Alert archive / New Mexico / Flash Flood Watches in 2021

Flash Flood Watch 12, NWS Albuquerque, NM

July 22, 202117 counties in New Mexico

NWS Albuquerque, NM issued this flash flood watch at Jul 22, 2021, 2:09 PM MDT for 17 counties in New Mexico. It took effect at Jul 23, 2021, 12:00 PM MDT. It was in force for 32 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 22, 2021, 2:09 PM MDT (20:09 UTC)
In effect from
Jul 23, 2021, 12:00 PM MDT
Expired
Jul 24, 2021, 8:26 PM MDT
In force
32 hr
Issued by
NWS Albuquerque, NM
Flood severity
None

Counties Bernalillo County, NM, Catron County, NM, Cibola County, NM, Colfax County, NM, Lincoln County, NM, Los Alamos County, NM, McKinley County, NM, Mora County, NM, Rio Arriba County, NM, San Juan County, NM, San Miguel County, NM, Sandoval County, NM, Santa Fe County, NM, Socorro County, NM, Taos County, NM, Torrance County, NM, Valencia County, NM

The radar

The Albuquerque radar (KABX), 38 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM (KABQ), launched 12:00Z, 8.2 hours before the alert went out and 37 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM at 12:00Z on 2021-07-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM at 12:00Z on 2021-07-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 39 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1924 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
12 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
39 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
123 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

714 
WGUS65 KABQ 222009
FFAABQ

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
209 PM MDT Thu Jul 22 2021

NMZ202>208-210-211-213>221-241-230600-
/O.NEW.KABQ.FF.A.0012.210723T1800Z-210724T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
/O.CON.KABQ.FF.A.0011.000000T0000Z-210723T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Chuska Mountains-Far Northwest Highlands-Northwest Highlands-West
Central Plateau-West Central Mountains-West Central Highlands-
Southwest Mountains-Tusas Mountains Including Chama-Jemez
Mountains-Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Southern Sangre de
Cristo Mountains-East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Upper Rio
Grande Valley-Espanola Valley-Santa Fe Metro Area-Middle Rio
Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-Lower Rio Grande Valley-
Sandia/Manzano Mountains Including Edgewood-San Agustin Plains
and Adjacent Lowlands-
209 PM MDT Thu Jul 22 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE 
FRIDAY NIGHT...

The National Weather Service in Albuquerque has issued a

* Flash Flood Watch for portions of central, north central, 
  northwest, and west central New Mexico, including the following 
  areas, in central New Mexico, Lower Rio Grande Valley, Middle Rio 
  Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area, San Agustin Plains and 
  Adjacent Lowlands and Sandia/Manzano Mountains Including Edgewood. 
  In north central New Mexico, East Slopes Sangre de Cristo 
  Mountains, Espanola Valley, Far Northwest Highlands, Jemez 
  Mountains, Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains, Northwest 
  Highlands, Santa Fe Metro Area, Southern Sangre de Cristo 
  Mountains, Tusas Mountains Including Chama and Upper Rio Grande 
  Valley. In northwest New Mexico, Chuska Mountains. In west central 
  New Mexico, Southwest Mountains, West Central Highlands, West 
  Central Mountains and West Central Plateau.

* From Friday afternoon through late Friday night.

* The low pressure system will shift over New Mexico on Friday. Lift 
  associated with this feature combined with continued above normal 
  moisture will yield another round of numerous showers and 
  thunderstorms across much of central and western New Mexico Friday 
  afternoon through Friday night. These storms will be capable of 
  very heavy rainfall, with rainfall rates exceeding two inches per 
  hour in the strongest storms. These rates combined with slow storm 
  motions increase the threat for flash flooding. Locations that 
  receive heavy rainfall today and tonight as well as areas over and 
  downstream of wildfire burn scars will be especially susceptible 
  to flash flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

Stay away or be swept away. River banks and culverts can become 
unstable and unsafe.

&&

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of central, north central, northwest, and west central 
  New Mexico, including the following areas, in central New Mexico, 
  Lower Rio Grande Valley, Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque 
  Metro Area, San Agustin Plains and Adjacent Lowlands and 
  Sandia/Manzano Mountains Including Edgewood. In north central New 
  Mexico, East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains, Espanola Valley, 
  Far Northwest Highlands, Jemez Mountains, Northern Sangre de 
  Cristo Mountains, Northwest Highlands, Santa Fe Metro Area, 
  Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains, Tusas Mountains Including 
  Chama and Upper Rio Grande Valley. In northwest New Mexico, Chuska 
  Mountains. In west central New Mexico, Southwest Mountains, West 
  Central Highlands, West Central Mountains and West Central Plateau.

* Through late tonight.

