Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2020

Mesoscale Discussion 645

May 20, 202053 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 20, 2020, 3:21 PM CDT for 53 counties in Texas. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 20, 2020, 3:21 PM CDT (20:21 UTC)
Expired
May 20, 2020, 5:45 PM CDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe potential...watch likely
Chance of a watch
95%
All 53 counties

Armstrong County, TX, Bailey County, TX, Borden County, TX, Briscoe County, TX, Callahan County, TX, Carson County, TX, Castro County, TX, Coke County, TX, Coleman County, TX, Concho County, TX, Cottle County, TX, Crosby County, TX, Dawson County, TX, Deaf Smith County, TX, Dickens County, TX, Donley County, TX, Fisher County, TX, Floyd County, TX, Garza County, TX, Glasscock County, TX, Hale County, TX, Hall County, TX, Hartley County, TX, Haskell County, TX, Hockley County, TX, Howard County, TX, Irion County, TX, Jones County, TX, Kent County, TX, King County, TX, Lamb County, TX, Lubbock County, TX, Lynn County, TX, Martin County, TX, Midland County, TX, Mitchell County, TX, Moore County, TX, Motley County, TX, Nolan County, TX, Oldham County, TX, Parmer County, TX, Potter County, TX, Randall County, TX, Reagan County, TX, Runnels County, TX, Scurry County, TX, Shackelford County, TX, Sterling County, TX, Stonewall County, TX, Swisher County, TX, Taylor County, TX, Terry County, TX, Tom Green County, TX

The radar

The Lubbock radar (KLBB), 72 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:25 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 8.4 hours before the alert went out and 201 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2020-05-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 551 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2020-05-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 130 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
551 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-315 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2077 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
130 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
47 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 20, 3:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArmstrong, Bailey, Borden, Briscoe, Callahan, Castro and 58 more8 hr
May 20, 6:19 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCKinney, Maverick, Val Verde116 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2020Every mesoscale discussion in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.