Alert archive / Kansas / River Flood Warnings in 2020
River Flood Warning 91, NWS Springfield, MO
NWS Springfield, MO issued this river flood warning at May 25, 2020, 7:44 PM CDT for Bourbon County, Kansas. It took effect at May 26, 2020, 7:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 34 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 25, 2020, 7:44 PM CDT (00:44 UTC)
- In effect from
- May 26, 2020, 7:00 PM CDT
- Expired
- May 28, 2020, 4:39 AM CDT
- In force
- 34 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Springfield, MO
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
County Bourbon County, KS
The radar
The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 97 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Little Osage River at Fulton (FTNK1). The gauge peaked at 17.98 ft at May 27, 2020, 5:00 AM CDT.
- Action stage
- 20 ft
- Minor stage
- 22 ft
- Moderate stage
- 25 ft
- Major stage
- 30 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 06917000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
663
WGUS43 KSGF 260044
FLWSGF
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Springfield MO
744 PM CDT Mon May 25 2020
...The National Weather Service in Springfield has issued a Flood
Warning for the following rivers in Kansas...Missouri...
Little Osage River at Fulton affecting Bourbon County.
Little Osage River near Horton affecting Vernon County.
Osage River near Schell City affecting Bates and Vernon Counties.
Osage River at Taberville affecting St. Clair County.
.This warning is based on future forecast precipitation amounts of
one to one point five inches during the next 24 hours near the river basin(s).
If conditions warrant...additional rises or falls may occur based on
future precipitation and runoff.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Those with property and livestock along the river should continue to
monitor river conditions.Additional river information can be found on
our Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service page at
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/ index.php?wfo=sgf
&&
KSC011-261244-
/O.NEW.KSGF.FL.W.0091.200527T0148Z-200528T0939Z/
/FTNK1.1.ER.200527T0148Z.200527T0600Z.200527T0939Z.NO/
744 PM CDT Mon May 25 2020
...For the Little Osage River at Fulton...
* At 7:15 PM Monday The stage was 4.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by tomorrow
evening and continue to rise to near 23.4 feet by early Wednesday
morning. The river will fall below flood stage by Wednesday
morning.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...Minor flooding begins at the gage site.
Flood waters mainly affect farmland along the Little Osage River
Basin between the gage site and Highway 31 west of Fulton.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STAGE STAGE DAY TIME Tue Wed Thu
Little Osage River Basin
Fulton 22 4.3 Mon 07 PM 21.1 7.4 6.0
&&
LAT...LON 3798 9462 3799 9466 3799 9471 3801 9474
3801 9475 3803 9475 3802 9471 3801 9465
3800 9462
$$
MOC217-261244-
/O.NEW.KSGF.FL.W.0092.200526T2344Z-200531T0700Z/
/HTNM7.1.ER.200526T2344Z.200528T1800Z.200530T0700Z.NO/
744 PM CDT Mon May 25 2020
...For the Little Osage River near Horton...
* At 6:45 PM Monday The stage was 37.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 41.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by tomorrow
evening and continue to rise to near 43.3 feet by Thursday early
afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage by early Saturday
morning.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STAGE STAGE DAY TIME Tue Wed Thu
Little Osage River Basin
Horton 41 37.0 Mon 07 PM 42.6 43.2 42.6
&&
LAT...LON 3800 9441 3802 9431 3799 9431 3793 9436
3796 9444 3796 9451 3796 9458 3798 9462
3800 9462 3800 9452
$$
MOC013-217-261244-
/O.NEW.KSGF.FL.W.0093.200529T1200Z-200531T0300Z/
/SCZM7.1.ER.200529T1200Z.200529T1800Z.200530T0300Z.NO/
744 PM CDT Mon May 25 2020
...For the Osage River near Schell City...
* At 6:45 PM Monday The stage was 23.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Friday morning
and continue to rise to near 30.1 feet by Friday early afternoon.
