Alert archive / North Carolina / River Flood Warnings in 2020
River Flood Warning 77, NWS Raleigh, NC
NWS Raleigh, NC issued this river flood warning at Dec 24, 2020, 10:45 PM EST for Halifax County, Northampton County, North Carolina. It was in force for 5 days.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 24, 2020, 10:45 PM EST (03:45 UTC)
- Expired
- Dec 29, 2020, 10:17 PM EST
- In force
- 5 days
- Issued by
- NWS Raleigh, NC
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
Counties Halifax County, NC, Northampton County, NC
The radar
The Norfolk radar (KAKQ), 89 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Roanoke River near Scotland Neck (SCON7). The gauge peaked at 28.47 ft at Dec 26, 2020, 10:00 AM EST.
- Action stage
- 28 ft
- Minor stage
- 28 ft
- Moderate stage
- 31 ft
- Major stage
- 34 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02081000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
907
WGUS42 KRAH 250345
FLWRAH
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1045 PM EST Thu Dec 24 2020
...The National Weather Service in Raleigh NC has issued a Flood
Warning for the following rivers in North Carolina...
Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck affecting Halifax and
Northampton Counties.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/rah/rivers.
The next statement will be issued Friday morning by 1045 AM EST.
&&
NCC083-131-251545-
/O.NEW.KRAH.FL.W.0077.201225T0345Z-201229T2100Z/
/SCON7.1.ER.201225T0115Z.201227T0000Z.201229T0900Z.NO/
1045 PM EST Thu Dec 24 2020
The National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a
* Flood Warning for
the Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck.
* From this evening to Tuesday afternoon.
* At 10:00 PM EST Thursday the stage was 28.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 10:00 PM EST Thursday was 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 28.3 feet
Saturday evening. It will then fall below flood stage early
Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, Minor flooding begins, especially on the
left bank.
* Flood History...No available flood history.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (1 am EST)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Sat Sun Mon Tue
Lower Roanoke River
Scotland Neck 28.0 28.0 Thu 10 pm ES 28.1 28.3 28.3 28.1
&&
LAT...LON 3635 7750 3633 7742 3611 7720 3608 7727
3628 7748 3628 7759
$$
Luchetti15 follow-up statements
715
WGUS82 KRAH 251112
FLSRAH
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
612 AM EST Fri Dec 25 2020
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Neuse River Near Clayton affecting Johnston County.
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Neuse River At Smithfield affecting Johnston County.
Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck affecting Halifax and
Northampton Counties.
Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids affecting Halifax and
Northampton Counties.
For the Neuse River...including Clayton, Smithfield, Goldsboro...
Minor flooding is forecast.
For the Roanoke River...including Roanoke Rapids, Scotland Neck...
Minor flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/rah/rivers.
The next statement will be issued this evening by 615 PM EST.
&&
NCC101-252315-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0076.000000T0000Z-201227T2308Z/
/SMFN7.1.ER.201225T0633Z.201226T0600Z.201227T1108Z.NO/
612 AM EST Fri Dec 25 2020
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Sunday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Neuse River At Smithfield.
* Until Sunday evening.
* At 5:15 AM EST Friday the stage was 15.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 5:15 AM EST Friday was 15.7 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 17.9 feet
just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below flood stage
Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, Flooding begins along the Neuse Riverwalk.
Water nears the base of the holding tank at the water treatment
plant.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, The Smithfield town park and the Neuse
Riverwalk at the US70 bridge are flooded.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 18.9
feet on 09/17/2018.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 am EST)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun Mon
Neuse River
Smithfield 15.0 15.7 Fri 5 am EST 15.8 17.7 14.9 13.1
&&
LAT...LON 3554 7829 3547 7834 3544 7829 3540 7833
3547 7842 3556 7834
$$
NCC101-252315-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0075.000000T0000Z-201226T2024Z/
/CLYN7.1.ER.201225T0319Z.201225T1800Z.201226T0824Z.NO/
612 AM EST Fri Dec 25 2020
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until tomorrow afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Neuse River Near Clayton.
* Until Saturday afternoon.
* At 5:15 AM EST Friday the stage was 10.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 5:15 AM EST Friday was 10.7 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to 11.8 feet this afternoon. It
will then fall below flood stage late tonight to 5.1 feet and
begin rising again Monday evening. It will then rise again but
remain below flood stage.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor overflow occurs on both banks. Water
reaches the edge of the Neuse River Greenway trail.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet, The Neuse River Greenway at Covered Bridge
Road begins to flood.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet, Flooding which will close the Neuse River
Greenway trail.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 10.6
feet on 09/16/2018.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 am EST)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Neuse River
Clayton 9.0 10.7 Fri 5 am EST 11.1 8.1 6.1 5.2 5.2
&&
LAT...LON 3572 7843 3558 7829 3554 7829 3556 7834
3569 7848
$$
NCC083-131-252315-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-201229T2100Z/
/SCON7.1.ER.201225T0115Z.201226T1800Z.201229T0900Z.NO/
612 AM EST Fri Dec 25 2020
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck.
* Until Tuesday afternoon.
* At 5:00 AM EST Friday the stage was 28.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 5:00 AM EST Friday was 28.2 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 28.3 feet
early tomorrow afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage
early Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, Minor flooding begins, especially on the
left bank.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 29.9
feet on 05/07/2017.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 am EST)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun Mon
Lower Roanoke River
Scotland Neck 28.0 28.2 Fri 5 am EST 28.2 28.3 28.3 28.2
&&
LAT...LON 3635 7750 3633 7742 3611 7720 3608 7727
3628 7748 3628 7759
$$
NCC083-131-252315-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RRDN7.1.ER.201217T2345Z.201224T2345Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
612 AM EST Fri Dec 25 2020
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids.
* Until further notice.
* At 4:45 AM EST Friday the stage was 9.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 4:45 AM EST Friday was 9.4 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 9.4 feet
this morning, then remain steady.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor flooding begins. Farmlands and
timberlands adjacent to the river in Roanoke Rapids flood.
Property on the farmlands may be at risk from floodwaters.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet, The public boat ramp on Rockfish Ln in
Weldon is flooded.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.9
feet on 01/13/1992.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 am EST)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun Mon
Lower Roanoke River
Roanoke Rapids 9.0 9.4 Fri 4 am EST 9.3 9.4 9.4 9.4
&&
LAT...LON 3652 7765 3640 7751 3635 7750 3628 7759
3638 7761 3645 7765
$$
7523
WGUS82 KRAH 251405
FLSRAH
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
905 AM EST Fri Dec 25 2020
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck affecting Halifax and
Northampton Counties.
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids affecting Halifax and
Northampton Counties.
For the Roanoke River...including Roanoke Rapids, Scotland Neck...
Minor flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/rah/rivers.
The next statement will be issued this evening by 915 PM EST.
&&
NCC083-131-260215-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-201230T0600Z/
/SCON7.1.ER.201225T0115Z.201226T0000Z.201229T1800Z.NO/
905 AM EST Fri Dec 25 2020
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Wednesday
morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck.
* Until late Tuesday night.
