Alert archive / Washington / River Flood Warnings in 2020

River Flood Warning 13, NWS Seattle, WA

January 7, 2020Snohomish County, Washington

NWS Seattle, WA issued this river flood warning at Jan 7, 2020, 6:34 AM PST for Snohomish County, Washington. It took effect at Jan 7, 2020, 7:38 AM PST. It was in force for 22 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 7, 2020, 6:34 AM PST (14:34 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 7, 2020, 7:38 AM PST
Expired
Jan 8, 2020, 5:33 AM PST
In force
22 hr
Issued by
NWS Seattle, WA
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Snohomish County, WA

The radar

The Seattle radar (KATX), 48 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point North Fork Stillaguamish River near Arlington (ARGW1).

Action stage
10.7 ft
Minor stage
13 ft
Moderate stage
14 ft
Major stage
15 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 12167000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

487 
WGUS46 KSEW 071434
FLWSEW
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Seattle WA
634 AM PST Tue Jan 7 2020

...The National Weather Service in Seattle has issued a flood warning
for the following rivers in Washington...

  North Fork Stillaguamish River Near Arlington affecting Snohomish 
  County
  Pilchuck River Near Snohomish affecting Snohomish County

Heavy rain in the central Cascades Monday night into Tuesday morning
will cause the North Fork of the Stillaguamish and the Pilchuck River
near Snohomish in Snohomish county to go over flood stage this morning.
The rivers will begin receding this afternoon and fall back below
flood stage late this afternoon or tonight.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars...vans...or trucks through flooded areas...this is 
the cause of most flood related deaths in Washington. Be alert for 
rapid changes and monitor developments by listening to NOAA Weather 
radio or other local media.

&&

WAC061-072335-
/O.NEW.KSEW.FL.W.0013.200107T1538Z-200108T1333Z/
/ARGW1.1.ER.200107T1538Z.200107T1800Z.200108T0433Z.NO/
634 AM PST Tue Jan 7 2020

The National Weather Service in Seattle has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The North Fork Stillaguamish River Near Arlington
* until late tonight.
* At  6:15 AM Tuesday the stage was 12.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage around 8 AM 
  Tuesday and crest near 13.8 feet around 10 AM Tuesday. The river 
  will fall below flood stage tonight.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet, the North Fork Stillaguamish River will cause
  flooding of Oso Loop Road and cause minor riverbank erosion.  A 
  stage of 13 feet corresponds to Phase 2 in the Snohomish County 
  Flood Warning System.

&&

LAT...LON 4822 12164 4822 12191 4816 12211 4824 12214 4833 12193
      4833 12164       

$$

WAC061-072335-
/O.NEW.KSEW.FL.W.0014.200107T1751Z-200108T0815Z/
/PILW1.1.ER.200107T1751Z.200107T2100Z.200107T2315Z.NO/
634 AM PST Tue Jan 7 2020

The National Weather Service in Seattle has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Pilchuck River Near Snohomish
* from this morning to late tonight.
* At  6:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 16.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage around 10 AM 
  Tuesday and crest near 18.3 feet around 1 PM Tuesday. The river 
  will fall below flood stage late this afternoon.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, the Pilchuck River spills out of its banks...
  flooding residences and roads in low lying areas along the river 
  from Granite Falls downstream through the Lake Stevens area and 
  Snohomish. This includes areas around Sexton Rd. and Orchard Ave in
  Snohomish.

&&

LAT...LON 4805 12192 4803 12196 4789 12204 4792 12216 4810 12207
      4815 12197       

$$
2 follow-up statements
445 
WGUS86 KSEW 071752
FLSSEW
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Seattle WA
952 AM PST Tue Jan 7 2020

...The Flood Warning has ended for the following rivers in 
Washington...

  South Fork Stillaguamish River Near Granite Falls affecting 
  Snohomish County
  Pilchuck River Near Snohomish affecting Snohomish County

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Washington...

  Skokomish River At Potlatch affecting Mason County
  Satsop River Near Satsop affecting Grays Harbor County
  North Fork Stillaguamish River Near Arlington affecting Snohomish 
  County
  Stillaguamish River At Arlington affecting Snohomish County
  Skykomish River Near Gold Bar affecting Snohomish County
  Tolt River Above Carnation affecting King County
  Snoqualmie River Near Snoqualmie Falls affecting King County
  Snoqualmie River Near Carnation affecting King County
  Skookumchuck River Near Bucoda affecting Thurston County
  Newaukum River Near Chehalis affecting Lewis County
  Chehalis River Above Grand Mound affecting Grays Harbor and Thurston
  Counties
  Chehalis River At Porter affecting Grays Harbor County
  Bogachiel River Near La Push affecting Clallam County
  Samish River At Burlington affecting Skagit County

                North West Region

Light to moderate rain will continue off and on today. Previous 
heavy rain continues to drive many rivers upward though a few have 
crested this morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars...vans...or trucks through flooded areas...this is 
the cause of most flood related deaths in Washington. Be alert for 
rapid changes and monitor developments by listening to NOAA Weather 
radio or other local media.


