Small Craft Advisory 144, NWS Anchorage, AK

954 
FZAK52 PAFC 180025
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
325 PM AKST Wed Feb 17 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-181345-
325 PM AKST Wed Feb 17 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 996 mb low 155 nm south of Sand Point moves to 300 nm south of 
Sitkinak and dissipates Thu morning. A front pushes across to the 
Eastern Aleutians and Bering through Fri afternoon.


$$

PKZ150-181345-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
325 PM AKST Wed Feb 17 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NW 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 7 ft.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ155-181345-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
325 PM AKST Wed Feb 17 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt after midnight. From
the Shumagin Islands E, NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ160-181345-
Bristol Bay-
325 PM AKST Wed Feb 17 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 15 kt after
midnight. Seas 1 foot.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt becoming N 15 kt after midnight. Seas
5 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ165-181345-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
325 PM AKST Wed Feb 17 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt becoming E after midnight. From Port
Moller E, NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ170-181345-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
325 PM AKST Wed Feb 17 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. Seas
7 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ171-181345-
Unalaska Bay-
325 PM AKST Wed Feb 17 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft building to 5 ft after
midnight.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 10 kt becoming SE 25 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft building to 4 ft after midnight.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-181345-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
325 PM AKST Wed Feb 17 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming S 30 kt after midnight. Seas
8 ft. Rain.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ173-181345-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
325 PM AKST Wed Feb 17 2021

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ174-181345-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
325 PM AKST Wed Feb 17 2021

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...W wind 15 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ175-181345-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
325 PM AKST Wed Feb 17 2021

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt becoming SE 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt becoming SW 25 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ176-181345-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
325 PM AKST Wed Feb 17 2021

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt becoming SE 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft
building to 11 ft in the afternoon. Rain and snow.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 35 kt becoming SW 25 kt after midnight. Seas
14 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ177-181345-
Adak to Kiska-
325 PM AKST Wed Feb 17 2021

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
8 ft.
.THU...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 14 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.

$$

PKZ178-181345-
Kiska to Attu-
325 PM AKST Wed Feb 17 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
15 ft.
.THU...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 22 ft.

$$

PKZ179-181345-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
325 PM AKST Wed Feb 17 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ180-181345-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
325 PM AKST Wed Feb 17 2021

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 11 ft.
.SAT...N wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.

$$

PKZ181-181345-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
325 PM AKST Wed Feb 17 2021

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. 
.SAT...N wind 25 kt.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. 
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. 

$$

PKZ185-181345-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
325 PM AKST Wed Feb 17 2021

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.THU...E of Saint Matthew Island, NE wind 15 kt. W of Saint
Matthew Island, NE wind 15 kt becoming E 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 25 kt E of Saint Matthew Island... E 40 kt W
of Saint Matthew Island. Seas in ice free waters 13 ft. Heavy 
freezing spray.
.FRI...E wind 40 kt. Seas in ice free waters 19 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 18 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 15 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft.

$$

879 
FZAK52 PAFC 181249
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
349 AM AKST Thu Feb 18 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-190215-
349 AM AKST Thu Feb 18 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 957 mb low near Kamchatka moves to 180 nm west of Attu at 975 
mb by Sat morning. A 980 mb low develops Fri morning 100 nm north
of Nikolski and moves to 90 nm northwest of Cold Bay at 974 mb by
Sat morning. Another low develops 100 nm west of Sand Point by 
Sat morning.

$$

PKZ150-190215-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
349 AM AKST Thu Feb 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ155-190215-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
349 AM AKST Thu Feb 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt after midnight. From
the Shumagin Islands E, NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. From the Shumagin Islands E, SW wind 15 kt
becoming SE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft. Snow and rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ160-190215-
Bristol Bay-
349 AM AKST Thu Feb 18 2021

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FRIDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy freezing fog.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt becoming N 15 kt after midnight. Seas 5
ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt becoming E 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft.
Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ165-190215-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
349 AM AKST Thu Feb 18 2021