* An approaching low pressure system combined with continued above 
  normal moisture will yield numerous showers and thunderstorms 
  across much of central and western New Mexico through late 
  tonight. These storms will be capable of very heavy rainfall, with 
  rainfall rates exceeding two inches per hour. These rates combined 
  with slow storm motions increase the threat for flash flooding. 
  Locations over and downstream of wildfire burn scars will be 
  especially susceptible to flash flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

Stay away or be swept away. River banks and culverts can become 
unstable and unsafe.

&&

$$

NMZ201-209-212-222>226-230600-
/O.NEW.KABQ.FF.A.0012.210723T1800Z-210724T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Northwest Plateau-San Francisco River Valley-Glorieta Mesa
Including Glorieta Pass-Estancia Valley-Central Highlands-South
Central Highlands-Upper Tularosa Valley-South Central Mountains-
209 PM MDT Thu Jul 22 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE 
FRIDAY NIGHT...

The National Weather Service in Albuquerque has issued a

* Flash Flood Watch for portions of central, north central, 
  northwest, and west central New Mexico, including the following 
  areas, in central New Mexico, Central Highlands, Estancia Valley, 
  South Central Highlands, South Central Mountains and Upper 
  Tularosa Valley. In north central New Mexico, Glorieta Mesa 
  Including Glorieta Pass. In northwest New Mexico, Northwest 
  Plateau. In west central New Mexico, San Francisco River Valley.

* From Friday afternoon through late Friday night.

* A low pressure system will shift over New Mexico on Friday. Lift 
  associated with this feature combined with continued above normal 
  moisture will yield another round of numerous showers and 
  thunderstorms across all of central and western New Mexico. These 
  storms will be capable of very heavy rainfall, with rainfall rates 
  exceeding two inches per hour in the strongest storms. These rates 
  combined with slow storm motions increase the threat for flash 
  flooding. Locations that receive heavy rainfall today and tonight 
  as well as areas over and downstream of wildfire burn scars will 
  be especially susceptible to flash flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

Stay away or be swept away. River banks and culverts can become 
unstable and unsafe.

&&

$$

34
7 follow-up statements
986 
WGUS65 KABQ 230639
FFAABQ

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1239 AM MDT Fri Jul 23 2021

NMZ202>208-210-211-213>221-241-231445-
/O.CON.KABQ.FF.A.0011.000000T0000Z-210723T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
/O.CON.KABQ.FF.A.0012.210723T1800Z-210724T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Chuska Mountains-Far Northwest Highlands-Northwest Highlands-West
Central Plateau-West Central Mountains-West Central Highlands-
Southwest Mountains-Tusas Mountains Including Chama-Jemez
Mountains-Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Southern Sangre de
Cristo Mountains-East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Upper Rio
Grande Valley-Espanola Valley-Santa Fe Metro Area-Middle Rio
Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-Lower Rio Grande Valley-
Sandia/Manzano Mountains Including Edgewood-San Agustin Plains
and Adjacent Lowlands-
1239 AM MDT Fri Jul 23 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT EARLY THIS 
MORNING...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON MDT TODAY THROUGH 
LATE TONIGHT...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of central, north central, northwest, and west central 
  New Mexico, including the following areas, in central New Mexico, 
  Lower Rio Grande Valley, Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque 
  Metro Area, San Agustin Plains and Adjacent Lowlands and 
  Sandia/Manzano Mountains Including Edgewood. In north central New 
  Mexico, East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains, Espanola Valley, 
  Far Northwest Highlands, Jemez Mountains, Northern Sangre de 
  Cristo Mountains, Northwest Highlands, Santa Fe Metro Area, 
  Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains, Tusas Mountains Including 
  Chama and Upper Rio Grande Valley. In northwest New Mexico, Chuska 
  Mountains. In west central New Mexico, Southwest Mountains, West 
  Central Highlands, West Central Mountains and West Central Plateau.

* Until 6 AM MDT early this morning.

* An approaching low pressure system combined with continued above 
  normal moisture will yield numerous showers and thunderstorms 
  across much of central and western New Mexico through late 
  tonight. These storms will be capable of very heavy rainfall, with 
  rainfall rates exceeding two inches per hour. These rates combined 
  with slow storm motions increase the threat for flash flooding. 
  Locations over and downstream of wildfire burn scars will be 
  especially susceptible to flash flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

Stay away or be swept away. River banks and culverts can become 
unstable and unsafe.