&&

WAC009-080251-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-200108T0524Z/
/BOGW1.1.ER.200107T1435Z.200107T1630Z.200107T2024Z.NO/
952 AM PST Tue Jan 7 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Bogachiel River Near La Push
* Until this evening.
* At  8:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 37.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 37.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river crested at 37.4 feet at 8 AM Tuesday and will 
  continue to fall to below flood stage early this afternoon.
* Impact...At 37.0 feet, the Bogachiel River will cause flooding of 
  State Highway 110 near the Bogachiel bridge...closing the road.

&&

LAT...LON 4789 12440 4789 12453 4789 12463 4795 12467 4796 12455
      4798 12443       

$$

WAC045-080251-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SRPW1.2.ER.200106T2003Z.200107T1515Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
952 AM PST Tue Jan 7 2020

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Skokomish River At Potlatch
* Until further notice.
* At  9:15 AM Tuesday the stage was 17.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.5 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is cresting now at 17.72 feet and will remain
  around 17.5 feet until tomorrow morning before beginning to fall. 
  Further rises are possible by the end of the week.
* Impact...At 17.5 feet, the Skokomish River will cause moderate 
  flooding, with deep and quick flood waters inundating some 
  residential areas, many roads, and much of the farm land in the 
  Skokomish Valley. Inundated roads include the Skokomish Valley 
  road, Bourgault Road West, Purdy Cutoff Road, and Highway 106.

&&

LAT...LON 4744 12326 4733 12321 4736 12317 4733 12308 4721 12321
      4738 12340       

$$

WAC027-080251-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-200108T1654Z/
/SATW1.1.ER.200107T1224Z.200107T1615Z.200108T0754Z.NO/
952 AM PST Tue Jan 7 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Satsop River Near Satsop
* Until Wednesday morning.
* At  8:15 AM Tuesday the stage was 38.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 38.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise a few more hours cresting around at
  39 feet  and will then begin to fall to fall to below flood 
  stage tonight.
* Impact...At 38.0 feet, the Satsop River will flood low pasture lands
  and some roads along the river.

&&

LAT...LON 4696 12345 4696 12354 4702 12354 4708 12354 4708 12345
      4702 12345       

$$

WAC057-080251-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-200108T0709Z/
/SMRW1.1.ER.200107T1719Z.200107T1800Z.200107T2209Z.NO/
952 AM PST Tue Jan 7 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Samish River At Burlington
* From 9 AM Tuesday until this evening.
* At  8:00 AM Tuesday the flow was 2653 cfs.
* Flood flow is 3000 cfs.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood flow around 10 AM
  Tuesday and crest near 3174 cfs around 11 AM Tuesday. The river
  will fall below flood flow early this afternoon.
* Impact...At 3000 cfs, the Samish River will spill over its banks 
  causing flood waters over Sam Bell Rd., Farm To Market Rd., and 
  Allen Rd. near the town of Allen. Some residences, businesses, and 
  low-lying farm land along the river will also be flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 4851 12233 4850 12241 4856 12248 4858 12244 4853 12238
      4856 12234       

$$

WAC061-080251-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-200108T1444Z/
/ARGW1.1.ER.200107T1450Z.200107T1800Z.200108T0544Z.NO/
952 AM PST Tue Jan 7 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The North Fork Stillaguamish River Near Arlington
* Until Wednesday morning.
* At  9:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 13.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to rise and crest near 14.0 feet
  around 10 AM Tuesday, close to moderate stage. The river will fall 
  below flood stage tonight.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet, the North Fork Stillaguamish River will cause
  flooding of Oso Loop Road and cause minor riverbank erosion.  A 
  stage of 13 feet corresponds to Phase 2 in the Snohomish County 
  Flood Warning System.

&&

LAT...LON 4822 12164 4822 12191 4816 12211 4824 12214 4833 12193
      4833 12164       

$$

WAC061-071822-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-200108T0521Z/
/GFLW1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
952 AM PST Tue Jan 7 2020

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The South Fork Stillaguamish River Near Granite Falls
* At  9:15 AM Tuesday the stage was 12.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river crest just below flood stage at 13.86 feet
  at 5:15 this morning and will continue to fall.


&&

LAT...LON 4806 12191 4808 12204 4816 12211 4824 12214 4816 12202
      4815 12192       

$$

WAC061-080251-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-200109T0109Z/
/ARLW1.1.ER.200107T1203Z.200108T0000Z.200108T1309Z.NO/
952 AM PST Tue Jan 7 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Stillaguamish River At Arlington
* Until Wednesday afternoon.
* At  9:10 AM Tuesday the stage was 16.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to rise and crest near 17.5 feet
  around 4 PM Tuesday, near moderate stage. The river will fall 
  below flood stage Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, the Stillaguamish River will cause flooding 
  mainly in the Silvana area, along Norman Road and in Florence. A 
  stage of 17 feet on the Stillaguamish River corresponds roughly to 
  Phase 3 in the Snohomish County Flood program.

