Alert archive / Oklahoma / River Flood Warnings in 2020

River Flood Warning 7, NWS Tulsa, OK

January 9, 2020LeFlore County, Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this river flood warning at Jan 9, 2020, 9:03 AM CST for LeFlore County, Oklahoma. It took effect at Jan 11, 2020, 9:11 AM CST. It was in force for 47 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jan 9, 2020, 9:03 AM CST (15:03 UTC)
In effect from: Jan 11, 2020, 9:11 AM CST
Expired: Jan 13, 2020, 8:02 AM CST
In force: 47 hr
Issued by: NWS Tulsa, OK
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: Minor

County LeFlore County, OK

The radar

The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 14 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Poteau River near Panama (PANO2).

Action stage: 29 ft
Minor stage: 29 ft
Moderate stage: 33 ft
Major stage: 41 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 07249413, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

307 
WGUS44 KTSA 091503
FLWTSA
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
903 AM CST Thu Jan 9 2020


...The National Weather Service in Tulsa has issued a Flood Warning 
for the following rivers in Oklahoma...

  Poteau River near Panama affecting Le Flore County. 
  
  Kiamichi River near Antlers affecting Pushmataha County. 
  
OKC079-092303-
/O.NEW.KTSA.FL.W.0007.200111T2130Z-200113T1005Z/
/PANO2.1.ER.200111T2130Z.200112T1200Z.200113T0405Z.NO/
903 AM CST Thu Jan 9 2020

The National Weather Service in Tulsa has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Poteau River near Panama
* from Saturday afternoon to late Sunday night, or until the warning 
  is cancelled.
* At  8:30 AM Thursday, the stage was 13.03 feet.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Poteau River near Panama is expected to rise above 
  flood stage Saturday afternoon and continue to rise to near 31.9 
  feet by Sunday morning. The river is expected to fall below flood 
  stage late Sunday evening.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs. Williams 
  Road east of Panama is flooded.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3540 9449 3540 9439 3523 9442 3504 9462 3521 9470

$$

OKC127-092303-
/O.NEW.KTSA.FL.W.0008.200111T2050Z-200112T1800Z/
/ANTO2.1.ER.200111T2050Z.200112T0600Z.200112T1200Z.NO/
903 AM CST Thu Jan 9 2020

The National Weather Service in Tulsa has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Kiamichi River near Antlers
* from Saturday afternoon to Sunday afternoon, or until the warning 
  is cancelled.
* At  8:30 AM Thursday, the stage was  4.64 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Kiamichi River near Antlers is expected to rise 
  above flood stage early Saturday afternoon and continue to rise to 
  near 26.1 feet late Saturday night. The river is expected to 
  fall below flood stage Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet, minor flooding occurs along the west bank of 
  the Kiamichi River near Moyers. Campers should move to higher 
  ground.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3442 9550 3417 9543 3419 9558 3424 9569 3441 9569

$$

17 follow-up statements

924 
WGUS84 KTSA 091907
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
107 PM CST Thu Jan 9 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Poteau River near Panama affecting Le Flore County. 
  
  Kiamichi River near Antlers affecting Pushmataha County. 
  
OKC079-100307-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0007.200111T2130Z-200113T1005Z/
/PANO2.1.ER.200111T2130Z.200112T1200Z.200113T0405Z.NO/
107 PM CST Thu Jan 9 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Poteau River near Panama.
* from Saturday afternoon to late Sunday night.
* At 12:30 PM Thursday, the stage was 12.99 feet.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Poteau River near Panama is expected to rise above 
  flood stage Saturday afternoon and continue to rise to near 31.9 
  feet by Sunday morning. The river is expected to fall below flood 
  stage late Sunday evening.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs. Williams 
  Road east of Panama is flooded.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3540 9449 3540 9439 3523 9442 3504 9462 3521 9470

$$

OKC127-100307-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0008.200111T2050Z-200112T1800Z/
/ANTO2.1.ER.200111T2050Z.200112T0600Z.200112T1200Z.NO/
107 PM CST Thu Jan 9 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kiamichi River near Antlers.
* from Saturday afternoon to Sunday afternoon.
* At 12:30 PM Thursday, the stage was  4.62 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Kiamichi River near Antlers is expected to rise 
  above flood stage early Saturday afternoon and continue to rise to 
  near 26.1 feet late Saturday night. The river is expected to 
  fall below flood stage Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet, minor flooding occurs along the west bank of 
  the Kiamichi River near Moyers. Campers should move to higher 
  ground.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3442 9550 3417 9543 3419 9558 3424 9569 3441 9569

$$

665 
WGUS84 KTSA 100050
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
650 PM CST Thu Jan 9 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Illinois River near Watts affecting Adair and Delaware Counties. 
  
