Severe Thunderstorm Warning 63, NWS Raleigh, NC

118 
WWUS52 KRAH 281954
SVSRAH

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
354 PM EDT Thu May 28 2020

NCC123-167-282045-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0063.000000T0000Z-200528T2045Z/
Montgomery NC-Stanly NC-
354 PM EDT Thu May 28 2020

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM EDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN MONTGOMERY AND STANLY COUNTIES...

At 354 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Midland, or 15
miles north of Monroe, moving northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Albemarle, Badin Lake, Plyler, Fairview In Union County, Locust,
Norwood, Badin, Oakboro, Stanfield and New London.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Straight line winds can blow down trees, power lines, and damage
mobile homes and other buildings. Seek shelter in a sturdy structure
until the storm has passed. Stay away from windows as flying debris
generated by damaging winds can be deadly.

This thunderstorm is capable of producing all types of severe weather
including extremely large hail, destructive straight line winds and
tornadoes. Move quickly to a safe shelter, such as an interior room,
a bathroom or closet or basement.

&&

LAT...LON 3536 8039 3551 8012 3550 8009 3529 7989
      3517 8023 3521 8025 3520 8030 3518 8031
      3517 8035 3518 8037 3517 8039 3517 8042
      3516 8044 3518 8051
TIME...MOT...LOC 1954Z 241DEG 20KT 3520 8046 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

23

953 
WWUS52 KRAH 282016
SVSRAH

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
416 PM EDT Thu May 28 2020

NCC123-167-282045-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0063.000000T0000Z-200528T2045Z/
Montgomery NC-Stanly NC-
416 PM EDT Thu May 28 2020

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM EDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN MONTGOMERY AND STANLY COUNTIES...

At 416 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 8 miles east of
Midland, or 12 miles southwest of Albemarle, moving northeast at 25
mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Albemarle, Badin Lake, Plyler, Locust, Norwood, Badin, Oakboro,
Stanfield, New London and Uwharrie Haven.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Straight line winds can blow down trees, power lines, and damage
mobile homes and other buildings. Seek shelter in a sturdy structure
until the storm has passed. Stay away from windows as flying debris
generated by damaging winds can be deadly.

This thunderstorm is capable of producing all types of severe weather
including extremely large hail, destructive straight line winds and
tornadoes. Move quickly to a safe shelter, such as an interior room,
a bathroom or closet or basement.

&&

LAT...LON 3536 8039 3551 8012 3550 8009 3529 7989
      3517 8023 3521 8025 3520 8030 3518 8031
      3517 8035 3518 8037 3517 8039 3517 8041
      3518 8042 3525 8045
TIME...MOT...LOC 2016Z 243DEG 22KT 3523 8035 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

23

129 
WWUS52 KRAH 282031
SVSRAH

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
431 PM EDT Thu May 28 2020

NCC123-167-282045-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0063.000000T0000Z-200528T2045Z/
Montgomery NC-Stanly NC-
431 PM EDT Thu May 28 2020

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM EDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN MONTGOMERY AND STANLY COUNTIES...

At 431 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 9 miles south of
Plyler, or 9 miles south of Albemarle, moving east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Albemarle, Badin Lake, Plyler, Norwood, Badin, Oakboro, New London,
Uwharrie Haven, Morrow Mountain State Park and Fish Tales Marina.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Straight line winds can blow down trees, power lines, and damage
mobile homes and other buildings. Seek shelter in a sturdy structure
until the storm has passed. Stay away from windows as flying debris
generated by damaging winds can be deadly.

This thunderstorm is capable of producing all types of severe weather
including extremely large hail, destructive straight line winds and
tornadoes. Move quickly to a safe shelter, such as an interior room,
a bathroom or closet or basement.

&&

LAT...LON 3536 8039 3551 8012 3550 8009 3529 7989
      3517 8023 3521 8025 3520 8030 3522 8034
      3534 8040
TIME...MOT...LOC 2031Z 249DEG 21KT 3524 8025 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

23

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
215 PM EDT Thu May 28 2020

.SYNOPSIS...
Deep southerly flow in advance of a slow moving cold front
approaching from the west will keep a moist and humid airmass in
place through Saturday. A cold front will move through the region
late Saturday night, bringing cooler and drier air to NC Sunday
and into early next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 215 PM Thursday...

...Locally heavy rain still a threat today...