&&

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of central, north central, northwest, and west central 
  New Mexico, including the following areas, in central New Mexico, 
  Lower Rio Grande Valley, Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque 
  Metro Area, San Agustin Plains and Adjacent Lowlands and 
  Sandia/Manzano Mountains Including Edgewood. In north central New 
  Mexico, East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains, Espanola Valley, 
  Far Northwest Highlands, Jemez Mountains, Northern Sangre de 
  Cristo Mountains, Northwest Highlands, Santa Fe Metro Area, 
  Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains, Tusas Mountains Including 
  Chama and Upper Rio Grande Valley. In northwest New Mexico, Chuska 
  Mountains. In west central New Mexico, Southwest Mountains, West 
  Central Highlands, West Central Mountains and West Central Plateau.

* From Noon MDT today through late tonight.

* The low pressure system will shift over New Mexico on Friday. Lift 
  associated with this feature combined with continued above normal 
  moisture will yield another round of numerous showers and 
  thunderstorms across much of central and western New Mexico Friday 
  afternoon through Friday night. These storms will be capable of 
  very heavy rainfall, with rainfall rates exceeding two inches per 
  hour in the strongest storms. These rates combined with slow storm 
  motions increase the threat for flash flooding. Locations that 
  receive heavy rainfall today and tonight as well as areas over and 
  downstream of wildfire burn scars will be especially susceptible 
  to flash flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

Stay away or be swept away. River banks and culverts can become 
unstable and unsafe.

&&

$$

NMZ201-209-212-222>226-231445-
/O.CON.KABQ.FF.A.0012.210723T1800Z-210724T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Northwest Plateau-San Francisco River Valley-Glorieta Mesa
Including Glorieta Pass-Estancia Valley-Central Highlands-South
Central Highlands-Upper Tularosa Valley-South Central Mountains-
1239 AM MDT Fri Jul 23 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON MDT TODAY THROUGH 
LATE TONIGHT...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of central, north central, northwest, and west central 
  New Mexico, including the following areas, in central New Mexico, 
  Central Highlands, Estancia Valley, South Central Highlands, South 
  Central Mountains and Upper Tularosa Valley. In north central New 
  Mexico, Glorieta Mesa Including Glorieta Pass. In northwest New 
  Mexico, Northwest Plateau. In west central New Mexico, San 
  Francisco River Valley.

* From Noon MDT today through late tonight.

* A low pressure system will shift over New Mexico on Friday. Lift 
  associated with this feature combined with continued above normal 
  moisture will yield another round of numerous showers and 
  thunderstorms across all of central and western New Mexico. These 
  storms will be capable of very heavy rainfall, with rainfall rates 
  exceeding two inches per hour in the strongest storms. These rates 
  combined with slow storm motions increase the threat for flash 
  flooding. Locations that receive heavy rainfall today and tonight 
  as well as areas over and downstream of wildfire burn scars will 
  be especially susceptible to flash flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

Stay away or be swept away. River banks and culverts can become 
unstable and unsafe.

&&

$$

11
475 
WGUS65 KABQ 231210
FFAABQ

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
610 AM MDT Fri Jul 23 2021

NMZ202>208-210-211-213>221-241-232200-
/O.EXP.KABQ.FF.A.0011.000000T0000Z-210723T1200Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FF.A.0012.210723T1800Z-210724T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Chuska Mountains-Far Northwest Highlands-Northwest Highlands-West
Central Plateau-West Central Mountains-West Central Highlands-
Southwest Mountains-Tusas Mountains Including Chama-Jemez
Mountains-Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Southern Sangre de
Cristo Mountains-East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Upper Rio
Grande Valley-Espanola Valley-Santa Fe Metro Area-Middle Rio
Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-Lower Rio Grande Valley-
Sandia/Manzano Mountains Including Edgewood-San Agustin Plains
and Adjacent Lowlands-
610 AM MDT Fri Jul 23 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON MDT TODAY THROUGH 
LATE TONIGHT...

The previous watch has expired and today's watch will go into effect 
at noon MDT.

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of central, north central, northwest, and west central 
  New Mexico, including the following areas, in central New Mexico, 
  Lower Rio Grande Valley, Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque 
  Metro Area, San Agustin Plains and Adjacent Lowlands and 
  Sandia/Manzano Mountains Including Edgewood. In north central New 
  Mexico, East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains, Espanola Valley, 
  Far Northwest Highlands, Jemez Mountains, Northern Sangre de 
  Cristo Mountains, Northwest Highlands, Santa Fe Metro Area, 
  Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains, Tusas Mountains Including 
  Chama and Upper Rio Grande Valley. In northwest New Mexico, Chuska 
  Mountains. In west central New Mexico, Southwest Mountains, West 
  Central Highlands, West Central Mountains and West Central Plateau.

* From Noon MDT today through late tonight.