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt becoming E after midnight. From Port
Moller E, NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt. From Port Moller E, E wind 20 kt increasing
to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ170-190215-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
349 AM AKST Thu Feb 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. Seas 7
ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Snow.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ171-190215-
Unalaska Bay-
349 AM AKST Thu Feb 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft building to 4 ft after midnight.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft. Snow with rain.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ172-190215-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
349 AM AKST Thu Feb 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming S 30 kt after midnight. Seas 4
ft building to 8 ft after midnight. Rain.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ173-190215-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
349 AM AKST Thu Feb 18 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ174-190215-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
349 AM AKST Thu Feb 18 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6
ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.MON...S wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ175-190215-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
349 AM AKST Thu Feb 18 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt becoming SE 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8
ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Snow with rain.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ176-190215-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
349 AM AKST Thu Feb 18 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt becoming SE 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7
ft building to 11 ft in the afternoon. Snow.
.TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt becoming SW 25 kt after midnight. Seas
13 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.MON...S wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ177-190215-
Adak to Kiska-
349 AM AKST Thu Feb 18 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
14 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.MON...S wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft.

$$

PKZ178-190215-
Kiska to Attu-
349 AM AKST Thu Feb 18 2021

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 25 ft.

$$

PKZ179-190215-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
349 AM AKST Thu Feb 18 2021

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. Seas 6
ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Freezing spray. Widespread snow
showers.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ180-190215-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
349 AM AKST Thu Feb 18 2021

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft. Heavy freezing
spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.

$$

PKZ181-190215-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
349 AM AKST Thu Feb 18 2021

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY AND FRIDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 1 foot. Heavy
freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft. Heavy freezing
spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 1 foot.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 1 foot.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.

$$

PKZ185-190215-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
349 AM AKST Thu Feb 18 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E of Saint Matthew Island, NE wind 15 kt. W of Saint
Matthew Island, E wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon.
Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...E of Saint Matthew Island, E wind 20 kt increasing to
30 kt after midnight. W of Saint Matthew Island, E wind 40 kt.
Seas in ice free waters 12 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...E 45 kt W of Saint
Matthew Island. Seas in ice free waters 20 ft. Heavy freezing
spray. Snow.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas in ice free waters 19 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 15 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 13 ft.

$$

570 
FZAK52 PAFC 190103
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
403 PM AKST Thu Feb 18 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-191400-
403 PM AKST Thu Feb 18 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 954 mb low moves to 115 nm north of Amchitka at 980 mb for Sat 
afternoon. Its front extends across the southern Bering to the 
Alaska Peninsula through Sat afternoon. A 986 mb low forms on the 
front 100 nm north of Dutch Harbor Fri afternoon and moves to 70 nm 
south of Chignik at 970 mb by Sat afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-191400-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
403 PM AKST Thu Feb 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft.
Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ155-191400-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
403 PM AKST Thu Feb 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt except NW 30 kt from the Shumagin Islands
E. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. From the Shumagin Islands E, SW wind 15 kt
becoming SE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ160-191400-
Bristol Bay-
403 PM AKST Thu Feb 18 2021

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt becoming E 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft
building to 5 ft in the afternoon. Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ165-191400-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
403 PM AKST Thu Feb 18 2021

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. From Port Moller E, E wind 20 kt increasing
to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt becoming N 20 kt after midnight. From
Port Moller E, E wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ170-191400-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
403 PM AKST Thu Feb 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. Seas 6
ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Snow.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 30 kt becoming NW 20 kt after midnight. Seas
9 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ171-191400-
Unalaska Bay-
403 PM AKST Thu Feb 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Snow.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 30 kt becoming NW 15 kt after midnight. Seas
5 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ172-191400-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
403 PM AKST Thu Feb 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. Seas
8 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft.
Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 12 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ173-191400-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
403 PM AKST Thu Feb 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ174-191400-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
403 PM AKST Thu Feb 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.MON...S wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ175-191400-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
403 PM AKST Thu Feb 18 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 
10 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ176-191400-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
403 PM AKST Thu Feb 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt becoming W 20 kt after midnight. Seas 13 
ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.MON...S wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ177-191400-
Adak to Kiska-
403 PM AKST Thu Feb 18 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
14 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft Bering side... 17 ft Pac
side.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft.

$$

PKZ178-191400-
Kiska to Attu-
403 PM AKST Thu Feb 18 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt from Shemya E, From Shemya W...SW wind 25 kt.
Seas 19 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 25 ft.

$$

PKZ179-191400-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
403 PM AKST Thu Feb 18 2021

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 
12 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ180-191400-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
403 PM AKST Thu Feb 18 2021

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft. Heavy freezing
spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt from Cape Newenham S, NE wind 25 kt from 
Cape Newenham N. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft.

