Small Craft Advisory 194, NWS Anchorage, AK

910 
FZAK51 PAFC 080028
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
328 PM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-081345-
328 PM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A trough lingers across the Northern Gulf through Mon morning. A 
new front approaches the Western Gulf by Mon afternoon. 1013 mb 
low forms along the front 90 nm northeast of Chignik Mon night 
and moves to 100 nm northeast of Kodiak City at 1013 mb by Tue 
afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-081345-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
328 PM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt out of the Copper River 
Delta. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ120-081345-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
328 PM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ121-081345-
Resurrection Bay-
328 PM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 
ft.
.MON...N wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Snow.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ125-081345-
Prince William Sound-
328 PM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt becoming N 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ126-081345-
Port Valdez-
328 PM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ127-081345-
Valdez Narrows-
328 PM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-081345-
Valdez Arm-
328 PM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-081345-
Passage Canal-
328 PM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft. Snow.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ130-081345-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
328 PM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt becoming S 15 kt after midnight. Seas
7 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Snow and rain.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ131-081345-
Barren Islands East-
328 PM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ132-081345-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
328 PM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ136-081345-
Chiniak Bay-
328 PM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-081345-
Marmot Bay-
328 PM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft building to
3 ft after midnight.
.MON...SE wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-081345-
Shelikof Strait-
328 PM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ139-081345-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
328 PM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-081345-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
328 PM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Areas of freezing fog.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Areas of freezing fog.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 10 kt.
.TUE...NW wind 10 kt.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 kt.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt.

$$

PKZ141-081345-
Kachemak Bay-
328 PM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

657 
FZAK51 PAFC 081316
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
416 AM AKST Mon Mar 8 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-090200-
416 AM AKST Mon Mar 8 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A front approaches the Western Gulf by Mon night. A 1014 mb low 
forms along the front 100 nm west of Akhiok Mon night and moves 
to 100 nm southeast of Kodiak City at 1007 mb by Wed morning.

$$

PKZ119-090200-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
416 AM AKST Mon Mar 8 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Gusts to 30 kt out of the Copper River 
Delta in the morning. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...S wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ120-090200-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
416 AM AKST Mon Mar 8 2021

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ121-090200-
Resurrection Bay-
416 AM AKST Mon Mar 8 2021

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ125-090200-
Prince William Sound-
416 AM AKST Mon Mar 8 2021

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ126-090200-
Port Valdez-
416 AM AKST Mon Mar 8 2021

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ127-090200-
Valdez Narrows-
416 AM AKST Mon Mar 8 2021

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-090200-
Valdez Arm-
416 AM AKST Mon Mar 8 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-090200-
Passage Canal-
416 AM AKST Mon Mar 8 2021

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt in the morning becoming E 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ130-090200-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
416 AM AKST Mon Mar 8 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt becoming SE in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Snow.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt becoming NW 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5
ft. Snow and rain.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ131-090200-
Barren Islands East-
416 AM AKST Mon Mar 8 2021

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ132-090200-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
416 AM AKST Mon Mar 8 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ136-090200-
Chiniak Bay-
416 AM AKST Mon Mar 8 2021

.TODAY...S wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 
ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 1 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-090200-
Marmot Bay-
416 AM AKST Mon Mar 8 2021

.TODAY...SE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 4
ft.
.TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain and snow showers.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-090200-
Shelikof Strait-
416 AM AKST Mon Mar 8 2021

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 4 ft. Rain with snow.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt in the morning becoming NW 15 kt. Seas 4 
ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ139-090200-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
416 AM AKST Mon Mar 8 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Snow.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-090200-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
416 AM AKST Mon Mar 8 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Areas of freezing fog.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Snow.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt.

$$

PKZ141-090200-
Kachemak Bay-
416 AM AKST Mon Mar 8 2021

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 10 kt in the evening increasing to 20 kt. Seas 2 
ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft. Widespread rain showers and snow.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

743 
FZAK51 PAFC 090017
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
317 PM AKST Mon Mar 8 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-091345-
317 PM AKST Mon Mar 8 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A front over the Western Gulf persists through Tue. A 1006 mb low
200 nm south of Sitkinak Tue afternoon moves towards the North 
Gulf Coast at 995 mb by Wed afternoon.


$$

PKZ119-091345-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
317 PM AKST Mon Mar 8 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ120-091345-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
317 PM AKST Mon Mar 8 2021

