Alert archive / Oklahoma / River Flood Warnings in 2020

River Flood Warning 55, NWS Tulsa, OK

May 12, 2020Ottawa County, Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this river flood warning at May 12, 2020, 9:18 AM CDT for Ottawa County, Oklahoma. It took effect at May 12, 2020, 7:37 PM CDT. It was in force for 6 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 12, 2020, 9:18 AM CDT (14:18 UTC)
In effect from
May 12, 2020, 7:37 PM CDT
Expired
May 18, 2020, 5:06 PM CDT
In force
6 days
Issued by
NWS Tulsa, OK
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Moderate

County Ottawa County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 103 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:19 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Neosho River near Commerce (COMO2).

Action stage
14 ft
Minor stage
15 ft
Moderate stage
18 ft
Major stage
24 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 07185000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

996 
WGUS44 KTSA 121418
FLWTSA
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
918 AM CDT Tue May 12 2020


...The National Weather Service in Tulsa has issued a Flood Warning 
for the following rivers in Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-122217-
/O.NEW.KTSA.FL.W.0055.200513T0502Z-200515T0748Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.200513T0502Z.200514T0000Z.200515T0148Z.NO/
918 AM CDT Tue May 12 2020

The National Weather Service in Tulsa has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Neosho River near Commerce
* from late tonight to late Thursday night, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 8:30 AM Tuesday, the stage was 6.99 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce is expected to rise above
  flood stage Wednesday before dawn and continue to rise to near 18.5
  feet by Wednesday evening. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage Thursday evening.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, low lying areas around Miami become cut off 
  from easy access. Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. 
  State Highway 125 near the fairgrounds will be threatened.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
26 follow-up statements
087 
WGUS84 KTSA 121904
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
204 PM CDT Tue May 12 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-130304-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0055.200513T0051Z-200515T0920Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.200513T0051Z.200514T0000Z.200515T0320Z.NO/
204 PM CDT Tue May 12 2020

...Flood Warning extended until late Thursday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* from this evening to late Thursday night, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  1:30 PM Tuesday, the stage was 11.50 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce is expected to rise above
  flood stage this evening and continue to rise to near 18.8 feet by 
  Wednesday evening. The river is expected to fall below flood stage 
  late Thursday evening.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, low lying areas around Miami become cut off 
  from easy access. Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. 
  State Highway 125 near the fairgrounds will be threatened.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
465 
WGUS84 KTSA 130038
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
738 PM CDT Tue May 12 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-130838-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0055.200513T0037Z-200515T0920Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.200513T0017Z.200514T0000Z.200515T0320Z.NO/
738 PM CDT Tue May 12 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* from this evening to late Thursday night, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  6:30 PM Tuesday, the stage was 14.75 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce is expected to rise above
  flood stage this evening and continue to rise to near 18.8 feet by 
  Wednesday evening. The river is expected to fall below flood stage 
  late Thursday evening.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, low lying areas around Miami become cut off 
  from easy access. Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. 
  State Highway 125 near the fairgrounds will be threatened.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
346 
WGUS84 KTSA 130751
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
251 AM CDT Wed May 13 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-131551-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-200515T0920Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.200513T0012Z.200514T0000Z.200515T0320Z.NO/
251 AM CDT Wed May 13 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until late Thursday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2:30 AM Wednesday, the stage was 16.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 18.8 feet this evening. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage late Thursday evening.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, low lying areas around Miami become cut off 
  from easy access. Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. 
  State Highway 125 near the fairgrounds will be threatened.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
303 
WGUS84 KTSA 131326
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
826 AM CDT Wed May 13 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-132126-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-200514T2140Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.200513T0012Z.200514T0000Z.200514T1540Z.NO/
826 AM CDT Wed May 13 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Thursday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:30 AM Wednesday, the stage was 17.19 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 18.1 feet this evening. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage late Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs with 
  Riverview Park experiencing minor to moderate flooding. Low lying 
  places around Miami may be cut off from easy access.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
673 
WGUS84 KTSA 131902
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
202 PM CDT Wed May 13 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-140302-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-200514T2034Z/
/COMO2.1.ER.200513T0012Z.200513T1800Z.200514T1434Z.NO/
202 PM CDT Wed May 13 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Thursday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:30 PM Wednesday, the stage was 17.51 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring but the river is near crest
  and will begin falling.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by late Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs with 
  Riverview Park experiencing minor to moderate flooding. Low lying 
  places around Miami may be cut off from easy access.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
916 
WGUS84 KTSA 140040
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
740 PM CDT Wed May 13 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-140840-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-200514T2140Z/
/COMO2.1.ER.200513T0012Z.200513T2200Z.200514T1540Z.NO/
740 PM CDT Wed May 13 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Thursday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Thursday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:30 PM Wednesday, the stage was 17.45 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by late Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs. Riverview
  Park experiences minor flooding.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
134 
WGUS84 KTSA 140737
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
237 AM CDT Thu May 14 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-141536-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-200514T2140Z/
/COMO2.1.ER.200513T0012Z.200513T2200Z.200514T1540Z.NO/
237 AM CDT Thu May 14 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until this afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:30 AM Thursday, the stage was 16.89 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by late this morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs. Riverview
  Park experiences minor flooding.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
844 
WGUS84 KTSA 141312
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
812 AM CDT Thu May 14 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-142111-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-200518T1820Z/
/COMO2.1.ER.200513T0012Z.200517T0600Z.200518T1220Z.NO/
812 AM CDT Thu May 14 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Monday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Monday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:30 AM Thursday, the stage was 15.93 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce is forecast to fall 
  below flood stage this evening and remain below 15 feet through
  Friday evening.  Additional rains will cause the river to rise
  above 15 feet late Friday night and crest near 17.8 feet 
  Saturday night. The river is expected to fall below flood stage
  Monday morning. Continue to closely monitor changes to this 
  forecast as additional rainfall could result in higher river
  levels.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs with 
  Riverview Park experiencing minor to moderate flooding. Low lying 
  places around Miami may be cut off from easy access.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
891 
WGUS44 KTSA 141919
FLWTSA
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
219 PM CDT Thu May 14 2020