&&

LAT...LON 4816 12211 4817 12223 4816 12237 4826 12240 4823 12224
      4824 12214       

$$

WAC061-080251-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-200108T1320Z/
/GLBW1.1.ER.200107T1225Z.200107T1630Z.200108T0120Z.NO/
952 AM PST Tue Jan 7 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Skykomish River Near Gold Bar
* Until late tonight.
* At  8:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 15.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river crested at 15.3 feet at 8 AM Tuesday and will 
  continue to fall to below flood stage this evening.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, the Skykomish River will cause minor flooding
  of low pasture lands and low lying roads...including Index-Galena 
  Rd and Tualco Loop Rd.  A stage of 15 feet on the Skykomish River 
  corresponds to a Phase 2 in the Snohomish County flood program.

&&

LAT...LON 4774 12150 4780 12173 4780 12196 4793 12197 4794 12169
      4787 12147       

$$

WAC061-071822-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-200108T0815Z/
/PILW1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
952 AM PST Tue Jan 7 2020

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Pilchuck River Near Snohomish
* At  9:15 AM Tuesday the stage was 17.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river crested below just flood stage at 17.3 feet
  and will continue to fall.

&&

LAT...LON 4805 12192 4803 12196 4789 12204 4792 12216 4810 12207
      4815 12197       

$$

WAC033-080251-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-200108T0719Z/
/TOLW1.1.ER.200107T1101Z.200107T1800Z.200107T2219Z.NO/
952 AM PST Tue Jan 7 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tolt River Above Carnation
* From 3 AM Tuesday until this evening.
* At  8:15 AM Tuesday the flow was 4808 cfs.
* Flood flow is 5000 cfs.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river crested at 5130 cfs at 2 AM this morning 
  and fell below flood stage at 3:40 AM. the river will generally 
  continue to fall.
* Impact...At 5000 cfs, the Tolt River will flood Tolt River Rd NE and
  many driveways. Some homes in the San Souci area could be 
  inaccessible due to deep and quick flood waters. This river level 
  on the Tolt corresponds to a phase 3 flood in the King County flood
  system.

&&

LAT...LON 4768 12176 4761 12185 4761 12194 4767 12196 4771 12189
      4774 12184       

$$

WAC033-080251-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-200108T0653Z/
/SQUW1.1.ER.200107T0835Z.200107T1800Z.200107T2153Z.NO/
952 AM PST Tue Jan 7 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Snoqualmie River Near Snoqualmie Falls
* Until this evening.
* At  9:00 AM Tuesday the flow was 24211 cfs.
* Flood flow is 20000 cfs.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river crested at 24760 cfs around 7 AM Tuesday.
  The river will fall below flood flow early this afternoon.
* Impact...At 20000 cfs, the Snoqualmie River will cause widespread 
  flooding of pasture lands and roads along the river from the town 
  of Snoqualmie downstream through Fall City. Roads that may become 
  flooded include Fall City-Carnation...Tolt Hill...and Novelty Flats
  Roads. This river level on the Snoqualmie corresponds roughly to a 
  phase 3 flood in the King County flood system.

&&

LAT...LON 4742 12175 4752 12186 4756 12196 4761 12188 4758 12178
      4756 12170       

$$

WAC033-080251-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-200109T1052Z/
/CRNW1.2.ER.200107T1515Z.200108T0600Z.200108T2252Z.NO/
952 AM PST Tue Jan 7 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Snoqualmie River Near Carnation
* Until late Wednesday night.
* At  9:15 AM Tuesday the stage was 54.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 54.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to rise and crest near 57.5 feet
  around 10 PM Tuesday. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Wednesday early afternoon.
* Impact...At 56.0 feet, the Snoqualmie River will cause widespread 
  flooding from Fall City downstream through Carnation and Duvall...
  inundating much of the farm land and numerous roads.

&&

LAT...LON 4756 12196 4770 12204 4784 12202 4783 12194 4771 12193
      4761 12188       

$$

WAC067-080251-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-200109T1331Z/
/BCDW1.2.ER.200107T1427Z.200108T0600Z.200109T0431Z.NO/
952 AM PST Tue Jan 7 2020

...Flood Warning extended until late Wednesday night...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Skookumchuck River Near Bucoda
* Until late Wednesday night.
* At  8:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 212.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 211.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to rise and crest near 213.8 
  feet around 10 PM Tuesday. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Wednesday night.
* Impact...At 213.0 feet, the Skookumchuck River in Thurston County 
  will flood several residential and business areas around Bucoda. 
  Flood waters will cover many roads

&&

LAT...LON 4677 12251 4676 12274 4672 12286 4681 12293 4688 12278
      4692 12260       

$$

WAC041-080251-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-200108T0447Z/
/NEWW1.1.ER.200107T0245Z.200107T1330Z.200107T1947Z.NO/
952 AM PST Tue Jan 7 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Newaukum River Near Chehalis
* Until this evening.
* At  8:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 204.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 202.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river crested at 204.14 feet at 5:15 AM Tuesday and 
  will fall below flood stage this afternoon and continue to fall to
  below flood stage late this morning.
* Impact...At 202.5 feet, flood waters will inundate many roads and 
  residential and commercial areas along the Newaukum River and its 
  forks.  Flooding in some areas may be deep and hazardous especially
  near rivers. Impacted roadways and surrounding areas include 
  Jackson Hwy. and Tune...Rush...Sommerville...Griel...Hamilton...
  Tauscher...Guerrier...Kirkland...Macomber...Rice...Senn...Lucas 
  Creek...Middle Fork and North Fork Roads.  A stage of 10.5 on the 
  Newaukum roughly corresponds to Phase 2 flood in the Lewis County 
  flood system.