* A low pressure system will shift over New Mexico today. 
  Instability associated with this feature combined with continued 
  above normal moisture will yield another round of numerous showers 
  and thunderstorms across much of central and western New Mexico 
  today through tonight. These storms will be capable of very heavy 
  rainfall, with rainfall rates exceeding two inches per hour in the 
  strongest storms. These rates combined with some already saturated 
  grounds will increase the threat for flash flooding. Areas over 
  and downstream of wildfire burn scars will be especially 
  susceptible to flash flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

Stay away or be swept away. River banks and culverts can become 
unstable and unsafe.

&&

$$

NMZ201-209-212-222>226-232200-
/O.CON.KABQ.FF.A.0012.210723T1800Z-210724T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Northwest Plateau-San Francisco River Valley-Glorieta Mesa
Including Glorieta Pass-Estancia Valley-Central Highlands-South
Central Highlands-Upper Tularosa Valley-South Central Mountains-
610 AM MDT Fri Jul 23 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON MDT TODAY THROUGH 
LATE TONIGHT...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of central, north central, northwest, and west central 
  New Mexico, including the following areas, in central New Mexico, 
  Central Highlands, Estancia Valley, South Central Highlands, South 
  Central Mountains and Upper Tularosa Valley. In north central New 
  Mexico, Glorieta Mesa Including Glorieta Pass. In northwest New 
  Mexico, Northwest Plateau. In west central New Mexico, San 
  Francisco River Valley.

* From Noon MDT today through late tonight.

* A low pressure system will shift over New Mexico today. 
  Instability associated with this feature combined with continued 
  above normal moisture will yield another round of numerous showers 
  and thunderstorms across all of central and western New Mexico. 
  These storms will be capable of very heavy rainfall, with rainfall 
  rates exceeding two inches per hour in the strongest storms. These 
  rates combined with some already saturated grounds will increase 
  the threat for flash flooding. Areas over and downstream of 
  wildfire burn scars will be especially susceptible to flash 
  flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

Stay away or be swept away. River banks and culverts can become 
unstable and unsafe.

&&

$$

11
712 
WGUS65 KABQ 232051
FFAABQ

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
251 PM MDT Fri Jul 23 2021

NMZ205>209-241-240400-
/O.EXT.KABQ.FF.A.0012.000000T0000Z-210725T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
West Central Plateau-West Central Mountains-West Central
Highlands-Southwest Mountains-San Francisco River Valley-San
Agustin Plains and Adjacent Lowlands-
251 PM MDT Fri Jul 23 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch is now in effect for

* Portions of central and west central New Mexico, including the 
  following areas, in central New Mexico, San Agustin Plains and 
  Adjacent Lowlands. In west central New Mexico, San Francisco River 
  Valley, Southwest Mountains, West Central Highlands, West Central 
  Mountains and West Central Plateau.

* Through Saturday evening.

* A low pressure system will continue to shift over portions of New 
  Mexico through Saturday. Instability associated with this feature 
  combined with continued above normal moisture will yield numerous 
  showers and thunderstorms across portions of central and western 
  New Mexico. These storms will be capable of very heavy rainfall. 
  High rainfall rates combined with some already saturated grounds 
  will increase the threat for flash flooding. Areas over and 
  downstream of wildfire burn scars will be especially susceptible 
  to flash flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

Stay away or be swept away. River banks and culverts can become 
unstable and unsafe.

&&

$$

NMZ201>204-210>226-240400-
/O.CON.KABQ.FF.A.0012.000000T0000Z-210724T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Northwest Plateau-Chuska Mountains-Far Northwest Highlands-
Northwest Highlands-Tusas Mountains Including Chama-Jemez
Mountains-Glorieta Mesa Including Glorieta Pass-Northern Sangre
de Cristo Mountains-Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-East
Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Upper Rio Grande Valley-
Espanola Valley-Santa Fe Metro Area-Middle Rio Grande
Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-Lower Rio Grande Valley-
Sandia/Manzano Mountains Including Edgewood-Estancia Valley-
Central Highlands-South Central Highlands-Upper Tularosa Valley-
South Central Mountains-
251 PM MDT Fri Jul 23 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of central, north central, and northwest New Mexico, 
  including the following areas, in central New Mexico, Central 
  Highlands, Estancia Valley, Lower Rio Grande Valley, Middle Rio 
  Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area, Sandia/Manzano Mountains 
  Including Edgewood, South Central Highlands, South Central 
  Mountains and Upper Tularosa Valley. In north central New Mexico, 
  East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains, Espanola Valley, Far 
  Northwest Highlands, Glorieta Mesa Including Glorieta Pass, Jemez 
  Mountains, Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains, Northwest 
  Highlands, Santa Fe Metro Area, Southern Sangre de Cristo 
  Mountains, Tusas Mountains Including Chama and Upper Rio Grande 
  Valley. In northwest New Mexico, Chuska Mountains and Northwest 
  Plateau.