The river will fall below flood stage by Friday before midnight.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet...Flood waters affect the Schell Osage
Conservation Area, the Old River Road North of Schell City and Lost
Creek west of Schell Lake. Flood waters overflow the main river
channel at the gage site.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STAGE STAGE DAY TIME Tue Wed Thu
Osage River Basin
Schell City 30 23.1 Mon 07 PM 26.2 29.0 30.0
&&
LAT...LON 3808 9418 3807 9413 3806 9406 3799 9406
3801 9415 3801 9425 3797 9432 3801 9431
3805 9427 3807 9423
$$
MOC185-261244-
/O.NEW.KSGF.FL.W.0094.200529T0430Z-200602T0730Z/
/TBVM7.1.ER.200529T0430Z.200530T1800Z.200601T0730Z.UU/
744 PM CDT Mon May 25 2020
...For the Osage River at Taberville...
* At 6:45 PM Monday The stage was 18.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Thursday before
midnight and continue to rise to near 24.4 feet by Saturday early
afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage by early Monday
morning.
* Impact...At 23.3 feet...The handicapped access to the Osage River
launch area floods.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STAGE STAGE DAY TIME Tue Wed Thu
Osage River Basin
Taberville 23 18.2 Mon 07 PM 20.3 21.8 23.5
&&
LAT...LON 3803 9383 3799 9379 3797 9381 3798 9389
3798 9398 3799 9406 3805 9406 3803 9400
3802 9390
$$3 follow-up statements
270
WGUS83 KSGF 260726
FLSSGF
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
226 AM CDT Tue May 26 2020
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Kansas...
Missouri...
Little Osage River at Fulton affecting Bourbon County
Little Osage River near Horton affecting Vernon County
Marmaton River near Nevada affecting Vernon County
Osage River near Schell City affecting Bates and Vernon Counties
Osage River at Taberville affecting St. Clair County
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Missouri...
Sac River near Caplinger Mills affecting Cedar County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will
carry most vehicles away.
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for updates or local media for
updates.
Additional river information can be found on our Advanced Hydrologic
Prediction Service page at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/
index.php?wfo=sgf
&&
KSC011-262226-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0091.200526T1656Z-200528T0741Z/
/FTNK1.1.ER.200526T1656Z.200527T0000Z.200527T0741Z.NO/
226 AM CDT Tue May 26 2020
...For the Little Osage River at Fulton...
* At 2:16 AM Tuesday The stage was 5.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by late this morning and continue
to rise to near 24.3 feet by this evening. The river will fall
below flood stage by around midnight.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Moderate flooding begins at the gage site.
Farmland at the gage site becomes covered by flood waters, and
Highway 31, east of town becomes flooded. Highway 31, four miles
west of Fulton has flood waters four to six feet in depth.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STAGE STAGE DAY TIME Tue Wed Thu
Little Osage River Basin
Fulton 22 5.6 Tue 02 AM 17.3 19.2 7.6
&&
LAT...LON 3798 9462 3799 9466 3799 9471 3801 9474
3801 9475 3803 9475 3802 9471 3801 9465
3800 9462
$$
MOC217-262226-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0092.200526T1407Z-200531T1251Z/
/HTNM7.1.ER.200526T1407Z.200528T0000Z.200530T1251Z.NO/
226 AM CDT Tue May 26 2020
...For the Little Osage River near Horton...
* At 1:45 AM Tuesday The stage was 37.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 41.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by late this morning and continue
to rise to near 44.2 feet by tomorrow evening. The river will fall
below flood stage by Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 45.0 feet...Moderate flooding begins at the gage site.
Low lying areas along Route D near Stotesbury flood.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STAGE STAGE DAY TIME Tue Wed Thu
Little Osage River Basin
Horton 41 37.5 Tue 02 AM 40.4 44.0 44.2
&&
LAT...LON 3800 9441 3802 9431 3799 9431 3793 9436
3796 9444 3796 9451 3796 9458 3798 9462
3800 9462 3800 9452
$$
MOC217-262226-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-200531T0200Z/
/NVDM7.1.ER.200523T0723Z.200527T1800Z.200530T0200Z.NO/
226 AM CDT Tue May 26 2020
...For the Marmaton River near Nevada...
* At 1:45 AM Tuesday The stage was 21.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 25.3 feet by
tomorrow early afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage
Friday before midnight.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet...Moderate flooding occurs at the gage site.