&&

LAT...LON 4657 12248 4652 12289 4662 12305 4675 12295 4668 12286
      4676 12264       

$$

WAC027-067-080251-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-200109T2147Z/
/CGMW1.1.ER.200107T1536Z.200108T1200Z.200109T1247Z.NO/
952 AM PST Tue Jan 7 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Thursday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chehalis River Above Grand Mound
* Until Thursday afternoon.
* At  9:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 141.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 141.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to rise and crest near 142.5 
  feet near moderate stage around 4 AM Wednesday. The river will
  fall below flood stage early Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 141.0 feet, the Chehalis River in Thurston County will 
  flood several roads in Independence Valley including James Road...
  Independence Road and Moon road. Flood waters will also cover 
  nearby farm lands.

&&

LAT...LON 4672 12305 4677 12315 4682 12340 4693 12318 4690 12304
      4681 12289       

$$

WAC027-080251-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0017.200107T2017Z-200110T2253Z/
/CRPW1.1.ER.200107T2017Z.200109T0600Z.200110T1353Z.NO/
952 AM PST Tue Jan 7 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Friday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chehalis River At Porter
* From 12 PM Tuesday until Friday afternoon.
* At  8:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 47.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage around 12 PM 
  Tuesday and crest near 48.9 feet around 10 PM Wednesday. The river 
  will fall below flood stage Friday morning.
* Impact...At 48.0 feet, the Chehalis River in Grays Harbor will flood
  low pasture lands and some roads. High tidal levels at Aberdeen 
  will worsen flooding along the lower reaches.

&&

LAT...LON 4682 12340 4689 12347 4689 12362 4706 12360 4707 12333
      4693 12318       

$$
281 
WGUS86 KSEW 080142
FLSSEW
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Seattle WA
542 PM PST Tue Jan 7 2020

...The Flood Warning has ended for the following rivers in 
Washington...

  Samish River At Burlington affecting Skagit County
  North Fork Stillaguamish River Near Arlington affecting Snohomish 
  County
  Skykomish River Near Gold Bar affecting Snohomish County
  Tolt River Above Carnation affecting King County
  Newaukum River Near Chehalis affecting Lewis County

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Washington...

  Satsop River Near Satsop affecting Grays Harbor County
  Snohomish River At Snohomish affecting Snohomish County
  Snoqualmie River Near Snoqualmie Falls affecting King County
  Snoqualmie River Near Carnation affecting King County
  Skookumchuck River Near Bucoda affecting Thurston County
  Chehalis River Above Grand Mound affecting Grays Harbor and Thurston
  Counties
  Chehalis River At Porter affecting Grays Harbor County
  Bogachiel River Near La Push affecting Clallam County
  Skokomish River At Potlatch affecting Mason County
  Stillaguamish River At Arlington affecting Snohomish County


Some rivers have crested and flooding has ended while others are 
still rising or still above flood stage. Rain coming in overnight 
could keep some river levels from falling or even cause additional 
rises, but should not add any new flooding. Here is the latest river 
forecast updates. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars...vans...or trucks through flooded areas...this is 
the cause of most flood related deaths in Washington. Be alert for 
rapid changes and monitor developments by listening to NOAA Weather 
radio or other local media.


&&

WAC009-080830-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-200108T0830Z/
/BOGW1.1.ER.200107T1435Z.200107T1700Z.200107T2001Z.NO/
542 PM PST Tue Jan 7 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Bogachiel River Near La Push
* Until late tonight.
* At  4:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 36.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 37.0 feet.
* Fell below flood stage early this afternoon.
* No additional flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river fell below flood stage at 12:01 PM Tuesday 
  but will stay steady or rise back towards flood stage tonight.
  Flooding will continue in some areas until the flood wave has 
  completely passed downstream.


&&

LAT...LON 4789 12440 4789 12453 4789 12463 4795 12467 4796 12455
      4798 12443       

$$

WAC045-080941-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SRPW1.2.ER.200106T2003Z.200107T2245Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
542 PM PST Tue Jan 7 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Skokomish River At Potlatch
* Until further notice.
* At  5:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 17.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.5 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
# Flooding...The river has crested and will hold near its current
  level for another 12 hours or so before beginning to fall 
  tomorrow. 
* Impact...At 17.5 feet, the Skokomish River will cause moderate 
  flooding, with deep and quick flood waters inundating some 
  residential areas, many roads, and much of the farm land in the 
  Skokomish Valley. Inundated roads include the Skokomish Valley 
  road, Bourgault Road West, Purdy Cutoff Road, and Highway 106.

