Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2020

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 231

May 27, 202011 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 27, 2020, 1:47 PM CDT for 11 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 27, 2020, 1:47 PM CDT (18:47 UTC)
Expired
May 27, 2020, 9:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Brown County, TX, Callahan County, TX, Coleman County, TX, Concho County, TX, Kimble County, TX, Mason County, TX, McCulloch County, TX, Menard County, TX, Runnels County, TX, San Saba County, TX, Taylor County, TX

The radar

The Dyess AFB radar (KDYX), 97 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
80%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
70%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

14 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 27, 3:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTConcho, Runnels55 min
May 27, 3:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTColeman, Runnels, Taylor61 min
May 27, 3:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTBrown, Callahan, Coleman57 min
May 27, 3:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTCallahan, Shackelford55 min
May 27, 3:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTConcho, McCulloch, Menard65 min
May 27, 4:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTBrown, Coleman, McCulloch, Runnels56 min
May 27, 4:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTCallahan17 min
May 27, 4:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTMcCulloch, Mason, Menard, San Saba66 min
May 27, 4:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTColeman, McCulloch35 min
May 27, 5:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTSan Saba50 min
May 27, 5:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTKimble, McCulloch, Mason, San Saba53 min
May 27, 6:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTKimble, Mason, Menard56 min
May 27, 6:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTKimble, Menard67 min
May 27, 7:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTKimble, Sutton34 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 12:00Z, 6.8 hours before the alert went out and 216 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2020-05-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 32 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2020-05-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 88 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
32 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-227 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1794 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
88 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
172 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 27, 12:08 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAustin, Bastrop, Bell, Brazos, Burleson, Burnet and 16 more2 hr
May 27, 12:44 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Burnet, Callahan, Coleman, Comanche, Concho and 11 more2 hr
May 27, 1:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAustin, Bastrop, Bell, Blanco, Bosque, Brazoria and 42 more9 hr
May 27, 2:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAustin, Colorado, Fayette, Fort Bend, Harris, Lee and 3 more87 min
May 27, 3:40 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Burnet, Callahan, Coleman, Concho, Lampasas and 6 more95 min
May 27, 5:05 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBexar, Blanco, Caldwell, Comal, DeWitt, Gillespie and 13 more115 min
May 27, 5:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAtascosa, Bandera, Bastrop, Bexar, Blanco, Burnet and 22 more8 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2020Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.