* Through late tonight.

* A low pressure system will continue to shift over New Mexico 
  through tonight. Numerous showers and thunderstorms will continue 
  across central and western New Mexico due to instability 
  associated with this feature combined with continued above normal 
  moisture. These storms will be capable of very heavy rainfall, 
  with rainfall rates exceeding two inches per hour in the strongest 
  storms. These rates combined with some already saturated grounds 
  will increase the threat for flash flooding. Areas over and 
  downstream of wildfire burn scars will be especially susceptible 
  to flash flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

Stay away or be swept away. River banks and culverts can become 
unstable and unsafe.

&&

$$

40/34
862 
WGUS65 KABQ 240611
FFAABQ

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1211 AM MDT Sat Jul 24 2021

NMZ201>204-210>226-241200-
/O.CON.KABQ.FF.A.0012.000000T0000Z-210724T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Northwest Plateau-Chuska Mountains-Far Northwest Highlands-
Northwest Highlands-Tusas Mountains Including Chama-Jemez
Mountains-Glorieta Mesa Including Glorieta Pass-Northern Sangre
de Cristo Mountains-Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-East
Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Upper Rio Grande Valley-
Espanola Valley-Santa Fe Metro Area-Middle Rio Grande
Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-Lower Rio Grande Valley-
Sandia/Manzano Mountains Including Edgewood-Estancia Valley-
Central Highlands-South Central Highlands-Upper Tularosa Valley-
South Central Mountains-
1211 AM MDT Sat Jul 24 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT EARLY THIS 
MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of central, north central, and northwest New Mexico, 
  including the following areas, in central New Mexico, Central 
  Highlands, Estancia Valley, Lower Rio Grande Valley, Middle Rio 
  Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area, Sandia/Manzano Mountains 
  Including Edgewood, South Central Highlands, South Central 
  Mountains and Upper Tularosa Valley. In north central New Mexico, 
  East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains, Espanola Valley, Far 
  Northwest Highlands, Glorieta Mesa Including Glorieta Pass, Jemez 
  Mountains, Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains, Northwest 
  Highlands, Santa Fe Metro Area, Southern Sangre de Cristo 
  Mountains, Tusas Mountains Including Chama and Upper Rio Grande 
  Valley. In northwest New Mexico, Chuska Mountains and Northwest 
  Plateau.

* Until 6 AM MDT early this morning.

* A low pressure system will continue to shift over New Mexico 
  through tonight. Numerous showers and thunderstorms will continue 
  across central and western New Mexico due to instability 
  associated with this feature combined with continued above normal 
  moisture. These storms will be capable of very heavy rainfall, 
  with rainfall rates exceeding two inches per hour in the strongest 
  storms. These rates combined with some already saturated grounds 
  will increase the threat for flash flooding. Areas over and 
  downstream of wildfire burn scars will be especially susceptible 
  to flash flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

Stay away or be swept away. River banks and culverts can become 
unstable and unsafe.

&&

$$

NMZ205>209-241-241200-
/O.CON.KABQ.FF.A.0012.000000T0000Z-210725T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
West Central Plateau-West Central Mountains-West Central
Highlands-Southwest Mountains-San Francisco River Valley-San
Agustin Plains and Adjacent Lowlands-
1211 AM MDT Sat Jul 24 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of central and west central New Mexico, including the 
  following areas, in central New Mexico, San Agustin Plains and 
  Adjacent Lowlands. In west central New Mexico, San Francisco River 
  Valley, Southwest Mountains, West Central Highlands, West Central 
  Mountains and West Central Plateau.

* Through this evening.

* A low pressure system will continue to shift over portions of New 
  Mexico through Saturday. Instability associated with this feature 
  combined with continued above normal moisture will yield numerous 
  showers and thunderstorms across portions of central and western 
  New Mexico. These storms will be capable of very heavy rainfall. 
  High rainfall rates combined with some already saturated grounds 
  will increase the threat for flash flooding. Areas over and 
  downstream of wildfire burn scars will be especially susceptible 
  to flash flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

Stay away or be swept away. River banks and culverts can become 
unstable and unsafe.

&&

$$

11
908 
WGUS65 KABQ 241202
FFAABQ

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
602 AM MDT Sat Jul 24 2021

NMZ201>204-210>226-241315-
/O.EXP.KABQ.FF.A.0012.000000T0000Z-210724T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Northwest Plateau-Chuska Mountains-Far Northwest Highlands-
Northwest Highlands-Tusas Mountains Including Chama-Jemez
Mountains-Glorieta Mesa Including Glorieta Pass-Northern Sangre
de Cristo Mountains-Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-East
Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Upper Rio Grande Valley-
Espanola Valley-Santa Fe Metro Area-Middle Rio Grande
Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-Lower Rio Grande Valley-
Sandia/Manzano Mountains Including Edgewood-Estancia Valley-
Central Highlands-South Central Highlands-Upper Tularosa Valley-
South Central Mountains-
602 AM MDT Sat Jul 24 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS EXPIRED...