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain and snow.
.WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ121-091345-
Resurrection Bay-
317 PM AKST Mon Mar 8 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ125-091345-
Prince William Sound-
317 PM AKST Mon Mar 8 2021

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow with rain.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ126-091345-
Port Valdez-
317 PM AKST Mon Mar 8 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ127-091345-
Valdez Narrows-
317 PM AKST Mon Mar 8 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 
ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-091345-
Valdez Arm-
317 PM AKST Mon Mar 8 2021

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-091345-
Passage Canal-
317 PM AKST Mon Mar 8 2021

.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt becoming E after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ130-091345-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
317 PM AKST Mon Mar 8 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Snow.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt becoming NW 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5
ft. Snow and rain.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ131-091345-
Barren Islands East-
317 PM AKST Mon Mar 8 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers and snow.
.WED...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ132-091345-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
317 PM AKST Mon Mar 8 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming NW 30 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ136-091345-
Chiniak Bay-
317 PM AKST Mon Mar 8 2021

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 1 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NW 20 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 ft. Snow and rain showers.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-091345-
Marmot Bay-
317 PM AKST Mon Mar 8 2021

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers with snow.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt becoming NW 20 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Snow and rain showers.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-091345-
Shelikof Strait-
317 PM AKST Mon Mar 8 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain with snow.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft. Rain
and snow.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-091345-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
317 PM AKST Mon Mar 8 2021

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Snow.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-091345-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
317 PM AKST Mon Mar 8 2021

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Snow.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Snow.
.WED...NW wind 10 kt.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE wind 15 kt.

$$

PKZ141-091345-
Kachemak Bay-
317 PM AKST Mon Mar 8 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt except SE wind 20 kt W of
Homer. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE... W of Homer, SE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the 
afternoon. E of Homer, variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
Rain showers and snow.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow showers and rain
showers.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

867 
FZAK51 PAFC 091233
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
333 AM AKST Tue Mar 9 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-100200-
333 AM AKST Tue Mar 9 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A front over the Western Gulf persists today. A 1006 mb low 200 
nm south of Sitkinak this afternoon moves to the North Gulf Coast
at 995 mb Wed morning.

$$

PKZ119-100200-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
333 AM AKST Tue Mar 9 2021

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
8 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt in the morning increasing to 40 kt. Seas 9 ft in
the morning building to 12 ft. Rain and snow.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ120-100200-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
333 AM AKST Tue Mar 9 2021

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
8 ft. Snow.
.WED...S wind 30 kt becoming W 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft.
Snow.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.THU...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ121-100200-
Resurrection Bay-
333 AM AKST Tue Mar 9 2021

.TODAY...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt becoming N 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Snow.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...N wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ125-100200-
Prince William Sound-
333 AM AKST Tue Mar 9 2021

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft after
midnight. Snow.
.WED...E wind 25 kt in the morning increasing to 35 kt. Seas 4 ft in
the morning building to 7 ft. Snow and rain.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-100200-
Port Valdez-
333 AM AKST Tue Mar 9 2021

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-100200-
Valdez Narrows-
333 AM AKST Tue Mar 9 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-100200-
Valdez Arm-
333 AM AKST Tue Mar 9 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-100200-
Passage Canal-
333 AM AKST Tue Mar 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow and rain.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ130-100200-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
333 AM AKST Tue Mar 9 2021

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft.
Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow.
.WED...N wind 25 kt in the morning becoming W 45 kt. Seas 7 ft in 
the morning building to 15 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 55 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.THU...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-100200-
Barren Islands East-
333 AM AKST Tue Mar 9 2021

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Widespread rain showers and
snow.
.WED...W wind 30 kt in the morning increasing to 45 kt. Seas 9 ft in
the morning building to 14 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 50 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU...NW wind 50 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ132-100200-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
333 AM AKST Tue Mar 9 2021

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt becoming W 30 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft. Widespread rain showers and snow.
.WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ136-100200-
Chiniak Bay-
333 AM AKST Tue Mar 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming SW 10 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft. Snow and widespread rain showers.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt in the morning increasing to 30 kt. Seas 4 ft
building in the morning building to 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-100200-
Marmot Bay-
333 AM AKST Tue Mar 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Widespread rain showers and snow.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt becoming S 10 kt after midnight. Seas 4
ft. Snow and widespread rain showers.
.WED...W wind 20 kt in the morning increasing to 30 kt. Seas 4 ft in
the morning building to 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-100200-
Shelikof Strait-
333 AM AKST Tue Mar 9 2021

