Alert archive / Utah / Red Flag Warnings in 2020

Red Flag Warning 41, NWS Salt Lake City, UT

October 9, 202026 counties in Utah

NWS Salt Lake City, UT issued this red flag warning at Oct 9, 2020, 2:34 PM MDT for 26 counties in Utah. It took effect at Oct 10, 2020, 12:00 PM MDT. It was in force for 33 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 9, 2020, 2:34 PM MDT (20:34 UTC)
In effect from
Oct 10, 2020, 12:00 PM MDT
Expired
Oct 11, 2020, 9:00 PM MDT
In force
33 hr
Issued by
NWS Salt Lake City, UT
All 26 counties

Beaver County, UT, Box Elder County, UT, Cache County, UT, Carbon County, UT, Davis County, UT, Duchesne County, UT, Emery County, UT, Garfield County, UT, Iron County, UT, Juab County, UT, Kane County, UT, Millard County, UT, Morgan County, UT, Piute County, UT, Rich County, UT, Salt Lake County, UT, San Juan County, UT, Sanpete County, UT, Sevier County, UT, Summit County, UT, Tooele County, UT, Utah County, UT, Wasatch County, UT, Washington County, UT, Wayne County, UT, Weber County, UT

The radar

The Salt Lake City radar (KMTX), 193 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Salt Lake City I, UT (KSLC), launched 12:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 132 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Salt Lake City I, UT at 12:00Z on 2020-10-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Salt Lake City I, UT at 12:00Z on 2020-10-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 49 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
3216 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
49 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
74 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

100 
WWUS85 KSLC 092034
RFWSLC

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
234 PM MDT Fri Oct 9 2020

UTZ479>484-488-493-496-100445-
/O.UPG.KSLC.FW.A.0026.201010T1800Z-201011T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KSLC.FW.W.0041.201010T1800Z-201011T0300Z/
Wasatch Mountains-Uinta Mountains-Western Ashley National Forest-
Western Uintah Basin-Southern Ashley National Forest-
Tavaputs Plateau-Manti National Forest-Central Utah Mountains-
Color Country Mountains-
234 PM MDT Fri Oct 9 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT SATURDAY FOR
WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 479...480...
481...482...483...484...488...493 AND 496...

The National Weather Service in Salt Lake City has issued a Red
Flag Warning for wind and low relative humidity, which is in
effect from noon to 9 PM MDT Saturday. The Fire Weather Watch is
no longer in effect.

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zone 479 Wasatch Mountains...Fire 
  Weather Zone 480 Uinta Mountains...Fire Weather Zone 481 
  Western Ashley National Forest...Fire Weather Zone 482 Western 
  Uintah Basin...Fire Weather Zone 483 Southern Ashley National 
  Forest... Fire Weather Zone 484 Tavaputs Plateau...Fire 
  Weather Zone 488 Manti National Forest...Fire Weather Zone 493 
  Central Utah Mountains and Fire Weather Zone 496 Color Country 
  Mountains.

* WINDS... South to southwest winds 10-20 mph with gusts up to 30
  mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...14-17 percent in the lower elevations and
  17-21 percent at the upper elevations.

* IMPACTS...Critical fire weather conditions are expected. Any 
  new fire starts or existing fires may spread rapidly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are
either occurring now...or are imminent. A combination of strong
winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

UTZ478-492-495-100445-
/O.UPG.KSLC.FW.A.0026.201010T1800Z-201011T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KSLC.FW.W.0041.201010T1800Z-201011T0300Z/
Salt Lake Desert-Central Utah West Desert-
Color Country West Desert-
234 PM MDT Fri Oct 9 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT SATURDAY FOR
WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 478...
492 AND 495...

The National Weather Service in Salt Lake City has issued a Red
Flag Warning for wind and low relative humidity, which is in
effect from noon to 9 PM MDT Saturday. The Fire Weather Watch is
no longer in effect.

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zone 478 Salt Lake Desert...Fire 
  Weather Zone 492 Central Utah West Desert and Fire Weather 
  Zone 495 Color Country West Desert.

* WINDS... South to southwest winds 15-20 mph with gusts up to 
  40 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...12-16 percent.

