Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2020

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 445

August 16, 202010 counties in Kansas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 16, 2020, 8:09 PM CDT for 10 counties in Kansas. It was in force for 3 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 16, 2020, 8:09 PM CDT (01:09 UTC)
Expired
Aug 16, 2020, 11:19 PM CDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Clay County, KS, Cloud County, KS, Dickinson County, KS, Geary County, KS, Morris County, KS, Ottawa County, KS, Republic County, KS, Riley County, KS, Saline County, KS, Washington County, KS

The radar

The Topeka radar (KTWX), 118 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
5%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

2 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 16, 8:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPClay, Cloud, Geary, Marshall, Pottawatomie, Riley and 1 more49 min
Aug 16, 9:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPClay, Dickinson, Geary, Pottawatomie, Riley63 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 00:00Z, 1.2 hours before the alert went out and 166 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2020-08-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2020-08-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 75 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2445 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
75 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
138 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 16, 7:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Clay, Cloud, Dickinson, Ellis, Ellsworth and 14 more97 min
Aug 16, 9:31 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChase, Clay, Cloud, Dickinson, Geary, Harvey and 6 more59 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2020Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.