&&

LAT...LON 4744 12326 4733 12321 4736 12317 4733 12308 4721 12321
      4738 12340       

$$

WAC027-080941-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-200108T2141Z/
/SATW1.1.ER.200107T1224Z.200107T2345Z.200108T1241Z.NO/
542 PM PST Tue Jan 7 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Satsop River Near Satsop
* Until Wednesday afternoon.
* At  4:15 PM Tuesday the stage was 39.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 38.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river crested at 39.2 feet at 4 PM Tuesday and will 
  continue to fall to below flood stage Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 38.0 feet, the Satsop River will flood low pasture lands
  and some roads along the river.

&&

LAT...LON 4696 12345 4696 12354 4702 12354 4708 12354 4708 12345
      4702 12345       

$$

WAC057-080212-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-200108T0709Z/
/SMRW1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
542 PM PST Tue Jan 7 2020

The Flood Warning has been cancelled for
  The Samish River At Burlington
* At  3:00 PM Tuesday the flow was 2298 cfs.
* Flood flow is 3000 cfs.
* Forecast...The river crested just below flood stage at 2810 cfs at 
11:15 today and will continue to fall.

&&

LAT...LON 4851 12233 4850 12241 4856 12248 4858 12244 4853 12238
      4856 12234       

$$

WAC061-080212-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-200108T1444Z/
/ARGW1.1.ER.200107T1450Z.200107T1715Z.200107T1823Z.NO/
542 PM PST Tue Jan 7 2020

The Flood Warning has ended for
  The North Fork Stillaguamish River Near Arlington
* At  4:15 PM Tuesday the stage was 10.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Fell below flood stage late this morning.
* Forecast...The river fell below flood stage 10:23 AM Tuesday late 
  this morning and will continue to fall.


&&

LAT...LON 4822 12164 4822 12191 4816 12211 4824 12214 4833 12193
      4833 12164       

$$

WAC061-080941-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-200109T0109Z/
/ARLW1.1.ER.200107T1203Z.200107T1655Z.200107T2255Z.NO/
542 PM PST Tue Jan 7 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Stillaguamish River At Arlington
* Until Wednesday afternoon.
* At  5:10 PM Tuesday the stage was 12.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Fell below flood stage early this afternoon.
* No additional flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river fell below flood stage at  2:55 PM Tuesday and
  will continue to fall. Flooding will continue in some areas until 
  the flood wave has completely passed downstream.

&&

LAT...LON 4816 12211 4817 12223 4816 12237 4826 12240 4823 12224
      4824 12214       

$$

WAC061-080212-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-200108T1320Z/
/GLBW1.1.ER.200107T1225Z.200107T1630Z.200107T1921Z.NO/
542 PM PST Tue Jan 7 2020

The Flood Warning has ended for
  The Skykomish River Near Gold Bar
* At  4:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 14.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Fell below flood stage late this morning.
* Forecast...The river fell below flood stage 11:21 AM Tuesday late 
  this morning and will continue to fall.


&&

LAT...LON 4774 12150 4780 12173 4780 12196 4793 12197 4794 12169
      4787 12147       

$$

WAC061-080941-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-200109T1454Z/
/SNAW1.1.ER.200107T1957Z.200108T1100Z.200108T2354Z.NO/
542 PM PST Tue Jan 7 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Snohomish River At Snohomish
* Until Thursday morning.
* At  5:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 25.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to rise and crest near 26.7 feet
  around 3 AM Wednesday. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Wednesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet, the Snohomish River will cause minor flooding
  of lowlands not protected by levees and on the Old Snohomish-Monroe
  highway.  A stage of 25 feet on the Snohomish River corresponds to 
  a Phase 2 in the Snohomish County flood program.

&&

LAT...LON 4786 12217 4789 12221 4796 12232 4809 12216 4794 12213
      4791 12203       

$$

WAC033-080212-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-200108T0719Z/
/TOLW1.1.ER.200107T1101Z.000000T0000Z.200107T1144Z.NO/
542 PM PST Tue Jan 7 2020

The Flood Warning has ended for
  The Tolt River Above Carnation
* At  3:15 PM Tuesday the flow was 2733 cfs.
* Flood flow is 5000 cfs.
* Fell below flood flow early this morning.
* Forecast...The river fell below flood stage  3:44 AM Tuesday and 
  will continue to fall.

&&

LAT...LON 4768 12176 4761 12185 4761 12194 4767 12196 4771 12189
      4774 12184       

$$

WAC033-080941-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0005.700101T0000Z-200108T1230Z/
/SQUW1.1.ER.200107T0835Z.200107T1500Z.200107T2325Z.NO/
542 PM PST Tue Jan 7 2020

...Flood Warning extended until late tonight...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Snoqualmie River Near Snoqualmie Falls
* Until late tonight.
* At  4:00 PM Tuesday the flow was 19609 cfs.
* Flood flow is 20000 cfs.
* Fell below flood flow late this afternoon.
* No additional flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river fell below flood stage at  3:25 PM Tuesday and
  will continue to fall. Flooding will continue in some areas until 
  the flood wave has completely passed downstream.
* Impact...At 12000 cfs, the Snoqualmie River will spill over its 
  banks between the town of Snoqualmie and Fall City...covering 
  pasture lands and several roads along the river. This river level 
  on the Snoqualmie corresponds roughly to a phase 2 flood in the 
  King County flood system.

