River Flood Warning 63, NWS Blacksburg, VA

048 
WGUS81 KRNK 120502
FLSRNK

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
1202 AM EST Thu Nov 12 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Virginia...

  New River AT Allisonia affecting Pulaski and Wythe Counties.

For the New River...including Galax, Allisonia, Radford, Glen Lyn, 
Hinton...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued around noon.

&&


VAC155-197-121715-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0063.201112T1000Z-201113T1800Z/
/ALSV2.1.ER.201112T1000Z.201112T1800Z.201113T0600Z.NO/
1202 AM EST Thu Nov 12 2020

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the New River AT Allisonia.
* From early this morning to Friday afternoon.
* At 11:30 PM EST Wednesday the stage was 6.0 feet and rising. 
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage early 
  this morning to a crest of 8.7 feet early this afternoon. It will 
  then fall below flood stage early Friday morning.
* At 8.0 feet, River begins to overflow the left bank and affect 
  Clarks Ferry Road, Route 653.At 9.0 feet, Parts of Julia Simpkins 
  Road, Route 693, on the right bank are cut off.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.8 
  feet on 05/25/2017.


&&

LAT...LON 3685 8098 3702 8073 3699 8064 3692 8070
      3686 8081 3685 8089

$$

AS

283 
WGUS81 KRNK 120719
FLSRNK

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
219 AM EST Thu Nov 12 2020

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Virginia...

  New River at Allisonia affecting Pulaski and Wythe Counties.

For the New River...including Allisonia, Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Flooding is occurring or is imminent. Most flood related deaths 
occur in automobiles. Do not attempt to cross water covered bridges, 
dips, or low water crossings. Never try to cross a flowing stream, 
even a small one, on foot. To escape rising water find another route 
over higher ground.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued around noon.

&&


VAC155-197-121930-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0063.201112T1050Z-201113T1800Z/
/ALSV2.1.ER.201112T1050Z.201112T1800Z.201113T0600Z.NO/
219 AM EST Thu Nov 12 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early tomorrow 
afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the New River AT Allisonia.
* From early this morning to Friday afternoon.
* At 1:30 AM EST Thursday the stage was 6.5 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage early 
  this morning, and continue to rise to a crest of 8.7 feet this 
  afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage just after midnight 
  tonight.
* At 8.0 feet, River begins to overflow the left bank and affect 
  Clarks Ferry Road, Route 653.At 9.0 feet, Parts of Julia Simpkins 
  Road, Route 693, on the right bank are cut off.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.8 feet on 05/25/2017.


&&

LAT...LON 3685 8098 3702 8073 3699 8064 3692 8070
      3686 8081 3685 8089

$$

AS

996 
WGUS41 KRNK 121155
FLWRNK

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
655 AM EST Thu Nov 12 2020

...The National Weather Service in Blacksburg VA has issued a Flood 
Warning for the following rivers in Virginia...

  New River At Radford affecting Pulaski, City of Radford and 
  Montgomery independent cities.

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Virginia...

  New River at Allisonia affecting Pulaski and Wythe Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued this evening around 700 PM EST, or 
sooner if conditions warrant.

&&


VAC121-155-750-130000-
/O.NEW.KRNK.FL.W.0073.201112T2015Z-201114T0300Z/
/RDFV2.2.ER.201112T2015Z.201113T0600Z.201113T2100Z.NO/
655 AM EST Thu Nov 12 2020

The National Weather Service in Blacksburg has issued a

* Flood Warning for
  the New River At Radford.
* From this afternoon to Friday evening.
* At 6:15 AM EST Thursday, the stage was 11.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late 
  this afternoon, and reach a crest of 16.0 feet just after midnight 
  tonight. It will then fall below flood stage tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, significant flooding occurs in Bissett Park.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 16.3 
  feet on 09/18/2018.