Deep southerly flow between a seasonably strong and slow moving
upper trough over the Mid-South/Tn Valley and a subtropical ridge
over the Western Atlantic will continue to transport very moist and
humid air into the region.

ATM, some locally heavy showers continue across the eastern NC but
the movement should continue to be fast enough to prevent flooding
concerns. Although it will remain mostly cloudy today, visible
satellite imagery does show the potential for some brief breaks
in cloud cover to allow for some partial/tempered heating, enough so
that the muggy airmass should become moderately unstable by the
afternoon. As afternoon temps climb into the lower to mid 80s,
expect re-development of scattered showers and thunderstorms, with
the best coverage initially expected along and east of US-1, within
the deeper moisture axis in place across eastern half of the
forecast area.

Then by the evening and into the overnight hours, models suggest
an uptick in convection from the southwest, a likely impact from
the upstream impulse/MCV currently over northern Alabama or similar
disturbance that will move into the area. While we will stabilize
some, models suggest we will maintain at least weak instability
across the area overnight to maintain a good chance PoP.

A belt of enhanced wind shear across western NC in association
with the upper trough to our west may support an isolated strong
to severe storm through the early evening. Elsewhere, storms should
remain below severe limits. Due to wet antecedent conditions,
isolated flash flooding will be primary threat, especially in urban
and poor drainage areas.

Expect muggy conditions overnight with lows in the upper 60s to
lower 70s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
As of 230 AM Thursday...

Ample moisture with dew points around 70 will start the day Friday.
Our region will then receive a glancing blow from the a shortwave
trough that is expected to swing from the Ohio Valley to northern
Mid-Atlantic states late Friday. Strong heating and the presence of
the Piedmont trough will lead to scattered thunderstorms Friday
afternoon. The activity may become more robust as it develops
eastward into higher instability due to surface heating late
afternoon and evening. Highs should top out in the mid 80s (83 NW to
88 Sandhills). A few strong storms will be possible late in the
afternoon into the mid-evening hours.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 230 AM Thursday...

The main cold front associated with the pattern change to troughing
aloft is expected to move through the region late Saturday and
Saturday night. There will continue to be scattered showers/storms,
especially during Sat afternoon and evening. Much drier air will
overspread the region Sunday and Sunday night, confining the chance
of showers to the SE zones Sunday, then NIL POP and weather on
Sunday night into next week. Highs will cool back into the 70s with
lows in the 50s (5-10 degrees below normal Sunday through Tuesday),
moderating again by Wednesday to near normal readings.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 215 PM Thursday...

24 hour TAF period: Afternoon heating will allow ceilings to lift to
low-end VFR at all TAF sites by 20z. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms will re-develop across the area this afternoon
and could linger well into the evening and overnight hours
owing to weak disturbances moving through the area. The moist
airmass in place will support the development of widespread
LIFR to MVFR stratus across the area overnight. These sub-VFR
ceilings are expected to lift to VFR between 15 to 18z Friday
with scattered convection expected once again Friday afternoon
and evening.

Looking ahead: Very moist air will remain in place will support
scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms on Saturday as a
cold front moves east through the area. The very moist air will also
support widespread sub-VFR conditions in early morning fog/stratus.
Drier and cooler air in the wake of the cold front will result in
predominately VFR conditions Sunday through early next week.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...CBL/Badgett
NEAR TERM...CBL
SHORT TERM...Badgett
LONG TERM...BSD
AVIATION...CBL

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
418 AM EDT Thu May 28 2020

NCZ007-021>025-038>040-073>076-083-084-290830-
Person-Forsyth-Guilford-Alamance-Orange-Durham-Davidson-Randolph-
Chatham-Stanly-Montgomery-Moore-Lee-Anson-Richmond-
418 AM EDT Thu May 28 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Locally heavy rain will occur with scattered thunderstorms, mainly
this afternoon and early evening. Urban and small stream flooding may
occur.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

NCZ008>011-026>028-041>043-077-078-085-086-088-089-290830-
Granville-Vance-Warren-Halifax-Franklin-Nash-Edgecombe-Wake-Johnston-
Wilson-Harnett-Wayne-Scotland-Hoke-Cumberland-Sampson-
418 AM EDT Thu May 28 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Showers and scattered thunderstorms with locally heavy rain are
expected today into this evening. Any training of the thunderstorms
with heavy rainfall may produce urban and small stream flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Showers and scattered thunderstorms may again produce locally heavy
rainfall, mainly Friday afternoon and evening. Urban and small
stream flooding may occur.