Alert archive / South Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2020

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 252

June 4, 2020Carter County, Powder River County, Montana; 21 counties in South Dakota; Crook County, Wyoming

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 4, 2020, 2:27 PM MDT for Carter County, Powder River County, Montana; 21 counties in South Dakota; Crook County, Wyoming. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 4, 2020, 2:27 PM MDT (20:27 UTC)
Expired
Jun 4, 2020, 10:00 PM MDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 24 counties

Carter County, MT, Powder River County, MT, Bennett County, SD, Butte County, SD, Custer County, SD, Dewey County, SD, Haakon County, SD, Harding County, SD, Hughes County, SD, Jackson County, SD, Jones County, SD, Lawrence County, SD, Lyman County, SD, Meade County, SD, Mellette County, SD, Oglala Lakota County, SD, Pennington County, SD, Perkins County, SD, Stanley County, SD, Sully County, SD, Todd County, SD, Tripp County, SD, Ziebach County, SD, Crook County, WY

The radar

The Rapid City radar (KUDX), 102 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
70%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
70%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

23 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 4, 2:42 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRHarding, Perkins63 min
Jun 4, 3:39 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRPerkins66 min
Jun 4, 3:49 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZCarter, Powder River56 min
Jun 4, 4:11 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRCrook64 min
Jun 4, 4:16 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRMeade, Perkins, Ziebach59 min
Jun 4, 5:06 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRButte, Lawrence, Meade54 min
Jun 4, 5:11 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRHaakon, Ziebach64 min
Jun 4, 5:56 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRLawrence, Meade, Pennington79 min
Jun 4, 5:59 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRCampbell, Crook76 min
Jun 4, 6:00 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRJones, Stanley45 min
Jun 4, 6:07 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRStanley23 min
Jun 4, 6:20 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRJones, Stanley40 min
Jun 4, 6:36 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRMeade, Pennington54 min
Jun 4, 6:48 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRCampbell, Crook, Weston57 min
Jun 4, 6:51 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRLawrence54 min
Jun 4, 7:07 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRCuster, Oglala Lakota, Pennington53 min
Jun 4, 7:41 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRLawrence, Meade, Pennington64 min
Jun 4, 7:49 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRBennett, Jackson, Oglala Lakota56 min
Jun 4, 8:29 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRCuster, Oglala Lakota, Pennington61 min
Jun 4, 8:46 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRCuster, Fall River59 min
Jun 4, 8:47 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRBennett, Jackson, Todd58 min
Jun 4, 9:25 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRBennett, Jackson, Oglala Lakota38 min
Jun 4, 9:30 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRTodd45 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Rapid City, SD (KUNR), launched 12:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 107 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Rapid City, SD at 12:00Z on 2020-06-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Rapid City, SD at 12:00Z on 2020-06-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 48 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1303 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
48 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
350 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

563 
WWUS20 KWNS 042024
SEL2  
SPC WW 042024
MTZ000-SDZ000-WYZ000-050400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 252
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
225 PM MDT Thu Jun 4 2020

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Far southeast Montana
  Western and central South Dakota
  Far northeast Wyoming

* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 225 PM until
  1000 PM MDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
    inches in diameter likely
  Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
    mph possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Multiple supercells should develop near the South Dakota,
Montana, Wyoming border area and spread east-southeast into central
South Dakota this evening. A couple of these supercells may be
long-tracked with potential for elongated swaths of large hail. A
tornado or two is also possible, mainly across western into
south-central South Dakota.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles north and south of a line from 90 miles west of
Buffalo SD to 50 miles south southeast of Pierre SD. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 249...WW 250...WW 251...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
29040.

...Grams

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 4, 1:25 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarter, Powder River95 min
Jun 4, 4:14 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLincoln91 min
Jun 4, 5:55 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBennett, Brule, Buffalo, Custer, Gregory, Haakon and 11 more95 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in South Dakota, 2020Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Montana, 2020Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Wyoming, 2020Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.