&&

LAT...LON 3708 8062 3722 8065 3727 8053 3722 8048
      3710 8050

$$

VAC155-197-130000-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-201114T0945Z/
/ALSV2.1.ER.201112T0828Z.201113T0000Z.201113T2145Z.NO/
655 AM EST Thu Nov 12 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Saturday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the New River AT Allisonia.
* Until late Friday night.
* At 5:30 AM EST Thursday, the stage was 9.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 5:30 AM EST Thursday was 9.1 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 11.0 feet 
  this evening. It will then fall below flood stage tomorrow 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet, water is several feet deep along portions 
  of Clarks Ferry Road, Route 653.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.0 
  feet on 04/20/2015.


&&

LAT...LON 3685 8098 3702 8073 3699 8064 3692 8070
      3686 8081 3685 8089

$$

16

741 
WGUS81 KRNK 121508
FLSRNK

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
1008 AM EST Thu Nov 12 2020

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Virginia...

  New River at Allisonia affecting Pulaski and Wythe Counties.

  New River at Radford affecting Pulaski, City of Radford and 
  Montgomery independent cities.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued this evening around 800 PM EST, or 
sooner if conditions warrant.

&&


VAC155-197-130315-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-201114T1000Z/
/ALSV2.1.ER.201112T0828Z.201113T0000Z.201113T2200Z.NO/
1008 AM EST Thu Nov 12 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Saturday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the New River AT Allisonia.
* Until late Friday night.
* At 9:30 AM EST Thursday, the stage was 11.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 9:30 AM EST Thursday was 11.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 12.3 feet 
  this evening. It will then fall below flood stage tomorrow 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet, Several summer homes along the river are 
  flooded with possibly significant damage.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.2 
  feet on 01/31/2013.


&&

LAT...LON 3685 8098 3702 8073 3699 8064 3692 8070
      3686 8081 3685 8089

$$

VAC121-155-750-130315-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0073.201112T1524Z-201114T0542Z/
/RDFV2.2.ER.201112T1524Z.201113T0600Z.201113T2342Z.NO/
1008 AM EST Thu Nov 12 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Saturday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the New River At Radford.
* Until late Friday night.
* At 9:15 AM EST Thursday, the stage was 13.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late 
  this morning to a crest of 18.5 feet just after midnight tonight. 
  It will then fall below flood stage tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, All of Dedman Center lower parking lots are 
  flooded.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 18.5 
  feet on 10/19/1906.


&&

LAT...LON 3708 8062 3722 8065 3727 8053 3722 8048
      3710 8050

$$

16

052 
WGUS81 KRNK 121730
FLSRNK

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
1230 PM EST Thu Nov 12 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Virginia...West Virginia...

  New River at Glen Lyn affecting Giles, Mercer, Monroe and Summers 
  Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Virginia...

  New River at Allisonia affecting Pulaski and Wythe Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued late tonight at 800 PM EST, or 
sooner if conditions warrant.

&&


VAC071-WVC055-063-089-130530-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0076.201113T0430Z-201114T0936Z/
/GLLV2.1.ER.201113T0430Z.201113T1200Z.201113T2136Z.NO/
1230 PM EST Thu Nov 12 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Saturday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the New River At Glen Lyn.
* From this evening to late Friday night.
* At 11:30 AM EST Thursday the stage was 11.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late 
  this evening, and crest at 15.5 feet early tomorrow morning. It 
  will then fall below flood stage tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, Low spots along route 649 (Lurich road) 
  upstream from the gage are flooded.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 15.7 
  feet on 04/25/2017.


&&

LAT...LON 3722 8065 3733 8081 3746 8097 3754 8078
      3742 8072 3727 8053

$$

VAC155-197-130530-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-201114T1000Z/
/ALSV2.1.ER.201112T0828Z.201113T0000Z.201113T2200Z.NO/
1230 PM EST Thu Nov 12 2020

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the New River AT Allisonia.
* Until late Friday night.
* At 11:30 AM EST Thursday the stage was 11.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 11:30 AM EST Thursday was 11.7 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 12.3 feet 
  this evening. It will then fall below flood stage tomorrow 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet, Several summer homes along the river are 
  flooded, possibly with significant damage.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.2 
  feet on 01/31/2013.