  Illinois River at Chewey affecting Adair...Cherokee and Delaware 
  Counties. 
  
  Illinois River near Tahlequah affecting Cherokee County. 
  
  Flint Creek near Kansas affecting Cherokee and Delaware Counties. 
  
  Baron Fork River at Eldon affecting Cherokee County. 
  
  Poteau River near Panama affecting Le Flore County. 
  
  Kiamichi River near Antlers affecting Pushmataha County. 
  
OKC001-041-100849-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0003.200111T0953Z-200112T2127Z/
/WTTO2.2.ER.200111T0953Z.200112T0000Z.200112T1527Z.NO/
650 PM CST Thu Jan 9 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Illinois River near Watts.
* from late Friday night to Sunday afternoon, or until the warning is
  cancelled.
* At 6:30 PM Thursday, the stage was  3.47 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Illinois River near Watts is expected to rise above 
  flood stage early Saturday morning and continue to rise to near 
  21.5 feet by Saturday evening. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage late Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet, severe flooding occurs from the Arkansas 
  border to Fidler's Bend. Water will reach the base of the building 
  at River Valley Raceway. Farmlands and permanent camgrounds are 
  inundated. Numerous cabins in the Fidler's Bend area are flooded. 
  Extreme turbulence makes the river too hazardous for floating.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3619 9474 3615 9453 3607 9453 3611 9472

$$

OKC001-021-041-100849-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0004.200111T1434Z-200113T0410Z/
/CWYO2.2.ER.200111T1434Z.200112T0600Z.200112T2210Z.NO/
650 PM CST Thu Jan 9 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Illinois River at Chewey.
* from Saturday morning to Sunday evening, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 6:15 PM Thursday, the stage was  4.69 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Illinois River at Chewey is expected to rise above 
  flood stage Saturday morning and continue to rise to near 18.3 feet
  by Sunday before dawn . The river is expected to fall below flood 
  stage Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, severe flooding occurs from near Fidler's 
  Bend to near Hanging Rock. Access roads near the river are cut off.
  Roads near Hanging Rock may be impassible. Farmlands are inundated.
  Extreme turbulence makes the river too hazardous for floating.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3619 9472 3611 9471 3606 9481 3612 9487

$$

OKC021-100849-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0005.200111T1353Z-200113T2141Z/
/TALO2.2.ER.200111T1353Z.200112T1200Z.200113T1541Z.NO/
650 PM CST Thu Jan 9 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Illinois River near Tahlequah.
* from Saturday morning to Monday afternoon, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 6:30 PM Thursday, the stage was  6.48 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Illinois River near Tahlequah is expected to rise 
  above flood stage Saturday morning and continue to rise to near 
  17.5 feet by Sunday morning. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage late Monday morning.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, severe flooding occurs from near Hanging Rock
  downstream towards Tahlequah. Highway 10 near Hanging Rock 
  northeast of Tahlequah is impassable. Some cabins and parks are 
  severely flooded. This is a very dangerous situation. Extreme 
  turbulence makes the river too hazardous for floating.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3612 9487 3606 9481 3576 9487 3576 9496 3603 9496

$$

OKC021-041-100849-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0006.200111T1042Z-200111T1856Z/
/KNSO2.1.ER.200111T1042Z.200111T1200Z.200111T1256Z.NO/
650 PM CST Thu Jan 9 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Flint Creek near Kansas.
* from late Friday night to Saturday afternoon, or until the warning 
  is cancelled.
* At 6:30 PM Thursday, the stage was  6.49 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Flint Creek near Kansas is expected to rise above 
  flood stage early Saturday morning and continue to rise to near 
  11.3 feet by Saturday morning. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet, minor flooding occurs from Fidlers Bend to 
  Chewey Bridge. Permanent campgrounds and farmlands are affected. 
  Turbulence makes the river unsafe for floating.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3630 9461 3620 9456 3607 9482 3619 9483