Flood waters affect the Old U.S. Highway 71 Bridge North of Nevada
and the south bound lane of Highway 71 near the junction of Douglas
Branch and the Marmaton River.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STAGE STAGE DAY TIME Tue Wed Thu
Marmaton River Basin
Nevada 20 21.2 Tue 02 AM 21.5 24.9 24.8
&&
LAT...LON 3789 9447 3794 9439 3797 9435 3799 9431
3794 9432 3784 9440 3784 9452 3784 9461
3787 9461
$$
MOC013-217-262226-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0093.200527T1930Z-000000T0000Z/
/SCZM7.1.ER.200527T1930Z.200529T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
226 AM CDT Tue May 26 2020
...For the Osage River near Schell City...
* At 1:45 AM Tuesday The stage was 23.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow early afternoon and
continue to rise to near 31.0 feet by Thursday evening.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet...Flood waters impact low lying areas west of
Schell City. County roads west and north of Route M become
flooded. The Four River Conservation Area 10 miles west of Schell
City floods.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STAGE STAGE DAY TIME Tue Wed Thu
Osage River Basin
Schell City 30 23.6 Tue 02 AM 25.1 29.2 30.8
&&
LAT...LON 3808 9418 3807 9413 3806 9406 3799 9406
3801 9415 3801 9425 3797 9432 3801 9431
3805 9427 3807 9423
$$
MOC185-262226-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0094.200528T0000Z-200602T0000Z/
/TBVM7.1.ER.200528T0000Z.200530T0000Z.200601T0000Z.UU/
226 AM CDT Tue May 26 2020
...For the Osage River at Taberville...
* At 1:45 AM Tuesday The stage was 18.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by tomorrow evening and continue
to rise to near 24.0 feet by Friday evening. The river will fall
below flood stage by Sunday evening.
* Impact...At 23.3 feet...The handicapped access to the Osage River
launch area floods.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STAGE STAGE DAY TIME Tue Wed Thu
Osage River Basin
Taberville 23 18.6 Tue 02 AM 19.9 22.2 23.5
&&
LAT...LON 3803 9383 3799 9379 3797 9381 3798 9389
3798 9398 3799 9406 3805 9406 3803 9400
3802 9390
$$
MOC039-262226-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-200529T1342Z/
/CMZM7.1.ER.200524T0845Z.200527T1200Z.200528T1342Z.NO/
226 AM CDT Tue May 26 2020
...For the Sac River near Caplinger Mills...
* At 1:45 AM Tuesday The stage was 15.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by early this morning and
continue to rise to near 18.7 feet by tomorrow morning. The river
will fall below flood stage by Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Moderate Flood Stage. Flood waters reach
approximately three feet in depth at the Caplinger Mills
Campground.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STAGE STAGE DAY TIME Tue Wed Thu
Sac River Basin
Caplinger Mills 16 15.7 Tue 02 AM 16.3 18.7 16.4
&&
LAT...LON 3785 9382 3774 9374 3770 9374 3770 9377
3772 9377 3773 9380 3779 9382 3781 9385
3785 9384
$$567
WGUS83 KSGF 261354
FLSSGF
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
854 AM CDT Tue May 26 2020
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Kansas...
Missouri...
Little Osage River at Fulton affecting Bourbon County
Little Osage River near Horton affecting Vernon County
Marmaton River near Nevada affecting Vernon County
Osage River near Schell City affecting Bates and Vernon Counties
Sac River near Caplinger Mills affecting Cedar County
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Missouri...
Osage River at Taberville affecting St. Clair County
.Heavy rainfall over the last few days will cause river levels to
rise above flood stage.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will
carry most vehicles away.
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for updates or local media for
updates.
Additional river information can be found on our Advanced Hydrologic
Prediction Service page at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/
index.php?wfo=sgf
&&
MOC039-270454-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-200529T0748Z/
/CMZM7.2.ER.200524T0845Z.200526T1345Z.200528T0748Z.NO/
854 AM CDT Tue May 26 2020
...For the Sac River near Caplinger Mills...
* At 8:45 AM Tuesday The stage was 19.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is near crest and will continue to fall to below
flood stage by early Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Flood waters affect low lying areas near the
river including farmland along Highway N and between Highway W and
Caplinger Mills. Cedar Creek...a tributary of the Sac River
backwaters and floods portions of Highway 39 and south of Cedar
Springs.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STAGE STAGE DAY TIME Wed Thu Fri
Sac River Basin
Caplinger Mills 16 19.5 Tue 09 AM 17.9 15.3 14.5
&&
LAT...LON 3785 9382 3774 9374 3770 9374 3770 9377
3772 9377 3773 9380 3779 9382 3781 9385
3785 9384
$$
KSC011-270454-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0091.200527T0000Z-200528T0000Z/
/FTNK1.1.ER.200527T0000Z.200527T0000Z.200527T0000Z.NO/
854 AM CDT Tue May 26 2020
...For the Little Osage River at Fulton...