&&

LAT...LON 3685 8098 3702 8073 3699 8064 3692 8070
      3686 8081 3685 8089

$$

16

624 
WGUS81 KRNK 121841
FLSRNK

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
141 PM EST Thu Nov 12 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Virginia...

  New River at Radford affecting Pulaski, City of Radford and 
  Montgomery independent cities.

  New River at Allisonia affecting Pulaski and Wythe Counties.

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Virginia...West Virginia...

  New River at Glen Lyn affecting Giles, Mercer, Monroe and Summers 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued late tonight at 800 PM EST, or 
sooner if conditions warrant.

&&


VAC121-155-750-130645-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0073.000000T0000Z-201114T0513Z/
/RDFV2.2.ER.201112T1435Z.201113T0600Z.201113T2313Z.NO/
141 PM EST Thu Nov 12 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Saturday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the New River At Radford.
* Until late Friday night.
* At 1:15 PM EST Thursday, the stage was 17.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 1:15 PM EST Thursday was 17.1 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 19.5 feet 
  just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below flood stage 
  tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Flooding along sections of Hazel Hollow 
  road (State Route 626) on Pulaski County side of the river.


&&

LAT...LON 3708 8062 3722 8065 3727 8053 3722 8048
      3710 8050

$$

VAC155-197-130645-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-201114T0834Z/
/ALSV2.1.ER.201112T0828Z.201113T0000Z.201113T2034Z.NO/
141 PM EST Thu Nov 12 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Saturday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the New River AT Allisonia.
* Until late Friday night.
* At 12:30 PM EST Thursday, the stage was 11.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 12:30 PM EST Thursday was 11.9 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 12.6 feet 
  this evening. It will then fall below flood stage tomorrow 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet, Several summer homes along the river are 
  flooded with possibly significant damage.


&&

LAT...LON 3685 8098 3702 8073 3699 8064 3692 8070
      3686 8081 3685 8089

$$

VAC071-WVC055-063-089-130645-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0076.201113T0512Z-201114T1312Z/
/GLLV2.1.ER.201113T0512Z.201113T1200Z.201114T0112Z.NO/
141 PM EST Thu Nov 12 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Saturday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the New River At Glen Lyn.
* From late tonight to Saturday morning.
* At 12:30 PM EST Thursday the stage was 12.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage just 
  after midnight tonight to a crest of 15.8 feet tomorrow morning. 
  It will then fall below flood stage tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, Low spots along route 649 (Lurich road) 
  upstream from the gage are flooded.


&&

LAT...LON 3722 8065 3733 8081 3746 8097 3754 8078
      3742 8072 3727 8053

$$

16

042 
WGUS81 KRNK 122219
FLSRNK

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
519 PM EST Thu Nov 12 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Virginia...

  New River At Radford affecting Pulaski, City of Radford and 
  Montgomery Counties.

  New River AT Allisonia affecting Pulaski and Wythe Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Virginia...West Virginia...

  New River At Glen Lyn affecting Giles, Mercer, Monroe and Summers 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued by late tonight. 

&&


VAC121-155-750-131030-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0073.000000T0000Z-201113T2221Z/
/RDFV2.2.ER.201112T1435Z.201113T0600Z.201113T1621Z.NO/
519 PM EST Thu Nov 12 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until tomorrow afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the New River At Radford.
* Until Friday afternoon.
* At 4:15 PM EST Thursday the stage was 17.6 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 19.0 feet 
  just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below flood stage 
  late Friday morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Flooding along sections of Hazel Hollow 
  road (State Route 626) on Pulaski County side of the river.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 19.0 
  feet on 07/13/1905.


&&

LAT...LON 3708 8062 3722 8065 3727 8053 3722 8048
      3710 8050

$$

VAC155-197-131030-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-201113T2030Z/
/ALSV2.1.ER.201112T0828Z.201112T1900Z.201113T0830Z.NO/
519 PM EST Thu Nov 12 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until tomorrow afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the New River AT Allisonia.
* Until Friday afternoon.
* At 4:30 PM EST Thursday the stage was 11.8 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The river crested at 12.1 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late 
  tonight.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet, Several summer homes along the river are 
  flooded with possibly significant damage.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.9 
  feet on 06/21/1972.


