Severe Thunderstorm Warning 31, NWS Blacksburg, VA

109 
WWUS51 KRNK 082204
SVSRNK

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
604 PM EDT Wed Apr 8 2020

VAC021-082213-
/O.CAN.KRNK.SV.W.0031.000000T0000Z-200408T2230Z/
Bland VA-
604 PM EDT Wed Apr 8 2020

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN BLAND COUNTY IS 
CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 PM EDT for
northwestern North Carolina...southwestern Virginia...and
southeastern West Virginia.

When it is safe to do so, please send your reports of hail of any
size, as well as reports of any wind damage, including downed trees
or large limbs, to the National Weather Service by calling toll free
at 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. Reports and pictures can also be
shared on the National Weather Service Blacksburg Facebook page and
on Twitter.

LAT...LON 3695 8182 3696 8178 3704 8182 3697 8140
      3695 8138 3697 8137 3697 8135 3691 8081
      3672 8079 3671 8136 3678 8170 3693 8183
TIME...MOT...LOC 2203Z 328DEG 15KT 3694 8178 3682 8138 3683 8090 

$$

VAC035-077-173-185-197-082230-
/O.CON.KRNK.SV.W.0031.000000T0000Z-200408T2230Z/
Smyth VA-Tazewell VA-Wythe VA-Carroll VA-Grayson VA-
604 PM EDT Wed Apr 8 2020

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM EDT 
FOR SMYTH...SOUTHWESTERN TAZEWELL...SOUTHERN WYTHE...NORTHWESTERN 
CARROLL AND NORTHEASTERN GRAYSON COUNTIES...

At 603 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Allison Gap to near Mount Rogers National
Recreation Area to near Ivanhoe, moving southeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Wytheville...
Marion...
Saltville...
Chilhowie...
Rural Retreat...
Fries...
and Mount Rogers National Recreation Area.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Prepare immediately for DAMAGING WINDS. For your safety, move to an
interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Stay away
from windows.

When it is safe to do so, please send your reports of hail of any
size, as well as reports of any wind damage, including downed trees
or large limbs, to the National Weather Service by calling toll free
at 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. Reports and pictures can also be
shared on the National Weather Service Blacksburg Facebook page and
on Twitter.

&&

LAT...LON 3695 8182 3696 8178 3704 8182 3697 8140
      3695 8138 3697 8137 3697 8135 3691 8081
      3672 8079 3671 8136 3678 8170 3693 8183
TIME...MOT...LOC 2203Z 328DEG 15KT 3694 8178 3682 8138 3683 8090 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

DS

147 
WWUS51 KRNK 082226
SVSRNK

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
626 PM EDT Wed Apr 8 2020

VAC035-077-173-185-197-082236-
/O.EXP.KRNK.SV.W.0031.000000T0000Z-200408T2230Z/
Smyth VA-Tazewell VA-Wythe VA-Carroll VA-Grayson VA-
626 PM EDT Wed Apr 8 2020

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR 
SMYTH...SOUTHWESTERN TAZEWELL...SOUTHERN WYTHE...NORTHWESTERN CARROLL
AND NORTHEASTERN GRAYSON COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 630 PM EDT...
    
The storms which prompted the warning have weakened below severe
limits, and have exited the warned area. Therefore, the warning will
be allowed to expire.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 PM EDT for
northwestern North Carolina...and southwestern Virginia.

When it is safe to do so, please send your reports of hail of any
size, as well as reports of any wind damage, including downed trees
or large limbs, to the National Weather Service by calling toll free
at 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. Reports and pictures can also be
shared on the National Weather Service Blacksburg Facebook page and
on Twitter.

LAT...LON 3695 8182 3696 8178 3704 8182 3697 8140
      3695 8138 3697 8137 3697 8135 3691 8081
      3672 8079 3671 8136 3678 8170 3693 8183
TIME...MOT...LOC 2226Z 338DEG 22KT 3683 8173 3671 8133 3672 8085 

$$

BMG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
424 PM EDT Wed Apr 8 2020

.SYNOPSIS...
A strong cold front will over the upper Mid-West will move
southeast across the Ohio Valley tonight, then across the Mid
Atlantic Region Thursday. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
will precede the front. Behind the front, look for strong
and gusty northwest winds and much colder temperatures.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 420 PM EDT Wednesday...

Severe thunderstorm Watch #087 has been expanded to include all
of the VA/NC border counties south of the Roanoke River... in
effect until 8PM.

Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms have developed ahead
of a southward-advancing cold front from northern KY into
southern WV and southwestern VA. Heating ahead of the boundary
has allowed instability to increase, resulting in MLCAPE from
500-1500 J/kg in a corridor from southwestern Virginia northwest
into southern West Virginia. Modestly steep midlevel lapse
rates around 7-7.5 C/km and strong vertical shear, resulting in
long, straight hodographs, will favor supercells capable of
large hail. Furthermore, steepening low level lapse rates could
increase potential for damaging wind gusts. This convection will
track southeast through broad northwesterly flow regime, and
it appears that it will now make it into parts of northwest
North Carolina before sundown.

After sunset expect this activity to wane with lull in the
precipitation threat after from 10 PM to 2AM... then ramping
back up again late tonight. A strong cold front will cross
overhead on Thursday morning. A line of showers and
thunderstorms will precede the frontal boundary and could pose a
marginal risk of severe weather due to damaging winds. Behind
the front, winds will sharply increase from the northwest, and
confidence is growing that a wind advisory may be needed for
Thursday afternoon and Thursday night along the Blue Ridge. For
now, the wind threat is highlighted in the HWO.

Temperatures tonight will be quite mild with many areas
remaining in the 60s for lows, except where any thunderstorm
outflow or rain occurs which could allow temperatures to drop
into the 50s. A brief spike in temperature back into the 70s
may occur Thursday once the morning thunderstorms clear, but
all indications point to steady or falling temperatures in the
mountains with morning temperatures in the 50s/60s mountains,
falling into the upper 40s by the end of the day.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
As of 200 PM EDT Wednesday...

Flow between a large vertically stacked closed low moving through New
England and a large high pushing in from the mid Mississippi valley
will bring string gusty winds and much colder air into the Appalachians
and central mid Atlantic region into the weekend.

Expect winds will be gusting over 45 mph Thursday night into Friday
especially at the higher elevations west of the Blue Ridge. A secondary
surge of cold air will arrive as the upper vorticity axis pushes
through Thursday night and this will squeeze out moisture in upslope
snow showers west of the Ridge with some accumulation possible. Snow
showers will dissipate Friday morning but the gust conditions will
continue into Friday night.

With the surface high centered over the region and low amplitude
ridging aloft expect quiet weather for Saturday.

Highs Saturday will be running about 10 degrees below normal with
mi/upper 50s east of the Blue Ridge, 40s to the west. Some moderation
for Saturday will boost temperatures into the lower 60s east, mid/upper
50s west. Looks like potential for frost east of the Ridge Friday night
where winds can diminish in the low spots.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 200 PM EDT Wednesday...

Closed low over the southwestern US will open up with energy ejecting
out and moving into the middle Atlantic region by Sunday. This is a
very dynamic system with the main surface low passing to our west as it
moves northward into the Great Lakes region. Current guidance indicates
the best threat for severe weather will be off to our south. However,
with this much energy in play the system bears watching to see if the
low level jet can advect more unstable air into the region and bring
the severe threat into our neck of the woods. Any way you slice it,
Sunday looks wet with unsettled conditions continuing through the first
part of next week.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 1145 AM EDT Wednesday...

Weak outflow boundary bisects the forecast area from BLF-GSO.
This boundary is expected to be the focus for scattered showers
and thunderstorms this afternoon and evening. Winds aloft are
out of the west northwest. Cell movement for any deep convection
is expected to be to the east-southeast at 30 kts. Isolated
severe storms are possible with wind gusts 40-50kts. All
thunderstorms which develop will likely contain at least small
hail. The more robust cores may contain hail stones up to an
inch in diameter.

MVFR ceilings are favored across the mountains with VFR cloud
bases east of the Blue Ridge. Thunderstorms will produce
localized IFR. IFR cigs are also possible along the ridge crests
tonight especially along the western slopes vcnty of KBLF.

Overnight, a new squall line is expected to reach the area from
the west, but most likely after 06Z.

Forecast confidence = moderate.

Extended Aviation Discussion...

A strong cold front crosses the area Thursday morning with
widespread MVFR conditions due to clouds and precipitation.
Winds will be strong and gusty behind the front Thursday night.

Colder high pressure builds into the area on Friday. In general
winds will be diminishing and ceilings will improve to VFR
except some lingering MVFR in the mountains.

Another system may bring rain our way later Saturday with sub-
VFR ceilings, though at the moment confidence is low.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...PM
NEAR TERM...PM
SHORT TERM...MBS
LONG TERM...MBS
AVIATION...PM

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
421 PM EDT Wed Apr 8 2020

NCZ001>006-018>020-VAZ007-009>018-022-032-033-043-044-058-WVZ042>044-
507-508-091000-
Ashe-Alleghany NC-Surry-Stokes-Rockingham-Caswell-Watauga-Wilkes-
Yadkin-Tazewell-Smyth-Bland-Giles-Wythe-Pulaski-Montgomery-Grayson-
Carroll-Floyd-Craig-Roanoke-Patrick-Franklin-Henry-Pittsylvania-
Halifax-Mercer-Summers-Monroe-Eastern Greenbrier-Western Greenbrier-
421 PM EDT Wed Apr 8 2020

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 87 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina,
northwest North Carolina, south central Virginia, southwest
Virginia, west central Virginia and southeast West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Showers and thunderstorms are expected early Thursday morning. A few
of these storms could become strong to severe with damaging wind
gusts being the main concern.