* At 8:31 AM Tuesday The stage was 13.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage this
evening.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...Minor flooding begins at the gage site.
Flood waters mainly affect farmland along the Little Osage River
Basin between the gage site and Highway 31 west of Fulton.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STAGE STAGE DAY TIME Wed Thu Fri
Little Osage River Basin
Fulton 22 13.3 Tue 09 AM 13.9 7.3 5.9
&&
LAT...LON 3798 9462 3799 9466 3799 9471 3801 9474
3801 9475 3803 9475 3802 9471 3801 9465
3800 9462
$$
MOC217-270454-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0092.200526T1351Z-200531T1251Z/
/HTNM7.1.ER.200526T1333Z.200528T0000Z.200530T1251Z.NO/
854 AM CDT Tue May 26 2020
...For the Little Osage River near Horton...
* At 8:45 AM Tuesday The stage was 41.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 41.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 44.2 feet by
tomorrow evening. The river will fall below flood stage Saturday
morning.
* Impact...At 45.0 feet...Moderate flooding begins at the gage site.
Low lying areas along Route D near Stotesbury flood.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STAGE STAGE DAY TIME Wed Thu Fri
Little Osage River Basin
Horton 41 41.1 Tue 09 AM 43.9 44.2 43.5
&&
LAT...LON 3800 9441 3802 9431 3799 9431 3793 9436
3796 9444 3796 9451 3796 9458 3798 9462
3800 9462 3800 9452
$$
MOC217-270454-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-200531T1000Z/
/NVDM7.1.ER.200523T0723Z.200528T0000Z.200530T1000Z.NO/
854 AM CDT Tue May 26 2020
...For the Marmaton River near Nevada...
* At 8:45 AM Tuesday The stage was 21.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 24.1 feet by
tomorrow evening. The river will fall below flood stage Saturday
morning.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet...The county road west of the gage, Minnie
Ball Road, is impassable.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STAGE STAGE DAY TIME Wed Thu Fri
Marmaton River Basin
Nevada 20 21.6 Tue 09 AM 23.8 24.0 22.3
&&
LAT...LON 3789 9447 3794 9439 3797 9435 3799 9431
3794 9432 3784 9440 3784 9452 3784 9461
3787 9461
$$
MOC013-217-270454-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0093.200527T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/SCZM7.1.ER.200527T1800Z.200529T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
854 AM CDT Tue May 26 2020
...For the Osage River near Schell City...
* At 8:45 AM Tuesday The stage was 26.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow early afternoon and
continue to rise to near 31.0 feet by Thursday evening.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet...Flood waters impact low lying areas west of
Schell City. County roads west and north of Route M become
flooded. The Four River Conservation Area 10 miles west of Schell
City floods.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STAGE STAGE DAY TIME Wed Thu Fri
Osage River Basin
Schell City 30 26.2 Tue 09 AM 29.4 30.8 30.9
&&
LAT...LON 3808 9418 3807 9413 3806 9406 3799 9406
3801 9415 3801 9425 3797 9432 3801 9431
3805 9427 3807 9423
$$
MOC185-270454-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0094.200528T0000Z-200602T0000Z/
/TBVM7.1.ER.200528T0000Z.200530T0000Z.200601T0000Z.UU/
854 AM CDT Tue May 26 2020
...For the Osage River at Taberville...
* At 7:45 AM Tuesday The stage was 20.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by tomorrow evening and continue
to rise to near 24.0 feet by Friday evening. The river will fall
below flood stage by Sunday evening.
* Impact...At 23.3 feet...The handicapped access to the Osage River
launch area floods.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STAGE STAGE DAY TIME Wed Thu Fri
Osage River Basin
Taberville 23 20.7 Tue 08 AM 22.5 23.4 23.8
&&
LAT...LON 3803 9383 3799 9379 3797 9381 3798 9389
3798 9398 3799 9406 3805 9406 3803 9400
3802 9390
$$714
WGUS83 KSGF 261842
FLSSGF
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
142 PM CDT Tue May 26 2020
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in
Kansas...