* At 8:00 AM EST Friday the stage was 28.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 8:00 AM EST Friday was 28.3 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 28.4 feet
this evening. It will then fall below flood stage early Tuesday
afternoon.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, Minor flooding begins, especially on the
left bank.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 29.9
feet on 05/07/2017.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 am EST)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Sat Sun Mon Tue
Lower Roanoke River
Scotland Neck 28.0 28.3 Fri 8 am EST 28.4 28.4 28.4 28.1
&&
LAT...LON 3635 7750 3633 7742 3611 7720 3608 7727
3628 7748 3628 7759
$$
NCC083-131-260215-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RRDN7.1.ER.201217T2345Z.201224T2345Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
905 AM EST Fri Dec 25 2020
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids.
* Until further notice.
* At 8:45 AM EST Friday the stage was 9.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 8:45 AM EST Friday was 9.4 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 9.4 feet
this afternoon.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor flooding begins. Farmlands and
timberlands adjacent to the river in Roanoke Rapids flood.
Property on the farmlands may be at risk from floodwaters.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.9
feet on 01/13/1992.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 am EST)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Sat Sun Mon Tue
Lower Roanoke River
Roanoke Rapids 9.0 9.4 Fri 8 am EST 9.4 9.3 9.3 9.3
&&
LAT...LON 3652 7765 3640 7751 3635 7750 3628 7759
3638 7761 3645 7765
$$
28363
WGUS82 KRAH 260129
FLSRAH
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
829 PM EST Fri Dec 25 2020
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck affecting Halifax and
Northampton Counties.
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids affecting Halifax and
Northampton Counties.
For the Roanoke River...including Roanoke Rapids and Scotland Neck...
Minor flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/rah/rivers.
The next statement will be issued Saturday morning by 830 AM EST.
&&
NCC083-131-261330-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SCON7.1.ER.201225T0115Z.201226T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
829 PM EST Fri Dec 25 2020
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck.
* Until further notice.
* At 8:00 PM EST Friday the stage was 28.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 8:00 PM EST Friday was 28.4 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 28.5 feet
early tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, Minor flooding begins, especially on the
left bank.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 29.9
feet on 05/07/2017.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 pm EST)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Sat Sun Mon Tue
Lower Roanoke River
Scotland Neck 28.0 28.4 Fri 8 pm EST 28.5 28.5 28.5 28.5
&&
LAT...LON 3635 7750 3633 7742 3611 7720 3608 7727
3628 7748 3628 7759
$$
NCC083-131-261330-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RRDN7.1.ER.201217T2345Z.201224T2345Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
829 PM EST Fri Dec 25 2020
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids.
* Until further notice.
* At 7:45 PM EST Friday the stage was 9.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 7:45 PM EST Friday was 9.4 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 9.4 feet
just after midnight tonight.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor flooding begins. Farmlands and
timberlands adjacent to the river in Roanoke Rapids flood.
Property on the farmlands may be at risk from floodwaters.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.9
feet on 01/13/1992.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 pm EST)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Sat Sun Mon Tue
Lower Roanoke River
Roanoke Rapids 9.0 9.4 Fri 7 pm EST 9.4 9.3 9.3 9.4
&&
LAT...LON 3652 7765 3640 7751 3635 7750 3628 7759
3638 7761 3645 7765
$$
88690
WGUS82 KRAH 261003
FLSRAH
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
503 AM EST Sat Dec 26 2020
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck affecting Halifax and
Northampton Counties.
Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids affecting Halifax and
Northampton Counties.
For the Roanoke River...including Roanoke Rapids, Scotland Neck...
Minor flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/rah/rivers.
The next statement will be issued this morning by 1045 AM EST.
&&
NCC083-131-262215-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SCON7.1.ER.201225T0115Z.201226T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
503 AM EST Sat Dec 26 2020
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck.
* Until further notice.
* At 4:00 AM EST Saturday the stage was 28.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 28.5 feet
this afternoon.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, Minor flooding begins, especially on the
left bank.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 29.9
feet on 05/07/2017.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 am EST)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Sat Sun Mon Tue
Lower Roanoke River
Scotland Neck 28.0 28.4 Sat 4 am EST 28.4 28.5 28.5 28.5
&&
LAT...LON 3635 7750 3633 7742 3611 7720 3608 7727
3628 7748 3628 7759
$$
NCC083-131-262215-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RRDN7.1.ER.201217T2345Z.201224T2345Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
503 AM EST Sat Dec 26 2020
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids.
* Until further notice.
* At 3:45 AM EST Saturday the stage was 9.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 9.4 feet
this afternoon.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor flooding begins. Farmlands and
timberlands adjacent to the river in Roanoke Rapids flood.
Property on the farmlands may be at risk from floodwaters.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet, The public boat ramp on Rockfish Ln in
Weldon is flooded.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.9
feet on 01/13/1992.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 am EST)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Sat Sun Mon Tue
Lower Roanoke River
Roanoke Rapids 9.0 9.4 Sat 3 am EST 9.4 9.3 9.3 9.4
&&
LAT...LON 3652 7765 3640 7751 3635 7750 3628 7759
3638 7761 3645 7765
$$
7844
WGUS82 KRAH 261405
FLSRAH
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
905 AM EST Sat Dec 26 2020
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Tar River At Louisburg affecting Franklin County.
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Neuse River At Smithfield affecting Johnston County.
Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck affecting Halifax and
Northampton Counties.
Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids affecting Halifax and
Northampton Counties.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/rah/rivers.
The next statement will be issued this evening by 915 PM EST.
&&
NCC069-270215-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0078.000000T0000Z-201227T1330Z/
/LOUN7.1.ER.201226T1023Z.201226T1800Z.201227T0130Z.NO/
905 AM EST Sat Dec 26 2020
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until tomorrow morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Tar River At Louisburg.
* Until Sunday morning.
* At 8:45 AM EST Saturday the stage was 20.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 20.5 feet
this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage this evening.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, banks overflow at Main Street. River Bend
Park is flooded and storm drains are inundated along the river.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.0
feet on 09/19/2018.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 am EST)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Sun Mon Tue Wed
Tar River
Louisbur 20.0 20.4 Sat 8 am EST 17.5 11.8 8.9 7.4
&&
LAT...LON 3615 7834 3611 7828 3595 7818 3590 7820
3606 7830 3613 7838
$$
NCC101-270215-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0076.000000T0000Z-201228T0345Z/
/SMFN7.1.ER.201225T0633Z.201226T1200Z.201227T1545Z.NO/
905 AM EST Sat Dec 26 2020
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late tomorrow evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Neuse River At Smithfield.
* Until Sunday evening.
* At 8:15 AM EST Saturday the stage was 18.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late
tomorrow morning and continue falling to 11.7 feet Thursday
morning.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, The Smithfield town park and the Neuse
Riverwalk at the US70 bridge are flooded.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 18.9
feet on 09/17/2018.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 am EST)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Sun Mon Tue Wed
Neuse River
Smithfield 15.0 18.0 Sat 8 am EST 15.5 13.2 12.5 12.2
&&
LAT...LON 3554 7829 3547 7834 3544 7829 3540 7833
3547 7842 3556 7834
$$
NCC083-131-270215-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SCON7.1.ER.201225T0115Z.201226T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
905 AM EST Sat Dec 26 2020
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck.
* Until further notice.