$$

OKC021-100849-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0009.200111T1114Z-200111T2113Z/
/ELDO2.1.ER.200111T1114Z.200111T1200Z.200111T1513Z.NO/
650 PM CST Thu Jan 9 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Baron Fork River at Eldon.
* from late Friday night to Saturday afternoon, or until the warning 
  is cancelled.
* At  6:30 PM Thursday, the stage was  6.49 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Baron Fork River at Eldon is expected to rise above 
  flood stage early Saturday morning and continue to rise to near 
  18.7 feet by Saturday morning. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage late Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, minor lowland flooding occurs.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3594 9490 3594 9477 3578 9481 3578 9493

$$

OKC079-100849-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0007.200111T2130Z-200113T1005Z/
/PANO2.1.ER.200111T2130Z.200112T1200Z.200113T0405Z.NO/
650 PM CST Thu Jan 9 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Poteau River near Panama.
* from Saturday afternoon to late Sunday night, or until the warning 
  is cancelled.
* At  6:30 PM Thursday, the stage was 12.97 feet.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Poteau River near Panama is expected to rise above 
  flood stage Saturday afternoon and continue to rise to near 31.9 
  feet by Sunday morning. The river is expected to fall below flood 
  stage late Sunday evening.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs. Williams 
  Road east of Panama is flooded.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3540 9449 3540 9439 3523 9442 3504 9462 3521 9470

$$

OKC127-100849-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0008.200111T2050Z-200112T1800Z/
/ANTO2.1.ER.200111T2050Z.200112T0600Z.200112T1200Z.NO/
650 PM CST Thu Jan 9 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kiamichi River near Antlers.
* from Saturday afternoon to Sunday afternoon, or until the warning 
  is cancelled.
* At  6:30 PM Thursday, the stage was  4.65 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Kiamichi River near Antlers is expected to rise 
  above flood stage early Saturday afternoon and continue to rise to 
  near 26.1 feet by Sunday before dawn . The river is expected to 
  fall below flood stage Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet, minor flooding occurs along the west bank of 
  the Kiamichi River near Moyers. Campers should move to higher 
  ground.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3442 9550 3417 9543 3419 9558 3424 9569 3441 9569

$$

638 
WGUS84 KTSA 100112
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
712 PM CST Thu Jan 9 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Poteau River near Panama affecting Le Flore County. 
  
  Kiamichi River near Antlers affecting Pushmataha County. 
  
OKC079-100912-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0007.200111T2130Z-200113T1005Z/
/PANO2.1.ER.200111T2130Z.200112T1200Z.200113T0405Z.NO/
712 PM CST Thu Jan 9 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Poteau River near Panama.
* from Saturday afternoon to late Sunday night, or until the warning 
  is cancelled.
* At 6:30 PM Thursday, the stage was 12.97 feet.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Poteau River near Panama is expected to rise above 
  flood stage Saturday afternoon and continue to rise to near 31.9 
  feet by Sunday morning. The river is expected to fall below flood 
  stage late Sunday evening.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs. Williams 
  Road east of Panama is flooded.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3540 9449 3540 9439 3523 9442 3504 9462 3521 9470

$$

OKC127-100912-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0008.200111T2050Z-200112T1800Z/
/ANTO2.1.ER.200111T2050Z.200112T0600Z.200112T1200Z.NO/
712 PM CST Thu Jan 9 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kiamichi River near Antlers.
* from Saturday afternoon to Sunday afternoon, or until the warning 
  is cancelled.
* At 6:30 PM Thursday, the stage was  4.65 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Kiamichi River near Antlers is expected to rise 
  above flood stage early Saturday afternoon and continue to rise to 
  near 26.1 feet by Sunday before dawn . The river is expected to 
  fall below flood stage Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet, minor flooding occurs along the west bank of 
  the Kiamichi River near Moyers. Campers should move to higher 
  ground.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3442 9550 3417 9543 3419 9558 3424 9569 3441 9569

$$

015 
WGUS84 KTSA 100822
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
222 AM CST Fri Jan 10 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Poteau River near Panama affecting Le Flore County. 
  
  Kiamichi River near Antlers affecting Pushmataha County. 
  
