Alert archive / Kansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2020

Mesoscale Discussion 953

June 21, 202041 counties in Kansas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jun 21, 2020, 1:15 PM CDT for 41 counties in Kansas. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 21, 2020, 1:15 PM CDT (18:15 UTC)
Expired
Jun 21, 2020, 3:15 PM CDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe potential...watch likely
Chance of a watch
95%
All 41 counties

Barton County, KS, Clark County, KS, Decatur County, KS, Edwards County, KS, Ellis County, KS, Ellsworth County, KS, Finney County, KS, Ford County, KS, Gove County, KS, Graham County, KS, Grant County, KS, Gray County, KS, Greeley County, KS, Haskell County, KS, Hodgeman County, KS, Jewell County, KS, Kearny County, KS, Kiowa County, KS, Lane County, KS, Lincoln County, KS, Logan County, KS, Meade County, KS, Mitchell County, KS, Ness County, KS, Norton County, KS, Osborne County, KS, Pawnee County, KS, Phillips County, KS, Pratt County, KS, Rice County, KS, Rooks County, KS, Rush County, KS, Russell County, KS, Scott County, KS, Sheridan County, KS, Smith County, KS, Stafford County, KS, Thomas County, KS, Trego County, KS, Wallace County, KS, Wichita County, KS

The radar

The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 103 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 6.3 hours before the alert went out and 103 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Dodge City, at 12:00Z on 2020-06-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2453 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Dodge City, at 12:00Z on 2020-06-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 159 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2453 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-139 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1029 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
159 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
209 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
5.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 20, 11:13 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Comanche, Ford, Kiowa92 min
Jun 21, 2:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBarber, Barton, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Ellis and 43 more7 hr
Jun 21, 4:51 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Ford, Gray, Kiowa, Meade114 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2020Every mesoscale discussion in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.