* At 8:00 AM EST Saturday the stage was 28.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 28.5 feet
this afternoon.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, Minor flooding begins, especially on the
left bank.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 29.9
feet on 05/07/2017.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 am EST)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Sun Mon Tue Wed
Lower Roanoke River
Scotland Neck 28.0 28.5 Sat 8 am EST 28.5 28.5 28.4 28.4
&&
LAT...LON 3635 7750 3633 7742 3611 7720 3608 7727
3628 7748 3628 7759
$$
NCC083-131-270215-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RRDN7.1.ER.201217T2345Z.201224T2345Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
905 AM EST Sat Dec 26 2020
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids.
* Until further notice.
* At 8:45 AM EST Saturday the stage was 9.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 9.4 feet
this afternoon.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, farmlands and timberlands adjacent to the
river in Roanoke Rapids flood. Property on the farmlands may be
at risk from floodwaters.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.9
feet on 01/13/1992.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 am EST)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Sun Mon Tue Wed
Lower Roanoke River
Roanoke Rapids 9.0 9.4 Sat 8 am EST 9.4 9.4 9.4 9.4
&&
LAT...LON 3652 7765 3640 7751 3635 7750 3628 7759
3638 7761 3645 7765
$$
10079
WGUS82 KRAH 270102
FLSRAH
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
802 PM EST Sat Dec 26 2020
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck affecting Halifax and
Northampton Counties.
Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids affecting Halifax and
Northampton Counties.
For the Roanoke River...including Roanoke Rapids and Scotland Neck...
Minor flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Be
especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/rah/rivers.
The next statement will be issued Sunday morning by 815 AM EST.
&&
NCC083-131-271315-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SCON7.1.ER.201225T0115Z.201227T0600Z.201231T1200Z.NO/
802 PM EST Sat Dec 26 2020
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck.
* Until further notice.
* At 7:00 PM EST Saturday the stage was 28.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 7:00 PM EST Saturday was 28.5 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 28.5 feet
just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below flood stage
Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, Minor flooding begins, especially on the
left bank.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 29.9
feet on 05/07/2017.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 pm EST)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Sun Mon Tue Wed
Lower Roanoke River
Scotland Neck 28.0 28.5 Sat 7 pm EST 28.4 28.3 28.2 28.1
&&
LAT...LON 3635 7750 3633 7742 3611 7720 3608 7727
3628 7748 3628 7759
$$
NCC083-131-271315-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RRDN7.1.ER.201217T2345Z.201224T2345Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
802 PM EST Sat Dec 26 2020
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids.
* Until further notice.
* At 7:45 PM EST Saturday the stage was 9.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 7:45 PM EST Saturday was 9.4 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to remain steady above flood
stage at 9.3 feet.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor flooding begins. Farmlands and
timberlands adjacent to the river in Roanoke Rapids flood.
Property on the farmlands may be at risk from floodwaters.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.9
feet on 01/13/1992.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 pm EST)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Sun Mon Tue Wed
Lower Roanoke River
Roanoke Rapids 9.0 9.3 Sat 7 pm EST 9.3 9.3 9.3 9.3
&&
LAT...LON 3652 7765 3640 7751 3635 7750 3628 7759
3638 7761 3645 7765
$$
88374
WGUS82 KRAH 271059
FLSRAH
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
559 AM EST Sun Dec 27 2020
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Neuse River At Smithfield affecting Johnston County.
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck affecting Halifax and
Northampton Counties.
Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids affecting Halifax and
Northampton Counties.
For the Neuse River...including Smithfield...Minor flooding is
forecast.
For the Roanoke River...including Roanoke Rapids, Scotland Neck...
Minor flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/rah/rivers.
The next statement will be issued this evening by 1145 AM EST.
&&
NCC083-131-272300-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-210101T0000Z/
/SCON7.1.ER.201225T0115Z.201226T1730Z.201231T1200Z.NO/
559 AM EST Sun Dec 27 2020
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Thursday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck.
* Until Thursday evening.
* At 5:00 AM EST Sunday the stage was 28.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
Thursday morning and continue falling to 27.8 feet Thursday
evening.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, Minor flooding begins, especially on the
left bank.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 29.9
feet on 05/07/2017.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 am EST)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Sun Mon Tue Wed
Lower Roanoke River
Scotland Neck 28.0 28.4 Sun 5 am EST 28.4 28.4 28.3 28.2
&&
LAT...LON 3635 7750 3633 7742 3611 7720 3608 7727
3628 7748 3628 7759
$$
NCC101-272300-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0076.000000T0000Z-201228T1503Z/
/SMFN7.1.ER.201225T0633Z.201226T1200Z.201228T0303Z.NO/
559 AM EST Sun Dec 27 2020
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late tomorrow morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Neuse River At Smithfield.
* Until Monday morning.
* At 5:15 AM EST Sunday the stage was 16.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late
this evening and continue falling to 13.8 feet Thursday evening.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, Flooding begins along the Neuse Riverwalk.
Water nears the base of the holding tank at the water treatment
plant.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 15.0
feet on 10/13/2018.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 am EST)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
Neuse River
Smithfield 15.0 16.3 Sun 5 am EST 16.2 14.2 13.0 13.5 13.7
&&
LAT...LON 3554 7829 3547 7834 3544 7829 3540 7833
3547 7842 3556 7834
$$
NCC083-131-272300-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RRDN7.1.ER.201217T2345Z.201224T2345Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
559 AM EST Sun Dec 27 2020
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids.
* Until further notice.
* At 4:45 AM EST Sunday the stage was 9.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to remain steady above flood
stage at 9.3 feet.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor flooding begins. Farmlands and
timberlands adjacent to the river in Roanoke Rapids flood.
Property on the farmlands may be at risk from floodwaters.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.9
feet on 01/13/1992.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 am EST)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Sun Mon Tue Wed
Lower Roanoke River
Roanoke Rapids 9.0 9.3 Sun 4 am EST 9.3 9.3 9.3 9.3
&&
LAT...LON 3652 7765 3640 7751 3635 7750 3628 7759
3638 7761 3645 7765
$$
7965
WGUS82 KRAH 271408
FLSRAH
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
908 AM EST Sun Dec 27 2020
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Neuse River At Smithfield affecting Johnston County.
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Tar River At Tarboro affecting Edgecombe County.
Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck affecting Halifax and
Northampton Counties.
Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids affecting Halifax and
Northampton Counties.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive
cars through flooded areas.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/rah/rivers.
The next statement will be issued this evening by 915 PM EST.
&&
NCC065-280215-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0079.000000T0000Z-201231T1500Z/
/TARN7.1.ER.201227T1240Z.201230T0000Z.201231T0300Z.NO/
908 AM EST Sun Dec 27 2020
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late Thursday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Tar River At Tarboro.
* Until Thursday morning.
* At 8:15 AM EST Sunday the stage was 19.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 20.5 feet
Tuesday evening. It will then fall below flood stage late
Wednesday evening.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, Minor flooding begins. The Riverside Park
and River Road at the US64 bridge flood. At 20.0 feet, Lowland
flooding begins south of Daniel Street in east Tarboro.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 22.2
feet on 04/02/2010.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 am EST)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Mon Tue Wed Thu
Tar River
Tarboro 19.0 19.0 Sun 8 am EST 20.0 20.3 20.3 17.4
&&
LAT...LON 3597 7759 3593 7748 3577 7751 3572 7756
3590 7756 3593 7761
$$
NCC101-280215-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0076.000000T0000Z-201228T1630Z/
/SMFN7.1.ER.201225T0633Z.201226T1200Z.201228T0430Z.NO/
908 AM EST Sun Dec 27 2020
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late tomorrow morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Neuse River At Smithfield.
