Severe Thunderstorm Warning 71, NWS Tallahassee, FL

310 
WWUS52 KTAE 130845
SVSTAE

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
445 AM EDT Mon Apr 13 2020

FLC059-130855-
/O.CAN.KTAE.SV.W.0071.000000T0000Z-200413T0915Z/
Holmes FL-
445 AM EDT Mon Apr 13 2020

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL HOLMES COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 700 AM EDT/600 AM CDT/ for
southeastern Alabama...the Panhandle of Florida...and southwestern
Georgia.

LAT...LON 3038 8599 3047 8588 3075 8566 3074 8562
      3082 8560 3100 8545 3100 8500 3107 8502
      3108 8463 3004 8560 3027 8600
TIME...MOT...LOC 0845Z 252DEG 49KT 3083 8511 

$$

FLC005-013-063-131-133-GAC087-253-130915-
/O.CON.KTAE.SV.W.0071.000000T0000Z-200413T0915Z/
Jackson FL-Bay FL-Calhoun FL-Walton FL-Washington FL-Decatur GA-
Seminole GA-
445 AM EDT Mon Apr 13 2020

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 AM
EDT/415 AM CDT/ FOR JACKSON...BAY...NORTHWESTERN CALHOUN...
SOUTHEASTERN WALTON AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES IN THE PANHANDLE OF
FLORIDA...NORTH CENTRAL DECATUR AND SEMINOLE COUNTIES IN SOUTHWESTERN
GEORGIA...

At 445 AM EDT/345 AM CDT/, a severe thunderstorm was located 8 miles
northeast of Marianna, moving east at 55 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Panama City, Lynn Haven, Panama City Beach, Callaway, Vernon,
Marianna, Chipley, Donalsonville, Graceville, Springfield, Hiland
Park, Tyndall Air Force Base, Bradford, Parker, Malone, Cottondale,
Grand Ridge, Greenwood, Altha and Alford.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 700 AM EDT/600 AM CDT/ for
southeastern Alabama...the Panhandle of Florida...and southwestern
Georgia.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3038 8599 3047 8588 3075 8566 3074 8562
      3082 8560 3100 8545 3100 8500 3107 8502
      3108 8463 3004 8560 3027 8600
TIME...MOT...LOC 0845Z 252DEG 49KT 3083 8511 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

72-BUNKER

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
305 AM EDT Mon Apr 13 2020

.NEAR TERM [Through Tonight]...

Tornado watches are up for portions of the tri-state region as a
broken line of thunderstorms, edging into our SW GA/SE AL counties
currently as of 2 AM CT, aided by 1000 J/kg CAPE and a 70 kt LLJ
pumps high theta-e air into and ahead of the line. Progging the
line out places the line into our central sections in the predawn
hours and into the eastern Big Bend counties after dawn. SPC has
an enhanced risk for severe storms early this morning then slight
risk after dawn ahead of the line with all modes of severe
weather possible given the highly sheared environment. The line
appears to move south of the eastern Big Bend early to mid
afternoon and the supporting trough and dynamics move further
north and away from the region.

.SHORT TERM [Tuesday through Wednesday]...

Cold front will stall across the coastal waters and east Big Bend
as the supporting trough races northeast and ridging to the south
stops its movement southward. Good convergence with cyclonic flow
aloft will lead to good rain chances this period along and just
north of the front as it moves little through Wednesday. The upper
trough moves through Wednesday adding additional diffluence aloft
and additional heavy rainfall amounts before it gets pushed
southward in the long term.

.LONG TERM [Wednesday Night Through Monday]...

A slight break in the active weather is possible late this work
week but relative cyclonic flow over much of the eastern US will
lead to additional chances for shower and thunderstorms across the
area into the weekend

&&

.AVIATION...
[Through 06Z Tuesday]

Updated timing of arrival for line of thunderstorms based from
latest high resolution guidance to each of our TAF sites. Expect
MVFR/IFR just ahead of the line, variable strong wind gusts with
the line along with heavy thunderstorms, an hour or two of
degraded flight conditions behind the line, then decreasing
westerly winds and VFR conditions after that through the rest of
the TAF period.

&&

.MARINE...

Hazardous marine conditions will continue today with an
improvement this evening. Today, a cold front will move from west
to east with strong thunderstorms accompanying the front. Ahead of
this line, strong onshore flow will continue. Wave heights will be
around 6 to 10 feet today with improvement tonight. Gale warning
will expire this morning, and even though winds will decrease
through the day, wave heights will remain at or above 7 feet and
the small craft advisory will be left in tact till this evening.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

No hazardous fire weather conditions are expected over the next
few days.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...

The storm system moving through is only expected to bring around
1-1.5 inches of rain across the region due to the fast movement of
the cold front. No flooding is expected with this system.

The cold front is expected to stall near the Gulf Coast and will
be a focus for additional showers and storms. There is the
possibility of an additional 2-4 inches of rain on Tuesday and
Wednesday. At the current time, most of the guidance indicates the
heaviest rain is expected to occur over North Florida, in areas
with moderate drought conditions, thus little or no flooding is
anticipated with these rainfall amounts.

