Alert archive / Colorado / Mesoscale Discussions in 2020

Mesoscale Discussion 1379

August 2, 202020 counties in Colorado; 7 counties in New Mexico

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Aug 2, 2020, 1:28 PM MDT for 20 counties in Colorado; 7 counties in New Mexico. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 2, 2020, 1:28 PM MDT (19:28 UTC)
Expired
Aug 2, 2020, 3:30 PM MDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe potential...watch possible
Chance of a watch
60%
All 27 counties

Adams County, CO, Alamosa County, CO, Arapahoe County, CO, Boulder County, CO, Broomfield County, CO, Clear Creek County, CO, Costilla County, CO, Custer County, CO, Denver County, CO, Douglas County, CO, El Paso County, CO, Fremont County, CO, Gilpin County, CO, Huerfano County, CO, Jefferson County, CO, Larimer County, CO, Las Animas County, CO, Park County, CO, Pueblo County, CO, Teller County, CO, Colfax County, NM, Guadalupe County, NM, Harding County, NM, Mora County, NM, Quay County, NM, San Miguel County, NM, Taos County, NM

The radar

The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 145 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDNR), launched 12:00Z, 7.5 hours before the alert went out and 322 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2020-08-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 6 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2020-08-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 15 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
6 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-422 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2146 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
15 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
72 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 2, 1:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Arapahoe, Boulder, Broomfield, Clear Creek, Crowley and 18 more7 hr
Aug 2, 2:29 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCChaves, Colfax, Curry, De Baca, Guadalupe, Harding and 7 more7 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Colorado, 2020Mesoscale Discussions in New Mexico, 2020Every mesoscale discussion in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.