Alert archive / West Virginia / Special Weather Statements in 2020

Special Weather Statement, NWS Charleston, WV

June 10, 20204 states

NWS Charleston, WV issued this special weather statement at Jun 10, 2020, 4:04 PM EDT for 4 states. It was in force for 116 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 10, 2020, 4:04 PM EDT (20:04 UTC)
Expired
Jun 10, 2020, 6:00 PM EDT
In force
116 min
Issued by
NWS Charleston, WV
All 44 counties

Boyd County, KY, Carter County, KY, Elliott County, KY, Greenup County, KY, Lawrence County, KY, Martin County, KY, Athens County, OH, Gallia County, OH, Jackson County, OH, Lawrence County, OH, Meigs County, OH, Morgan County, OH, Perry County, OH, Vinton County, OH, Washington County, OH, Buchanan County, VA, Dickenson County, VA, Barbour County, WV, Boone County, WV, Braxton County, WV, Cabell County, WV, Calhoun County, WV, Clay County, WV, Doddridge County, WV, Gilmer County, WV, Harrison County, WV, Jackson County, WV, Kanawha County, WV, Lewis County, WV, Lincoln County, WV, Logan County, WV, Mason County, WV, McDowell County, WV, Mingo County, WV, Pleasants County, WV, Putnam County, WV, Ritchie County, WV, Roane County, WV, Taylor County, WV, Tyler County, WV, Upshur County, WV, Wayne County, WV, Wirt County, WV, Wood County, WV

The radar

The Charleston,WV radar (KRLX), 8 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 12:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 212 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2020-06-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 346 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2020-06-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 205 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
346 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-192 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
774 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
15 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
205 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
116 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Charleston, WV wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jun 10, 2:36 PM EDT, 1 hour 28 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 10, 2:36 PM EDT, 1 hour 28 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Charleston WV
236 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2020

.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front approaches from the west, resulting in
thunderstorm chances through tonight. High pressure and cooler
conditions on Thursday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 225 PM Wednesday...

Convection has already begun to develop along the mountains this
afternoon where enough lift is being generated within a moisture
rich and unstable environment. As the afternoon progresses,
convection is expected to spread further west into the CWA as
this area receives greater forcing within the pre-frontal
environment of an approaching cold front. During this time, any
thunderstorms that develop have the potential to become strong
or severe.

This evening into tonight, a line of convection should sweep
through the CWA from west to east. This line will likely
coincide with the cold front passage. While wind should be the
primary threat, isolated hail and the possibility of a tornado
can't be ruled out.

Excluding the mountains, heat index values are expected to once
again reach upper 90s with isolated instances of 100 possible.
Currently have an SPS out for the afternoon, as temperatures
will likely fall short of Heat Advisory criteria.

Temperatures should fall into the 60s overnight (50s for the
mountains) following the cold front passage. Thursday's highs
are forecast in the upper 70s to low 80s (60s to 70s in the
higher elevations).

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
As of 236 PM Wednesday...

Surface high pressure should be in control of the weather across our
region through the period.  An upper level trof will dig southeast
with several models indicating an upper low will develop to our
north.

As a result, expect any convection should be limited to our northern
counties during the afternoon and evening hours on Saturday.

Guidance suggests there will be a cooling trend with temperatures
across the lowlands generally in the lower 80s on Friday with
readings on Saturday in the mid 70s to around 80 degrees.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 236 PM Wednesday...

Surface high pressure should remain in control of the weather across
our region through the period.  The long range models indicate we
will remain under the influence of an upper trough or possibly an
upper closed low.

Expect a chance of showers and thunderstorms will prevail each
afternoon and evening.

Daytime temperatures should slowly rise each day with readings on
Tuesday near normal and slightly above normal by Wednesday.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 145 PM Wednesday...

Starting off with VFR conditions; however, as thunderstorms
form this afternoon, periods of lowered CIGs and/or visibility
may occur. Expecting these showers and storms to be scattered
and could become strong or severe. Already beginning to see
convection developing near EKN and BKW, and should have more
widespread convection as the afternoon progresses.

This evening into tonight, a cold front will move across the
area bringing a line of convection from west to east. Greater
chances of TS and RA will accompany this line, along with a
greater likelihood of degraded flight conditions. Thunderstorm
development along this line may be strong to severe with wind
and hail as the greatest threats.

Degraded CIGs may linger for a few hours following the frontal
passage, but should improve back to VFR by the end of the TAF
period.

Gusty winds are expected to continue through the afternoon,
then die down overnight. Sustained winds should remain in the
5-15KT range for the period.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY...

FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Medium.

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Timing of convection may vary for this
afternoon and evening. Extent of convection this afternoon may
also vary. CIG/VIS may lower during showers and thunderstorms.

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH:   TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW:    TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

UTC 1HRLY       18   19   20   21   22   23   00   01   02   03   04   05
EDT 1HRLY       14   15   16   17   18   19   20   21   22   23   00   01
CRW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
HTS CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
BKW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
EKN CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
PKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
CKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H

AFTER 18Z THURSDAY...
No widespread IFR conditions expected at this time.