* IMPACTS...Critical fire weather conditions are expected. Any 
  new fire starts or existing fires may spread rapidly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are
either occurring now...or are imminent. A combination of strong
winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

UTZ489-494-100445-
/O.NEW.KSLC.FW.W.0041.201010T1800Z-201012T0300Z/
San Rafael Swell-Henry Mountains-
234 PM MDT Fri Oct 9 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON SATURDAY TO 9 PM MDT
SUNDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
489 AND 494...

The National Weather Service in Salt Lake City has issued a Red
Flag Warning for wind and low relative humidity, which is in
effect from noon Saturday to 9 PM MDT Sunday.

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zone 489 San Rafael Swell and 
  Fire Weather Zone 494 Henry Mountains.

* WINDS...South winds 10-20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph on
  Saturday. Northwest winds 15-25 mph with gusts to 35 mph on
  Sunday.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...11-14 percent on Saturday increasing to 
  15-20 percent on Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Critical fire weather conditions are expected. Any 
  new fire starts or existing fires may spread rapidly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are
either occurring now...or are imminent. A combination of strong
winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

UTZ498-100445-
/O.NEW.KSLC.FW.W.0041.201011T1800Z-201012T0300Z/
Grand Staircase-
234 PM MDT Fri Oct 9 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT SUNDAY FOR
WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 498...

The National Weather Service in Salt Lake City has issued a Red
Flag Warning for wind and low relative humidity, which is in
effect from noon to 9 PM MDT Sunday.

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zone 498 Grand Staircase.

* WINDS...Northwest winds 15-25 mph with gusts to 35 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...14-17 percent

* IMPACTS...Critical fire weather conditions are expected. Any 
  new fire starts or existing fires may spread rapidly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are
either occurring now...or are imminent. A combination of strong
winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

For more information from NOAA/National Weather Service visit...
http://weather.gov/saltlakecity
5 follow-up statements
446 
WWUS85 KSLC 100857
RFWSLC

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
257 AM MDT Sat Oct 10 2020

UTZ479>484-488-493-496-102200-
/O.CON.KSLC.FW.W.0041.201010T1800Z-201011T0300Z/
Wasatch Mountains-Uinta Mountains-Western Ashley National Forest-
Western Uintah Basin-Southern Ashley National Forest-
Tavaputs Plateau-Manti National Forest-Central Utah Mountains-
Color Country Mountains-
257 AM MDT Sat Oct 10 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 479...480...481...482...483...484...488...493 AND 496...

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zone 479 Wasatch Mountains...Fire 
  Weather Zone 480 Uinta Mountains...Fire Weather Zone 481 
  Western Ashley National Forest...Fire Weather Zone 482 Western 
  Uintah Basin...Fire Weather Zone 483 Southern Ashley National 
  Forest... Fire Weather Zone 484 Tavaputs Plateau...Fire 
  Weather Zone 488 Manti National Forest...Fire Weather Zone 493 
  Central Utah Mountains and Fire Weather Zone 496 Color Country 
  Mountains.

* WINDS... South to southwest winds 10-20 mph with gusts up to 
  40 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...13-17 percent in the lower elevations and
  15-20 percent at the upper elevations.

* IMPACTS...Critical fire weather conditions are expected. Any 
  new fire starts or existing fires may spread rapidly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or are imminent. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

UTZ478-492-495-102200-
/O.CON.KSLC.FW.W.0041.201010T1800Z-201011T0300Z/
Salt Lake Desert-Central Utah West Desert-
Color Country West Desert-
257 AM MDT Sat Oct 10 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 478...492 AND 495...

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zone 478 Salt Lake Desert...Fire 
  Weather Zone 492 Central Utah West Desert and Fire Weather 
  Zone 495 Color Country West Desert.

* WINDS... South to southwest winds 15-25 mph with gusts in 
  excess of 40 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...12-16 percent.

* IMPACTS...Critical fire weather conditions are expected. Any 
  new fire starts or existing fires may spread rapidly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or are imminent. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

UTZ489-494-102200-
/O.CON.KSLC.FW.W.0041.201010T1800Z-201012T0300Z/
San Rafael Swell-Henry Mountains-
257 AM MDT Sat Oct 10 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT
SUNDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
489 AND 494...

