Alert archive / New York / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2020

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 396

July 23, 20205 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 23, 2020, 2:49 PM EDT for 5 states. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 23, 2020, 2:49 PM EDT (18:49 UTC)
Expired
Jul 23, 2020, 10:00 PM EDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 46 counties

Greater Bridgeport Planning Region, CT, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, CT, Northwest Hills Planning Region, CT, Berkshire County, MA, Bergen County, NJ, Essex County, NJ, Hudson County, NJ, Hunterdon County, NJ, Middlesex County, NJ, Morris County, NJ, Passaic County, NJ, Somerset County, NJ, Sussex County, NJ, Union County, NJ, Warren County, NJ, Bronx County, NY, Broome County, NY, Chenango County, NY, Columbia County, NY, Delaware County, NY, Dutchess County, NY, Greene County, NY, Kings County, NY, Nassau County, NY, New York County, NY, Orange County, NY, Otsego County, NY, Putnam County, NY, Queens County, NY, Richmond County, NY, Rockland County, NY, Sullivan County, NY, Tioga County, NY, Ulster County, NY, Westchester County, NY, Bradford County, PA, Carbon County, PA, Lackawanna County, PA, Lehigh County, PA, Luzerne County, PA, Monroe County, PA, Northampton County, PA, Pike County, PA, Susquehanna County, PA, Wayne County, PA, Wyoming County, PA

The radar

The Binghamton radar (KBGM), 91 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
5%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

14 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 23, 2:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMBroome, Chenango, Tioga, Tompkins66 min
Jul 23, 2:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYNorthwest Hills Planning Region64 min
Jul 23, 3:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMBroome, Delaware64 min
Jul 23, 4:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMLackawanna, Susquehanna, Wayne, Wyoming62 min
Jul 23, 5:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYBerkshire67 min
Jul 23, 6:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYNorthwest Hills Planning Region59 min
Jul 23, 6:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYNorthwest Hills Planning Region26 min
Jul 23, 7:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIMercer, Middlesex, Monmouth30 min
Jul 23, 7:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYNorthwest Hills Planning Region30 min
Jul 23, 8:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIMiddlesex, Monmouth26 min
Jul 23, 9:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXLower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region28 min
Jul 23, 9:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXGreater Bridgeport Planning Region, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region38 min
Jul 23, 9:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXGreater Bridgeport Planning Region, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region62 min
Jul 23, 9:53 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningOKXGreater Bridgeport Planning Region, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region116 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 6.8 hours before the alert went out and 144 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2020-07-23Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 101 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2020-07-23The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 36 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
101 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-82 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
889 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
36 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
97 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 23, 12:05 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC115 min
Jul 23, 12:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCapitol Planning Region, Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region7 hr
Jul 23, 4:28 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jul 23, 6:48 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC57 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New York, 2020Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New Jersey, 2020Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Pennsylvania, 2020Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.