For coastal flood concerns, strong onshore flow will lead to some
minor coastal flooding around the time of high tide this morning
in Apalachee Bay. Water levels of 1 to 1.5 ft MHHW are possible
around Apalachee Bay. These levels typically only impact boat
ramps along the coast.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is requested. Spotters should safely report
significant weather conditions and/or damage (while following all
local, state, and CDC guidelines) by calling the office or tweeting
us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Tallahassee   88  62  84  61  75 /  80  30  50  80  80
Panama City   82  64  80  60  75 /  30  30  50  80  80
Dothan        84  57  82  55  73 /  10  10  20  70  50
Albany        84  59  84  58  74 /  40  10  20  70  60
Valdosta      86  63  82  62  73 /  80  30  50  70  90
Cross City    83  67  82  67  80 /  70  50  60  40  70
Apalachicola  81  65  78  63  73 /  80  50  60  70  80

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Wind Advisory until 5 AM EDT /4 AM CDT/ early this morning for
     Calhoun-Central Walton-Coastal Bay-Coastal Franklin-Coastal
     Gulf-Gadsden-Holmes-Inland Bay-Inland Franklin-Inland Gulf-
     Jackson-Liberty-North Walton-South Walton-Washington.

     High Rip Current Risk through Tuesday evening for Coastal Bay-
     Coastal Franklin-Coastal Gulf-South Walton.

     High Surf Advisory until 5 PM EDT /4 PM CDT/ this afternoon for
     Coastal Bay-South Walton.

GA...Wind Advisory until 5 AM EDT early this morning for Baker-Ben
     Hill-Calhoun-Clay-Colquitt-Decatur-Dougherty-Early-Grady-
     Irwin-Lee-Miller-Mitchell-Quitman-Randolph-Seminole-Terrell-
     Thomas-Tift-Turner-Worth.

AL...Wind Advisory until 4 AM CDT early this morning for Coffee-Dale-
     Geneva-Henry-Houston.

GM...Small Craft Advisory from 7 AM this morning to 7 PM CDT this
     evening for Coastal waters from Mexico Beach to
     Apalachicola FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Mexico Beach
     to Okaloosa Walton County Line FL out 20 NM-Waters from
     Apalachicola to Mexico Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-Waters
     from Mexico Beach to Okaloosa Walton County Line FL from 20
     to 60 NM.

     Gale Warning until 7 AM CDT this morning for Coastal waters from
     Mexico Beach to Apalachicola FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters
     from Mexico Beach to Okaloosa Walton County Line FL out 20
     NM-Waters from Apalachicola to Mexico Beach FL from 20 to
     60 NM-Waters from Mexico Beach to Okaloosa Walton County
     Line FL from 20 to 60 NM.

     Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for Apalachee
     Bay or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach to Ochlockonee
     River FL out to 20 Nm-Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River
     to Apalachicola Fl out to 20 Nm-Coastal waters from
     Suwannee River to Keaton Beach FL out 20 NM-Waters from
     Suwannee River to Apalachicola FL from 20 to 60 NM.

&&

NEAR TERM...Scholl
SHORT TERM...Scholl
LONG TERM...Scholl
AVIATION...Scholl
MARINE...Scholl
FIRE WEATHER...Scholl
HYDROLOGY...Godsey

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
140 AM EDT MON APR 13 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0139 AM     TSTM WND DMG     1 E ARITON              31.60N 85.69W
04/13/2020                   DALE               AL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE DOWN ON COUNTY ROAD 72.

&&

LN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
203 AM EDT MON APR 13 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0126 AM     TSTM WND GST     1 NW CAIRNS AAF         31.28N 85.72W
04/13/2020  M51 MPH          DALE               AL   AWOS

            AWOS STATION KOZR OZARK CAIRNS AAF.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
221 AM EDT MON APR 13 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0219 AM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NNE CLINTONVILLE      31.43N 85.89W
04/13/2020                   COFFEE             AL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            REPORTS OF TREES DOWN, TREES ON POWER LINES,
            TREES ON MULTIPLE COUNTY ROADS NOT ONLY
            AROUND NEW BROCKTON BUT VARIOUS OTHER PARTS
            OF THE COUNTY OVER THE LAST HOUR. COUNTY
            ROADS 260, 216, 248 AND 239 ALL HAD TREES
            DOWN.

&&

LN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
229 AM EDT MON APR 13 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0215 AM     TSTM WND DMG     1 ESE GEORGETOWN        31.88N 85.08W
04/13/2020                   QUITMAN            GA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE ON POWER LINES ALONG US HWY 82.

&&

LN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
235 AM EDT MON APR 13 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0215 AM     TSTM WND DMG     2 NNE GRABALL           31.61N 85.27W
04/13/2020                   HENRY              AL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            911 CALL CENTER REPORTS WIDESPREAD TREES
            DOWN COUNTY WIDE AS WELL AS POWER OUTAGES.

&&

LN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
319 AM EDT MON APR 13 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0305 AM     TSTM WND DMG     1 SSW ENTERPRISE        31.30N 85.86W
04/13/2020                   COFFEE             AL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES DOWN, POWER LINES DOWN, TREES ON POWER
            LINES ACROSS ENTERPRISE.

&&

LN