...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity for the 
following rivers in Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-150319-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-200519T1243Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.200513T0012Z.200517T0600Z.200519T0643Z.NO/
219 PM CDT Thu May 14 2020

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...
The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Neosho River near Commerce
* until Tuesday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:30 PM Thursday, the stage was 15.10 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce is falling and forecast
  to fall to 14.6 feet by Friday morning. The river will then rise
  again Friday afternoon and continue rising to near 19.4 feet
  by late Saturday night. The river is expected to fall below flood 
  stage early Tuesday morning. Continue to closely monitor changes 
  to this forecast as additional rainfall could result in higher
  river levels.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, low lying areas around Miami become cut off 
  from easy access. Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. 
  State Highway 125 near the fairgrounds will be threatened.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
199 
WGUS84 KTSA 150040
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
740 PM CDT Thu May 14 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-150839-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-200519T1243Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.200513T0012Z.200517T0600Z.200519T0643Z.NO/
740 PM CDT Thu May 14 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Tuesday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 7:30 PM Thursday, the stage was 14.72 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce is expected to rise above
  flood stage Friday afternoon and continue to rise to near 19.4 feet
  by Sunday before dawn. The river is expected to fall below flood 
  stage Tuesday before dawn. Continue to closely monitor changes to
  this forecast as additional rainfall could result in higher river
  levels.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, low lying areas around Miami become cut off 
  from easy access. Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. 
  State Highway 125 near the fairgrounds will be threatened.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
480 
WGUS84 KTSA 150654
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
154 AM CDT Fri May 15 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-151453-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-200519T1106Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.200513T0012Z.200517T0600Z.200519T0506Z.NO/
154 AM CDT Fri May 15 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Tuesday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:30 AM Friday, the stage was 14.57 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce is expected to rise above
  flood stage this evening and continue to rise to near 18.6 early 
  Sunday mornbing. The river is expected to fall below flood 
  stage early Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, low lying areas around Miami become cut off 
  from easy access. Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. 
  State Highway 125 near the fairgrounds will be threatened.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
542 
WGUS84 KTSA 151333
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
833 AM CDT Fri May 15 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-152133-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-200519T0456Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.200513T0012Z.200517T1200Z.200518T2256Z.NO/
833 AM CDT Fri May 15 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Monday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:30 AM Friday, the stage was 14.35 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce is expected to rise above
  flood stage this evening and continue to rise to near 19.2 feet by 
  Sunday morning. The river is expected to fall below flood stage 
  Monday afternoon.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, low lying areas around Miami become cut off 
  from easy access. Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. 
  State Highway 125 near the fairgrounds will be threatened.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
346 
WGUS84 KTSA 151901
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
201 PM CDT Fri May 15 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-160259-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-200519T1952Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.200513T0012Z.200518T0000Z.200519T1352Z.NO/
201 PM CDT Fri May 15 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Tuesday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:30 PM Friday, the stage was 16.14 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 21.8 feet Sunday evening. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet, widespread flooding occurs along the Neosho 
  River. Riverview Park becomes inundated and access roads to the 
  Ottawa County Fairgrounds will be closed.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
148 
WGUS84 KTSA 160123
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
823 PM CDT Fri May 15 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-160923-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-200519T1851Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.200513T0012Z.200517T1200Z.200519T1251Z.NO/
823 PM CDT Fri May 15 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Tuesday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 7:30 PM Friday, the stage was 18.14 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 21.4 feet Sunday morning. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs. Some 
  roads within Riverview Park become flooded including State Highway 
  125 near the fairgrounds.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
856 
WGUS84 KTSA 160731
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
231 AM CDT Sat May 16 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-161530-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-200519T1851Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.200513T0012Z.200517T0600Z.200519T1251Z.NO/
231 AM CDT Sat May 16 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Tuesday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:30 AM Saturday, the stage was 18.78 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 20.2 feet by early Sunday morning. The river is expected to fall 
  below flood stage Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs. Some 
  roads within Riverview Park become flooded including State Highway 
  125 near the fairgrounds.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
634 
WGUS84 KTSA 161321
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
821 AM CDT Sat May 16 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-162120-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-200519T1636Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.200513T0012Z.200517T0000Z.200519T1036Z.NO/
