Alert archive / Michigan / Mesoscale Discussions in 2020

Mesoscale Discussion 897

June 10, 202021 counties in Michigan

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jun 10, 2020, 12:17 PM EDT for 21 counties in Michigan. It was in force for 58 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 10, 2020, 12:17 PM EDT (16:17 UTC)
Expired
Jun 10, 2020, 1:15 PM EDT
In force
58 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe potential...severe thunderstorm watch likely
Chance of a watch
95%
All 21 counties

Alcona County, MI, Alpena County, MI, Antrim County, MI, Arenac County, MI, Bay County, MI, Cheboygan County, MI, Crawford County, MI, Gladwin County, MI, Grand Traverse County, MI, Iosco County, MI, Kalkaska County, MI, Midland County, MI, Missaukee County, MI, Montmorency County, MI, Ogemaw County, MI, Oscoda County, MI, Otsego County, MI, Presque Isle County, MI, Roscommon County, MI, Saginaw County, MI, Wexford County, MI

The radar

The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 65 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Alpena, MI (KAPX), launched 12:00Z, 4.3 hours before the alert went out and 162 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Alpena, MI at 12:00Z on 2020-06-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Alpena, MI at 12:00Z on 2020-06-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 246 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
664 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
49 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
246 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
336 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 10, 9:44 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegan, Barry, Berrien, Branch, Calhoun, Cass and 14 more91 min
Jun 10, 10:59 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllegan, Barry, Calhoun, Clare, Clinton, Eaton and 14 more6 hr
Jun 10, 11:22 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBranch, Hillsdale, Lenawee83 min
Jun 10, 11:54 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBerrien, Branch, Cass, Hillsdale, Saint Joseph6 hr
Jun 10, 12:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlcona, Alpena, Arenac, Bay, Genesee, Gladwin and 19 more7 hr
Jun 10, 3:03 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBranch, Calhoun, Eaton, Genesee, Hillsdale, Ingham and 13 more87 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Michigan, 2020Every mesoscale discussion in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.