Alert archive / Arkansas / Special Weather Statements in 2020

Special Weather Statement, NWS Tulsa, OK

June 21, 2020Carroll County, Arkansas

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this special weather statement at Jun 21, 2020, 1:49 PM CDT for Carroll County, Arkansas. It was in force for 26 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 21, 2020, 1:49 PM CDT (18:49 UTC)
Expired: Jun 21, 2020, 2:15 PM CDT
In force: 26 min
Issued by: NWS Tulsa, OK

County Carroll County, AR

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 91 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jun 21, 12:29 PM CDT, 1 hour 20 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 21, 12:29 PM CDT, 1 hour 20 minutes before

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Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 21, 1:10 PM CDT, 39 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
110 PM CDT Sun Jun 21 2020

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-221030-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
110 PM CDT Sun Jun 21 2020

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.
TORNADO.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma.
	ONSET...After 10 PM.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...Significant.
	AREA...Primarily Eastern Oklahoma.
	ONSET...After 10 PM.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma
	ONSET...After midnight.

DISCUSSION...
Scattered thunderstorms will continue this afternoon across portions
of southeast Oklahoma and western Arkansas.  A brief to strong to
marginally severe storm will be possible through late afternoon.
Otherwise the focus will be across the High Plains where numerous
severe storms are expected to develop and expand into a larger
storm complex.  This storm complex will likely track east and
southeast into eastern Oklahoma by late evening and continue
into western Arkansas during the early morning hours Monday.
Locally damaging winds will be possible with this line of storms
along with areas of heavy rainfall.  Additionally, a limited risk
of tornadoes will accompany the line of storms as it moves into
eastern Oklahoma.  The exact track and longevity of the
strongest portion of the line of storms continue to be refined,
however severe weather watches and warnings should be
anticipated for the late evening through early morning hours.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Possible

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.
MONDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
WEDNESDAY...No Hazards.
THURSDAY through SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Severe weather may be ongoing early Monday morning along with
areas of heavy rainfall.  These storms will gradually weaken
as they spread east and southward through the area.  Remnant
outflow boundaries will serve as a focus for renewed storm
develop Monday afternoon.  The severe weather potential will
be determined by the degree of instability which is able
to develop by Monday afternoon.  Thunderstorm chances and
locally heavy rainfall potential will continue into Tuesday.
The weather pattern will remain unsettled into next weekend
with continued thunderstorm chances. However widespread severe
weather does not appear likely for the latter half of the week.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
Multiple rounds of storms with heavy rainfall are likely over the
next couple of days. Flash flooding may become a significant
concern, especially by Monday into Monday night.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 21, 8:25 AM CDT, 5 hours 24 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Jun 21, 9:03 AM CDT, 4 hours 46 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Jun 21, 11:48 AM CDT, 2 hours 1 minute before

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Special weather statement, Jun 21, 1:12 PM CDT, 37 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Jun 21, 1:49 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
149 PM CDT Sun Jun 21 2020

ARZ002-211915-
Carroll AR-
149 PM CDT Sun Jun 21 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN CARROLL COUNTY UNTIL
215 PM CDT...

At 149 PM CDT, a strong thunderstorm was located 6 miles southwest of
Roberson Hollow, moving northeast at 15 mph.

Penny size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations in or near the path include...
Blue Eye...                       Denver...

LAT...LON 3634 9331 3640 9347 3650 9344 3650 9330
      3648 9329 3635 9330
TIME...MOT...LOC 1849Z 209DEG 13KT 3642 9336

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 21, 6:12 AM CDT	Dense Fog Advisory	TSA	Haskell, McIntosh, Muskogee	3 hr
Jun 21, 8:25 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Pushmataha	35 min
Jun 21, 9:03 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Pushmataha	42 min
Jun 21, 11:21 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	Choctaw, Pushmataha	3 hr
Jun 21, 11:48 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	LeFlore	27 min
Jun 21, 1:12 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Crawford	48 min
Jun 21, 1:53 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Franklin	37 min
Jun 21, 2:26 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Carroll	34 min
Jun 21, 3:14 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Carroll	31 min
Jun 21, 3:39 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Carroll	36 min
Jun 21, 4:00 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Carroll	31 min
Jun 21, 4:01 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Benton	29 min
Jun 21, 4:23 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Carroll	37 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Arkansas, 2020 Every special weather statement in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.