821 AM CDT Sat May 16 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Tuesday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:30 AM Saturday, the stage was 19.24 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 19.8 feet this evening. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage early Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs. 
  Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. State Highway 125 
  near the fairgrounds will be closed.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
559 
WGUS84 KTSA 161854
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
154 PM CDT Sat May 16 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-170253-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-200519T1312Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.200513T0012Z.200517T1200Z.200519T0712Z.NO/
154 PM CDT Sat May 16 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Tuesday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:30 PM Saturday, the stage was 19.46 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 19.8 feet Sunday evening. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage Tuesday before dawn.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs. 
  Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. State Highway 125 
  near the fairgrounds will be closed.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
266 
WGUS84 KTSA 170056
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
756 PM CDT Sat May 16 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-170855-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-200519T0643Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.200513T0012Z.200517T1800Z.200519T0043Z.NO/
756 PM CDT Sat May 16 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until late Monday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:30 PM Saturday, the stage was 19.59 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 19.8 feet Sunday evening. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage Monday evening.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs. 
  Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. State Highway 125 
  near the fairgrounds will be closed.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
943 
WGUS84 KTSA 170709
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
208 AM CDT Sun May 17 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-171508-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-200519T0521Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.200513T0012Z.200517T1800Z.200518T2321Z.NO/
208 AM CDT Sun May 17 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until late Monday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:30 AM Sunday, the stage was 19.68 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 19.8 feet this afternoon. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage Monday evening.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs. 
  Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. State Highway 125 
  near the fairgrounds will be closed.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
784 
WGUS84 KTSA 171307
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
807 AM CDT Sun May 17 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-172107-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-200519T0238Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.200513T0012Z.200517T1200Z.200518T2038Z.NO/
807 AM CDT Sun May 17 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Monday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:30 AM Sunday, the stage was 19.76 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce is near crest and is 
  expected to begin falling this afternoon to below flood stage 
  by Monday afternoon.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs. 
  Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. State Highway 125 
  near the fairgrounds will be closed.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
687 
WGUS84 KTSA 171851
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
151 PM CDT Sun May 17 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-180251-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-200519T0238Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.200513T0012Z.200517T1745Z.200518T2038Z.NO/
151 PM CDT Sun May 17 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Monday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:30 PM Sunday, the stage was 19.78 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring but the river will soon 
  begin falling.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce is near crest
  and will fall to below flood stage by Monday afternoon.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs. 
  Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. State Highway 125 
  near the fairgrounds will be closed.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
281 
WGUS84 KTSA 180047
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
747 PM CDT Sun May 17 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-180846-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-200519T0006Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.200513T0012Z.200517T1745Z.200518T1806Z.NO/
747 PM CDT Sun May 17 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Monday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:30 PM Sunday, the stage was 19.76 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring, and the river is cresting.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce should begin a rapid fall
  this evening to below flood stage by early Monday afternoon.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs. 
  Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. State Highway 125 
  near the fairgrounds will be closed.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$

Lacy
696 
WGUS84 KTSA 181118
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
618 AM CDT Mon May 18 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-181918-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-200519T0006Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.200513T0012Z.200517T1745Z.200518T1806Z.NO/
618 AM CDT Mon May 18 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until this evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  5:30 AM Monday, the stage was 19.03 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by this afternoon.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, low lying areas around Miami become cut off 
  from easy access. Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. 
  State Highway 125 near the fairgrounds will be threatened.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
824 
WGUS84 KTSA 181314
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
814 AM CDT Mon May 18 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-182114-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-200519T0342Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.200513T0012Z.200517T1745Z.200518T2142Z.NO/
814 AM CDT Mon May 18 2020

