Alert archive / Illinois / Mesoscale Discussions in 2020

Mesoscale Discussion 1302

July 21, 202023 counties in Illinois; 10 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jul 21, 2020, 1:43 PM CDT for 23 counties in Illinois; 10 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 92 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 21, 2020, 1:43 PM CDT (18:43 UTC)
Expired
Jul 21, 2020, 3:15 PM CDT
In force
92 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe potential...watch possible
Chance of a watch
40%
All 33 counties

Bond County, IL, Calhoun County, IL, Cass County, IL, Christian County, IL, Clinton County, IL, Coles County, IL, Cumberland County, IL, Effingham County, IL, Fayette County, IL, Greene County, IL, Jersey County, IL, Macon County, IL, Macoupin County, IL, Madison County, IL, Menard County, IL, Montgomery County, IL, Morgan County, IL, Moultrie County, IL, Pike County, IL, Saint Clair County, IL, Sangamon County, IL, Scott County, IL, Shelby County, IL, Audrain County, MO, City of Saint Louis, MO, Franklin County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Pike County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Warren County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 70 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 12:00Z, 6.7 hours before the alert went out and 171 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2020-07-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 474 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2020-07-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 57 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
474 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-67 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
804 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
57 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
138 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 21, 11:19 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChampaign, Clark, Coles, Cumberland, DeWitt, Douglas and 12 more86 min
Jul 21, 5:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBond, Champaign, Christian, Clark, Clay, Clinton and 24 more56 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Illinois, 2020Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2020Every mesoscale discussion in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.