$$

PKZ181-191400-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
403 PM AKST Thu Feb 18 2021

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 20 kt.

$$

PKZ185-191400-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
403 PM AKST Thu Feb 18 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...E 40 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas in ice free waters 12 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...E 45 kt W of Saint
Matthew Island. Seas in ice free waters 20 ft. Heavy freezing
spray. Widespread snow showers.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt E of Saint Matthew Island... E 40 kt W
of Saint Matthew Island. Seas in ice free waters 20 ft. Heavy 
freezing spray.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 15 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 11 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 13 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 18 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
505 PM AKST Tue Feb 16 2021

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

Light snow continues to taper off across Southcentral this
afternoon, as upper level southwesterly flow diminishes. A front
moving along the coast of the Kuskokwim Delta is also causing snow
shower activity, which has been locally reducing visibilities down
to a mile at times. Elsewhere, broken clouds are the rule for all
of Mainland Alaska. The stationary vertically stacked low over the
Central Aleutians remains in nearly the exact same place as 24
hours ago. This too is making for abundant broken cloud cover over
all of the Bering Sea. Temperature-wise, generally along the coast
temperatures are at or above freezing, with teens and 20s inland
except the usual cold spot of the Copper River Basin where
temperatures are in the single digits.

The upper levels are a bit less complex this afternoon. Ridging is
in place over the Gulf, with the weak upper level disturbance and
southwesterly flow continues over Southcentral. The vertically
stacked low is keeping a longwave trough over all of the Bering,
though the trough extends all the way south to 30N.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Large-scale model agreement is very good through Thursday
afternoon, as both the evolution of the low going into the
panhandle (which directly influences the trough driving the snow
band expected over Southcentral), and the front tracking across
the Bering are both in very good alignment. As usual, the model
discrepancies of much smaller scale features add significant
uncertainty to the forecast. The main feature of note will be the
development of a deformation band somewhere over Southcentral,
but most likely in the Anchorage, Northern Kenai, and Mat-Su
Valleys area. However, with spread as far west as Kenai-Soldotna,
and as far east as Prince William Sound, there is significant
uncertainty where this feature sets up. However, confidence is
decently high that this feature will develop, as it is reflected
in many of the model solutions. The other factor with this snow
band is the timing, as it has been highly variable. As of this
writing, the consensus with that is that the band develops early
Thursday morning, persists through the day, and gradually tapers
off Thursday night, though remnant upslope activity could keep
snow showers lingering in the mountains into Friday morning.

&&

.AVIATION...

PANC...MVFR ceilings will be predominant over the airport through
this evening. Periods of very light freezing drizzle are also
possible, but should not amount to any notable ice accumulations.
Late tonight, VFR ceilings will return as the flow in the mid-
levels turns southeasterly. Meanwhile a northerly flow will
persist at the surface, causing wind shear conditions which will
persist into Wednesday morning before tapering off. A stray snow
shower cannot be ruled out during this time. Looking ahead,
another round of steady snow with likely IFR conditions are
expected early Thursday morning through the day.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3: Today
through Friday Afternoon)...

A long fetch of southerly moisture ahead of a broad low over the
Central Aleutians will bring rain to Kodiak Island this evening.
The frontal system will quickly track northeastward overnight into
Wednesday morning leading to periods of heavy precipitation along
the Southern Kenai Peninsula and coastal Prince William Sound.
Gusty southeasterly winds are also likely over higher terrain and
through mountain gaps. These will diminish through Wednesday
morning. An inverted through is expected to form over Anchorage
and the Matanuska Valley as a result of this flow pattern. However
as this is not overly strong (or due easterly), some overrunning
is possible and thus a dusting of snow cannot be ruled out for
early Wednesday morning. Accumulation is more certain in the
Northern and Western Susitna Valley.

Precipitation types along the immediate coast remain tricky,
however confidence is growing for snow to transition to a
rain/snow mix or all rain by Wednesday afternoon. This will lessen
the overall snow totals, though up to a foot is still expected in
Whittier. Significant amounts are also possible in Valdez, however
if temperatures warm even slightly higher than the forecast,
mixing will result in lower totals there as well. A strong low
tracking west of the panhandle will allow for the precipitation
field to shift slightly westward into Thursday. Again, snow will
transition to a mix by afternoon along the coast. Both rain and
snow totals will be lower than the previous day as precipitation
will taper off by Thursday evening.