* Until Monday morning.
* At 8:15 AM EST Sunday the stage was 16.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late
this evening and continue falling to 14.2 feet Friday morning.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, Flooding begins along the Neuse Riverwalk.
Water nears the base of the holding tank at the water treatment
plant.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 15.0
feet on 10/13/2018.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 am EST)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Mon Tue Wed Thu
Neuse River
Smithfield 15.0 16.1 Sun 8 am EST 14.6 14.4 14.6 14.4
&&
LAT...LON 3554 7829 3547 7834 3544 7829 3540 7833
3547 7842 3556 7834
$$
NCC083-131-280215-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-210101T0000Z/
/SCON7.1.ER.201225T0115Z.201226T1730Z.201231T1200Z.NO/
908 AM EST Sun Dec 27 2020
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck.
* Until Thursday evening.
* At 8:00 AM EST Sunday the stage was 28.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 28.4 feet
this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage Thursday
morning.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, Minor flooding begins, especially on the
left bank.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 29.9
feet on 05/07/2017.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 am EST)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Mon Tue Wed Thu
Lower Roanoke River
Scotland Neck 28.0 28.4 Sun 8 am EST 28.3 28.2 28.1 28.0
&&
LAT...LON 3635 7750 3633 7742 3611 7720 3608 7727
3628 7748 3628 7759
$$
NCC083-131-280215-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RRDN7.1.ER.201217T2345Z.201224T2345Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
908 AM EST Sun Dec 27 2020
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids.
* Until further notice.
* At 8:45 AM EST Sunday the stage was 9.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to remain steady above flood
stage at 9.3 feet.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor flooding begins. Farmlands and
timberlands adjacent to the river in Roanoke Rapids flood.
Property on the farmlands may be at risk from floodwaters.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.9
feet on 01/13/1992.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 am EST)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Mon Tue Wed Thu
Lower Roanoke River
Roanoke Rapids 9.0 9.3 Sun 8 am EST 9.3 9.3 9.3 9.3
&&
LAT...LON 3652 7765 3640 7751 3635 7750 3628 7759
3638 7761 3645 7765
$$
10363
WGUS82 KRAH 280102
FLSRAH
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
802 PM EST Sun Dec 27 2020
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Neuse River At Smithfield affecting Johnston County.
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Tar River At Tarboro affecting Edgecombe County.
Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck affecting Halifax and
Northampton Counties.
Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids affecting Halifax and
Northampton Counties.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive
cars through flooded areas.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/rah/rivers.
The next statement will be issued Monday morning by 1100 AM EST.
&&
NCC065-281615-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0079.000000T0000Z-201231T1320Z/
/TARN7.1.ER.201227T1240Z.201228T1800Z.201231T0120Z.NO/
802 PM EST Sun Dec 27 2020
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Thursday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Tar River At Tarboro.
* Until Thursday morning.
* At 7:15 PM EST Sunday the stage was 19.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 7:15 PM EST Sunday was 19.5 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to 20.1 feet tomorrow evening. It
will then fall to 20.0 feet and begin rising again early Tuesday
afternoon. It will rise to 20.1 feet early Wednesday morning. It
will then fall below flood stage Wednesday evening.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, The river is at bankfull.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, Minor flooding begins. The Riverside Park
and River Road at the US64 bridge flood.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Lowland flooding begins south of Daniel
Street in east Tarboro.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.7
feet on 03/13/1995.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 pm EST)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Mon Tue Wed Thu
Tar River
Tarboro 19.0 19.5 Sun 7 pm EST 20.1 20.1 19.2 15.5
&&
LAT...LON 3597 7759 3593 7748 3577 7751 3572 7756
3590 7756 3593 7761
$$
NCC083-131-281615-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-201231T0000Z/
/SCON7.1.ER.201225T0115Z.201226T1730Z.201230T1200Z.NO/
802 PM EST Sun Dec 27 2020
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Wednesday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck.
* Until Wednesday evening.
* At 7:00 PM EST Sunday the stage was 28.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 7:00 PM EST Sunday was 28.5 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
Wednesday morning and continue falling to 27.7 feet Friday evening.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, Minor flooding begins, especially on the
left bank.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 29.9
feet on 05/07/2017.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 pm EST)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Mon Tue Wed Thu
Lower Roanoke River
Scotland Neck 28.0 28.3 Sun 7 pm EST 28.1 28.0 27.9 27.8
&&
LAT...LON 3635 7750 3633 7742 3611 7720 3608 7727
3628 7748 3628 7759
$$
NCC101-281615-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0076.000000T0000Z-201228T1930Z/
/SMFN7.1.ER.201225T0633Z.201226T1200Z.201228T0730Z.NO/
802 PM EST Sun Dec 27 2020
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early tomorrow
afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Neuse River At Smithfield.
* Until Monday afternoon.
* At 7:15 PM EST Sunday the stage was 15.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 7:15 PM EST Sunday was 17.2 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage just
after midnight tonight and continue falling to 12.5 feet Friday
evening.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, Flooding begins along the Neuse Riverwalk.
Water nears the base of the holding tank at the water treatment
plant.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 15.0
feet on 10/13/2018.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 pm EST)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Mon Tue Wed Thu
Neuse River
Smithfield 15.0 15.4 Sun 7 pm EST 14.3 14.7 14.6 14.2
&&
LAT...LON 3554 7829 3547 7834 3544 7829 3540 7833
3547 7842 3556 7834
$$
NCC083-131-281615-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RRDN7.1.ER.201217T2345Z.201224T2345Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
802 PM EST Sun Dec 27 2020
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids.
* Until further notice.
* At 6:45 PM EST Sunday the stage was 9.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 6:45 PM EST Sunday was 9.4 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 9.3 feet
just after midnight tonight.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor flooding begins. Farmlands and
timberlands adjacent to the river in Roanoke Rapids flood.
Property on the farmlands may be at risk from floodwaters.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet, The public boat ramp on Rockfish Ln in
Weldon is flooded.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.9
feet on 01/13/1992.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 pm EST)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Mon Tue Wed Thu
Lower Roanoke River
Roanoke Rapids 9.0 9.3 Sun 6 pm EST 9.3 9.3 9.3 9.3
&&
LAT...LON 3652 7765 3640 7751 3635 7750 3628 7759
3638 7761 3645 7765
$$
GIH957
WGUS82 KRAH 281002
FLSRAH
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
502 AM EST Mon Dec 28 2020
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck affecting Halifax and
Northampton Counties.
For the Roanoke River...at Scotland Neck...Minor flooding is
forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive
cars through flooded areas.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/rah/rivers.
The next statement will be issued this afternoon by 500 PM EST.
&&
NCC083-131-282215-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-201231T0000Z/
/SCON7.1.ER.201225T0115Z.201226T1730Z.201230T1200Z.NO/
502 AM EST Mon Dec 28 2020
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck.
