Small Craft Advisory 181, NWS Anchorage, AK

046 
FZAK51 PAFC 020044
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
344 PM AKST Mon Mar 1 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-021330-
344 PM AKST Mon Mar 1 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 978 mb low over Middleton Island moves inland 140 nm west of 
Yakutat at 983 mb Tue morning. A 986 mb low 60 nm northwest of 
Kodiak City Tue morning moves along the front and exits the 
Southern Gulf at 987 mb for Wed afternoon. Several troughs move 
over the Gulf through Wed afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-021330-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
344 PM AKST Mon Mar 1 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas
19 ft. Lower winds and seas near the coast. Rain and snow.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt becoming variable 10 kt in the afternoon. Near
the coast, variable wind 10 kt becoming E 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 14 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt except E 25 kt near the coast.
Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ120-021330-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
344 PM AKST Mon Mar 1 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 15
ft. Lower winds and seas near the coast. 
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10
ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ121-021330-
Resurrection Bay-
344 PM AKST Mon Mar 1 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt in the evening diminishing to 15 kt. Seas 3 
ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft building to 4 ft after midnight. Freezing spray.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-021330-
Prince William Sound-
344 PM AKST Mon Mar 1 2021

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-021330-
Port Valdez-
344 PM AKST Mon Mar 1 2021

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-021330-
Valdez Narrows-
344 PM AKST Mon Mar 1 2021

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt in the evening diminishing to 10 kt. Seas 2
ft. Snow.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 
3 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-021330-
Valdez Arm-
344 PM AKST Mon Mar 1 2021

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less than 
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-021330-
Passage Canal-
344 PM AKST Mon Mar 1 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind increasing 25 kt. Gusts up to 35 kt near Whitter. 
Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-021330-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
344 PM AKST Mon Mar 1 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt becoming NE 10 kt after midnight. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 
ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ131-021330-
Barren Islands East-
344 PM AKST Mon Mar 1 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
13 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ132-021330-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
344 PM AKST Mon Mar 1 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain and snow showers.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt becoming N 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ136-021330-
Chiniak Bay-
344 PM AKST Mon Mar 1 2021

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-021330-
Marmot Bay-
344 PM AKST Mon Mar 1 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 4 
ft.
.TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-021330-
Shelikof Strait-
344 PM AKST Mon Mar 1 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt becoming NE in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-021330-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
344 PM AKST Mon Mar 1 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt after 
midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
5 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-021330-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
344 PM AKST Mon Mar 1 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N wind 10 kt.

$$

PKZ141-021330-
Kachemak Bay-
344 PM AKST Mon Mar 1 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt, becoming NE 10 kt in the
outer bay after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt in the afternoon, except variable less than 10 
kt E of Homer. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt, except variable less than 10 kt E of Homer.
Seas 2 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

163 
FZAK51 PAFC 021206
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
306 AM AKST Tue Mar 2 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-030045-
306 AM AKST Tue Mar 2 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 980 mb low 120 nm east of Cordova moves inland by this 
afternoon. Several troughs move over the Gulf through Thu 
afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-030045-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
306 AM AKST Tue Mar 2 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt becoming variable 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Near the coast, variable wind 10 kt becoming E 20 kt in the 
afternoon. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt out of the Copper River
Delta. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 40 kt out of the Copper River Delta. 
Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ120-030045-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
306 AM AKST Tue Mar 2 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ121-030045-
Resurrection Bay-
306 AM AKST Tue Mar 2 2021

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-030045-
Prince William Sound-
306 AM AKST Tue Mar 2 2021

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT THROUGH WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-030045-
Port Valdez-
306 AM AKST Tue Mar 2 2021

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-030045-
Valdez Narrows-
306 AM AKST Tue Mar 2 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-030045-
Valdez Arm-
306 AM AKST Tue Mar 2 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT THROUGH WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-030045-
Passage Canal-
306 AM AKST Tue Mar 2 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-030045-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
306 AM AKST Tue Mar 2 2021

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ131-030045-
Barren Islands East-
306 AM AKST Tue Mar 2 2021

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ132-030045-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
306 AM AKST Tue Mar 2 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ136-030045-
Chiniak Bay-
306 AM AKST Tue Mar 2 2021

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NW 10 kt 
in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT THROUGH WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-030045-
Marmot Bay-
306 AM AKST Tue Mar 2 2021

