Alert archive / Colorado / Mesoscale Discussions in 2020

Mesoscale Discussion 1303

July 21, 202022 counties in Colorado; 6 counties in Nebraska; 5 counties in Wyoming

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jul 21, 2020, 1:12 PM MDT for 22 counties in Colorado; 6 counties in Nebraska; 5 counties in Wyoming. It was in force for 93 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 21, 2020, 1:12 PM MDT (19:12 UTC)
Expired
Jul 21, 2020, 2:45 PM MDT
In force
93 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe potential...severe thunderstorm watch likely
Chance of a watch
95%
All 33 counties

Adams County, CO, Arapahoe County, CO, Bent County, CO, Broomfield County, CO, Cheyenne County, CO, Crowley County, CO, Denver County, CO, Douglas County, CO, El Paso County, CO, Elbert County, CO, Jefferson County, CO, Kiowa County, CO, Kit Carson County, CO, Las Animas County, CO, Lincoln County, CO, Logan County, CO, Morgan County, CO, Otero County, CO, Pueblo County, CO, Washington County, CO, Weld County, CO, Yuma County, CO, Banner County, NE, Cheyenne County, NE, Kimball County, NE, Morrill County, NE, Scotts Bluff County, NE, Sioux County, NE, Converse County, WY, Goshen County, WY, Laramie County, WY, Niobrara County, WY, Platte County, WY

The radar

The Cheyenne radar (KCYS), 81 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDNR), launched 12:00Z, 7.2 hours before the alert went out and 114 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2020-07-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 686 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2020-07-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -10 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
686 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-192 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1080 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
14 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-10 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
112 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 21, 1:33 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Arapahoe, Boulder, Broomfield, Crowley, Denver and 14 more7 hr
Jul 21, 5:22 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Arapahoe, Broomfield, Crowley, Denver, Elbert and 7 more113 min
Jul 20, 6:17 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArthur, Cherry, Frontier, Garden, Grant, Hayes and 9 more88 min
Jul 20, 7:00 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCDundy, Furnas, Gosper, Harlan, Hitchcock, Red Willow5 hr
Jul 20, 8:18 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArthur, Blaine, Brown, Chase, Custer, Dawson and 19 more87 min
Jul 20, 10:29 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBuffalo, Franklin, Furnas, Harlan, Howard, Kearney and 3 more91 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Colorado, 2020Mesoscale Discussions in Nebraska, 2020Mesoscale Discussions in Wyoming, 2020Every mesoscale discussion in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.