Alert archive / New York / Mesoscale Discussions in 2020

Mesoscale Discussion 757

May 29, 20204 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 29, 2020, 10:47 AM EDT for 4 states. It was in force for 118 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 29, 2020, 10:47 AM EDT (14:47 UTC)
Expired
May 29, 2020, 12:45 PM EDT
In force
118 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe potential...watch possible
Chance of a watch
60%
All 72 counties

Allegany County, NY, Broome County, NY, Cattaraugus County, NY, Cayuga County, NY, Chautauqua County, NY, Chemung County, NY, Chenango County, NY, Cortland County, NY, Erie County, NY, Genesee County, NY, Livingston County, NY, Madison County, NY, Monroe County, NY, Oneida County, NY, Onondaga County, NY, Ontario County, NY, Oswego County, NY, Otsego County, NY, Schuyler County, NY, Seneca County, NY, Steuben County, NY, Tioga County, NY, Tompkins County, NY, Wayne County, NY, Wyoming County, NY, Yates County, NY, Ashland County, OH, Belmont County, OH, Carroll County, OH, Columbiana County, OH, Coshocton County, OH, Geauga County, OH, Guernsey County, OH, Harrison County, OH, Holmes County, OH, Jefferson County, OH, Knox County, OH, Licking County, OH, Mahoning County, OH, Medina County, OH, Morrow County, OH, Muskingum County, OH, Portage County, OH, Richland County, OH, Stark County, OH, Summit County, OH, Trumbull County, OH, Tuscarawas County, OH, Wayne County, OH, Allegheny County, PA, Armstrong County, PA, Beaver County, PA, Butler County, PA, Cameron County, PA, Clarion County, PA, Crawford County, PA, Elk County, PA, Erie County, PA, Forest County, PA, Indiana County, PA, Jefferson County, PA, Lawrence County, PA, McKean County, PA, Mercer County, PA, Potter County, PA, Tioga County, PA, Venango County, PA, Warren County, PA, Washington County, PA, Brooke County, WV, Hancock County, WV, Ohio County, WV

The radar

The State College radar (KCCX), 111 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 2.8 hours before the alert went out and 120 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2020-05-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2020-05-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 34 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1304 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
34 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
49 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 29, 12:27 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDelaware, Greene, Orange, Sullivan, Ulster63 min
May 29, 2:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlbany, Broome, Chenango, Columbia, Delaware, Dutchess and 18 more7 hr
May 29, 3:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCClinton, Essex6 hr
May 29, 3:03 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCSullivan87 min
May 29, 4:54 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegany, Schuyler, Steuben2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in New York, 2020Mesoscale Discussions in Ohio, 2020Mesoscale Discussions in Pennsylvania, 2020Every mesoscale discussion in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.