.TODAY...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-030045-
Shelikof Strait-
306 AM AKST Tue Mar 2 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt becoming N 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after
midnight.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ139-030045-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
306 AM AKST Tue Mar 2 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after
midnight. Freezing spray.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-030045-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
306 AM AKST Tue Mar 2 2021

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Patchy freezing fog.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Patchy freezing fog in the
morning.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt.
.SAT...W wind 10 kt.

$$

PKZ141-030045-
Kachemak Bay-
306 AM AKST Tue Mar 2 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt becoming N 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

571 
FZAK51 PAFC 022340
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
240 PM AKST Tue Mar 2 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-031300-
240 PM AKST Tue Mar 2 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 984 mb complex low 70 nm southeast of Kodiak City moves to 200
nm southwest of Sitka at 981 mb Wed morning and remains nearly 
stationary as it weakens to 994 mb by Thu evening.

$$

PKZ119-031300-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
240 PM AKST Tue Mar 2 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Gusts up to 35 kt out of the Copper River
Delta after midnight. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Gusts up to 40 kt out of the Copper River 
Delta. Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Gusts up to 50 kt out of the Copper 
River Delta. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ120-031300-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
240 PM AKST Tue Mar 2 2021

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ121-031300-
Resurrection Bay-
240 PM AKST Tue Mar 2 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-031300-
Prince William Sound-
240 PM AKST Tue Mar 2 2021

.TONIGHT THROUGH WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-031300-
Port Valdez-
240 PM AKST Tue Mar 2 2021

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-031300-
Valdez Narrows-
240 PM AKST Tue Mar 2 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-031300-
Valdez Arm-
240 PM AKST Tue Mar 2 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 4 
ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-031300-
Passage Canal-
240 PM AKST Tue Mar 2 2021

.TONIGHT...W wind increasing to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing spray
after midnight.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Gusts up to 30 kt near Whittier. Seas 3 ft. 
Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Gusts up to 30 kt near Whittier. Seas 3 
ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-031300-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
240 PM AKST Tue Mar 2 2021

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
10 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 
10 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-031300-
Barren Islands East-
240 PM AKST Tue Mar 2 2021

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
9 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...W wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ132-031300-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
240 PM AKST Tue Mar 2 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...W wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ136-031300-
Chiniak Bay-
240 PM AKST Tue Mar 2 2021

.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 3 
ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...W wind 40 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-031300-
Marmot Bay-
240 PM AKST Tue Mar 2 2021

.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 
ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-031300-
Shelikof Strait-
240 PM AKST Tue Mar 2 2021

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming variable 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
8 ft subsiding to 5 ft after midnight. Heavy freezing spray.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ139-031300-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
240 PM AKST Tue Mar 2 2021

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 5
ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Freezing spray.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-031300-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
240 PM AKST Tue Mar 2 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Patchy freezing fog.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Patchy freezing fog.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Patchy freezing fog.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt.
.SAT...W wind 10 kt.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt.

$$

PKZ141-031300-
Kachemak Bay-
240 PM AKST Tue Mar 2 2021

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt becoming NW 15 kt in the afternoon. E of Homer,
NE wind 10 kt becoming variable less than 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt after midnight. E of
Homer, variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

303 
FZAK51 PAFC 031231
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
331 AM AKST Wed Mar 3 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-040200-
331 AM AKST Wed Mar 3 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

Weak low pressure persists over the Gulf through Thu afternoon. 
A front enters the southwest Gulf by Thu evening. The associated 
991 mb low moves over Sitkinak Island by Fri morning.

$$

PKZ119-040200-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
331 AM AKST Wed Mar 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Gusts up to 40 kt out of the Copper River
Delta. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Gusts up to 50 kt out of the Copper River
Delta. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Gusts up to 40 kt out of the Copper River 
Delta in the morning. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ120-040200-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
331 AM AKST Wed Mar 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ121-040200-
Resurrection Bay-
331 AM AKST Wed Mar 3 2021

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.THU...N wind 30 kt becoming variable 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 6 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. Heavy freezing 
spray in the morning.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ125-040200-
Prince William Sound-
331 AM AKST Wed Mar 3 2021

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...N wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-040200-
Port Valdez-
331 AM AKST Wed Mar 3 2021