Little Osage River at Fulton affecting Bourbon County
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Missouri...
Little Osage River near Horton affecting Vernon County
Marmaton River near Nevada affecting Vernon County
Osage River near Schell City affecting Bates and Vernon Counties
Sac River near Caplinger Mills affecting Cedar County
Osage River at Taberville affecting St. Clair County
.River levels are still rising due to runoff from heavy rainfall
last night into earlier this morning.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will
carry most vehicles away.
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for updates or local media for
updates.
Additional river information can be found on our Advanced Hydrologic
Prediction Service page at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/
index.php?wfo=sgf
&&
MOC039-270941-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-200528T1200Z/
/CMZM7.2.ER.200524T0845Z.200526T1545Z.200527T1200Z.NO/
142 PM CDT Tue May 26 2020
...For the Sac River near Caplinger Mills...
* At 12:45 PM Tuesday The stage was 19.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river has crested and will continue to fall to below
flood stage by tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Flood waters affect low lying areas near the
river including farmland along Highway N and between Highway W and
Caplinger Mills. Cedar Creek...a tributary of the Sac River
backwaters and floods portions of Highway 39 and south of Cedar
Springs.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STAGE STAGE DAY TIME Wed Thu Fri
Sac River Basin
Caplinger Mills 16 19.6 Tue 01 PM 16.0 12.1 11.9
&&
LAT...LON 3785 9382 3774 9374 3770 9374 3770 9377
3772 9377 3773 9380 3779 9382 3781 9385
3785 9384
$$
MOC217-270941-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0092.000000T0000Z-200530T2230Z/
/HTNM7.1.ER.200526T1333Z.200528T1200Z.200529T2230Z.NO/
142 PM CDT Tue May 26 2020
...For the Little Osage River near Horton...
* At 12:45 PM Tuesday The stage was 41.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 41.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 42.9 feet by
Thursday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Friday
afternoon.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STAGE STAGE DAY TIME Wed Thu Fri
Little Osage River Basin
Horton 41 41.7 Tue 01 PM 42.6 42.9 41.6
&&
LAT...LON 3800 9441 3802 9431 3799 9431 3793 9436
3796 9444 3796 9451 3796 9458 3798 9462
3800 9462 3800 9452
$$
KSC011-261912-
/O.CAN.KSGF.FL.W.0091.000000T0000Z-200528T0000Z/
/FTNK1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
142 PM CDT Tue May 26 2020
The Flood Warning has been cancelled for:
The Little Osage River at Fulton.
* At 12:15 PM Tuesday The stage was 14.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river crested below flood stage at 14.3 feet. The
river will fall to 7.6 feet by tomorrow morning.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STAGE STAGE DAY TIME Wed Thu Fri
Little Osage River Basin
Fulton 22 14.2 Tue 12 PM 7.6 7.1 5.8
&&
LAT...LON 3798 9462 3799 9466 3799 9471 3801 9474
3801 9475 3803 9475 3802 9471 3801 9465
3800 9462
$$
MOC217-270941-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-200531T0730Z/
/NVDM7.1.ER.200523T0723Z.200528T0000Z.200530T0730Z.NO/
142 PM CDT Tue May 26 2020
...For the Marmaton River near Nevada...
* At 12:45 PM Tuesday The stage was 21.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 23.4 feet by
tomorrow evening. The river will fall below flood stage early
Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet...The county road west of the gage, Minnie
Ball Road, is impassable.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STAGE STAGE DAY TIME Wed Thu Fri
Marmaton River Basin
Nevada 20 21.8 Tue 01 PM 23.1 23.3 22.3
&&
LAT...LON 3789 9447 3794 9439 3797 9435 3799 9431
3794 9432 3784 9440 3784 9452 3784 9461
3787 9461
$$
MOC013-217-270941-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0093.200529T0900Z-200531T1912Z/
/SCZM7.1.ER.200529T0900Z.200530T0600Z.200530T1912Z.NO/
142 PM CDT Tue May 26 2020
...For the Osage River near Schell City...