OKC079-101622-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0007.200111T2130Z-200113T1005Z/
/PANO2.1.ER.200111T2130Z.200112T1200Z.200113T0405Z.NO/
222 AM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Poteau River near Panama.
* from Saturday afternoon to late Sunday night, or until the warning 
  is cancelled.
* At  1:30 AM Friday, the stage was 13.06 feet.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Poteau River near Panama is expected to rise above 
  flood stage Saturday afternoon and continue to rise to near 31.9 
  feet by Sunday morning. The river is expected to fall below flood 
  stage late Sunday evening.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs. Williams 
  Road east of Panama is flooded.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3540 9449 3540 9439 3523 9442 3504 9462 3521 9470

$$

OKC127-101622-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0008.200111T2050Z-200112T1800Z/
/ANTO2.1.ER.200111T2050Z.200112T0600Z.200112T1200Z.NO/
222 AM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kiamichi River near Antlers.
* from Saturday afternoon to Sunday afternoon, or until the warning 
  is cancelled.
* At  1:30 AM Friday, the stage was  4.64 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Kiamichi River near Antlers is expected to rise 
  above flood stage early Saturday afternoon and continue to rise to 
  near 26.1 feet by Sunday before dawn . The river is expected to 
  fall below flood stage Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet, minor flooding occurs along the west bank of 
  the Kiamichi River near Moyers. Campers should move to higher 
  ground.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3442 9550 3417 9543 3419 9558 3424 9569 3441 9569

$$

481 
WGUS84 KTSA 101453
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
852 AM CST Fri Jan 10 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Poteau River near Panama affecting Le Flore County. 
  
OKC079-102251-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0007.200111T2130Z-200113T1005Z/
/PANO2.1.ER.200111T2130Z.200112T1200Z.200113T0405Z.NO/
852 AM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Poteau River near Panama.
* from Saturday afternoon to late Sunday night, or until the warning 
  is cancelled.
* At  8:30 AM Friday, the stage was 12.05 feet.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Poteau River near Panama is expected to rise above 
  flood stage Saturday afternoon and continue to rise to near 31.9 
  feet by Sunday morning. The river is expected to fall below flood 
  stage late Sunday evening.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs. Williams 
  Road east of Panama is flooded.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3540 9449 3540 9439 3523 9442 3504 9462 3521 9470

$$

997 
WGUS84 KTSA 101951
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
151 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Poteau River near Panama affecting Le Flore County. 
  
  Kiamichi River near Antlers affecting Pushmataha County. 
  
OKC079-110351-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0007.200111T2351Z-200113T0651Z/
/PANO2.1.ER.200111T2351Z.200112T1200Z.200113T0051Z.NO/
151 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Poteau River near Panama.
* from Saturday afternoon to late Sunday night.
* At  1:30 PM Friday, the stage was 10.90 feet.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Poteau River near Panama is expected to rise above 
  flood stage Saturday afternoon and continue to rise to near 31.1 
  feet by Sunday morning. The river is expected to fall below flood 
  stage Sunday evening.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs. Williams 
  Road east of Panama is flooded.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3540 9449 3540 9439 3523 9442 3504 9462 3521 9470

$$

OKC127-110351-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0008.200111T2234Z-200112T1317Z/
/ANTO2.1.ER.200111T2234Z.200112T0000Z.200112T0717Z.NO/
151 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kiamichi River near Antlers.
* from Saturday afternoon to Sunday morning.
* At  1:30 PM Friday, the stage was  4.36 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Kiamichi River near Antlers is expected to rise 
  above flood stage Saturday afternoon and continue to rise to near 
  25.5 feet by Saturday evening. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage Sunday before dawn .
* Impact...At 25.0 feet, minor flooding begins along the west bank of 
  the Kiamichi River near Moyers. Campers along the river should move
  to higher ground.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3442 9550 3417 9543 3419 9558 3424 9569 3441 9569

$$

035 
WGUS84 KTSA 110121
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
721 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Poteau River near Panama affecting Le Flore County. 
  
OKC079-110920-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0007.200112T1115Z-200112T1900Z/
/PANO2.1.ER.200112T1115Z.200112T1200Z.200112T1300Z.NO/
721 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Poteau River near Panama.
* from late Saturday night to Sunday afternoon, or until the warning 
  is cancelled.
* At 6:30 PM Friday, the stage was  9.90 feet.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Poteau River near Panama is expected to rise above 
  flood stage early Sunday morning and continue to rise to near 29.1 
  feet by Sunday morning. The river is expected to fall below flood 
  stage Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3540 9449 3540 9439 3523 9442 3504 9462 3521 9470

$$

575 
WGUS84 KTSA 110738
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
138 AM CST Sat Jan 11 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Poteau River near Panama affecting Le Flore County. 
  