&&

LAT...LON 4742 12175 4752 12186 4756 12196 4761 12188 4758 12178
      4756 12170       

$$

WAC033-080941-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-200109T0540Z/
/CRNW1.2.ER.200107T1515Z.200108T0100Z.200108T1740Z.NO/
542 PM PST Tue Jan 7 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Snoqualmie River Near Carnation
* Until Wednesday evening.
* At  5:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 56.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 54.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river crested at 56.0 feet at 5 PM Tuesday and will 
  continue to fall to below flood stage Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 56.0 feet, the Snoqualmie River will cause widespread 
  flooding from Fall City downstream through Carnation and Duvall...
  inundating much of the farm land and numerous roads.

&&

LAT...LON 4756 12196 4770 12204 4784 12202 4783 12194 4771 12193
      4761 12188       

$$

WAC067-080941-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-200109T0711Z/
/BCDW1.2.ER.200107T1427Z.200108T0600Z.200108T2211Z.NO/
542 PM PST Tue Jan 7 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Skookumchuck River Near Bucoda
* Until Wednesday evening.
* At  4:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 212.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 211.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to rise and crest near 213.0 
  feet around 10 PM Tuesday. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Wednesday early afternoon.
* Impact...At 213.0 feet, the Skookumchuck River in Thurston County 
  will flood several residential and business areas around Bucoda. 
  Flood waters will cover many roads

&&

LAT...LON 4677 12251 4676 12274 4672 12286 4681 12293 4688 12278
      4692 12260       

$$

WAC041-080212-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-200108T0447Z/
/NEWW1.1.ER.200107T0245Z.200107T1330Z.200107T2305Z.NO/
542 PM PST Tue Jan 7 2020

The Flood Warning has ended for
  The Newaukum River Near Chehalis
* At  4:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 202.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 202.5 feet.
* Fell below flood stage late this afternoon.
* Forecast...The river fell below flood stage  3:05 PM Tuesday late 
  this afternoon and will continue to fall.


&&

LAT...LON 4657 12248 4652 12289 4662 12305 4675 12295 4668 12286
      4676 12264       

$$

WAC027-067-080941-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-200109T1318Z/
/CGMW1.1.ER.200107T1536Z.200108T1200Z.200109T0418Z.NO/
542 PM PST Tue Jan 7 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chehalis River Above Grand Mound
* Until late Wednesday night.
* At  5:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 141.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 141.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to rise and crest near 142.3 
  feet around 4 AM Wednesday. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Wednesday night.
* Impact...At 141.0 feet, the Chehalis River in Thurston County will 
  flood several roads in Independence Valley including James Road...
  Independence Road and Moon road. Flood waters will also cover 
  nearby farm lands.

&&

LAT...LON 4672 12305 4677 12315 4682 12340 4693 12318 4690 12304
      4681 12289       

$$

WAC027-080941-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-200110T1202Z/
/CRPW1.1.ER.200107T1830Z.200109T0000Z.200110T0302Z.NO/
542 PM PST Tue Jan 7 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chehalis River At Porter
* Until late Thursday night.
* At  4:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 48.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to rise and crest near 48.8 feet
  around 4 PM Wednesday. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Thursday evening.
* Impact...At 48.0 feet, the Chehalis River in Grays Harbor will flood
  low pasture lands and some roads. High tidal levels at Aberdeen 
  will worsen flooding along the lower reaches.

&&

LAT...LON 4682 12340 4689 12347 4689 12362 4706 12360 4707 12333
      4693 12318       

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Seattle, WA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jan 7, 3:38 AM PST, 2 hours 56 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 7, 3:38 AM PST, 2 hours 56 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Seattle WA
338 AM PST Tue Jan 7 2020

.SYNOPSIS...An active pattern is expected over the next week, with
several organized frontal systems bringing the threat for lowland
rain and mountain snow. First frontal system will move through
today, with river flooding and snow accumulation in the mountains.
The next organized front will move through on Friday, possibly
bringing similar threats. Conditions become colder by the weekend
as a pattern change sets in.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...Water vapor imagery this
morning reveals an elongated trough extending from the Gulf of
Alaska into the northeast Pacific. Several shorter wave
perturbations can be seen swirling around the larger scale
cyclonic circulation, while a ridge can be detected downstream of
this feature across much of the western US. Trough dynamics have
been strong enough to spin up a more organized surface low along
yesterday's lingering stationary boundary across the Pacific. Now,
around 11z a more defined sfc low and frontal system can be
easily identified with the upper level parent low. As this low
developed, the warm frontal boundary remained essentially
stationary across western Washington. This frontal system as a
whole will be responsible for yet another period of active weather
thru much of the short term.