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zone 489 San Rafael Swell and 
  Fire Weather Zone 494 Henry Mountains.

* WINDS...South winds 10-20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph on 
  Saturday. Northwest winds 15-25 mph with gusts to 35 mph on 
  Sunday.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...11-14 percent on Saturday increasing to 15-
   20 percent on Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Critical fire weather conditions are expected. Any 
  new fire starts or existing fires may spread rapidly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or are imminent. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

UTZ498-102200-
/O.CON.KSLC.FW.W.0041.201011T1800Z-201012T0300Z/
Grand Staircase-
257 AM MDT Sat Oct 10 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT
SUNDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE
498...

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zone 498 Grand Staircase.

* WINDS...Northwest winds 15-25 mph with gusts to 35 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...14-17 percent.

* IMPACTS...Critical fire weather conditions are expected. Any 
  new fire starts or existing fires may spread rapidly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or are imminent. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

For more information from NOAA/National Weather Service visit...
http://weather.gov/saltlakecity
821 
WWUS85 KSLC 102045
RFWSLC

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
245 PM MDT Sat Oct 10 2020

UTZ479>484-488-493-496-110300-
/O.CON.KSLC.FW.W.0041.000000T0000Z-201011T0300Z/
Wasatch Mountains-Uinta Mountains-Western Ashley National Forest-
Western Uintah Basin-Southern Ashley National Forest-
Tavaputs Plateau-Manti National Forest-Central Utah Mountains-
Color Country Mountains-
245 PM MDT Sat Oct 10 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 479...
480...481...482...483...484...488...493 AND 496...

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zone 479 Wasatch Mountains...Fire 
  Weather Zone 480 Uinta Mountains...Fire Weather Zone 481 
  Western Ashley National Forest...Fire Weather Zone 482 Western 
  Uintah Basin...Fire Weather Zone 483 Southern Ashley National 
  Forest... Fire Weather Zone 484 Tavaputs Plateau...Fire 
  Weather Zone 488 Manti National Forest...Fire Weather Zone 493 
  Central Utah Mountains and Fire Weather Zone 496 Color Country 
  Mountains.

* WINDS...Southwest 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 15 percent.

* IMPACTS...Critical fire weather conditions are expected. Any 
  new fire starts or existing fires may spread rapidly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or are imminent. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

UTZ478-492-495-110300-
/O.CON.KSLC.FW.W.0041.000000T0000Z-201011T0300Z/
Salt Lake Desert-Central Utah West Desert-
Color Country West Desert-
245 PM MDT Sat Oct 10 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 478...
492 AND 495...

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zone 478 Salt Lake Desert...Fire 
  Weather Zone 492 Central Utah West Desert and Fire Weather 
  Zone 495 Color Country West Desert.

* WINDS...Southwest 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 11 percent.

* IMPACTS...Critical fire weather conditions are expected. Any 
  new fire starts or existing fires may spread rapidly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or are imminent. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

UTZ489-494-110445-
/O.CON.KSLC.FW.W.0041.000000T0000Z-201012T0300Z/
San Rafael Swell-Henry Mountains-
245 PM MDT Sat Oct 10 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT SUNDAY FOR
WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 489 AND
494...

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zone 489 San Rafael Swell and 
  Fire Weather Zone 494 Henry Mountains.

* WINDS...West 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 11 percent.

* IMPACTS...Critical fire weather conditions are expected. Any 
  new fire starts or existing fires may spread rapidly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or are imminent. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

UTZ498-110445-
/O.CON.KSLC.FW.W.0041.201011T1800Z-201012T0300Z/
Grand Staircase-
245 PM MDT Sat Oct 10 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT
SUNDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE
498...

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zone 498 Grand Staircase.

* WINDS...West 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 13 percent.