* Until Wednesday evening.
* At 4:00 AM EST Monday the stage was 28.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 4:00 AM EST Monday was 28.4 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
Wednesday and continue falling to below 28.0 feet by Friday.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, Minor flooding begins, especially on the
left bank.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 29.9
feet on 05/07/2017.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 am EST)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Mon Tue Wed Thu
Fri
Lower Roanoke River
Scotland Neck 28.0 28.2 Mon 4 am EST 28.2 28.1 28.0 27.9
27.8
&&
LAT...LON 3635 7750 3633 7742 3611 7720 3608 7727
3628 7748 3628 7759
$$
26262
WGUS82 KRAH 281402
FLSRAH
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
902 AM EST Mon Dec 28 2020
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Neuse River Near Goldsboro affecting Wayne County.
Tar River At Tarboro affecting Edgecombe County.
Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck affecting Halifax and
Northampton Counties.
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids affecting Halifax and
Northampton Counties.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive
cars through flooded areas.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/rah/rivers.
The next statement will be issued this evening by 900 PM EST.
&&
NCC191-290215-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0080.000000T0000Z-210101T0730Z/
/GLDN7.1.ER.201228T1402Z.201230T1800Z.201231T1930Z.NO/
902 AM EST Mon Dec 28 2020
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Friday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Neuse River Near Goldsboro.
* Until late Thursday night.
* At 8:15 AM EST Monday the stage was 18.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late
this morning to a crest of 18.7 feet early Wednesday afternoon. It
will then fall below flood stage early Thursday afternoon.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Water overflows the banks at the Arrington
Bridge Rd and upstream of the US-117 bridge. Ferry Bridge Rd
begins to flood.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 20.1
feet on 11/19/2018.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 am EST)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Tue Wed Thu Fri
Neuse River
Goldsboro 18.0 18.0 Mon 8 am EST 18.2 18.6 18.3 17.0
&&
LAT...LON 3538 7806 3533 7793 3528 7791 3525 7795
3529 7797 3534 7809
$$
NCC065-290215-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0079.000000T0000Z-201231T1330Z/
/TARN7.1.ER.201227T1240Z.201228T1800Z.201231T0130Z.NO/
902 AM EST Mon Dec 28 2020
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Thursday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Tar River At Tarboro.
* Until Thursday morning.
* At 8:15 AM EST Monday the stage was 19.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 20.1 feet
this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage Wednesday
evening.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, the Riverside Park and River Road at the
US64 bridge flood. At 20.0 feet, Lowland flooding begins south of
Daniel Street in east Tarboro.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.7
feet on 03/13/1995.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 am EST)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Tue Wed Thu Fri
Tar River
Tarboro 19.0 19.9 Mon 8 am EST 20.0 20.0 17.4 14.1
&&
LAT...LON 3597 7759 3593 7748 3577 7751 3572 7756
3590 7756 3593 7761
$$
NCC083-131-290215-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-201231T1200Z/
/SCON7.1.ER.201225T0115Z.201226T1730Z.201231T0000Z.NO/
902 AM EST Mon Dec 28 2020
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Thursday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck.
* Until Thursday morning.
* At 8:00 AM EST Monday the stage was 28.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
Wednesday evening and continue falling to 27.8 feet Saturday
morning.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, Minor flooding begins, especially on the
left bank.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 29.9
feet on 05/07/2017.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 am EST)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Tue Wed Thu Fri
Lower Roanoke River
Scotland Neck 28.0 28.2 Mon 8 am EST 28.1 28.0 27.9 27.8
&&
LAT...LON 3635 7750 3633 7742 3611 7720 3608 7727
3628 7748 3628 7759
$$
NCC083-131-290215-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RRDN7.1.ER.201217T2345Z.201224T2345Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
902 AM EST Mon Dec 28 2020
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids.
* Until further notice.
* At 7:45 AM EST Monday the stage was 9.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 9.3 feet
this afternoon.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, farmlands and timberlands adjacent to the
river in Roanoke Rapids flood. Property on the farmlands may be
at risk from floodwaters.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.9
feet on 01/13/1992.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 am EST)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Tue Wed Thu Fri
Lower Roanoke River
Roanoke Rapids 9.0 9.3 Mon 7 am EST 9.3 9.3 9.2 9.2
&&
LAT...LON 3652 7765 3640 7751 3635 7750 3628 7759
3638 7761 3645 7765
$$
10974
WGUS82 KRAH 290124
FLSRAH
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
824 PM EST Mon Dec 28 2020
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Neuse River Near Goldsboro affecting Wayne County.
Tar River At Tarboro affecting Edgecombe County.
Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck affecting Halifax and
Northampton Counties.
Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids affecting Halifax and
Northampton Counties.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive
cars through flooded areas.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/rah/rivers.
The next statement will be issued Tuesday morning by 1100 AM EST.
&&
NCC191-291600-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0080.000000T0000Z-210101T0600Z/
/GLDN7.1.ER.201228T1500Z.201230T1200Z.201231T1800Z.NO/
824 PM EST Mon Dec 28 2020
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Friday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Neuse River Near Goldsboro.
* Until late Thursday night.
* At 7:15 PM EST Monday the stage was 18.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 7:15 PM EST Monday was 18.3 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 18.7 feet
Wednesday morning. It will then fall below flood stage early
Thursday afternoon.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Water overflows the banks at the Arrington
Bridge Rd and upstream of the US-117 bridge. Ferry Bridge Rd
begins to flood.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Arrington Bridge Road and access roads
around Seymour Johnson Air Force Base flood.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 20.1
feet on 11/19/2018.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 pm EST)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Tue Wed Thu Fri
Neuse River
Goldsboro 18.0 18.3 Mon 7 pm EST 18.5 18.7 17.6 16.3
&&
LAT...LON 3538 7806 3533 7793 3528 7791 3525 7795
3529 7797 3534 7809
$$
NCC065-291600-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0079.000000T0000Z-201231T1330Z/
/TARN7.1.ER.201227T1240Z.201228T2345Z.201231T0130Z.NO/
824 PM EST Mon Dec 28 2020
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Tar River At Tarboro.
* Until Thursday morning.
* At 7:15 PM EST Monday the stage was 20.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 7:15 PM EST Monday was 20.1 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
Wednesday evening and continue falling to 10.3 feet Saturday
evening.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, The river is at bankfull.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, Minor flooding begins. The Riverside Park
and River Road at the US64 bridge flood.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Lowland flooding begins south of Daniel
Street in east Tarboro.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.7
feet on 03/13/1995.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 pm EST)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Tue Wed Thu Fri
Tar River
Tarboro 19.0 20.0 Mon 7 pm EST 20.0 19.2 15.3 12.4
&&
LAT...LON 3597 7759 3593 7748 3577 7751 3572 7756
3590 7756 3593 7761
$$
NCC083-131-291600-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-201231T1200Z/
/SCON7.1.ER.201225T0115Z.201226T1730Z.201231T0000Z.NO/
824 PM EST Mon Dec 28 2020
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck.
* Until Thursday morning.
