Alert archive / Ohio / Mesoscale Discussions in 2020

Mesoscale Discussion 1797

November 15, 20207 counties in Michigan; 28 counties in Ohio

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Nov 15, 2020, 9:58 AM EST for 7 counties in Michigan; 28 counties in Ohio. It was in force for 92 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Nov 15, 2020, 9:58 AM EST (14:58 UTC)
Expired
Nov 15, 2020, 11:30 AM EST
In force
92 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe potential...watch unlikely
Chance of a watch
20%
All 35 counties

Lenawee County, MI, Macomb County, MI, Monroe County, MI, Oakland County, MI, Saint Clair County, MI, Washtenaw County, MI, Wayne County, MI, Allen County, OH, Ashland County, OH, Auglaize County, OH, Crawford County, OH, Cuyahoga County, OH, Defiance County, OH, Erie County, OH, Fulton County, OH, Hancock County, OH, Hardin County, OH, Henry County, OH, Huron County, OH, Lake County, OH, Lorain County, OH, Lucas County, OH, Marion County, OH, Medina County, OH, Mercer County, OH, Ottawa County, OH, Paulding County, OH, Putnam County, OH, Richland County, OH, Sandusky County, OH, Seneca County, OH, Summit County, OH, Van Wert County, OH, Wood County, OH, Wyandot County, OH

The radar

The Cleveland radar (KCLE), 105 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 12:00Z, 3.0 hours before the alert went out and 129 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2020-11-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2020-11-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 466 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
468 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
78 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
466 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
424 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 15, 11:33 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshland, Ashtabula, Carroll, Champaign, Columbiana, Crawford and 24 more57 min
Nov 15, 11:51 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAshland, Ashtabula, Athens, Carroll, Columbiana, Coshocton and 24 more3 hr
Nov 15, 12:27 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshtabula, Cuyahoga, Geauga, Lake, Medina, Summit93 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Ohio, 2020Mesoscale Discussions in Michigan, 2020Every mesoscale discussion in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.