* IMPACTS...Critical fire weather conditions are expected. Any 
  new fire starts or existing fires may spread rapidly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or are imminent. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

For more information from NOAA/National Weather Service visit...
http://weather.gov/saltlakecity
369 
WWUS85 KSLC 110327
RFWSLC

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
927 PM MDT Sat Oct 10 2020

UTZ478>484-488-492-493-495-496-110430-
/O.EXP.KSLC.FW.W.0041.000000T0000Z-201011T0300Z/
Salt Lake Desert-Wasatch Mountains-Uinta Mountains-
Western Ashley National Forest-Western Uintah Basin-
Southern Ashley National Forest-Tavaputs Plateau-
Manti National Forest-Central Utah West Desert-
Central Utah Mountains-Color Country West Desert-
Color Country Mountains-
927 PM MDT Sat Oct 10 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 478...479...480...481...482...
483...484...488...492...493...495 AND 496...

Winds will remain strong and gusty across portions of northern and
central Utah tonight as a cold front moves into the area, while
winds across the south will continue to decrease. However,  
humidities will trend upward through the night. Therefore, the 
Red Flag Warning has been allowed to expire for northern and 
western Utah.

$$

UTZ489-494-111200-
/O.CON.KSLC.FW.W.0041.000000T0000Z-201012T0300Z/
San Rafael Swell-Henry Mountains-
927 PM MDT Sat Oct 10 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT SUNDAY FOR
WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 489 AND
494...

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zone 489 San Rafael Swell and 
  Fire Weather Zone 494 Henry Mountains.

* WINDS...West 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 11 percent.

* IMPACTS...Critical fire weather conditions are expected. Any 
  new fire starts or existing fires may spread rapidly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or are imminent. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

UTZ498-111200-
/O.CON.KSLC.FW.W.0041.201011T1800Z-201012T0300Z/
Grand Staircase-
927 PM MDT Sat Oct 10 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT
SUNDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE
498...

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zone 498 Grand Staircase.

* WINDS...West 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 13 percent.

* IMPACTS...Critical fire weather conditions are expected. Any 
  new fire starts or existing fires may spread rapidly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or are imminent. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

For more information from NOAA/National Weather Service visit...
http://weather.gov/saltlakecity
257 
WWUS85 KSLC 110848
RFWSLC

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
248 AM MDT Sun Oct 11 2020

UTZ489-494-112200-
/O.CON.KSLC.FW.W.0041.000000T0000Z-201012T0300Z/
San Rafael Swell-Henry Mountains-
248 AM MDT Sun Oct 11 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 489 AND
494...

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zone 489 San Rafael Swell and 
  Fire Weather Zone 494 Henry Mountains.

* WINDS...West 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 450mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 11 percent.

* IMPACTS...Critical fire weather conditions are expected. Any 
  new fire starts or existing fires may spread rapidly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or are imminent. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

UTZ498-112200-
/O.CON.KSLC.FW.W.0041.201011T1800Z-201012T0300Z/
Grand Staircase-
248 AM MDT Sun Oct 11 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONE 498...

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zone 498 Grand Staircase.

* WINDS...West 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 13 percent.

* IMPACTS...Critical fire weather conditions are expected. Any 
  new fire starts or existing fires may spread rapidly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or are imminent. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

For more information from NOAA/National Weather Service visit...
http://weather.gov/saltlakecity
810 
WWUS85 KSLC 112056
RFWSLC

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
256 PM MDT Sun Oct 11 2020

UTZ489-494-120300-
/O.CON.KSLC.FW.W.0041.000000T0000Z-201012T0300Z/
San Rafael Swell-Henry Mountains-
256 PM MDT Sun Oct 11 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 489 AND
494...

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zone 489 San Rafael Swell and 
  Fire Weather Zone 494 Henry Mountains.

* WINDS...West 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 15 percent.

* IMPACTS...Critical fire weather conditions are expected. Any 
  new fire starts or existing fires may spread rapidly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or are imminent. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

UTZ498-120300-
/O.CON.KSLC.FW.W.0041.000000T0000Z-201012T0300Z/
Grand Staircase-
256 PM MDT Sun Oct 11 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 498...

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zone 498 Grand Staircase.

* WINDS...West 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 13 percent.