&&

LAT...LON 3685 8098 3702 8073 3699 8064 3692 8070
      3686 8081 3685 8089

$$

VAC071-WVC055-063-089-131030-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0076.201113T0300Z-201114T0712Z/
/GLLV2.1.ER.201113T0300Z.201113T1200Z.201113T1912Z.NO/
519 PM EST Thu Nov 12 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Saturday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the New River At Glen Lyn.
* From this evening to late Friday night.
* At 4:30 PM EST Thursday the stage was 13.9 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late 
  this evening to a crest of 15.8 feet Friday morning. It will then 
  fall below flood stage early Friday afternoon.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, Low spots along route 649 (Lurich road) 
  upstream from the gage are flooded.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 15.7 
  feet on 02/23/2003.


&&

LAT...LON 3722 8065 3733 8081 3746 8097 3754 8078
      3742 8072 3727 8053

$$

WP

260 
WGUS81 KRNK 130255
FLSRNK

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
955 PM EST Thu Nov 12 2020

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Virginia...

  New River At Radford affecting Pulaski, City of Radford and 
  Montgomery independent cities.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Virginia...

  New River AT Allisonia affecting Pulaski and Wythe Counties.

For the New River including Radford...Moderate flooding is forecast.

For the New River including Allisonia...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Flooding is occurring or is imminent. Most flood related deaths 
occur in automobiles. Do not attempt to cross water covered bridges, 
dips, or low water crossings. Never try to cross a flowing stream, 
even a small one, on foot. To escape rising water find another route 
over higher ground.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued by Friday morning at 945 AM EST.

&&


VAC121-155-750-131500-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0073.000000T0000Z-201113T2234Z/
/RDFV2.2.ER.201112T1435Z.201113T0600Z.201113T1634Z.NO/
955 PM EST Thu Nov 12 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until tomorrow afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the New River At Radford.
* Until Friday afternoon.
* At 9:15 PM EST Thursday the stage was 18.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 19.0 feet 
  just after midnight Friday. It will then fall below flood stage 
  late Friday morning.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet, riverside parking lots are affected
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, significant flooding occurs in Bissett Park.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, all of Dedman Center lower parking lots are 
  flooded.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 19.8 
  feet on 11/20/2003.


&&

LAT...LON 3708 8062 3722 8065 3727 8053 3722 8048
      3710 8050

$$

VAC155-197-131500-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-201113T2030Z/
/ALSV2.1.ER.201112T0828Z.201112T1900Z.201113T0830Z.NO/
955 PM EST Thu Nov 12 2020

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the New River AT Allisonia.
* Until Friday afternoon.
* At 8:30 PM EST Thursday the stage was 10.6 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river crest was 12.1 feet at 3:15 PM 
  EST Thursday afternoon.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late 
  Thursday night and continue falling to 2.8 feet early Tuesday 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, parts of Julia Simpkins Road, Route 693 on 
  the right bank are cut off.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet, water is several feet deep along portions 
  of Clarks Ferry Road, Route 653.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 10.6 
  feet on 02/23/2019.


&&

LAT...LON 3685 8098 3702 8073 3699 8064 3692 8070
      3686 8081 3685 8089

$$

VFJ

092 
WGUS81 KRNK 130944
FLSRNK

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
444 AM EST Fri Nov 13 2020

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following river in 
Virginia...

  New River at Allisonia affecting Pulaski and Wythe Counties.

VAC155-197-131045-
/O.CAN.KRNK.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-201113T0944Z/
/ALSV2.1.ER.201112T0828Z.201112T1900Z.201113T0830Z.NO/
444 AM EST Fri Nov 13 2020

...The Flood Warning for the New River AT Allisonia has been 
cancelled...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the New River AT Allisonia.
* At 4:30 AM EST Friday, the stage was 7.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall and stay below flood 
  stage.