In addition, strong and gusty northwest winds are expected to
develop across the area Thursday afternoon/evening and then continue
into Friday morning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

VAZ019-020-023-024-034-035-045>047-059-091000-
Alleghany VA-Bath-Botetourt-Rockbridge-Bedford-Amherst-Campbell-
Appomattox-Buckingham-Charlotte-
421 PM EDT Wed Apr 8 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Virginia, south
central Virginia and west central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

There is a slight risk for severe thunderstorms this evening.
Strong wind gusts and large hail would be the main concern.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Showers and thunderstorms are expected Thursday morning. A few of
these storms could become strong to severe with damaging wind gusts
being the main concern.

In addition, strong and gusty northwest winds are expected to
develop across the area Thursday afternoon/evening and then continue
into Friday morning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
511 PM EDT WED APR 8 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0458 PM     HAIL             NWS BLACKSBURG, VA      37.20N 80.41W
04/08/2020  E0.50 INCH       MONTGOMERY         VA   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

&&

11

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
516 PM EDT Wed Apr 8 2020

NCZ006-VAZ044-058-082200-
Caswell-Halifax-Pittsylvania-
516 PM EDT Wed Apr 8 2020

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT
NORTHERN CASWELL...SOUTHEASTERN PITTSYLVANIA AND SOUTHWESTERN HALIFAX
COUNTIES AND THE CITY OF DANVILLE...

At 515 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over Danville,
moving southeast at 30 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Danville...
Yanceyville...
Providence...
Blairs...
Milton...
Blanch...
and Leasburg.

LAT...LON 3652 7951 3654 7951 3654 7955 3656 7958
      3674 7943 3654 7890 3654 7914 3627 7916
TIME...MOT...LOC 2115Z 294DEG 27KT 3659 7942

BMG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
519 PM EDT WED APR 8 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0504 PM     HAIL             1 E DRAPER              37.00N 80.75W
04/08/2020  E0.50 INCH       PULASKI            VA   PUBLIC

            REPORT FROM MPING: HALF-INCH (0.50 IN.).

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
534 PM EDT Wed Apr 8 2020

VAZ007-009-010-012-013-015-016-082200-
Tazewell-Grayson-Pulaski-Bland-Wythe-Smyth-Carroll-
534 PM EDT Wed Apr 8 2020

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT
SOUTHWESTERN PULASKI...SMYTH...SOUTHWESTERN TAZEWELL...SOUTHWESTERN
BLAND...WYTHE...CENTRAL CARROLL AND NORTHEASTERN GRAYSON COUNTIES...

At 534 PM EDT, radar indicated strong thunderstorms were located
along a line extending from near Allisonia to Marion Wytheville to
Raven. Movement was south at 25 mph.

Winds in excess of 30 mph and pea size hail are possible with these
storms.

Locations impacted include...
Wytheville...
Marion...
Richlands...
Hillsville...
Saltville...
Rural Retreat...
and Cedar Bluff.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

LAT...LON 3716 8187 3717 8187 3717 8184 3703 8139
      3701 8070 3674 8059 3667 8129 3688 8179
      3692 8183 3693 8183 3695 8182 3696 8178
      3705 8182 3709 8187 3715 8188
TIME...MOT...LOC 2134Z 343DEG 22KT 3695 8077 3691 8136 3708 8185

DS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
540 PM EDT WED APR 8 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0511 PM     HAIL             2 W CHRISTIANSBURG      37.15N 80.44W
04/08/2020  E0.25 INCH       MONTGOMERY         VA   PUBLIC

0503 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 WNW CHRISTIANSBURG    37.15N 80.43W
04/08/2020                   MONTGOMERY         VA   PUBLIC

            SEVERAL TREES DOWN.

0501 PM     HAIL             4 E CHILDRESS           37.09N 80.45W
04/08/2020  E0.50 INCH       MONTGOMERY         VA   PUBLIC

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
545 PM EDT WED APR 8 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0526 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 NNW WYTHEVILLE        36.99N 81.11W
04/08/2020                   WYTHE              VA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            ROOF DAMAGE TO A STRUCTURE ON QUEENS KNOB
            ROAD.

&&