* IMPACTS...Critical fire weather conditions are expected. Any 
  new fire starts or existing fires may spread rapidly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or are imminent. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

For more information from NOAA/National Weather Service visit...
http://weather.gov/saltlakecity

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Salt Lake City, UT wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Oct 9, 10:00 AM MDT, 4 hours 34 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 9, 10:00 AM MDT, 4 hours 34 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
1000 AM MDT Fri Oct 9 2020

.SYNOPSIS...An unseasonably warm southwest flow aloft will persist
through Saturday. A fast moving storm system will bring much
colder temperatures statewide with valley rain and mountain snow
for northern Utah and southwest Wyoming late in the weekend.

&&

.UPDATE DISCUSSION...A very subtle upper level short wave is
currently translating northeast across the forecast area this
morning, with scattered cloud cover associated with its eastern
periphery extending from southwestern Utah NE into southwestern
Wyoming. Light southerly flow in advance of this has tapped a bit
of mid level moisture, with PWAT values maximized near .50" across
central and eastern Utah this morning. In large however the
environment remains very dry (exceptionally dry sub-cloud). Subtle
forcing tied closest to a weak upper level jetlet on the
downstream side of this wave combined with diurnal heating over
the elevated heat sources in those regions is expected to aid
isolated high based convective buildups this afternoon, and a
possibility of a sprinkle or two over the Uintas. Said, similar to
yesterday, anticipating more virga than not with any convective
buildups.

Bottom line...unseasonably warm temperatures and dry conditions
will dominate again today. Made minor tweaks to previous forecast
regarding cloud trends and potential coverage of convection as
the only updates this morning.

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...The latest deterministic guidance continues
to show the cold core upper trough entering the Pacific Northwest
early Saturday, then continuing on a near zonal trajectory across
the northern Rockies and northern Great Basin this weekend. The
associated surface front will reach northwest Utah Saturday
afternoon, then continue south into southern Utah by Sunday
morning. Strong low-level cold advection will support this front
with significant low-level forcing expected as the front moves
across northern Utah Saturday evening.

Precipitation will likely concentrate behind the front across
northern Utah/southwest Wyoming in close proximity to the
stronger mid-level dynamic/thermal support with the passing upper
trough. Recent deterministic guidance has been fairly consistent
with a more easterly trajectory of the trough, so will keep the
bulk of the precipitation confined to the northern third of the
forecast area. Substantially lower snow levels will bring some
accumulating snows to the northern mountains, with rain or
rain/snow mixed across the higher northern valleys. Lower valleys
should remain as rain.

Pre-frontal winds associated with the advancing front could
become an issue for much of northern/western Utah Saturday
afternoon and evening. Post-frontal west winds will also come
into play across northwest Utah with the front strengthening as
it moves south and near 700mb westerly winds running between
35-45 knots Saturday night/early Sunday.

The aforementioned trough will continue to lift into the Great
Lakes region at the start of the extended period. At the same time
a trough off of the California coast will begin to slowly build
along the U.S. west coast. Models have come into better agreement
with this building ridge, with the EPS and GEFS essentially
meeting in the middle. Increasing 500 mb heights will result in
warmer, near seasonal temperatures on Monday. Heights and
temperatures will continue to increase for Tuesday and Wednesday
with high temperatures running around 5 degrees above average for
northern Utah and 10 degrees above average for southern Utah.

Westerly mid-level flow looks to continue into Thursday and Friday
of next week with the jet stream remaining north across the northern
Rockies. Some uncertainty exists in model solutions as some GEFS
members try to bring another, weaker trough just to our north
Thursday while a larger majority of guidance keeps it well north.
This will only have an impact on our temperatures, but the GEFS is
trending with fewer members showing this further south trough. For
now, NBM is showing a slight cool down Thur/Fri but suspect later
runs will trend warmer.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR conditions are expected at the SLC terminal during
the daytime hours with decreasing high clouds. Light but generally
southerly winds should become prevailing northwesterly by 18Z. Smoke
in the vicinity of the terminal will result in some reduction in
visibility, but visibility should remain above 6 SM.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...The unseasonably warm southwest flow aloft across
the Great Basin will persist through Saturday. A cold upper
level trough will advance east into the Pacific Northwest early
Saturday, then remain on a eastward trajectory through the
northern Rockies and northern Great Basin over the weekend.