OKC079-111537-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0007.200111T1816Z-200113T0717Z/
/PANO2.1.ER.200111T1816Z.200112T1200Z.200113T0117Z.NO/
138 AM CST Sat Jan 11 2020

...Flood Warning extended until late Sunday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Poteau River near Panama.
* from this afternoon to late Sunday night, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  1:30 AM Saturday, the stage was 22.65 feet.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Poteau River near Panama is expected to rise above 
  flood stage this afternoon and continue to rise to near 32.4 feet 
  by Sunday morning. The river is expected to fall below flood stage 
  Sunday evening.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3540 9449 3540 9439 3523 9442 3504 9462 3521 9470

$$

369 
WGUS44 KTSA 111511
FLWTSA
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
911 AM CST Sat Jan 11 2020


...The National Weather Service in Tulsa has issued a Flood Warning 
for the following rivers in Oklahoma...

  Poteau River near Poteau affecting Le Flore County. 
  

...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity for the 
following rivers in Oklahoma...

  Poteau River near Panama affecting Le Flore County. 
  
OKC079-112310-
/O.NEW.KTSA.FL.W.0012.200111T1511Z-200112T0720Z/
/PTAO2.1.ER.200111T1424Z.200111T1800Z.200112T0120Z.NO/
911 AM CST Sat Jan 11 2020

The National Weather Service in Tulsa has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Poteau River near Poteau
* until late tonight, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:45 AM Saturday, the stage was 24.14 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Poteau River near Poteau will continue rising to 
  near 25.5 feet this afternoon. The river will fall below flood 
  stage this evening.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet, minor valley flooding affects croplands and 
  farm roads from southeast of Poteau to the mouth of Brazil Creek.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3513 9456 3506 9454 3495 9461 3495 9471 3513 9468

$$

OKC079-112310-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0007.200111T1511Z-200113T1342Z/
/PANO2.2.ER.200111T1304Z.200112T1200Z.200113T0742Z.NO/
911 AM CST Sat Jan 11 2020

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...
The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Poteau River near Panama
* from this morning to Monday morning, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  8:30 AM Saturday, the stage was 29.72 feet.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Poteau River near Panama will continue rising to 
  near 35.0 feet Sunday morning. The river will fall below flood 
  stage Monday before dawn.
* Impact...At 33.0 feet, moderate flooding of agricultural lands 
  occurs between Shady Point and Arkoma. Williams Road east of Panama
  and some local farm roads are flooded.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3540 9449 3540 9439 3523 9442 3504 9462 3521 9470

$$

055 
WGUS84 KTSA 112017
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
217 PM CST Sat Jan 11 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Poteau River near Poteau affecting Le Flore County. 
  
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Poteau River near Panama affecting Le Flore County. 
  
OKC079-120416-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-200112T0640Z/
/PTAO2.1.ER.200111T1424Z.200111T1800Z.200112T0040Z.NO/
217 PM CST Sat Jan 11 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Poteau River near Poteau.
* until late tonight, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 1:45 PM Saturday, the stage was 24.60 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Poteau River near Poteau will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by this evening.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet, minor valley flooding affects croplands and 
  farm roads from southeast of Poteau to the mouth of Brazil Creek.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3513 9456 3506 9454 3495 9461 3495 9471 3513 9468

$$

OKC079-120416-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-200113T1342Z/
/PANO2.2.ER.200111T1304Z.200112T1200Z.200113T0742Z.NO/
217 PM CST Sat Jan 11 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Poteau River near Panama.
* until Monday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 1:30 PM Saturday, the stage was 31.43 feet.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Poteau River near Panama will continue rising to 
  near 35.0 feet Sunday morning. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage Monday before dawn .
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, moderate flooding of agricultural lands occur
  from Panama to Arkoma. Some local and county roads in the 
  floodplain become impassable.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3540 9449 3540 9439 3523 9442 3504 9462 3521 9470

$$

192 
WGUS84 KTSA 120155
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
755 PM CST Sat Jan 11 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Poteau River near Panama affecting Le Flore County. 
  
