristol Bay and the Y-K Delta, the Middle
Kuskokwim Valley and surrounding high elevations as well. The
latest ASCAT passes is showing gusty, northwesterly gap winds over
the eastern Aleutians and southern AKPEN as the low enters the
North Pacific.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

The main issue today has to do with how long will the rain last
over Anchorage Bowl and the Mat-Su Valleys before the easterly
downslope flow dominates. Otherwise, forecaster confidence
remains high with the models being in consolidated agreement with
the advertised cool, wet weather pattern over Southcentral.
Additionally, model guidance are keying on a ridge forming over
the Aleutians on Friday and shifting east on Saturday before the
next front associated with a Kamchatka low approaches the northern
Bering and the western mainland on Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC... VFR conditions and light winds will persist.
Southeasterly winds from Turnagain Arm will return again early
this afternoon. There is a chance of rain in the terminal today
with ceiling and visibility remaining VFR.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2: Today
through Thursday Night)...

A relatively quiet weather pattern is in place across Southcentral
this morning. Despite some rain ongoing in coastal locations, most
inland areas are getting sprinkles or very light rain. The gusty
winds in Anchorage and the Copper River Basin have subsided or
shifted south away from the area for the morning. The winds will
return this afternoon, as the Gulf front weakens and solar heating
draws the dominant surface low inland. Most of the area with the
exception of the Copper River Basin will see overcast skies today,
while the Copper River Basin will see a mix of sun and clouds.
Thus, expect another day of below normal temperatures as most
areas struggle to hit 60 degrees.

On Thursday, as the front weakens, the area of cloud cover over
Southcentral will slowly shift westward with time. Thus, expect a
mainly sunny day across the Copper River Basin, and clearing
through Prince William Sound as well by the afternoon.
Temperatures will rebound from today the most in these areas. Some
breaks of sun are possible by the afternoon across the Cook Inlet
region, especially from Anchorage north. For the most part the
winds will be relatively light in most areas on Thursday. The rain
will continue, but slowly diminish in intensity for much of the
day in Kodiak.

Looking ahead to Friday most of mainland Southcentral will get a
one-day taste of summer again with much more sunshine and warmer
temperatures, but also the return of thunderstorm chances,
especially along the mountains and the Copper River Basin.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

A low spinning over the AKPen is feeding moisture and some gusty
winds into Southwest Alaska. Widespread rain showers are expected
to persist across Bristol Bay and the Kuskokwim Valley through
tonight. Conditions should begin to dry out starting tomorrow as
the low pushes to the southeast and high pressure moves into the
region. A broad trough pushes across the northern Bering over the
next couple days, thus allowing flow to transition to
southwesterly across much of the Southwest. Therefore, expect some
periods of patchy fog to develop during the overnight hours.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...

A low pressure system currently spinning over the AKPen pushes to
the southeast over the course of the day today. Flow behind the
low is primarily westerly across most of the Bering, with gusty
northwesterly flow across the Eastern Aleutians/Southern AKPEN.
Winds will be especially gusty through the bays and passes today
and into tonight and will begin to diminish through the overnight
hours. Rain showers on the backside of the low will be confined to
the AKPen through tonight. Additionally, periods of patchy fog is
likely along the Southwest Coast and the Pribilof Islands through
the forecast period, and elsewhere will see the usual low stratus
deck.

&&

.MARINE (Days 3 through 5: Friday through Sunday)

Model confidence is good a low traverses the northern Bering
through Saturday morning, producing gusty southwesterly winds
below gale force. These winds reach Bristol Bay and diminish
Saturday morning. Gusty gap winds pick up Friday morning in the
Gulf of Alaska from the Barren Islands down the Alaska Peninsula,
approaching gale force particularly near the Barren Islands
Saturday morning, but diminish through Sunday morning. Models are
trending toward an intensifying low tracking from the North
Pacific into the central Bering Sunday morning, with the potential
to produce gale force winds wrapping the center.

&&

.LONG TERM (Days 4 through 7: Saturday through Tuesday)...
Confidence is fairly high for the weekend as a trough move across
the mainland from west to east. This will spread rain from the
Kuskokwim Delta and Valley. These systems tend to favor the Alaska
Range with precipitation, with not much from Anchorage through the
Kenai Peninsula. Beyond that system and the weekend uncertainty
increases, but there are a couple of large scale features to latch
onto. Ensemble guidance is hinting at the development of two
features which will shape the upcoming pattern. The first, ridging
over Canada that extends through Alaska, a very summertime
feature. The second is a large low pressure system that will track
from the northern Pacific, potentially into the eastern Bering
Sea. Where exactly these two features setup in relation to one
another will affect our weather. It could set up an easterly wave
regime which can bring very active convective and wet weather if
the low sets up more in the Gulf. If the low is more dominant it
will be a more active cloudy and rain pattern, or if the ridge
dominates it will be very warm and dry. For the end of our
forecast period it will likely mean a day or two of seasonable
summer weather, potential for mountain showers/thunderstorms,
followed by more clouds/rain by the middle of next week.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...Gale Warning 155 172.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...MF
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...JPW
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...KM
MARINE/LONG TERM...CQ/MTL