Embedded weak weather disturbances in the southwest flow across
the region will bring periodic cloud cover with only a slight
chance of high-based convection through tonight. Winds will likely
increase as these disturbances pass through the area. These
somewhat elevated winds along with already low humidity could
generate pockets of critical fire weather conditions across west-
central through southwest Utah this afternoon.

Big temperature changes are expected later this weekend as a cold
Pacific storm system enters the Pacific Northwest early Saturday,
then continue east through the region over the weekend. Ahead of
this feature the surface cold front will advance into northwest
Utah Saturday afternoon, then sweep south into southern Utah by
Sunday morning. Critical fire weather conditions due to low
humidity and strong winds will likely develop Saturday afternoon,
and continue well into the evening ahead of the front, and briefly
behind the front prior to the development of precipitation. A
Fire Weather Watch will remain in effect for now, but will likely
be pushed up to a Red Flag Warning in many areas in subsequent
forecasts.

Much colder temperatures are expected behind the cold front
Sunday. Precipitation will likely lag back across northern Utah in
closer proximity to the upper level weather disturbance passing by
to the north of the state. Snow levels will drop enough to bring
snow to the northern mountains with rain or rain/snow mixed across
the higher northern valleys. Lower valleys will likely remain in
rain through this event. Wetting precipitation will be fairly
widespread through the mountains and adjacent valleys Saturday
night through Sunday.

&&

.SLC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
UT...Fire Weather Watch from Saturday afternoon through Saturday
     evening for UTZ478>484-488-492-493-495-496.

WY...Fire Weather Watch from Saturday afternoon through Saturday
     evening for WYZ277.

&&

UPDATE DISCUSSION/AVIATION...Merrill/Traphagan
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION/FIRE WEATHER...Conger/Burghardt

For more information from NOAA's National Weather Service visit...
http://weather.gov/saltlakecity

For frequently asked questions about the Area Forecast Discussion
visit...
http://weather.gov/saltlakecity/general/afd_faqs.php
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 9, 6:47 AM MDT, 7 hours 47 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
647 AM MDT Fri Oct 9 2020

UTZ001>016-019>021-517-518-WYZ021-101200-
Cache Valley/Utah Portion-Northern Wasatch Front-
Salt Lake and Tooele Valleys-Southern Wasatch Front-
Great Salt Lake Desert and Mountains-Wasatch Mountain Valleys-
Wasatch Mountains I-80 North-Wasatch Mountains South of I-80-
Western Uinta Mountains-Wasatch Plateau/Book Cliffs-
Western Uinta Basin-Castle Country-San Rafael Swell-
Sanpete/Sevier Valleys-West Central Utah-Southwest Utah-
Utahs Dixie and Zion National Park-South Central Utah-
Glen Canyon Recreation Area/Lake Powell-Central Mountains-
Southern Mountains-Southwest Wyoming-
647 AM MDT Fri Oct 9 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the western two thirds of
Utah and southwest Wyoming.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Unseasonably warm temperatures are expected again today.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

The unseasonably warm temperatures will persist through Saturday,
High temperatures will run 10 to 20 degrees above early October
norms.

A cold Pacific storm system will move east across the northern
Rockies and northern Great Basin during the latter half of the
weekend. A strong cold front will sweep south across the outlook
area Saturday afternoon through Sunday. Much colder air behind the
front will lower temperatures around 15 to 25 degrees, bringing
a more typical fall-like feel for Sunday and into early next week.

Gusty southerly winds will exist ahead of the cold front Saturday
afternoon and evening. These winds will remain quite strong out
of the west behind the frontal passage across portions of northern
Utah and southwest Wyoming Saturday evening.

Precipitation associated with this storm system will remain over
the northern half of the outlook area Saturday night through
Sunday. Lowering snow levels will bring some accumulating snows to
the northern mountains, with rain for the valley locations.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed. Please relay any information
about observed severe weather to the NWS while following all
local, state, and CDC guidelines.

For more information from NOAA/s National Weather Service visit...
http://weather.gov/saltlakecity

For information on potential road travel impacts visit...
http://www.udottraffic.utah.gov/roadweatherforecast.aspx

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Utah, 2020Every red flag warning in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.