Special Weather Statement, NWS Tulsa, OK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1235 PM CDT Fri Mar 27 2020

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
VFR to MVFR conditions are anticipated through the
valid period at all sites with thunderstorms possibly
impacting sites later Tonight into Saturday morning.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 1104 AM CDT Fri Mar 27 2020/

DISCUSSION...
Will see an increase in elevated showers and thunderstorms
across eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas this afternoon
as isentropic lift continues across the region. Have made some
minor adjustments to the pops for today to reflect. Have
also made some small adjustments to the remaining grids for
Today to better reflect current trends as well.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

AVIATION.....10

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
150 PM CDT Fri Mar 27 2020

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-281030-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
150 PM CDT Fri Mar 27 2020

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
TORNADO.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
	ONSET...Late afternoon.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...Elevated.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas.
	ONSET...Late afternoon and again after midnight.

DISCUSSION...
Scattered thunderstorms have developed this afternoon
across central Oklahoma and if they hold together will
spread into eastern Oklahoma late this afternoon. These
storms are elevated in nature and are capable of producing
large hail. There is the potential that storms could become
surface based across northeast Oklahoma in the vicinity of a
a frontal boundary. This will increase the potential for
damaging winds and possibly a tornado. This activity will
taper off during the evening. However, more showers and
thunderstorms are anticipated after midnight as a cold front
moves into the area. These storms will also have the potential
to become severe with large hail and damaging winds the main concern.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Likely.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
SUNDAY...No Hazards.
MONDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A few thunderstorms may be ongoing early Saturday across
western Arkansas, otherwise expect a dry and breezy day.
Shower and thunderstorm chances return by early next week
as another upper system moves into the Plains.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
208 PM CDT Fri Mar 27 2020

OKZ054-059-064-271945-
Osage OK-Pawnee OK-Creek OK-
208 PM CDT Fri Mar 27 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN OSAGE...NORTHWESTERN
CREEK AND SOUTHEASTERN PAWNEE COUNTIES UNTIL 245 PM CDT...

At 208 PM CDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over Yale, moving
northeast at 65 mph.

Nickel size hail will be possible with this storm.

Locations in or near the path include...
Hominy...                         Cleveland...
Mannford...                       Oilton...
Jennings...                       Westport...
Osage...                          Hallett...
Blackburn...                      Terlton...
Maramec...                        Walnut Creek State Park...
Silver City...

LAT...LON 3656 9637 3623 9610 3616 9625 3616 9630
      3614 9630 3599 9662 3616 9662 3616 9682
      3625 9682
TIME...MOT...LOC 1908Z 236DEG 57KT 3610 9669