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...E wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-040200-
Valdez Narrows-
331 AM AKST Wed Mar 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-040200-
Valdez Arm-
331 AM AKST Wed Mar 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-040200-
Passage Canal-
331 AM AKST Wed Mar 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Gusts up to 35 kt near Whittier. Seas 4 ft.
Freezing spray.
.THU...W wind 20 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-040200-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
331 AM AKST Wed Mar 3 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10
ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt becoming E 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft.
Heavy freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-040200-
Barren Islands East-
331 AM AKST Wed Mar 3 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Between Shuyak Island and the Barren Islands,
NW wind 25 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft.
Freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ132-040200-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
331 AM AKST Wed Mar 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray in the morning.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...W wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ136-040200-
Chiniak Bay-
331 AM AKST Wed Mar 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...NW wind 15 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-040200-
Marmot Bay-
331 AM AKST Wed Mar 3 2021

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...NW wind 10 kt becoming SE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft
building to 3 ft in the afternoon.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-040200-
Shelikof Strait-
331 AM AKST Wed Mar 3 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
8 ft subsiding to 5 ft after midnight. Freezing spray.
.THU...W wind 20 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ139-040200-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
331 AM AKST Wed Mar 3 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-040200-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
331 AM AKST Wed Mar 3 2021

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Patchy freezing fog.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt after
midnight. Patchy freezing fog.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Patchy freezing fog.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 15 kt.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt.

$$

PKZ141-040200-
Kachemak Bay-
331 AM AKST Wed Mar 3 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2
ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
556 PM AKST Sun Feb 28 2021

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

The low pressure system over the Gulf is continuing to move east,
although the eastward progression is slowing some. The precip
over eastern Prince William Sound and points east will continue in
favored areas but, in general, will weaken in intensity. An
amplified mid- to upper-level ridge continues to work its way
east and is currently moving into western Alaska and the eastern
Aleutians.

Deep low pressure continues over the western Aleutians and
western Bering. This system continues to produce widespread storm
to hurricane force winds, seas over 45 ft, and areas of heavy,
blowing snow. This system is also pulling some warmer air
northward, however, so periods of rain are also expected mainly
along the Aleutian chain.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Models are still in good agreement through the middle of the work
week. The strong low pressure system over the Bering Sea will
continue to move east, crossing the Bering and eastern Aleutians
on Tuesday, then continuing into the Gulf of Alaska, gradually
weakening as it does so.

&&

.AVIATION...

PANC...VFR conditions will persist through today and much of the
overnight period. Expect light to moderate snow to move into the
area between 14-16z with periods of heavy snow possible.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3: Today
through Wednesday afternoon)...

Snow showers are tapering off and skies are clearing from west to
east as an upper ridge builds over the region. Temperatures will
subsequently drop to near or below zero across much of the region
by early Monday morning. Northerly gap winds will likewise
diminish as a Gulf low departs to the west.

An occluding front associated with a broad low in the Bering will
quickly approach Southcentral early Monday morning. An upper
level shortwave will allow for the formation of a surface low near
Kodiak. This will take a similar track to the previous low;
however, moisture associated with the aforementioned front will
allow for snow accumulations west of the Chugach Mountains and
minimize any initial downsloping. Thus, light snow will continue
from early Monday morning through the evening. Approximately 3 to
5 inches are expected across the Kenai Peninsula, Anchorage and
the Matanuska Valley. Similar totals are likely along the Prince
William Sound coast. More benign conditions are expected Tuesday
and Wednesday with offshore flow developing bringing clearing
skies.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...

Recent clear and cold conditions across Southwest Alaska will
soon transition into an active stormy pattern as a front arrives
to the coast this evening. Gusty easterly winds will pick up,
especially across coastal locations as the front pushes inland.
One challenging aspect of the forecast has been temperatures.
After persistent cold temperatures at the surface over the last
few days, southerly flow in the midlevels is expected to erode
this cold air rather quickly. Snow is still expected across the
Kuskokwim Delta and Lower Kuskokwim Valley, however locations
across the Alaska Peninsula may see a rain/snow mix at times as
warm southerly flow lifts northward. This front is well occluded,
however, so most of the warmer air will be kept at bay south of
the Alaska Peninsula. Snow and blowing snow is still expected to
cause limited visibility overnight through early Monday,
especially across the Kuskokwim Delta Coast.