OKC079-120954-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-200113T1342Z/
/PANO2.2.ER.200111T1304Z.200112T1200Z.200113T0742Z.NO/
755 PM CST Sat Jan 11 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Poteau River near Panama.
* until Monday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 7:30 PM Saturday, the stage was 32.81 feet.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Poteau River near Panama will continue rising to 
  near 35.0 feet Sunday morning. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage Monday before dawn .
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, moderate flooding of agricultural lands occur
  from Panama to Arkoma. Some local and county roads in the 
  floodplain become impassable.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3540 9449 3540 9439 3523 9442 3504 9462 3521 9470

$$

873 
WGUS84 KTSA 120646
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1246 AM CST Sun Jan 12 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Poteau River near Panama affecting Le Flore County. 
  
OKC079-121446-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-200113T1351Z/
/PANO2.2.ER.200111T1304Z.200112T1800Z.200113T0751Z.NO/
1246 AM CST Sun Jan 12 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Monday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Poteau River near Panama.
* until Monday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 12:30 AM Sunday, the stage was 33.54 feet.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Poteau River near Panama will continue rising to 
  near 34.0 feet this afternoon. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage late Tonight.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, moderate flooding of agricultural lands occur
  from Panama to Arkoma. Some local and county roads in the 
  floodplain become impassable.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3540 9449 3540 9439 3523 9442 3504 9462 3521 9470

$$

171 
WGUS84 KTSA 121516
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
916 AM CST Sun Jan 12 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Poteau River near Panama affecting Le Flore County. 
  
OKC079-122315-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-200113T1218Z/
/PANO2.2.ER.200111T1304Z.200112T1315Z.200113T0618Z.NO/
916 AM CST Sun Jan 12 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Poteau River near Panama.
* until Monday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:30 AM Sunday, the stage was 33.95 feet.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring but the river is near crest and falling.
* Forecast...The Poteau River near Panama will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by Monday before dawn.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, moderate flooding of agricultural lands occur
  from Panama to Arkoma. Some local and county roads in the 
  floodplain become impassable.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3540 9449 3540 9439 3523 9442 3504 9462 3521 9470

$$

714 
WGUS84 KTSA 121937
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
137 PM CST Sun Jan 12 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Poteau River near Panama affecting Le Flore County. 
  
OKC079-130337-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-200113T1218Z/
/PANO2.2.ER.200111T1304Z.200112T1315Z.200113T0618Z.NO/
137 PM CST Sun Jan 12 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Poteau River near Panama.
* until Monday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 12:30 PM Sunday, the stage was 33.59 feet.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring but the river has crested and is falling.
* Forecast...The Poteau River near Panama will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by Monday before dawn.
* Impact...At 33.0 feet, moderate flooding of agricultural lands 
  occurs between Shady Point and Arkoma. Williams Road east of Panama
  and some local farm roads are flooded.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3540 9449 3540 9439 3523 9442 3504 9462 3521 9470

$$

130 
WGUS84 KTSA 130127
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
727 PM CST Sun Jan 12 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Poteau River near Panama affecting Le Flore County. 
  
OKC079-130926-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-200113T1604Z/
/PANO2.2.ER.200111T1304Z.200112T1315Z.200113T1004Z.NO/
727 PM CST Sun Jan 12 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Monday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Poteau River near Panama.
* until Monday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  6:30 PM Sunday, the stage was 32.59 feet.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Poteau River near Panama will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by early Monday morning.
* Impact...At 33.0 feet, moderate flooding of agricultural lands 
  occurs between Shady Point and Arkoma. Williams Road east of Panama
  and some local farm roads are flooded.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3540 9449 3540 9439 3523 9442 3504 9462 3521 9470

$$

557 
WGUS84 KTSA 130922
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
322 AM CST Mon Jan 13 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Poteau River near Panama affecting Le Flore County. 
  
OKC079-131649-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-200113T1649Z/
/PANO2.2.ER.200111T1304Z.200112T1315Z.200113T1049Z.NO/
322 AM CST Mon Jan 13 2020

...Flood Warning extended until this morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Poteau River near Panama.
* until this morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2:30 AM Monday, the stage was 30.58 feet.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...The Poteau River near Panama will continue falling to 
  below flood stage later this morning.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs. Williams 
  Road east of Panama is flooded.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3540 9449 3540 9439 3523 9442 3504 9462 3521 9470

$$

612 
WGUS84 KTSA 131402
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
802 AM CST Mon Jan 13 2020


...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Poteau River near Panama affecting Le Flore County. 
  