* At 7:00 PM EST Monday the stage was 28.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 7:00 PM EST Monday was 28.3 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
Wednesday evening and continue falling to 27.7 feet Saturday
evening.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, Minor flooding begins, especially on the
left bank.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 29.9
feet on 05/07/2017.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 pm EST)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Tue Wed Thu Fri
Lower Roanoke River
Scotland Neck 28.0 28.1 Mon 7 pm EST 28.0 28.0 27.8 27.8
&&
LAT...LON 3635 7750 3633 7742 3611 7720 3608 7727
3628 7748 3628 7759
$$
NCC083-131-291600-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RRDN7.1.ER.201217T2345Z.201224T2345Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
824 PM EST Mon Dec 28 2020
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids.
* Until further notice.
* At 7:45 PM EST Monday the stage was 9.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 7:45 PM EST Monday was 9.3 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 9.3 feet
just after midnight tonight.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor flooding begins. Farmlands and
timberlands adjacent to the river in Roanoke Rapids flood.
Property on the farmlands may be at risk from floodwaters.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet, The public boat ramp on Rockfish Ln in
Weldon is flooded.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.9
feet on 01/13/1992.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 pm EST)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Tue Wed Thu Fri
Lower Roanoke River
Roanoke Rapids 9.0 9.3 Mon 7 pm EST 9.3 9.3 9.3 9.3
&&
LAT...LON 3652 7765 3640 7751 3635 7750 3628 7759
3638 7761 3645 7765
$$
GIH386
WGUS82 KRAH 291042
FLSRAH
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
542 AM EST Tue Dec 29 2020
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck affecting Halifax and
Northampton Counties.
Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids affecting Halifax and
Northampton Counties.
For the Roanoke River...including Roanoke Rapids, Scotland Neck...
Minor flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive
cars through flooded areas.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/rah/rivers.
The next statement will be issued this afternoon by 545 PM EST.
&&
NCC083-131-292245-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-201231T1200Z/
/SCON7.1.ER.201225T0115Z.201226T1730Z.201231T0000Z.NO/
542 AM EST Tue Dec 29 2020
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck.
* Until Thursday morning.
* At 5:00 AM EST Tuesday the stage was 28.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 5:00 AM EST Tuesday was 28.2 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 28.1 feet
this morning. It will then fall below flood stage tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, Minor flooding begins, especially on the
left bank.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 29.9
feet on 05/07/2017.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 am EST)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Tue Wed Thu Fri
Sat
Lower Roanoke River
Scotland Neck 28.0 28.1 Tue 5 am EST 28.1 28.0 27.9 27.8
27.7
&&
LAT...LON 3635 7750 3633 7742 3611 7720 3608 7727
3628 7748 3628 7759
$$
NCC083-131-292245-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RRDN7.1.ER.201217T2345Z.201224T2345Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
542 AM EST Tue Dec 29 2020
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids.
* Until further notice.
* At 4:45 AM EST Tuesday the stage was 9.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 4:45 AM EST Tuesday was 9.3 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 9.3 feet
this morning.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor flooding begins. Farmlands and
timberlands adjacent to the river in Roanoke Rapids flood.
Property on the farmlands may be at risk from floodwaters.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet, The public boat ramp on Rockfish Ln in
Weldon is flooded.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.9
feet on 01/13/1992.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 am EST)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Tue Wed Thu Fri
Sat
Lower Roanoke River
Roanoke Rapids 9.0 9.3 Tue 4 am EST 9.3 9.3 9.3 9.3
9.3
&&
LAT...LON 3652 7765 3640 7751 3635 7750 3628 7759
3638 7761 3645 7765
$$
26110
WGUS82 KRAH 291528
FLSRAH
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1028 AM EST Tue Dec 29 2020
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck affecting Halifax and
Northampton Counties.
Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids affecting Halifax and
Northampton Counties.
For the Roanoke River...including Roanoke Rapids, Scotland Neck...
Minor flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/rah/rivers.
The next statement will be issued this evening by 1030 PM EST.
&&
NCC083-131-300330-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-201230T1800Z/
/SCON7.1.ER.201225T0115Z.201226T1730Z.201230T0600Z.NO/
1028 AM EST Tue Dec 29 2020
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early tomorrow
afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck.
* Until Wednesday afternoon.
* At 9:00 AM EST Tuesday the stage was 28.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage just
after midnight tonight and continue falling to 27.7 feet Sunday
morning.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, Minor flooding begins, especially on the
left bank.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 29.9
feet on 05/07/2017.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (1 pm EST)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Wed Thu Fri Sat
Lower Roanoke River
Scotland Neck 28.0 28.0 Tue 9 am EST 27.9 27.8 27.7 27.7
&&
LAT...LON 3635 7750 3633 7742 3611 7720 3608 7727
3628 7748 3628 7759
$$
NCC083-131-300330-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RRDN7.1.ER.201217T2345Z.201224T2345Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1028 AM EST Tue Dec 29 2020
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids.
* Until further notice.
* At 8:45 AM EST Tuesday the stage was 9.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 9.3 feet
this afternoon.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor flooding begins. Farmlands and
timberlands adjacent to the river in Roanoke Rapids flood.
Property on the farmlands may be at risk from floodwaters.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.9
feet on 01/13/1992.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (1 pm EST)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Wed Thu Fri Sat
Lower Roanoke River
Roanoke Rapids 9.0 9.3 Tue 8 am EST 9.3 9.2 9.2 9.2
&&
LAT...LON 3652 7765 3640 7751 3635 7750 3628 7759
3638 7761 3645 7765
$$
BLS941
WGUS82 KRAH 300317
FLSRAH
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1017 PM EST Tue Dec 29 2020
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck affecting Halifax and
Northampton Counties.
NCC083-131-300430-
/O.CAN.KRAH.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-201230T0317Z/
/SCON7.1.ER.201225T0115Z.201226T1730Z.201230T0600Z.NO/
1017 PM EST Tue Dec 29 2020
...The Flood Warning for the Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck
has been cancelled...
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
the Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck.