As the low center moves over the central Bering Monday afternoon,
gusty west to southwest flow is expected as colder air fills in on
the backside of the low. This will allow for a showery pattern,
with snow showers likely to last into Tuesday. Additionally, one
other thing we are keeping an eye on is a long westerly fetch
across the eastern Bering that may bring the potential for surge
along coastal areas of Bristol Bay sometime late Monday into
early Tuesday. Confidence remains low at this time, however we
will continue to monitor this.

As the low center continues to track southward over the Alaska
Peninsula Tuesday, winds will become northerly across the coast.
Snow showers are expected, and visibility may be reduced at times
across the Kuskokwim Delta Coast Tuesday morning. However,
precipitation is expected to end quickly from north to south, as
much colder, drier air arrives across Southwest Alaska from the
north for Wednesday.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3)...

A hurricane force low centered north of Shemya continues to bring
impactful weather to the Bering Sea. The leading front continues
to move eastward, bringing gusty southerly flow to the Pribilofs,
central Aleutians, and eastern Aleutians. On the backside of this
low, westerly winds have filled in across the western Bering with
snow and blowing snow conditions. As the leading front continues
to track eastward, high winds will spread across the Chain
through Monday. A triple point forms along the initial front over
the Alaska Peninsula early Monday and then moves into the Gulf.
However the parent low moves from the northern Bering north of the
Pribilofs to the eastern Bering by Monday night. As a result,
gusty westerly winds over the Pribilofs will eventually shift to
northerly, with potential for continued snow and blowing snow
which may reduce visibility at times Monday through Tuesday. A
much colder airmass arrives over the Bering in the wake of this
low Tuesday night, while another front arrives over the western
Aleutians Wednesday morning.

&&

.MARINE (Days 3 through 5: Wednesday through Friday)...

Bering: Upper level disturbances move over the Central and
Eastern Bering and Alaska Peninsula. Forecast confidence is good.
Widespread high end gale force winds and waves will diminish Thu.
Waves to 20 feet subsiding. A well developed low and front move
across the Bering from the West through Fri. The front brings
widespread high end gale force winds with areas of storm force
winds to the Central Bering, diminishing late Thu, while the wind
wrapped low holds onto widespread gale force winds through Fri.
Waves building to 26 feet through Fri.

Gulf of Alaska: A low exits the Southern Gulf for Thu, with
outflow winds from the Alaska Peninsula right behind. Models vary,
but confidence is good. Widespread high end gale force winds and
waves spread from the Shumagin Islands to the Barren Islands into
the Western Gulf through Thu. Waves to 17 feet across the Southern
Gulf, subsiding. The next low and front approach the Southwest
Gulf Fri.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Thursday through Sunday)...

Generally quiet weather is expected for the long term forecast
period, especially across Southcentral. The period is expected to
mainly be dominated by a strong upper level low over northeastern
Russia that will continue to send rounds of Arctic/Siberian air
across much of Alaska especially early on. Upper level ridging
will periodically build north and try to cut off this cold air as
storm systems move north into the Bering and along the eastern
periphery of the upper level low. As a result, a frontal system is
anticipated to move into Southwest Alaska on Thursday with some
snow. However, this front won't have much progress into
Southcentral as another lobe of cold air Will quickly try and push
across southern Alaska behind it. The front will be quickly
pushed southward across the Alaska Peninsula and into the North
Pacific. The main weather concerns for Southcentral will mainly be
the winds through the typical gaps, bays, and passes.
Temperatures are also expected to remain well below normal for at
least the first half of the forecast period with some warming
heading into Saturday and Sunday though remaining either slightly
below or near normal.

Towards the very end of the period on Sunday, models are keying
in on an upper level ridge setting up across much of southern
Alaska as the upper level low over northeastern Russia moves
southward into the western Bering bringing colder air to this area
and starting to bring milder air north into Southcentral. The
storm track looks to also become more active starting Sunday as
another system traverses the Bering and eventually into the Gulf
early next week.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY 155 195.
		 HIGH WIND WARNING 185 187 191.
MARINE...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING 178.
		 STORM WARNING 170-177 185 411 413 414.
		 GALE WARNING 119-121 125 129-132 136-138 150 160 165
                      179-181 185 351 352 412.
		 HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING 130 139 150 160 165 179 180
									  185 412 414.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...NR
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...AP
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...KO
MARINE/LONG TERM...MK/MV