* At 12:45 PM Tuesday The stage was 26.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by Friday morning and continue to
rise to near 30.3 feet by early Saturday morning. The river will
fall below flood stage by Saturday early afternoon.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet...Flood waters affect the Schell Osage
Conservation Area, the Old River Road North of Schell City and Lost
Creek west of Schell Lake. Flood waters overflow the main river
channel at the gage site.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STAGE STAGE DAY TIME Wed Thu Fri
Osage River Basin
Schell City 30 26.7 Tue 01 PM 28.2 29.2 30.1
&&
LAT...LON 3808 9418 3807 9413 3806 9406 3799 9406
3801 9415 3801 9425 3797 9432 3801 9431
3805 9427 3807 9423
$$
MOC185-270941-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0094.200528T0000Z-200602T0000Z/
/TBVM7.1.ER.200528T0000Z.200530T0000Z.200601T0000Z.UU/
142 PM CDT Tue May 26 2020
...For the Osage River at Taberville...
* At 12:45 PM Tuesday The stage was 21.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by tomorrow evening and continue
to rise to near 24.0 feet by Friday evening. The river will fall
below flood stage by Sunday evening.
* Impact...At 23.3 feet...The handicapped access to the Osage River
launch area floods.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STAGE STAGE DAY TIME Wed Thu Fri
Osage River Basin
Taberville 23 21.5 Tue 01 PM 22.5 23.4 23.8
&&
LAT...LON 3803 9383 3799 9379 3797 9381 3798 9389
3798 9398 3799 9406 3805 9406 3803 9400
3802 9390
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at May 25, 6:56 PM CDT, 48 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 25, 6:56 PM CDT, 48 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
656 PM CDT Mon May 25 2020
.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 218 PM CDT Mon May 25 2020
The active weather pattern will continue as a deep upper level
trough slowly moves east across the Plains. Scattered to numerous
showers and thunderstorms are already ongoing across the region
this afternoon. Cells across the eastern Ozarks are more pulsed in
nature as deep layer shear is weaker. Storms closer to the
Highway 65 corridor have shown a little more organization with
even some brief mid-level rotation. Locally gusty winds will
remain possible with storms across the region through sunset.
As we get into later this evening and the overnight period, short
wave energy will move north across eastern Oklahoma and into
eastern Kansas. We have become increasingly concerned about flash
flooding potential from later this afternoon through tonight.
Southeastern Kansas and western Missouri will be positioned
beneath the right-entrance region of an upper level jet.
Meanwhile, a low-level jet will nose into the region resulting in
deep trophospheric ascent. With PWATs near (or even above) daily
record maximums, heavy rainfall rates are expected. Given
antecedent wet ground conditions, excessive runoff is expected
with an attendant flash flooding threat.
We are expecting a swath of 1-3" rainfall through tonight across
western Missouri and southeastern Kansas. Locally higher amounts
are possible. We went ahead and expanded the Flash Flood Watch to
the north and also the east earlier today. While the eastern
extent of the watch area may not see as widespread of heavy
rainfall, rates will still be high and this is one of our most
sensitive areas (headwaters region).
Another scenario to watch closely tonight is the potential for
low-top supercells, with an attendant risk for an isolated
tornado. Given the high moisture content in the lower atmosphere
and the approaching short wave energy, short term models indicate
only a weak nocturnal inversion with little capping to surface-
based parcels. With 0-6 km bulk shear magnitudes between 30 and 40
knots generally near and west of the U.S. 65 corridor, there will
be the potential for rotating storms. As the 850 mb jet
strengthens above increasingly backed surface winds, an isolated
tornado is not out of the question.
As we head into Tuesday, we will likely be dealing with the
remnants of overnight activity, especially across central Missouri
and perhaps the eastern Ozarks. Showers and thunderstorms will
then remain possible throughout the day as upper level energy
closes off in the Red River Valley region with a trough axis
extending north of this feature through the central Plains. High
temperatures on Tuesday should be a bit cooler than today with
expected cloud cover and precipitation. We went near the model
50th percentile with highs ranging from the middle 70s over
southeastern Kansas and western Missouri to around 80 degrees over
the eastern Ozarks.
.LONG TERM...(Tuesday Night through Monday)
Issued at 218 PM CDT Mon May 25 2020
That upper low will slowly migrate east into the Ozarks by
Wednesday with high model and ensemble consensus that it will then
stall over the region Wednesday night and Thursday. This low will
then finally get picked up by the westerlies as we get into
Thursday night and Friday.
