Alert archive / Arkansas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2020

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 162

May 4, 202015 counties in Arkansas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 4, 2020, 12:35 PM CDT for 15 counties in Arkansas. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 4, 2020, 12:35 PM CDT (17:35 UTC)
Expired
May 4, 2020, 5:46 PM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Baxter County, AR, Boone County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Marion County, AR, Newton County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sharp County, AR, Stone County, AR, Van Buren County, AR

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 144 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

4 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 4, 1:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKFulton, Izard, Sharp24 min
May 4, 1:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBaxter, Izard, Stone25 min
May 4, 1:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKIndependence, Izard, Lawrence, Sharp, Stone47 min
May 4, 2:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKIndependence, Jackson, Lawrence, Sharp38 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 5.6 hours before the alert went out and 137 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2020-05-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2020-05-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 99 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
988 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
48 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
99 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
190 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
2.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 4, 9:00 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Johnson and 4 more90 min
May 4, 10:38 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Cleburne, Fulton and 12 more97 min
May 4, 1:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Boone, Cleburne, Fulton, Independence, Izard and 8 more86 min
May 4, 1:21 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton114 min
May 4, 2:02 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Craighead, Greene, Mississippi, Poinsett118 min
May 4, 2:32 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBenton, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Madison, Sebastian and 1 more9 hr
May 4, 2:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCClay, Craighead, Crittenden, Greene, Mississippi, Poinsett6 hr
May 4, 3:44 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Greene, Mississippi, Randolph61 min
May 4, 6:21 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMississippi54 min
May 4, 6:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Johnson and 6 more2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Arkansas, 2020Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.