Beginning with this morning, a quick glance at MRMS radar imagery
confirms widespread stratiform precip continuing across the
entire area, as western Washington remains in the warm sector of
the frontal system. Persistent rainfall has lead to the continued
rise of rivers, with several already experiencing minor flooding.
River flooding will continue to be an issue today, and the
hydrology section below can provide more details.

As the day progresses, the frontal system will continue to make
eastward progress, with widespread warm frontal precip gradually
lifting north, quickly to be replaced by rain along the cold
front. Snow levels will still remain fairly high through the day
in the warm sector (4000-5000ft) with mostly rain expected for the
passes, maybe some wet snow. The lowlands will continue to pick up
a few more tenths of an inch ahead of the cold front.

The cold front should reach the coast this afternoon and move east
thru the evening hours. Very cold air aloft will accompany the
front, with H5 temps falling back towards -30C and snow levels
tanking. SPC still advertising steep mid level lapse rates during
and after fropa along the coast and just offshore, and have no
argument with this. Have kept slight chance thunder for these
areas this afternoon/evening.

Front should be fairly progressive overnight and weaken as it
encounters the Cascades, tho hi-res guidance shows another quick
round of precip along a secondary trough swinging into the
Cascades. Snow accumulation at the passes, mainly Stevens, is
expected as the cold frontal & trough precip enters the Cascades
and snow levels drop to 2500-3500ft. A winter weather advisory has
been issued to account for this. With colder air filtering in,
also extended winter storm warning for northern and southern
Cascades. Precip should become more showery into Wed morning. In
addition to mountain snow, a PSCZ is likely early Wed morning near
King/Snohomish Counties, possibly extending towards Stevens Pass.
Snow levels will continue to fall, tho expected to remain 1000ft
or just above, so would take an intense area of convergence to
drive these down enough to get snow to mix in.

The next trough will move into the area quickly on Wednesday.
This wave still has track more into OR with deeper moisture south
of WA. Nevertheless, track is close enough to enhance moisture
across at least the southern half of the area. If this verifies,
snow levels will remain above 1000ft so no winter weather impacts
would be anticipated. Lowest snow levels will remain north on Wed
with less moisture in place. This could stand to be watched tho.

In the wake of Wednesday's wave, a speed max will quickly drop
south out of BC Thursday morning and afternoon. With it's
continental origin, not seeing a while lot of moisture with it,
but likely enough for some shower development. Atmosphere would
be cold enough to support light snow in Skagit/Whatcom and
possibly higher hilltops in Snohomish. Again, moisture appears
rather scarce so little in the way of accumulation is expected.

Kovacik

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...Pattern change is still
readily apparent in the long term, with a trend towards strong,
persistent troughing for much of the western US.

Although low snow levels will carry us into the beginning of the
long term, the next Pacific trough will be approaching the area.
Although the onset of this event may need an extra eye, snow
levels will rise noticeably back to 2000-3000ft, at least west of
the Cascades. This looks to likely be another round lowland rain
and heavy mountain snow. Precip looks to linger into Saturday with
unsettled upper levels, tho snow levels seem slower to drop
compared to last night's guidance for this timeframe. Will likely
see mountain snow continue and some lowland rain showers.

Forecast still very fuzzy Sunday into early next week, most so in
the finer details of things. What is pretty certain at this point,
given good run-to-run consistency in the ensembles, is a
developing long wave trough in the western US, opening the doors
to colder weather. Colder air is highly likely in this pattern,
but determining how cold is a more difficult puzzle to solve. Not
really seeing persistent possibility of very cold arctic air moving
in from BC, tho it lingers very close to the area (snow levels
even came out a bit higher for this forecast compared to last
night's). Also not seeing consistency in available moisture during
this time frame. The pattern looks unsettled and could support
both lowland and mountain snow late in the weekend/early next
week, just not seeing any indication of a large weather maker to
increase any forecast confidence at this point. This will be
watched closely.

Kovacik

&&

.AVIATION...Southwest flow aloft continues today with a moist air
mass in place. A stalled frontal boundary lies along the Canadian
border early this morning with a cold front offshore. The flow aloft
will turn westerly tonight as a cold front and trailing upper level
trough move onshore. Low MVFR and occasional IFR ceilings in rain
will continue across the region through the day.

KSEA...Low MVFR and occasional IFR ceilings in light to moderate
rain expected through the day. Gusty southerly surface winds 15 to
30 knots becoming southwesterly tonight.   27

&&

.MARINE...A frontal system will move across the waters late today.
Gales are likely for the coastal waters with small craft advisory
strength southerly winds expected most other waters. Westerly gales
will develop in the Strait of Juan de Fuca this evening behind the
front. Onshore flow will gradually ease on Wednesday with winds
turning more northerly on Thursday. Another strong frontal system
will move through the area on Friday. Northerly offshore flow will
develop behind this weather system on Saturday.   27

&&

.HYDROLOGY...Cold front offshore will not move through Western
Washington until late this afternoon into the evening hours. Snow
levels in the Olympics will remain between 5000-6000 feet today with
snow levels in the Cascades just a little lower at 4000-5000 feet.
Another 2 to 4 inches of rain is forecast for the mountains until
the front moves east of the area.