Prospects for showers and thunderstorms therefore look high
through Friday. The National Blend of Models and GEFS plumes
continue to indicate an additional 1-2.5" of rainfall (on top of
what we see through tonight). This will lead to a continued threat
for flooding. Temperatures will remain near or slightly below
normal through the end of the work week.
Model consensus then remains high regarding a northwest flow
setting up over the region next weekend with a ridge then building
up over the central U.S. early next week. This regime will support
much needed dry weather. Temperatures will start off slightly
below normal this weekend before returning to near normal values
early next week.
&&
.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Tuesday evening)
Issued at 644 PM CDT Mon May 25 2020
Shower and thunderstorm activity will increase this evening into
tonight as a thunderstorm complex currently over eastern OK and
western AR moves across the area. Greatest coverage will be at
KJLN closer to the center of the projected track of the complex.
Showers and storms will then decrease in coverage later tonight
into Tuesday. Confidence is good into the early to mid overnight
hours tonight, then drops off to low confidence
&&
.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...Flash Flood Watch through Tuesday morning for MOZ066>068-077>080-
088>096-101>105.
KS...Flash Flood Watch through Tuesday morning for KSZ073-097-101.
&&
SHORT TERM...Schaumann
LONG TERM...Schaumann
AVIATION...TitusHazardous weather outlook, May 25, 11:52 AM CDT, 7 hours 52 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Springfield MO 1152 AM CDT Mon May 25 2020 KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-261700- Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon- St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas- Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton- Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone- Taney-Ozark-Oregon- 1152 AM CDT Mon May 25 2020 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight. Weather hazards expected... Limited tornado risk. Limited thunderstorm wind damage risk. Elevated flooding risk. Elevated lightning risk. DISCUSSION... Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will continue through tonight with the greatest coverage of storms occurring over western Missouri and southeastern Kansas. There is a low end threat for localized wind damage with a few storms. Additionally, there is a limited risk for an isolated tornado from late this evening into the overnight period. Showers and thunderstorms will also produce heavy rainfall through tonight. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are expected across western Missouri and southeastern Kansas, with locally higher amounts possible. This will lead to a risk for flash flooding of creeks, streams, and low water crossings. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. Additional showers and thunderstorms can be expected from Tuesday through Friday continuing the threat for heavy rainfall and flooding potential. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed from late this evening into the overnight period. && More detailed information can be accessed at: http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep This product in graphical format...along with other weather... hydrological and climate information...at http://www.weather.gov/sgf Schaumann
In the hours before
Special weather statement, May 25, 1:57 PM CDT, 5 hours 47 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
157 PM CDT Mon May 25 2020
MOZ055-056-251930-
Benton MO-Morgan MO-
157 PM CDT Mon May 25 2020
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN BENTON AND
NORTHWESTERN MORGAN COUNTIES UNTIL 230 PM CDT...
At 156 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Stover, or 11 miles west of Versailles, moving north at 25 mph.
Penny size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.
Locations impacted include...
Stover... Syracuse...
Crockerville... Florence...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
&&
LAT...LON 3868 9284 3863 9284 3834 9295 3833 9311
3853 9312 3853 9307 3855 9306 3869 9306
TIME...MOT...LOC 1856Z 191DEG 22KT 3837 9304
RothsteinLocal storm report, May 25, 3:43 PM CDT, 4 hours 1 minute before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
343 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2020
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0342 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 S HIGHLANDVILLE 36.92N 93.28W
05/25/2020 M1.50 INCH CHRISTIAN MO PUBLIC
SINCE MIDNIGHT.
&&
ANGLELocal storm report, May 25, 3:57 PM CDT, 3 hours 47 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
357 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2020
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0342 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 S HIGHLANDVILLE 36.92N 93.28W
05/25/2020 M1.50 INCH CHRISTIAN MO PUBLIC
CORRECTS TIMING OF HEAVY RAIN REPORT. 1.50
INCHES SINCE 3 PM. 2.10 INCHES SINCE
MIDNIGHT.
&&
ANGLEThe office that day
Everything else NWS Springfield, MO issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 9:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Cherokee | 59 min |
| May 26, 3:59 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | SGF | Bourbon, Cherokee, Crawford | 8 hr |
| May 26, 12:00 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | SGF | Bourbon, Cherokee, Crawford | 23 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Kansas, 2020Every river flood warning in 2020
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.