&&

LAT...LON 3685 8098 3702 8073 3699 8064 3692 8070
      3686 8081 3685 8089

$$

PW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
641 PM EST Wed Nov 11 2020

.SYNOPSIS...
Overnight a cold front will combine with moisture from tropical
cyclone Eta over the Gulf of Mexico to bring another round of
locally heavy rainfall to the Appalachians and central mid
Atlantic region tonight. High pressure will bring drier
conditions for the end of the week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
As of 145 PM EST Wednesday...

A very wet morning for the whole CWA, with the maximum activity
along the spine of the Blue Ridge, and another local max near
Lynchburg. Totals in those areas have been from 2"-4", with 1"-2"
elsewhere. As the afternoon begins, a slight lull in coverage is
occurring as previously forecast. However, as coverage has gone
down, convective activity appears to be on the rise. An individual
cell or two with higher cloud tops and radar returns over 50dBZ have
popped up in southwest VA, as well as some convection near
Greenbrier County, WV.

The focus this afternoon will be watching for when the cold front
enters the area, which will signal the beginning of the second batch
of heavy rain entering our area. CAMs indicate a quick sweep of
heavy rain through the Mountain Empire this evening, and then a bit
of a stall once the front makes it past the Blue Ridge. There is a
pretty good consensus that a band of heavy rain will stick around
for a few hours. The NAM especially tends towards that solution,
holding a band of heavy rain over a line from Roanoke to Lynchburg
for close to 12 hours tonight and into Thursday morning. With some
instability in the area, there could be some thunder mixed in. Based
on the heavy, soaking rain this morning in the Lynchburg area, a
Flash Flood Watch was issued in preparation for the second wave of
heavy rain in that area overnight Wednesday.

Temperatures are warm for this time of year, most sites east of the
Blue Ridge are already over 70 degrees, and will climb a few more
degrees. Everywhere else is at least in the mid 60s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
As of 250 PM EST Wednesday...

Our cold front continues east into central Virginia as strong high
pressure nudges in from the north and west across the Ohio River
Valley. As result rain chances will slowly diminish from west to
east across the region as the front pushes toward the Virginia/North
Carolina coast. Even with that said there may still be ongoing
hydrological issues regarding minor flooding on areas streams and
creeks especially east of the Blue Ridge. Showers look to persist on
the backside of the front as leftover moisture will remain prevalent
through at least Thursday night.

The 12z NAM remains the most aggressive here in stalling the front
along the coast through Friday morning while the remnant low of ETa
passes off the North Carolina coast. The 12z GFS and Euro remains
drier with high pressure taking the wheel late THursday night into
early Friday morning and pushing the front further south into the
Carolinas.

The departing front and remnant core of Eta along with incoming dry
high pressure should provide us with good boundary layer mixing by
Friday afternoon. Model soundings from the GFS, Euro, and even the
Canadian to an extent depict winds out of the northwest at 10-15 mph
with gusts of 20-30 mph up over the higher terrain. This should drag
in some colder air and with lowering relative humidity values comes
a return to overnight lows in the 30s Friday night into Saturday
morning.

Winds diminish Saturday afternoon as high pressure slides east. High
temperatures will remain seasonable in the mid to upper 50s and low
60s. Lows will be a touch warmer in the low to mid 40s as high
pressure heads for the coast and our next cold front approaches from
the Ohio River Valley.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Models continue to show an upper wave of energy crossing through the
northern stream of the jetstream early Sunday morning. This will drag
our next cold front through the region Sunday into Sunday night. The
GFS continues to show a broken line of precipitation pulling through
late Sunday into Monday morning while the European is a touch
quicker by 6 hours and wetter during the same time range.

Synoptically a large trough looks to move into the area Monday
allowing for breezy conditions as our front fades to the east and
cool high pressure settles in.