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft. Rain
and snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming NW 30 kt after midnight. Seas
5 ft. Snow showers.
.WED...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-100200-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
333 AM AKST Tue Mar 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Widespread snow showers.
.WED...N wind 20 kt becoming NW 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft.
Snow.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-100200-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
333 AM AKST Tue Mar 9 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Snow.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 10 kt.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt.

$$

PKZ141-100200-
Kachemak Bay-
333 AM AKST Tue Mar 9 2021

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt becoming E 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2
ft. Widespread rain showers and snow.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread snow and rain
showers.
.WED...N wind 20 kt in the morning becoming W. Seas 2 ft building to
6 ft in the afternoon. Snow.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
457 PM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

A relatively quiet weather pattern is present over Alaska today.
There is enough weather to provide for some discussion, but not
anything that will be producing big impacts to our forecast area.
Weak troughing over Southcentral AK is producing light snow from
the Susitna Valley south over Cook Inlet and into the Kenai
Peninsula. Light snow has intermittently worked its way into
Anchorage from this band. However, high pressure is keeping most
of mainland AK quiet and cool today. There is a weak front pushing
into Coastal Southwest AK, bringing some snow and blowing snow
there. This front is extending southeast from a low moving east
through the Northern Bering, with the low center currently just
south of St. Lawrence Island. The rest of the Bering Sea and
Aleutians are under moderately strong zonal flow, resultant from
high pressure to the South in the North Pacific creating a
gradient with the low in the Northern Bering. Gale force winds in
the Central Bering are the outcome there.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

On the synoptic scale, models are in good agreement and handling
all major features well. On the meso to micro scale, models are
doing a poor job in handling areas of snowfall in Southcentral AK,
specifically in the Anchorage Bowl. They also missed on low-level
cloud cover forming over Anchorage this morning. Models seem to
be handling fine scale features better in other locations.
Overall, confidence in models is still at least moderate, we will
just need to keep a closer eye on weather in the Anchorage Bowl.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...An MVFR level stratus deck had set up over the airfield
this morning, associated with a weak weather system in the area.
That has since moved out of the area and conditions should remain
VFR. Some low stratus around Knik Arm could slide over the
airfield during the overnight, but this looks unlikely that it
would develop into a ceiling or cause any visibility
restrictions. Light winds will persist, though cold air coming
down the Susitna Valley could make a light northerly wind at the
airfield tonight through tomorrow.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 to 3: Tonight
through Tuesday morning)...

The remnants of the band of snow that dropped as much as 6 inches
of snow over parts of the Kenai Peninsula over the past day are
winding down to flurries, and any snow lingering up against the
Kenai mountains will come to an end by tonight.  An upper level
shortwave will continue to push west towards the Copper River
Basin and northern Gulf tonight with cold air advecting in from
the northwest behind the trough passage. The northwest flow and
colder temperatures building into the interior will support
continued outflow winds through the typical locations along the
North Gulf Coast as well as small craft to gale force gap winds
through the Kamishak Gap into Barren Islands. Most of these winds
should begin to relax by Sunday as warmer air begins to spread in
from the west and as a strong upper ridge builds into
Southcentral. Areas of fog may develop overnight tonight in parts
of the Copper River Basin, Mat-Su Valleys and western Kenai
Peninsula with light northerly winds and clearing skies expected
behind the departing shortwave. Conditions will be even more
favorable for fog development across these same regions as the
ridge axis moves into place on Sunday night, potentially leading
to significant visibility restrictions where it forms over
interior valleys and lower elevations.

By Monday evening, an active pattern will begin to set up once
again with a front moving into the western Alaska Range, western
Gulf and Kodiak Island. A low is expected to form along this
boundary by Monday night near or to the north of Kodiak Island and
track northeast towards the Prince William Sound on Tuesday.
Expansive warm advection and strong southwest flow will commence
in the mid to upper levels as the front approaches and the ridge
advances westwards into the Yukon and Alaska Panhandle. The warmer
air moving in with the front and low may cause mixing or a
changeover to rain for low elevations along the North Gulf Coast
as the low approaches to the south, with mostly snow currently
expected over interior portions of the Kenai Peninsula and across
the Susitna Valley on Tuesday.