* At 8:00 PM EST Tuesday the stage was 28.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to remain steady below flood
stage at 27.9 feet.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (1 am EST)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Thu Fri Sat Sun
Lower Roanoke River
Scotland Neck 28.0 28.0 Tue 8 pm EST 27.8 27.8 27.8 27.7
&&
LAT...LON 3635 7750 3633 7742 3611 7720 3608 7727
3628 7748 3628 7759
$$
88What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Dec 24, 9:59 PM EST, 46 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 24, 9:59 PM EST, 46 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Raleigh NC 959 PM EST Thu Dec 24 2020 .SYNOPSIS... A strong cold front will blast east across NC tonight. Arctic high pressure will then build across the region Christmas Day through the weekend. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... As of 955 PM Thursday... Tornado Watch #518 was locally extended in time through 04Z for our nern five counties and cancelled elsewhere. Earlier training of mini supercells in the RAH Coastal Plain, driven along the low level jet and maximum in 925-850 mb WAA; associated forcing for ascent; and underlying surface pressure falls/confluence axis, has moved to the NC coast. After a brief lull, a QLCS has recently intensified from e-cntl SC newd into cntl and e-cntl NC, with several observed gusts between 40-46 kts along the length of that line from KFLO and KMAO in SC to KFBG and KFAY in NC in the past couple of hours. This QLCS will continue to pose a risk of surface wind gusts up to 50 or 55 kts and embedded mesovortex tornadoes as it moves through the remainder of the Coastal Plain through 04Z. Sharply colder temperatures and additional wly wind gusts to 35 kts will accompany the surface cold front, analyzed at 03Z from MTV to CLT (on the doorstep of nwrn Forsyth Co.), as it surges ewd across cntl NC with associated 15 F temperatures falls in just over an hour, through 09Z. There remains a slight chance that the back edge of the departing precipitation axis may result in a short- lived/inconsequential mix with snow (less than an hour) over the Piedmont. .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 350 PM EST Thu Dec 24 2020/ ...Tornado watch in effect until 10 PM for much of eastern NC and a Wind Advisory is in effect through 1 AM along and east of I-95... As of 18Z this afternoon, the elongated area of low pressure was over and just west of the Appalachians, with the cold front extending south through GA and into the FL panhandle and north into the eastern Great Lakes. The warm front has moved through most of central NC sitting just south and east of the Triad. A line of showers and thunderstorms with embedded northward moving supercells continues to move through the Coastal Plain this afternoon. A second line of storms is over GA and FL, which will move north through the Carolinas this evening. Confluent moisture advection off the Atlantic and Gulf will likely increase instability across eastern and southeastern NC over the next several hours. Forecast soundings at KFAY and KRWI have SBCAPE of 500-1000 J/Kg with strong shear (0-1 Km 40-50 kts, 0-3 Km 50-60 kts) over eastern NC this evening as the QLCS moves into the area. The LLJ peaks at around 03Z, with 60-70 kts at 700-800 mb. Instability will be somewhat limited farther west (especially north and west of the warm front). The cold front, with its impressive wind fields suggests the treat of widespread damaging wind gusts in the QLCS to 50kt and the potential for isolated tornadoes, limited potential over the western Piedmont. The other issue will be the potential for flooding, both flash and river. Forecast PWATs at KFAY and KRWI are 1.4-1.6" this evening. Some locations have already had an inch of rain or more. The additional rainfall, if heavy enough over an urban area, could result in flash flooding. Additionally, the runoff from all of this rain will result in rises along the rivers, with the Neuse River having the greatest chance to reach minor flood stage. The upper low over the northern MS Valley will move east into the OH Valley this evening as the surface low lifts north into NY and the cold front surges east into central NC around midnight. As the cold front moves through the area from west to east this evening/tonight, the convection will shift east-northeast and out of the area by/around daybreak Christmas morning. Strong cold advection behind the front will result in a significant drop in temperatures and the potential for some additional gusty winds. There is also a chance for a very brief change-over to snow as the precipitation ends and the cold air rushes in. Confidence is not terribly high but it is possible. Regardless, no impacts expected. Most, if not all of the precipitation should be out of the area by daybreak. Lows will depend heavily on the fropa/caa but for now expect upper 20s to around 30 degrees NW to mid/upper 30s east. && .SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/... As of 200 PM Thursday... ...Cold and blustery conditions Christmas Day with the potential for a passing snow shower or flurries... An anomalously deep upper low/trough(-2 to -3 S.D)moving through the Deep South and SE US Christmas Day and Night will escort in the coldest air of the season into the Carolinas Christmas Day and night. In the wake of the cold front that will be moving out into the Atlantic Christmas morning, a ~1028mb surface high diving into the Deep South will drive strong cold dry air advection throughout the day, resulting in very minimal temperature recovery/warming Christmas day. With the calendar day high likely to occur right after midnight at most locations, daytime highs are expected to range from lower/mid 30s NW to upper 30s/near 40 SE, with temps falling during the afternoon. The strong CAA will also result in frequent NWLY winds gusts of 20 to 30 mph, strongest in the east, which will also make it feel even colder, producing wind chills in the lower/mid 20s NW to lower 30s SE. Finally, although moisture will be limited and fleeting, the incredibly strong upper forcing associated with the ~250 meter H5 falls pivoting through the region will be more than enough to squeeze out what moisture there is, to produce some flurries and/or passing snow shower by late morning and into the afternoon. No snow accumulation is expected, but it will be a nice sight as any snow on Christmas Day is a rarity across central NC. The wind gusts will abate Christmas evening which will lead us to the coldest night of the season. Lows in 15-20 north to lower 20s SE, so bundle up in multiple layers if you plan to be outdoors. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... As of 200 PM Thursday... After the cold upper trough lifts NE, and out of the region during the day on Saturday, central NC will be under the influence of quasi- zonal flow aloft through Tuesday. Temperatures will gradually moderate to near normal by Sunday and then slightly above normal on Monday as a moisture deprived cold front moves through the area. Renewed CAA will in the wake of the cold Monday night through Tuesday, will lower temps back to near or slightly below normal. The next chance of precip looks to arrive by late Wednesday and into Thursday with models indicating the potential a wet CAD event across the NC Piedmont as another strong/amplified upper trough over the central US moves into the region. At this time, p-type looks to be all rain due to the transit nature of the parent high. && .AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... As of 725 PM Thursday... As the strong cold front pushes through tonight showers and thunderstorms will move through the area. Currently (as of 00z observations) VFR conditions prevail at INT/GSO and RDU but as the last line of showers and storms move from west to east MVFR/IFR conditions will return quickly between now and 02z until 10-12z as the cold front pushed through the eastern terminals. Ahead of the front, southerly gutsy winds have been observed up to 35kts and will change to more of a westerly wind and remain gusty though most of the day tomorrow. As the rain moves out with the main cold front there is a chance of post frontal un-impactful flurries and isolated light snow showers late morning early afternoon in the Piedmont. As the low level jet crosses this evening this will allow for LLWS in the more eastern sites (RDU, FAY, and INT) but as the jet moves off by midnight LLWS chances diminish to none. Outlook: Beyond 00Z Friday, arctic high pressure and drier weather will take over, with VFR conditions building across central NC. Gusty west-northwest winds will persist on Friday up to 30 knots, decreasing to around 5-10 knots and becoming southwesterly on Saturday. && .RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Wind Advisory until 1 AM EST Friday for NCZ011-027-028-042-043- 078-088-089. && SYNOPSIS...MWS NEAR TERM...MWS/KC SHORT TERM...CBL LONG TERM...CBL AVIATION...CA/Kren
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 24, 2:26 PM EST, 8 hours 19 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Raleigh NC 226 PM EST Thu Dec 24 2020 NCZ011-027-028-042-043-078-088-089-251930- Halifax-Nash-Edgecombe-Johnston-Wilson-Wayne-Cumberland-Sampson- 226 PM EST Thu Dec 24 2020 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST FRIDAY... ...TORNADO WATCH 518 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Tornado Watch. Wind Advisory. Damaging wind gusts and a few tornadoes will be possible. The timing of the severe threat appears to be two fold. The first will arrive between 300 PM and 600 PM, when the potential for scattered severe thunderstorms will be possible. The main hazards will be damaging wind and the threat of tornadoes. Finally, a line of thunderstorms, capable of producing widespread damaging wind gusts to 60 mph, can be expected between 700 PM and 1000 PM. This will be the strong cold front pushing through the region at that time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Very cold air is expected Friday night. Lows will dip to near 20 at most locations. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed. NCZ007>009-021>025-038>040-073>076-083-084-251930- Person-Granville-Vance-Forsyth-Guilford-Alamance-Orange-Durham- Davidson-Randolph-Chatham-Stanly-Montgomery-Moore-Lee-Anson-Richmond- 226 PM EST Thu Dec 24 2020 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. There is a risk of severe thunderstorms late this afternoon and early evening. An intense line of showers and isolated thunderstorms will accompany a strong cold front. The timing of the front should be between 500 PM and 800 PM. Brief wind gusts to 50 to 60 mph will be possible, along with heavy rainfall as the line moves through. An isolated tornado will be possible, mainly east of the Triad. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Very cold air will arrive Friday and last into the weekend. Lows in the teens are expected Friday night. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed. NCZ010-026-041-077-085-086-251930- Warren-Franklin-Wake-Harnett-Scotland-Hoke- 226 PM EST Thu Dec 24 2020 ...TORNADO WATCH 518 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Tornado Watch. Damaging wind gusts and a few tornadoes will be possible. The timing of the severe threat appears to be two fold. The first will arrive between 300 PM and 600 PM, when the potential for scattered severe thunderstorms will be possible. The main hazards will be damaging wind and the threat of tornadoes. Finally, a line of thunderstorms, capable of producing widespread damaging wind gusts to 60 mph, can be expected between 700 PM and 1000 PM. This will be the strong cold front pushing through the region at that time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Very cold air will arrive Friday and last into the weekend. Lows in the teens are expected Friday night. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Dec 24, 8:30 PM EST, 2 hours 15 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
830 PM EST Thu Dec 24 2020
NCZ041-042-077-086-088-250230-
Johnston NC-Hoke NC-Harnett NC-Wake NC-Cumberland NC-
830 PM EST Thu Dec 24 2020
...A LINE HEAVY SHOWERS WILL AFFECT HARNETT...WESTERN CUMBERLAND...