OKC079-131432-
/O.CAN.KTSA.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-200113T1649Z/
/PANO2.2.ER.200111T1304Z.200112T1315Z.200113T1255Z.NO/
802 AM CST Mon Jan 13 2020

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Poteau River near Panama.
* At  7:30 AM Monday, the stage was 28.77 feet.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage this morning.
* Forecast...The Poteau River near Panama will continue falling and 
  remain below flood stage.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3540 9449 3540 9439 3523 9442 3504 9462 3521 9470

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jan 9, 5:39 AM CST, 3 hours 24 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 9, 5:39 AM CST, 3 hours 24 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
539 AM CST Thu Jan 9 2020

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
IFR/MVFR cigs will become MVFR at all sites during the morning
hours and will prevail through the entire period. Sfc wind gusts
between 25-30kts this morning expected to subside some during the
afternoon and evening. Scattered thunderstorms with MVFR vsbys
this evening and overnight will mainly impact the NW AR sites,
with the remaining sites seeing thunder chances after 09z.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 340 AM CST Thu Jan 9 2020/

DISCUSSION...

Wow. A very action packed period of weather is expected during
the next 60 hours across eastern OK and western AR. Severe
weather, flooding and winter weather are all expected to impact
portions of the region.

Rapid moisture return is ongoing across the Plains as strong south
winds with gusts in the 30 to 40 mph range are occurring in some
places. Eventually the low levels will saturate and areas of
drizzle or shallow light showers will break out over the area thru
the day. The latest hi-res data suggests that deeper convection
will begin to break out over far eastern OK into western AR
tonight as low level warm advection intensifies. Limited elevated
instability will preclude a severe threat with this activity.

More widespread storms are expected to break out over the region
near a frontal zone on Friday. One of the big changes in the data
tonight compared to previous days is the progression of the front
and subsequent placement of the heavy qpf axis. Trends in the
data support holding up the front over eastern OK before getting a
shove to the east Friday night as the upper shortwave trough
ejects into the Plains. With the front holding up, there will be
more time for storms to train as upper flow will be nearly
parallel to the boundary. As a result, the NAM, GFS and ECMWF
have all shifted the heavy qpf axis back to the northwest over
eastern OK and this has necessitated the issuance of a flash flood
watch from roughly I-44 southward. Despite the fact that we
haven't had a lot of rain lately, vegetation is dormant and will
not help to absorb a burst of heavy rainfall. Thus, more potential
for runoff and an increased flash flood threat. Main-stem river
flooding is also expected, especially along the Illinois, Poteau
and Kiamichi river basins.

Now to the severe threat. Instability and wind shear will be more
than favorable for severe weather, and will be the best
along/near the track of a developing frontal low. This low is
expected to track along the Red River and across southeast OK
Friday night and into central AR by Saturday morning. Given the
strong forcing and near parallel upper flow relative to the
front, models suggest an organized QLCS will organize over eastern
OK and march east into AR Friday night. Damaging winds and QLCS
tornadoes will be the main threats, and again will be greatest
closer to the frontal low over southeast OK and possibly west
central AR. Storms should exit the region after midnight.

Colder air will filter into the region behind the front, a bit
faster in the low levels than aloft initially. Meanwhile,
precipitation will begin to break out across OK in advance of the
shortwave trough. A transition from rain to a freezing rain and
sleet mix will sweep across northeast OK after midnight Friday
night and into northwest AR by early Saturday morning before a
change over to snow as the colder temps aloft arrive with the
upper trough Saturday. For days, the ECMWF has placed a sw to ne
oriented wrap-around band of precip along a deformation zone to
the north and east of the embedded PV max, after the change over
to snow will have occurred. The NAM and GFS are also now onboard
with this idea as well. The main question will be where this
deformation zone sets up. The point/area where the deformation
zone pivots from more of a west to east orientation to more
north-south as the shortwave trough/PV makes the turn to the
northeast will get the most snow from this. Based on the latest
data, this swath of heavier snow is expected to be from north
central OK across northeast OK north of I-44 and into southeast
KS. Warning criteria snows are likely in a narrow swath that will
more than likely clip at least a part of northeast OK during the
day Saturday. Yesterday, the heavier snow axis was roughly along
I-44, and thus the trend in the data has been to shift it north.
However, details of this forecast are subject to change as we are
still a couple days out. If you have travel plans on Saturday, you
may want to stay up to date with the latest weather forecast.

