Alert archive / Missouri / Mesoscale Discussions in 2020

Mesoscale Discussion 1233

July 15, 202023 counties in Illinois; 29 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jul 15, 2020, 1:10 PM CDT for 23 counties in Illinois; 29 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 15, 2020, 1:10 PM CDT (18:10 UTC)
Expired
Jul 15, 2020, 3:15 PM CDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe potential...watch likely
Chance of a watch
80%
All 52 counties

Bond County, IL, Calhoun County, IL, Cass County, IL, Christian County, IL, Clinton County, IL, Fayette County, IL, Greene County, IL, Jefferson County, IL, Jersey County, IL, Macoupin County, IL, Madison County, IL, Marion County, IL, Menard County, IL, Monroe County, IL, Montgomery County, IL, Morgan County, IL, Perry County, IL, Pike County, IL, Randolph County, IL, Saint Clair County, IL, Sangamon County, IL, Scott County, IL, Washington County, IL, Audrain County, MO, Callaway County, MO, Camden County, MO, City of Saint Louis, MO, Cole County, MO, Crawford County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Dent County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Iron County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Maries County, MO, Miller County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Osage County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Pike County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO, Saint Francois County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Sainte Genevieve County, MO, Texas County, MO, Warren County, MO, Washington County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 46 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 12:00Z, 6.2 hours before the alert went out and 250 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2020-07-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2020-07-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 30 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1529 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
20 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
30 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
32 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 15, 2:10 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBond, Brown, Calhoun, Cass, Christian, Clinton and 30 more7 hr
Jul 15, 2:13 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Fulton, Livingston, McDonough, McLean, Marshall and 5 more62 min
Jul 15, 3:14 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCFord, Grundy, Iroquois, Kankakee, Livingston6 hr
Jul 15, 5:35 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBond, Champaign, Christian, Clark, Clay, Clinton and 35 more85 min
Jul 15, 6:12 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCChampaign, Clark, Clay, Coles, Crawford, Cumberland and 20 more5 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2020Mesoscale Discussions in Illinois, 2020Every mesoscale discussion in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.