SOUTH CENTRAL WAKE...WESTERN JOHNSTON AND NORTHEASTERN HOKE COUNTIES
UNTIL 930 PM EST...
At 828 PM EST, Doppler radar was tracking a line of heavy rain
showers near Fort Bragg, moving northeast at 65 mph.
Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with these showers.
Locations impacted include...
Raleigh, Fayetteville, Smithfield, Lillington, Fort Bragg, Garner,
Clayton, Dunn, Angier and Benson.
A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM EST for central North
Carolina.
LAT...LON 3495 7903 3495 7904 3507 7920 3518 7911
3517 7910 3519 7910 3581 7855 3561 7827
3491 7896
TIME...MOT...LOC 0128Z 217DEG 59KT 3509 7905
26Local storm report, Dec 24, 9:41 PM EST, 1 hour 4 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
941 PM EST THU DEC 24 2020
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0925 PM HEAVY RAIN 4 SW RALEIGH 35.77N 78.70W
12/24/2020 M1.62 INCH WAKE NC COCORAHS
ACCUMULATION SINCE 8:00 AM.
&&
NTLLocal storm report, Dec 24, 10:02 PM EST, 43 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1002 PM EST THU DEC 24 2020
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0844 PM TSTM WND GST 4 E HOPE MILLS 34.98N 78.88W
12/24/2020 M53 MPH CUMBERLAND NC ASOS
ASOS STATION KFAY FAYETTEVILLE.
&&
NTLLocal storm report, Dec 24, 10:03 PM EST, 42 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1003 PM EST THU DEC 24 2020
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0839 PM TSTM WND GST 3 ENE BONNIE DOONE 35.12N 78.92W
12/24/2020 M48 MPH CUMBERLAND NC AWOS
AWOS STATION KFBG FORT BRAGG SIMMONS.
&&
NTLLocal storm report, Dec 24, 10:08 PM EST, 37 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1008 PM EST THU DEC 24 2020
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1000 PM TSTM WND GST 3 WSW ELROY 35.32N 77.97W
12/24/2020 M52 MPH WAYNE NC AWOS
AWOS STATION KGSB GOLDSBORO S. J.
&&
NTLSpecial weather statement, Dec 24, 10:35 PM EST, 10 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1035 PM EST Thu Dec 24 2020
NCZ007-008-021>025-038>040-073>076-083>086-250500-
Guilford NC-Anson NC-Hoke NC-Durham NC-Alamance NC-Davidson NC-
Moore NC-Montgomery NC-Granville NC-Scotland NC-Stanly NC-
Richmond NC-Lee NC-Chatham NC-Forsyth NC-Randolph NC-Person NC-
Orange NC-
1035 PM EST Thu Dec 24 2020
...A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH ALAMANCE...SCOTLAND...
EASTERN DAVIDSON...ANSON...MONTGOMERY...RICHMOND...STANLY...LEE
...HOKE...MOORE...SOUTHEASTERN FORSYTH...PERSON...
ORANGE...GRANVILLE...RANDOLPH...GUILFORD...CHATHAM AND DURHAM
COUNTIES THROUGH MIDNIGHT EST...
At 1032 PM EST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong cold front
producing gusty winds along a line extending from near Eden to near
High Rock Lake. Movement was east at 40 mph.
Wind gusts between 40 to 50 mph will be possible as the cold front
moves through a given location, along with a quick 15 to 20 degree
drop in temperatures.
Locations impacted include...
Greensboro, Durham, High Point, Chapel Hill, Burlington, Sanford,
Asheboro, Lexington, Laurinburg and Albemarle.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Seek shelter in a nearby building or vehicle. Wind gusts as high as
50 mph are capable of knocking down small or weakened trees and
blowing around trash cans, potted plants, lawn furniture and other
light outdoor objects.
&&
LAT...LON 3550 8030 3551 8018 3567 8031 3626 8001
3624 7916 3654 7914 3654 7846 3593 7874
3587 7891 3561 7899 3558 7892 3527 7922
3518 7910 3484 7925 3483 7935 3464 7945
3480 7968 3481 8032 3519 8028 3519 8051
TIME...MOT...LOC 0332Z 254DEG 34KT 3649 7973 3566 8024
77The office that day
Everything else NWS Raleigh, NC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 24, 8:30 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Cumberland, Harnett, Johnston | 60 min |
| Dec 24, 8:47 PM EST | Areal Flood Advisory | RAH | Chatham, Cumberland, Durham, Franklin, Granville, Harnett and 6 more | 3 hr |
| Dec 24, 8:58 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | Cumberland, Franklin, Halifax, Harnett, Johnston, Nash and 5 more | 62 min |
| Dec 24, 9:06 PM EST | River Flood Warning | RAH | Johnston | 32 hr |
| Dec 24, 9:06 PM EST | River Flood Warning | RAH | Johnston | 3 days |
| Dec 24, 9:46 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | Edgecombe, Halifax, Nash, Wayne, Wilson | 74 min |
| Dec 24, 10:35 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Alamance, Anson, Chatham, Davidson, Durham, Granville and 11 more | 85 min |
| Dec 24, 11:56 PM EST | Areal Flood Advisory | RAH | Durham | 3 hr |
| Dec 25, 12:05 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Anson, Chatham, Durham, Franklin, Granville, Harnett and 10 more | 85 min |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in North Carolina, 2020Every river flood warning in 2020
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.