Southeasterly cross-barrier flow developing ahead of the front at
the lower levels should result in downslope warming/drying across
much of the Matanuska Valley and near Anchorage, likely limiting
precipitation onset until the low nears Prince William Sound on
Tuesday and quickly shuts off the southeast flow across the
Chugach and Kenai Mountains. This may allow for a period of light
to moderate snow with a snow band moving into these areas from the
west sometime around midday Tuesday. Stay tuned to the latest
forecast as details with this next system become more refined.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3: tonight
through Monday night)...

A couple of weak shortwaves pass over Southwest this afternoon and
this evening, allowing for some brief, light snow showers along
the AKPEN and upslope (western) side of the Kilbuck Mountains.
Upper level ridging keeps most of Southwest relatively dry as it
moves across the Mainland tonight. A push of warm air gets
advected into the region behind the ridge and ahead of an
approaching front. This will increase temperatures to above
freezing tomorrow and Monday. Please see the Special Weather
Statement for more details. The front extending off an Arctic low
reaches the Southwest Coast tomorrow afternoon. Widespread
snowfall, or a snow/rain mix at times for some areas, will track
west to east with the front, with the heaviest amount along the
Kuskokwim Delta coast and along the Kilbuck Mountains. Winds
become gusty across the Mainland as the front pushes onshore.
Thus, blowing snow is likely to be an issue along the Y-K Delta
Coast and Nunivak Island overnight Sunday. Temperatures will begin
to drop again overnight Monday behind the front with an inflow of
colder air.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3:
tonight through Monday night)...

A front off an Arctic low track across the Bering through tomorrow
night, weakening as it reaches the Southwest Coast. A push of warm
air out ahead of the front will increase temperatures across the
Aleutian Chain enough for precipitation to be rain or a rain/snow
mix. Moderate to heavy precipitation is expected along the Eastern
Aleutians and Southern AKPEN as the front passes. Weak low
pressure remains behind the front as well as persistent westerly
flow. Winds should also diminish behind the front, becoming mostly
small craft along the Aleutian Coasts.

&&

.MARINE (Days 3 through 5: Tuesday through Thursday)...

Bering: An Eastern Bering front moves into Western Alaska Tue
night. Forecast tracks vary somewhat, but confidence is good.
Areas of small craft winds and waves dissipates Wed. Seas to 12
feet, subsiding. Several troughs cross the Bering through Thu,
with winds less than small craft level. A new low and front moves
into the Western Bering for Wed night and Thu. Widespread
increasing gale force winds move across the Western Bering. Seas
building to 16 feet Thu.

Gulf of Alaska: A low and front move across the Gulf for Thu.
Forecast tracks vary somewhat, but confidence is good. Widespread
southerly small craft winds and waves move across the Gulf for
late Tue, becoming widespread westerly small craft winds with an
area of gale force winds from the Barren Islands into the Northern
Gulf for Wed. Winds diminish Thu over the Northern Gulf. Seas to
12 feet, subsiding Wed.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Wednesday through Saturday)...

An analysis of long term guidance leads us to have moderate
confidence that we can expect changing weather conditions for the
Bering and Gulf of Alaska, while mainland AK stays quiet with
cold overnight temperatures through the week.

Wednesday, on the synoptic scale, longwave troughing will
generally encompass our forecast area. A high amplitude ridge is
exiting to the east and over the Yukon, while a low amplitude
ridge is moving into the far Western Bering. On the surface,
models are indicating a compact low skirting along the north side
of the Aleutians in the Bristol Bay area. Low pressure is also
lingering in the Prince William Sound area. The rest of the
forecast area looks to be quiet and under high pressure. This
means cooler overnight lows continue for mainland AK.

Going forward through late next week, in the upper levels models
are showing the low amplitude ridge in the Western Bering moving
east and building over Western AK. Troughing re-emerges over the
Western Bering and over mainland AK south into the Gulf of Alaska.
On the surface high pressure holds on in Mainland AK and Eastern
Bering, though models are teasing a surface low moving into the
West Coast. Low pressure continues in the Gulf and Western Bering.
Models are having discrepancies in handling specific features, at
most hinting at what might happen. So for now, we are sticking to
identifying the general pattern, which the long range guidance
does have at least moderate agreement on.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...Storm Warning 411.
		 Gale Warning 121 130 131 155 165 170 172-185 412-414.
		 Heavy Freezing Spray Warning 185 411.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...BB
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...AS
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...KM
MARINE/LONG TERM...MK/BB