&&

.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...None.
OH...None.
KY...None.
VA...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JSH
NEAR TERM...JLB
SHORT TERM...JSH
LONG TERM...JSH
AVIATION...JLB
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 10, 2:47 PM EDT, 1 hour 17 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Charleston WV
247 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2020

OHZ066-111900-
Perry-
247 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast Ohio.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms may occur this afternoon,
followed by a line of storms this evening. An Enhanced Risk of
severe weather exists, indicating that a few intense severe storms
are possible, mainly this evening. The main severe weather threats
today will be strong wind gusts and hail. However, an isolated
tornado may also occur.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions by calling the toll-free spotter hotline, or by other
methods detailed at www.weather.gov/rlx/reports.

KYZ101>103-105-OHZ067-075-076-083>087-WVZ005>011-013>020-024>032-034-
039-040-515-517-519>523-525-526-111900-
Greenup-Carter-Boyd-Lawrence KY-Morgan-Athens-Washington-Jackson OH-
Vinton-Meigs-Gallia-Lawrence OH-Wayne-Cabell-Mason-Jackson WV-Wood-
Pleasants-Tyler-Lincoln-Putnam-Kanawha-Roane-Wirt-Calhoun-Ritchie-
Doddridge-Mingo-Logan-Boone-Clay-Braxton-Gilmer-Lewis-Harrison-
Taylor-Wyoming-Upshur-Barbour-Northwest Raleigh-Northwest Fayette-
Northwest Nicholas-Southeast Nicholas-Northwest Webster-
Southeast Webster-Northwest Pocahontas-Northwest Randolph-
Southeast Randolph-
247 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Kentucky, portions
of southeast Ohio and much of West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Scattered thunderstorms may occur this afternoon, followed by a line
of storms this evening and tonight. A Slight Risk of severe weather
exists, indicating that scattered severe storms may occur. The main
severe weather threats today will be strong wind gusts and hail.
However, an isolated tornado may also occur.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions by calling the toll-free spotter hotline, or by other
methods detailed at www.weather.gov/rlx/reports.

VAZ003-004-WVZ033-516-518-524-111900-
Dickenson-Buchanan-McDowell-Southeast Raleigh-Southeast Fayette-
Southeast Pocahontas-
247 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Virginia, and
portions of northeast West Virginia, southeast West Virginia and
southern West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Scattered thunderstorms may occur this afternoon, followed by a line
of storms this evening and tonight. A Marginal Risk of severe
weather exists, indicating that isolated severe storms may occur. The
main severe weather threats today will be strong wind gusts and
hail.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions by calling the toll-free spotter hotline, or by other
methods detailed at www.weather.gov/rlx/reports.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 10, 4:04 PM EDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
404 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2020

KYZ101>103-105-OHZ066-067-075-076-083>087-VAZ003-004-WVZ005>011-
013>020-024>033-039-040-525-102200-
Lawrence-Carter-Boyd-Greenup-Lawrence-Vinton-Athens-Meigs-Gallia-
Jackson-Morgan-Perry-Washington-Dickenson-Buchanan-Doddridge-
Northwest
Randolph-Roane-Wood-Upshur-Lewis-Mingo-Wayne-Harrison-Logan-Gilmer-
Cabell-Wirt-Kanawha-Lincoln-Braxton-Calhoun-Barbour-Jackson-Clay-
McDowell-Ritchie-Boone-Mason-Taylor-Pleasants-Tyler-Putnam-
404 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2020

...HOT AND HUMID THIS AFTERNOON...

High temperatures have reached the low 90s in spots this afternoon,
with isolated areas in the mid 90s. High moisture values will result
in very humid conditions. This afternoon, heat index values will
likely be in the upper 90s, with a few locations briefly reaching
100.

Take precautions if you work or have to spend time outside. Wear
lightweight and loose fitting clothing when possible and take
frequent rest breaks in shaded or air conditioned environments.
Anyone overcome by heat should be moved to a cool and shaded
location. Children and pets should not be left unattended in
vehicles under any circumstances. During hot weather, car interiors
can reach lethal temperatures in a matter of minutes.

LAT...LON 3702 8248 3720 8256 3754 8197 3797 8301
      3832 8334 3873 8303 3860 8274 3937 8275
      3947 8217 3993 8246 3959 8158 3944 7990
      3943 7989 3901 7969 3861 8001 3874 8046
      3775 8176 3755 8185 3743 8133 3728 8142
TIME...MOT...LOC 2003Z 240DEG 49KT 3979 8198

MEK

The office that day

Everything else NWS Charleston, WV issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 10, 7:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXCabell61 min
Jun 10, 6:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXAthens, Jackson, Morgan, Perry, Vinton76 min
Jun 10, 6:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXAthens, Gallia, Jackson, Lawrence, Meigs, Vinton72 min
Jun 10, 7:53 PM EDTTornado WarningRLXLawrence37 min
Jun 10, 7:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXAthens, Morgan, Perry, Washington48 min
Jun 10, 7:37 PM EDTTornado WarningRLXGreenup23 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in West Virginia, 2020Special Weather Statements in Ohio, 2020Special Weather Statements in Kentucky, 2020Every special weather statement in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.