The Flash Flood Watch for portions of central, north central, and 
northwest New Mexico, including the following areas, in central New 
Mexico, Central Highlands, Estancia Valley, Lower Rio Grande Valley, 
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area, Sandia/Manzano 
Mountains Including Edgewood, South Central Highlands, South Central 
Mountains and Upper Tularosa Valley. In north central New Mexico, 
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains, Espanola Valley, Far 
Northwest Highlands, Glorieta Mesa Including Glorieta Pass, Jemez 
Mountains, Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains, Northwest Highlands, 
Santa Fe Metro Area, Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains, Tusas 
Mountains Including Chama and Upper Rio Grande Valley. In northwest 
New Mexico, Chuska Mountains and Northwest Plateau has expired.

Locally heavy rainfall and localized flash flood are still possible 
later this afternoon and evening, but the main threat area has 
shifted further west and south across the state.

$$

NMZ205>209-241-242200-
/O.CON.KABQ.FF.A.0012.000000T0000Z-210725T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
West Central Plateau-West Central Mountains-West Central
Highlands-Southwest Mountains-San Francisco River Valley-San
Agustin Plains and Adjacent Lowlands-
602 AM MDT Sat Jul 24 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of central and west central New Mexico, including the 
  following areas, in central New Mexico, San Agustin Plains and 
  Adjacent Lowlands. In west central New Mexico, San Francisco River 
  Valley, Southwest Mountains, West Central Highlands, West Central 
  Mountains and West Central Plateau.

* Through this evening.

* A low pressure system will continue to shift over portions of New 
  Mexico through today. Instability associated with this feature 
  combined with continued above normal moisture will yield numerous 
  showers and thunderstorms across portions of central and western 
  New Mexico. These storms will be capable of very heavy rainfall. 
  High rainfall rates combined with some already saturated grounds 
  will increase the threat for flash flooding. Areas over and 
  downstream of wildfire burn scars will be especially susceptible 
  to flash flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

Stay away or be swept away. River banks and culverts can become 
unstable and unsafe.

&&

$$

11
399 
WGUS65 KABQ 241844
FFAABQ

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1244 PM MDT Sat Jul 24 2021

NMZ201-202-204-250600-
/O.EXA.KABQ.FF.A.0012.000000T0000Z-210725T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Northwest Plateau-Chuska Mountains-Northwest Highlands-
1244 PM MDT Sat Jul 24 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT...

The National Weather Service in Albuquerque has expanded the

* Flash Flood Watch to include portions of north central and 
  northwest New Mexico, including the following areas, in north 
  central New Mexico, Northwest Highlands. In northwest New Mexico, 
  Chuska Mountains and Northwest Plateau.

* Until Midnight MDT tonight.

* A low pressure system will continue to shift over portions of New 
  Mexico through today. Instability associated with this feature 
  combined with continued above normal moisture will yield numerous 
  showers and thunderstorms across portions of northwest New Mexico. 
  These storms will be capable of very heavy rainfall. High rainfall 
  rates combined with some already saturated grounds will increase 
  the threat for flash flooding. Areas over and downstream of 
  wildfire burn scars will be especially susceptible to flash 
  flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

Stay away or be swept away. River banks and culverts can become 
unstable and unsafe.

&&

$$

NMZ205>209-241-250600-
/O.CON.KABQ.FF.A.0012.000000T0000Z-210725T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
West Central Plateau-West Central Mountains-West Central
Highlands-Southwest Mountains-San Francisco River Valley-San
Agustin Plains and Adjacent Lowlands-
1244 PM MDT Sat Jul 24 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of central and west central New Mexico, including the 
  following areas, in central New Mexico, San Agustin Plains and 
  Adjacent Lowlands. In west central New Mexico, San Francisco River 
  Valley, Southwest Mountains, West Central Highlands, West Central 
  Mountains and West Central Plateau.

* Until Midnight MDT tonight.

* A low pressure system will continue to shift over portions of New 
  Mexico through today. Instability associated with this feature 
  combined with continued above normal moisture will yield numerous 
  showers and thunderstorms across portions of central and western 
  New Mexico. These storms will be capable of very heavy rainfall. 
  High rainfall rates combined with some already saturated grounds 
  will increase the threat for flash flooding. Areas over and 
  downstream of wildfire burn scars will be especially susceptible 
  to flash flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

Stay away or be swept away. River banks and culverts can become 
unstable and unsafe.