Flood warnings are have already been issued for multiple rivers
( Snoqualmie, Stillaguamish, Skykomish, Tolt, Newaukum, Satsop,
Skokomish and Chehalis ). With the additional rainfall, flood
warnings are possible for the Snohomish and Nooksack rivers later
today as well as additional points on the Stillaguamish.

Until the front passes and precipitation rates/snow levels lower,
the flood watch will remain in place for most of Western Washington

Check the latest river forecasts on the AHPS website for details.
Felton

&&

.SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WA...Flood Watch through late tonight for Admiralty Inlet Area-
     Bellevue and Vicinity-Cascades of Pierce and Lewis Counties-
     Cascades of Snohomish and King Counties-Cascades of Whatcom
     and Skagit Counties-Central Coast-East Puget Sound Lowlands-
     Eastern Strait of Juan de Fuca-Everett and Vicinity-Hood
     Canal Area-Lower Chehalis Valley Area-North Coast-Olympics-
     Seattle and Vicinity-Southwest Interior-Tacoma Area-Western
     Skagit County-Western Strait of Juan De Fuca-Western
     Whatcom County.

     Winter Storm Warning until 4 AM PST Wednesday for Cascades of
     Pierce and Lewis Counties-Cascades of Whatcom and Skagit
     Counties.

     Winter Weather Advisory from 4 PM this afternoon to 4 AM PST
     Wednesday for Cascades of Snohomish and King Counties.

PZ...Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM PST Wednesday for Admiralty
     Inlet-Grays Harbor Bar-Northern Inland Waters Including The
     San Juan Islands-Puget Sound and Hood Canal-West Entrance
     U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca.

     Gale Warning until 4 PM PST this afternoon for Coastal Waters
     From Cape Flattery To James Island 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal
     Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island Out 10 Nm-Coastal
     Waters From James Island To Point Grenville 10 To 60 Nm-
     Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville Out 10
     Nm-Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater
     10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape
     Shoalwater Out 10 Nm.

     Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM PST this evening for East
     Entrance U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca.

     Gale Warning from 6 PM this evening to 6 AM PST Wednesday for
     Central U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca-East Entrance
     U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca.

&&

www.weather.gov/seattle

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jan 7, 4:17 AM PST, 2 hours 17 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Seattle WA
417 AM PST Tue Jan 7 2020

WAZ503-504-506-509-511>513-515>517-555-556-558-567>569-080030-
Western Whatcom County-Southwest Interior-Western Skagit County-
Tacoma Area-Hood Canal Area-Lower Chehalis Valley Area-Olympics-
Western Strait of Juan De Fuca-North Coast-Central Coast-
East Puget Sound Lowlands-Bellevue and Vicinity-Seattle and Vicinity-
Cascades of Whatcom and Skagit Counties-
Cascades of Snohomish and King Counties-
Cascades of Pierce and Lewis Counties-
417 AM PST Tue Jan 7 2020

...HEAVY RAINFALL THROUGH TONIGHT WILL LEAD TO AN INCREASED THREAT
OF LANDSLIDES IN WESTERN WASHINGTON...

Soil moisture will remain at high levels across western Washington.
Additional heavy rainfall of near 1 inch for the Lowlands and 2-4
inches for the mountains is expected through tonight. This additional
rainfall will continue to put extra pressure on soil stability,
leading to an increased threat of landslides.

Areas above 5000 feet in elevation will see mostly snow and not be
affected.

For more information about current conditions, visit
www.weather.gov/seattle, select Hydrology, and then scroll down
for the links to the landslide information pages.

For more information on landslides, visit the website for the
Washington State Department of Natural Resources landslide
geologic hazards at: http://bit.ly/2mtA3wn

www.weather.gov/seattle

The office that day

Everything else NWS Seattle, WA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 6, 6:00 PM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWLewis25 hr
Jan 6, 9:08 PM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWKing25 hr
Jan 6, 9:08 PM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWKing51 hr
Jan 6, 10:21 PM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWThurston66 hr
Jan 7, 1:39 AM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWGrays Harbor32 hr
Jan 7, 1:59 AM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWSnohomish29 hr
Jan 7, 1:59 AM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWSnohomish39 hr
Jan 7, 3:02 AM PSTGale WarningSEW30 hr
Jan 7, 3:32 AM PSTWinter Weather AdvisorySEW30 hr
Jan 7, 4:34 AM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWClallam18 hr
Jan 7, 5:57 AM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWSnohomish15 hr
Jan 7, 6:34 AM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWSnohomish18 hr
Jan 7, 6:37 AM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWThurston47 hr
Jan 7, 8:00 AM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWSkagit15 hr
Jan 7, 8:00 AM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWGrays Harbor4 days
Jan 7, 10:38 AM PSTSmall Craft AdvisorySEW29 hr
Jan 7, 11:22 AM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWSnohomish44 hr
Jan 7, 2:39 PM PSTSmall Craft AdvisorySEW48 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Washington, 2020Every river flood warning in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.