The snow will not stick around long as a fast warmup is expected
Sunday and Monday after a cold below average day on Saturday.

There will be a chance of showers and isolated storms toward the
middle of next week ahead of the next front.

Lacy

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Flash Flood Watch from Friday afternoon through late Friday
     night for OKZ049-053-057-058-060>063-065>076.

AR...Flash Flood Watch from Friday afternoon through late Friday
     night for ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029.

&&

AVIATION.....23

Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 9, 5:06 AM CST, 3 hours 57 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
506 AM CST Thu Jan 9 2020

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-101115-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
506 AM CST Thu Jan 9 2020

...SEVERE WEATHER, HEAVY RAINFALL POTENTIAL FRIDAY...

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Southeast Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
	ONSET...Late Tonight.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
	RISK...Elevated.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
	ONSET...This Evening.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
Strong southerly winds remain ongoing with gusts up
to 30 miles an hours expected to continue at times this morning.
Wind speeds will lessen during the afternoon hours.

Scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop as early this
evening, with slightly higher coverage overnight across southeast
Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. A few strong storms approaching
severe limits are possible overnight, and will also be capable of
producing locally heavy rainfall.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
FRIDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential
      ...Heavy Rain Potential.
SATURDAY...Winter Weather Potential...High Wind Potential.
SUNDAY through TUESDAY...No Hazards.
WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Storm coverage will become more widespread during the day Friday
and into Friday evening as a strong cold front pushes through the
area. Severe storms are possible during the afternoon and evening,
with the greatest threat across southeast Oklahoma and northwest
Arkansas. Damaging winds will be the primary severe weather
threat, however a smaller potential for large hail and a few
tornadoes will exist as well.

The threat for heavy rainfall will also be in place across
southeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas Friday afternoon and
evening, and this may lead to localized flash flooding and rises
on mainstem rivers.

As cold air moves into the area behind the front, a transition
from rain to freezing rain and sleet, then to snow is appearing
more likely on Saturday, especially for areas along and north of
I-40. Confidence is increasing that there will be a band of higher
snow accumulations across parts of northeast Oklahoma, with
lighter accumulations on either side of the band. The expected
short duration of any freezing rain will likely limit storm total
ice accumulations. The precipitation is forecast to diminish
through Saturday afternoon, with dry conditions returning Saturday
night.

Temperatures on Sunday will be warm enough Sunday that any wintry
travel impacts will be relatively short-lived.

Chances for storms return towards mid week ahead of the next cold
front.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
Continue to monitor the latest forecasts of severe weather, heavy
rain, and winter weather. Consider readying plans to respond to
impacts from severe thunderstorms, flooding, and wintry weather.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jan 9, 3:51 AM CST	Flash Flood Watch	TSA	Adair, Cherokee, Choctaw, Craig, Delaware, Haskell and 12 more	47 hr
Jan 9, 8:52 AM CST	River Flood Warning	TSA	Ottawa	4 days
Jan 9, 8:52 AM CST	River Flood Warning	TSA	Ottawa	59 hr
Jan 9, 9:00 AM CST	River Flood Warning	TSA	Adair, Delaware	3 days
Jan 9, 9:00 AM CST	River Flood Warning	TSA	Adair, Cherokee, Delaware	72 hr
Jan 9, 9:00 AM CST	River Flood Warning	TSA	Cherokee	4 days
Jan 9, 9:00 AM CST	River Flood Warning	TSA	Cherokee, Delaware	48 hr
Jan 9, 9:03 AM CST	River Flood Warning	TSA	Pushmataha	52 hr
Jan 9, 9:08 AM CST	River Flood Advisory	TSA	Sequoyah	47 hr
Jan 9, 12:58 PM CST	River Flood Warning	TSA	Cherokee	44 hr
Jan 9, 4:43 PM CST	Winter Storm Watch	TSA	Pawnee, Washington	23 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Oklahoma, 2020 Every river flood warning in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.