Models are coming into better agreement for a deformation band
setting up over Anchorage and the Mat-Su Thursday morning. This is
always difficult to pinpoint even in the very near term. While the
current forecast shows 2-3 inches, this could change significantly
one way or the other depending on subsequent model data. Stronger
offshore flow will develop by Friday, finally leading to mostly
sunny skies across Southcentral. However, snow will continue
across the Copper River Basin under an upper level trough.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...

A wave of upper level energy will move northward across Southwest
Alaska tonight and tomorrow bringing snow to the area. The
offshore flow pattern will continue across the Kuskokwim Delta and
Bristol Bay which will keep the cold air in place and allow the
precipitation type to remain as snow. Overnight lows tonight will
remain around freezing along coastal Bristol Bay, however there is
no warm layer aloft which will furthermore keep this precipitation
as snow. Temperatures tonight will be much colder across the
Kuskokwim Delta. Snow amounts will generally remain as a coating
to an inch across the Kuskokwim Delta and 1-3" across Bristol Bay.
The highest amounts which will range from 2-4" will be over the
Ahlkun and Kilbuck Mountains. For the remainder of the period, dry
offshore flow will result in cold temperatures and quiet weather.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3)...

The low pressure system currently remaining stationary over the
Central Aleutians continues to weaken as the low is vertically
stacked as well as the center of this low is significantly
decoupled from the core of the jet. This decoupling significantly
decreases the synoptic scale forces that force the cyclonic
rotation of this low as there will be less differences in the wind
speed between the southeast and northwest flanks of this low. The
next synoptic feature will be a front moving into the Western
Bering/Aleutians on Thursday. This front will bring widespread
gale force winds to the Western and Central Bering/Aleutians on
Thursday. The front will rapidly weaken over the Eastern
Bering/Aleutians on Friday, resulting in the gale force winds to
weaken to below gale force.

&&

.MARINE (Days 3 through 5: Friday through Sunday)...

Bering Sea: A gale force frontal system is expected to remain
fairly stationary across the Northern Bering Sea south of Saint
Matthew Island for Friday. This front will then slowly weaken
Saturday and continuing into Sunday. Fairly quiet weather is
expected for the Central and Southern Bering with less than 35 kts
winds and less than 20ft seas. With the same pattern remaining in
place through the forecast period, heavy freezing spray will
continue to be an issue near the ice edge.

Gulf of Alaska: Small craft advisory level westerly winds are
expected for Friday with possibly gale force winds out of the
Barren Islands area. Seas are expected to be under 20 ft. A
stronger storm system with the potential for widespread gale force
winds and high seas greater than 20 ft may impact the Gulf of
Alaska sometime in the Saturday to Sunday time frame but
uncertainty remains in the exact details.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7: Saturday through Tuesday)...

The long term forecast period pattern continues to resemble an
Arctic trough/low pressure extending from the Arctic Ocean
southwestward across much of the Alaska Mainland. With this strong
Arctic High in place, the jet stream is expected to remain
generally south of the Alaska Mainland over the North Pacific.
This will keep the storm track progressive from west to east
across the Aleutian Island Chain and through the Southern Bering
keeping the weather active for those areas. For the Alaska
Mainland, cold air is expected to dominate much of the period as
the Arctic trough holds strong. This means much colder than normal
temperatures for this time period with outflow winds for
Southcentral. However, there continues to remain discrepancies on
the individual storms and subtle upper level shortwaves that may
try and come northward to bring some snow to Southcentral areas.
This will largely be determined by the strength of the Arctic
Trough to the north. If it is stronger it would most likely
suppress everything southward and keep the system offshore
whereas if its weaker some of these features might try to come
northward and bring some snow to Southcentral.

Towards the end of the forecast period going into Tuesday, there
are hints of a pattern change. Model guidance is showing the jet
stream coming further north (some guidance is more amplified than
other guidance) which would yield milder temperatures (closer to
normal) with the potential for an active storm track. The details
on each of these storm systems remains very uncertain.
Nevertheless, potential exists for a snowier and milder period
beginning around Tuesday next week. However, there remains a great
deal of variability with the pattern. Model guidance tends to
move things along too fast when indicating a pattern change,
therefore, stay tuned for the latest updates.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALES: 119 176 178.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY: 180 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...JW
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...AP
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...ED
MARINE/LONG TERM...MV