&&

$$

CHJ
501 
WGUS65 KABQ 250226
FFAABQ

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
826 PM MDT Sat Jul 24 2021

NMZ201-202-204>209-241-250330-
/O.CAN.KABQ.FF.A.0012.000000T0000Z-210725T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Northwest Plateau-Chuska Mountains-Northwest Highlands-West
Central Plateau-West Central Mountains-West Central Highlands-
Southwest Mountains-San Francisco River Valley-San Agustin Plains
and Adjacent Lowlands-
826 PM MDT Sat Jul 24 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flash Flood Watch for portions of central, north central, 
northwest, and west central New Mexico, including the following 
areas, in central New Mexico, San Agustin Plains and Adjacent 
Lowlands. In north central New Mexico, Northwest Highlands. In 
northwest New Mexico, Chuska Mountains and Northwest Plateau. In 
west central New Mexico, San Francisco River Valley, Southwest 
Mountains, West Central Highlands, West Central Mountains and West 
Central Plateau. has been cancelled.

The Flood Watch is replaced with a Flood Advisory.

$$

44

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Jul 22, 11:50 AM MDT, 2 hours 19 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 22, 11:50 AM MDT, 2 hours 19 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1150 AM MDT Thu Jul 22 2021

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF CYCLE
Showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop across the high
terrain by 19Z, before expanding in coverage through the afternoon
and evening as they shift southwestward. The strongest storms will
be capable of heavy rain, MVFR cigs/vsbys and/or mountain
obscurations. One or more clusters of storms may form across western
NM this evening before shifting into AZ. KGUP is likely to be
impacted, perhaps for several hours. Thunderstorms are also possible
at other central and western NM TAF sites, while eastern areas remain
VFR today. Additional showers and thunderstorms may develop across
southeast NM, in the vicinity of KROW, toward sunrise Friday.

34

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...320 AM MDT Thu Jul 22 2021...
.SYNOPSIS...
A slow moving low pressure system will help trigger scattered to
numerous showers and thunderstorms today. Very heavy rain with the
potential for flash flooding will be most likely in central and
western New Mexico today. Very similar conditions are forecast for
Friday and Saturday with slight drying expected Sunday into early
next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)...
A Four Corners high will continue today as an upper low embedded in
easterly flow aloft advances west across TX. Although some drying of
the mid levels of the atmosphere was noted in area soundings
yesterday and in the water vapor satellite imagery, PWATs are
forecast by all of the 00Z model solutions to trend back up to above
normal today. The KABQ PWAT is forecast to trend back up from near
0.90" to around 1.2", which will be more than sufficient for locally
heavy rainfall given sufficient destabilization of the atmosphere
from daytime heating. Steering flow will be very light closer to the
upper high center near the Four Corners, but will otherwise be on
the uptrend as winds in the mid levels of the atmosphere increase
out of the northeast given the approaching upper low. The
ingredients for flash flooding will be in place later today, but the
greatest threat will be along/near the Continental Divide given
steering flow that will likely be parallel to the orientation of the
terrain and the potential for training storms. Friday will be
similar, except the upper low will be moving into southeast NM and
steering flow will be on the uptrend. A Flash Flood Watch will need
to be considered for Friday as well given above normal PWATS,
potentially saturated grounds and plenty of instability for deeper
convection. Daytime temperatures will generally be at or below
normal.

LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...
Global models agree that the above mentioned retrograding upper-
level closed low will be smack dab over NM Friday night. GFS is a
bit farther north than the ECWMF. Somewhat surprisingly, it remains a
cold core feature with -8.5C at 500mb. At any rate, it continues to
increase instability and atmospheric lift over much of central and
especially western NM Saturday. Flash flooding threat remains high
where storms train over the same area but storm steering flow is
forecast to be around 20 kts. The closed low shifts over southwest
AZ/southern CA Sunday but with plenty of low-level moisture in place
in the form of precipitable water values ranging from an inch to
1.25", another round of wet scattered showers and storms will develop
over the mountains and move northward (finally) around 20kts. This
change in steering flow will allow areas missed out so far this year
to get into the action. Models have the same idea for early next
week with the Four Corners' High (FCH) strengthening over CO/WY/NE/KS
and an east-southeast flow aloft over NM. Surface flow remains sely,
keeping moisture advection going with afternoon/evening convection
favoring areas along and west of the central mountain chain. In fact,
both the GFS and ECWMF keep the FCH over KS for the remainder of
next week, keeping daily rounds of convection in the forecast through
next week.