...Flood Warning extended until this evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until this evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:30 AM Monday, the stage was 18.55 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by late this afternoon.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, low lying areas around Miami become cut off 
  from easy access. Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. 
  State Highway 125 near the fairgrounds will be threatened.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
577 
WGUS84 KTSA 181859
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
159 PM CDT Mon May 18 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-190245-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-200519T0245Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.200513T0012Z.200517T1745Z.200518T2045Z.NO/
159 PM CDT Mon May 18 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until this evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:30 PM Monday, the stage was 16.12 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by late this afternoon.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs with 
  Riverview Park experiencing minor to moderate flooding. Low lying 
  places around Miami may be cut off from easy access.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
143 
WGUS84 KTSA 182206
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
506 PM CDT Mon May 18 2020


...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-182236-
/O.CAN.KTSA.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-200519T0245Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.200513T0012Z.200517T1745Z.200518T2039Z.NO/
506 PM CDT Mon May 18 2020

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* At  4:30 PM Monday, the stage was 14.63 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage late this afternoon.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue falling and
  remain below flood stage.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at May 12, 6:24 AM CDT, 2 hours 54 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 12, 6:24 AM CDT, 2 hours 54 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
624 AM CDT Tue May 12 2020

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
Cigs across the NE OK/ NW AR sites will prevail as MVFR with
IFR categories, especially during periods of light rain this morning.
MVFR vsbys in light rain can be expected as well. Thunder chances will
increase late tonight as a warm front lifts through the area,
with MVFR vsbys where RA/TSRA occurs. Further south at KMLC/KFSM
cigs will lower from VFR to MVFR along with MVFR vsbys in RA/TSRA
this morning. Rain to decrease in areal coverage this afternoon,
though rain and thunderstorm chances return in the 02z-06z time
period. MVFR/brief IFR cigs to prevail for the remainder of the
TAF period at those sites.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 407 AM CDT Tue May 12 2020/

DISCUSSION...
Widespread rain and isolated thunderstorms will affect the area
this morning, with rain coverage lessening some this afternoon.
The heaviest rainfall today will likely occur across the southern
and eastern parts of the forecast area.

A warm front will lift north across the area tonight and Wednesday
morning, with showers and isolated thunderstorms remaining
possible, mainly north of the advancing front. Strong to severe
thunderstorms will develop to our west along a dryline Wednesday
afternoon and may move east into our area Wednesday evening and
overnight as they weaken.

Unsettled weather will continue Thursday into the weekend as a
frontal boundary stalls just to our north and southwest flow aloft
develops. Daily chances of showers and thunderstorms will be
seen, with the highest chances late Saturday into early Sunday as
a weak cold front moves south across the area.

An upper ridge builds over the center of the country early next
week, but both the GFS and ECMWF show the development of an upper
low that gets trapped underneath the ridge and meanders around the
southern U.S. Details remain murky at this time, but it is
possible that shower and thunderstorm chances may continue into
next week if this upper low drifts around in our vicinity.

Went cooler than the National Blend of Models for high
temperatures today.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

AVIATION.....23
Hazardous weather outlook, May 12, 4:58 AM CDT, 4 hours 20 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
458 AM CDT Tue May 12 2020

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-131000-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
458 AM CDT Tue May 12 2020

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
	ONSET...This Morning.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
	ONSET...This Morning.

DISCUSSION...
Rainfall this morning is expected to become increasingly
widespread along with isolated thunderstorm development.
Severe weather is not expected, however locally heavy rainfall
will be possible with thunderstorms this morning. Coverage of
rain will lessen this afternoon as the main area of precipitation
pushes off to the east. Additional thunderstorm chances return
tonight as a warm front lifts north through the area. One or two
strong storms is possible, but severe weather is not expected.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
THURSDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
FRIDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential.
SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
SUNDAY and MONDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Thunderstorm chances will be maintained through the weekend as
several upper level disturbances interact with a slow moving
frontal boundary. The potential for isolated severe storms will
also increase as warmer and more humid air returns to the area
beginning Wednesday. The greatest coverage of storms appears to be
Saturday into Sunday as the aforementioned surface boundary
moves through the area. Additionally, locally heavy rainfall will
remain possible into the weekend.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Oklahoma, 2020Every river flood warning in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.