Alert archive / North Carolina / Tornado Watches in 2020

Tornado Watch 493

September 17, 202019 counties in North Carolina; Horry County, South Carolina

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Sep 17, 2020, 3:06 PM EDT for 19 counties in North Carolina; Horry County, South Carolina. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 17, 2020, 3:06 PM EDT (19:06 UTC)
Expired
Sep 17, 2020, 11:00 PM EDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
0.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Bladen County, NC, Brunswick County, NC, Carteret County, NC, Columbus County, NC, Craven County, NC, Cumberland County, NC, Duplin County, NC, Greene County, NC, Hoke County, NC, Jones County, NC, Lenoir County, NC, New Hanover County, NC, Onslow County, NC, Pamlico County, NC, Pender County, NC, Robeson County, NC, Sampson County, NC, Scotland County, NC, Wayne County, NC, Horry County, SC

The radar

The Wilmington radar (KLTX), 85 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
20%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
30%

Warnings issued inside it

4 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 17, 5:16 PM EDTTornado WarningMHXPamlico29 min
Sep 17, 6:51 PM EDTTornado WarningILMHorry24 min
Sep 17, 8:17 PM EDTTornado WarningMHXCarteret, Craven28 min
Sep 17, 9:16 PM EDTTornado WarningMHXCarteret14 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Newport, NC (KMHX), launched 12:00Z, 7.1 hours before the alert went out and 115 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Newport, NC at 12:00Z on 2020-09-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 226 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Newport, NC at 12:00Z on 2020-09-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 95 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
226 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-45 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
646 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
14 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
95 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
148 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 17, 10:27 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCumberland, Hoke, Robeson, Scotland2 hr
Sep 17, 2:33 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBladen, Columbus, Cumberland, Duplin, Lenoir, Robeson and 1 more117 min
Sep 17, 6:54 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBladen, Brunswick, Columbus, New Hanover, Onslow, Pender2 hr
Sep 17, 10:20 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCAiken, Bamberg, Barnwell, Calhoun, Chesterfield, Clarendon and 15 more8 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in North Carolina, 2020Tornado Watches in South Carolina, 2020Every tornado watch in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.