11/33

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Daily rounds of wetting storms will persist for the foreseeable
future with the potential for locally heavy rainfall and flash
flooding on/near more recent burn scars. Chances for wetting rain
will favor central and western NM through the weekend and into early
next week. The upper high is forecast to increase in strength and
expand over the region going into the middle of next week, which
should bring warmer temperatures and a smaller wetting rain
footprint.

11

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for the following zones...
NMZ202>208-210-211-213>221-241.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 22, 3:11 AM MDT, 10 hours 58 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
311 AM MDT Thu Jul 22 2021

NMZ201>241-231030-
Northwest Plateau-Chuska Mountains-Far Northwest Highlands-
Northwest Highlands-West Central Plateau-West Central Mountains-
West Central Highlands-Southwest Mountains-
San Francisco River Valley-Tusas Mountains Including Chama-
Jemez Mountains-Glorieta Mesa Including Glorieta Pass-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Upper Rio Grande Valley-
Espanola Valley-Santa Fe Metro Area-
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-
Lower Rio Grande Valley-Sandia/Manzano Mountains Including Edgewood-
Estancia Valley-Central Highlands-South Central Highlands-
Upper Tularosa Valley-South Central Mountains-
Johnson and Bartlett Mesas Including Raton Pass-
Far Northeast Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Union County-
Harding County-Eastern San Miguel County-Guadalupe County-
Quay County-Curry County-Roosevelt County-De Baca County-
Chaves County Plains-Eastern Lincoln County-Southwest Chaves County-
San Agustin Plains and Adjacent Lowlands-
311 AM MDT Thu Jul 22 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of north and central
New Mexico.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will develop over
central and western NM today, producing heavy rainfall and localized
areas of flash flooding. A flash flood watch remains in effect for
much of central and western areas of the state this afternoon
through late tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are expected each afternoon and
evening. Localized areas of flash flooding are likely, with the
greatest risk below recent burn scars and areas where soils are
saturated. Up to 2 inches of rain is possible, especially along and
west of the central mountain chain Friday. Storms will likely
produce small hail and wind gusts to 50 mph.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report rainfall amounts and any flooding
through the National Weather Service Albuquerque web site at
weather.gov/abq or by calling 1.888.386.7637.

33

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 22, 1:08 PM MDT, 1 hour 1 minute before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
108 PM MDT Thu Jul 22 2021

NMZ206-207-221945-
West Central Highlands-West Central Mountains-
108 PM MDT Thu Jul 22 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL CIBOLA COUNTY UNTIL 145
PM MDT...

At 107 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 15
miles southwest of Grants. This storm was nearly stationary.

Penny size hail and torrential rainfall will be possible with this
storm.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of central Cibola
County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3501 10787 3479 10797 3488 10824 3521 10813
TIME...MOT...LOC 1907Z 117DEG 2KT 3497 10800

The office that day

Everything else NWS Albuquerque, NM issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 21, 6:25 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementABQRio Arriba35 min
Jul 21, 6:47 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryABQMcKinley, San Juan118 min
Jul 21, 6:49 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementABQRio Arriba26 min
Jul 21, 6:56 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryABQRio Arriba, San Juan109 min
Jul 21, 7:16 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementABQRio Arriba29 min
Jul 21, 7:39 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryABQSan Juan111 min
Jul 21, 11:02 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryABQRio Arriba3 hr
Jul 21, 11:44 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryABQRio Arriba3 hr
Jul 22, 1:08 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementABQCibola37 min
Jul 22, 1:26 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryABQSan Miguel, Santa Fe3 hr
Jul 22, 1:33 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryABQCibola3 hr
Jul 22, 2:32 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryABQCatron, Cibola, Socorro3 hr
Jul 22, 2:36 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryABQBernalillo, Torrance3 hr
Jul 22, 2:39 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryABQCibola, McKinley3 hr
Jul 22, 2:44 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryABQLos Alamos, Sandoval3 hr
Jul 22, 2:52 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryABQMora, Rio Arriba, San Miguel, Santa Fe, Taos3 hr
Jul 22, 2:58 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryABQMcKinley3 hr
Jul 22, 3:05 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryABQCatron, Socorro3 hr
Jul 22, 3:39 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryABQColfax, Mora, Taos3 hr
Jul 22, 4:04 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryABQBernalillo, Santa Fe, Torrance3 hr
Jul 22, 4:14 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryABQMora, San Miguel, Santa Fe, Torrance3 hr
Jul 22, 4:42 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryABQRio Arriba, Sandoval3 hr
Jul 22, 4:58 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryABQRio Arriba, Sandoval3 hr
Jul 22, 5:16 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryABQCatron, Cibola, Sandoval, Socorro3 hr
Jul 22, 5:54 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryABQRio Arriba3 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Watches in New Mexico, 2021Every flash flood watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.