Alert archive / Kansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2020

Mesoscale Discussion 657

May 21, 2020Prowers County, Colorado; 31 counties in Kansas; Beaver County, Texas County, Oklahoma

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 21, 2020, 1:20 PM MDT for Prowers County, Colorado; 31 counties in Kansas; Beaver County, Texas County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 85 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 21, 2020, 1:20 PM MDT (19:20 UTC)
Expired
May 21, 2020, 2:45 PM MDT
In force
85 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe potential...watch likely
Chance of a watch
95%
All 34 counties

Prowers County, CO, Clark County, KS, Edwards County, KS, Ellis County, KS, Finney County, KS, Ford County, KS, Gove County, KS, Graham County, KS, Grant County, KS, Gray County, KS, Greeley County, KS, Hamilton County, KS, Haskell County, KS, Hodgeman County, KS, Kearny County, KS, Kiowa County, KS, Lane County, KS, Logan County, KS, Meade County, KS, Morton County, KS, Ness County, KS, Pawnee County, KS, Rush County, KS, Scott County, KS, Seward County, KS, Sheridan County, KS, Stanton County, KS, Stevens County, KS, Thomas County, KS, Trego County, KS, Wallace County, KS, Wichita County, KS, Beaver County, OK, Texas County, OK

The radar

The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 81 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 7.3 hours before the alert went out and 86 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Dodge City, at 12:00Z on 2020-05-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 275 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Dodge City, at 12:00Z on 2020-05-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -64 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
275 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-409 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
690 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
9 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-64 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
186 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 20, 8:10 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCWeld95 min
May 21, 2:15 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCClark, Decatur, Finney, Ford, Gove, Graham and 24 more7 hr
May 21, 5:09 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFinney, Ford, Gove, Graham, Grant, Gray and 20 more96 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2020Mesoscale Discussions in Oklahoma, 2020Mesoscale Discussions in Colorado, 2020Every mesoscale discussion in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.