With the trough a few pieces of weak energy will roll on through
especially with a northwest component to the wind on both Monday
afternoon and evening as well as on Tuesday night into Wednesday
morning. Some upslope snow showers or flurries may be possible
during this time according to the latest 12z GFS and European model
runs. The overall question is to how much moisture can we fetch off
the lakes to the north and will it win out with strengthening high
pressure overhead. Temperatures look to remain at or slightly above
normal through the period.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 645 PM EST Wednesday...

Flight conditions are up a bit, with the prevailing conditions
VFR/MVFR. The current problem is the convective nature of storms at
the moment. Cigs and visibility will drop to IFR/LIFR conditions
rapidly as a strong thunderstorm moves over them. From 1200Z until
1203Z, BCB, ROA and DAN are in the direct path of some of the
stronger convection in the area. BLF, LWB, and LYH are all near the
storms and are in spots that could see formation in that same time
frame. Beyond that, BLF and LWB ought to become a bit more clear as
the front surpasses them. Until 1215Z or so, BCB, DAN, ROA, and LYH
all are within the threat area for thunderstorms and could see
dramatic changes in flight conditions. As the front comes across ROA
and LYH will be at particular risk of extended periods of IFR/LIFR
conditions.

As the front approaches, the prevailing VFR/MVFR will deteriorate
into mostly IFR until later Thursday morning. Cigs will drop and
vsbys will decrease with rain showers. As Thursday morning
progresses, cigs will begin to come up and vsbys will increase
behind the front with some drier air and as diurnal heating begins
to kick in. Conditions will return to a more VFR/MVFR situation.

.Extended Aviation Discussion...

High probability for sub-VFR conditions with widespread rainfall
into Thursday as moisture from the tropics combines with an
upper level trough and surface front over the region. Models
diverge for the weekend with some indication that clearing will
take place as high pressure builds into the north for the
weekend, but maintaining cloudy wet weather along the southeast
Atlantic Coast from the remnants of Eta.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
As of 200 AM EST Wednesday...

No change to previous thinking with locally heavy rainfall
poised to move up from the south this morning. Expect widespread
1 to 2 inch amounts for the piedmont and foothills, with 2 to
locally 3 inches expected along the crest of the Blue Ridge of
the North Carolina Highlands through southern Roanoke County
this morning. Training of rain bands over the same areas is also
possible, which may lead to locally higher amounts and the
possibility of minor flooding of small creeks and streams. A
flood watch has been issued for the counties on either side of
the crest of the Blue Ridge from Roanoke southward as a result
of the potential for heavy rain.

A cold front will pass eastward across the central Appalachians
Wednesday night/early Thursday, bringing a renewed threat of
heavy rain, where an additional 1 to 2 inches is possible, more
so along and east of the Blue Ridge. Localized flooding will
again be a possibility with this rain before it exits the area
to the east by Thursday afternoon.

The strongest potential for mainstem river flooding is found
across the Dan River basin and the Roanoke River downstream of
Roanoke, where bankfull conditions are expected, possibly minor
flooding. The James River basin, as well as basins west of the
Blue Ridge, are not expected to be as heavily impacted.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...Flash Flood Watch through Thursday morning for VAZ023-024-034-
     035-045>047-059.
     Flood Watch through Thursday evening for VAZ015>017-022-032-
     033-043-044-058.
NC...Flood Watch through Thursday evening for NCZ001>006-018>020.
WV...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MBS
NEAR TERM...VFJ
SHORT TERM...ET
LONG TERM...ET/NF
AVIATION...VFJ
HYDROLOGY...MBS/PW

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
234 PM EST Wed Nov 11 2020

VAZ007-009>014-018>020-WVZ042>044-507-508-121945-
Tazewell-Smyth-Bland-Giles-Wythe-Pulaski-Montgomery-Craig-
Alleghany VA-Bath-Mercer-Summers-Monroe-Eastern Greenbrier-
Western Greenbrier-
234 PM EST Wed Nov 11 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Virginia, west
central Virginia and southeast West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Heavy rainfall may produce localized flooding today and tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ001>006-018>020-VAZ015>017-022-032-033-043-044-058-121945-
Ashe-Alleghany NC-Surry-Stokes-Rockingham-Caswell-Watauga-Wilkes-
Yadkin-Grayson-Carroll-Floyd-Roanoke-Patrick-Franklin-Henry-
Pittsylvania-Halifax-
234 PM EST Wed Nov 11 2020

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina,
northwest North Carolina, south central Virginia, southwest
Virginia and west central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

VAZ023-024-034-035-045>047-059-121945-
Botetourt-Rockbridge-Bedford-Amherst-Campbell-Appomattox-Buckingham-
Charlotte-
234 PM EST Wed Nov 11 2020

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Virginia, south
central Virginia and west central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

Heavy rainfall may produce localized flooding today and tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
640 PM EST Wed Nov 11 2020

VAZ011-013-014-017-018-120030-
Giles-Pulaski-Floyd-Montgomery-Craig-
640 PM EST Wed Nov 11 2020

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT PULASKI...SOUTHEASTERN
GILES...SOUTHWESTERN CRAIG...CENTRAL FLOYD AND MONTGOMERY COUNTIES
AND THE CITY OF RADFORD...

At 640 PM EST, radar indicated strong thunderstorms were located
along a line extending from Bane to near Dugspur. Movement was
northeast at 35 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph are possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Blacksburg...
Christiansburg...
Radford...
Pulaski...
Dublin...
Pembroke...
and Floyd.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may
cause localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

LAT...LON 3755 8024 3736 8023 3734 8026 3733 8026
      3728 8023 3690 8021 3691 8062 3693 8063
      3688 8074 3695 8080 3727 8081 3743 8048
      3743 8046 3751 8030
TIME...MOT...LOC 2340Z 231DEG 32KT 3725 8073 3684 8069

AS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
656 PM EST WED NOV 11 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0649 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 N APPOMATTOX          37.38N 78.82W
11/11/2020                   APPOMATTOX         VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ABOUT A FOOT OF MOVING WATER COVERING
            HORSESHOE ROAD.

&&

VFJ

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
724 PM EST Wed Nov 11 2020

VAZ019-020-024-120115-
Bath-Rockbridge-Alleghany-
724 PM EST Wed Nov 11 2020

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN ALLEGHANY...
NORTHERN ROCKBRIDGE AND BATH COUNTIES IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...

At 723 PM EST, a strong thunderstorm was located over Clifton Forge,
moving northeast at 45 mph.

Winds in excess of 30 mph are possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Clifton Forge...
Goshen...
Warm Springs...
Millboro...
Hot Springs...
Rockbridge Baths...
and Iron Gate.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

LAT...LON 3818 7951 3815 7953 3817 7949 3817 7944
      3815 7944 3809 7949 3794 7922 3778 7974
      3780 7982 3774 7989 3789 8002 3821 7959
TIME...MOT...LOC 0023Z 230DEG 37KT 3783 7984

AS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
728 PM EST WED NOV 11 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0623 PM     FLASH FLOOD      APPOMATTOX              37.36N 78.82W
11/11/2020                   APPOMATTOX         VA   911 CALL CENTER

            NUMEROUS FLOOD REPORTS OF WATER COVERING
            ROADWAYS ACROSS APPOMATTOX COUNTY.

&&

VFJ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
743 PM EST WED NOV 11 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0704 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 ESE WENTWORTH         36.39N 79.74W
11/11/2020                   ROCKINGHAM         NC   911 CALL CENTER

            NUMEROUS REPORTS OF FLOODED ROADS AROUND
            ROCKINGHAM COUNTY, CONCENTRATED IN THE
            REIDSVILLE AND MADISON AREAS, INCLUDING A
            SIGNIFICANT PORTION OF SCALE STREET IN
            REIDSVILLE.

&&

VFJ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
757 PM EST WED NOV 11 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0719 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 N DANVILLE AIRPORT    36.60N 79.34W
11/11/2020                   PITTSYLVANIA       VA   911 CALL CENTER

            WATER OVER THE ROADWAY AT THE INTERSECTION
            OF WILKERSON ROAD AND KENTUCK ROAD.

&&

EST