Alert archive / North Carolina / River Flood Warnings in 2020

River Flood Warning 77, NWS Raleigh, NC

December 24, 2020Halifax County, Northampton County, North Carolina

NWS Raleigh, NC issued this river flood warning at Dec 24, 2020, 10:45 PM EST for Halifax County, Northampton County, North Carolina. It was in force for 5 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Dec 24, 2020, 10:45 PM EST (03:45 UTC)
Expired
Dec 29, 2020, 10:17 PM EST
In force
5 days
Issued by
NWS Raleigh, NC
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Halifax County, NC, Northampton County, NC

The radar

The Norfolk radar (KAKQ), 89 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Roanoke River near Scotland Neck (SCON7). The gauge peaked at 28.47 ft at Dec 26, 2020, 10:00 AM EST.

actionminormoderate28303212/2512/2612/2712/2812/2912/3012/31
Action stage
28 ft
Minor stage
28 ft
Moderate stage
31 ft
Major stage
34 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02081000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

907 
WGUS42 KRAH 250345
FLWRAH

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1045 PM EST Thu Dec 24 2020

...The National Weather Service in Raleigh NC has issued a Flood 
Warning for the following rivers in North Carolina...

  Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck affecting Halifax and 
  Northampton Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/rah/rivers.

The next statement will be issued Friday morning by 1045 AM EST.

&&


NCC083-131-251545-
/O.NEW.KRAH.FL.W.0077.201225T0345Z-201229T2100Z/
/SCON7.1.ER.201225T0115Z.201227T0000Z.201229T0900Z.NO/
1045 PM EST Thu Dec 24 2020

The National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a

* Flood Warning for
  the Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck.
* From this evening to Tuesday afternoon.
* At 10:00 PM EST Thursday the stage was 28.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 10:00 PM EST Thursday was 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 28.3 feet 
  Saturday evening. It will then fall below flood stage early 
  Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, Minor flooding begins, especially on the 
  left bank.
* Flood History...No available flood history.

&&


                   Fld   Observed           Forecasts (1 am EST)     
Location           Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue    

Lower Roanoke River
Scotland Neck      28.0  28.0  Thu 10 pm ES 28.1  28.3  28.3  28.1   





&&

LAT...LON 3635 7750 3633 7742 3611 7720 3608 7727
      3628 7748 3628 7759

$$

Luchetti
15 follow-up statements
715 
WGUS82 KRAH 251112
FLSRAH

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
612 AM EST Fri Dec 25 2020

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Neuse River Near Clayton affecting Johnston County.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Neuse River At Smithfield affecting Johnston County.

  Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck affecting Halifax and 
  Northampton Counties.

  Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids affecting Halifax and 
  Northampton Counties.

For the Neuse River...including Clayton, Smithfield, Goldsboro...
Minor flooding is forecast.
For the Roanoke River...including Roanoke Rapids, Scotland Neck...
Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/rah/rivers.

The next statement will be issued this evening by 615 PM EST.

&&


NCC101-252315-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0076.000000T0000Z-201227T2308Z/
/SMFN7.1.ER.201225T0633Z.201226T0600Z.201227T1108Z.NO/
612 AM EST Fri Dec 25 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Sunday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River At Smithfield.
* Until Sunday evening.
* At 5:15 AM EST Friday the stage was 15.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 5:15 AM EST Friday was 15.7 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 17.9 feet 
  just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below flood stage 
  Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, Flooding begins along the Neuse Riverwalk. 
  Water nears the base of the holding tank at the water treatment 
  plant.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, The Smithfield town park and the Neuse 
  Riverwalk at the US70 bridge are flooded.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 18.9 
  feet on 09/17/2018.

&&


           Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 am EST)     
Location   Stg   Stg   Day/Time      Fri  Sat   Sun   Mon      

Neuse River
Smithfield 15.0  15.7  Fri 5 am EST 15.8  17.7  14.9  13.1   





&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3547 7834 3544 7829 3540 7833
      3547 7842 3556 7834

$$

NCC101-252315-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0075.000000T0000Z-201226T2024Z/
/CLYN7.1.ER.201225T0319Z.201225T1800Z.201226T0824Z.NO/
612 AM EST Fri Dec 25 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until tomorrow afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River Near Clayton.
* Until Saturday afternoon.
* At 5:15 AM EST Friday the stage was 10.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 5:15 AM EST Friday was 10.7 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to 11.8 feet this afternoon. It 
  will then fall below flood stage late tonight to 5.1 feet and 
  begin rising again Monday evening. It will then rise again but 
  remain below flood stage.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor overflow occurs on both banks. Water 
  reaches the edge of the Neuse River Greenway trail.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet, The Neuse River Greenway at Covered Bridge 
  Road begins to flood.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet, Flooding which will close the Neuse River 
  Greenway trail.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 10.6 
  feet on 09/16/2018.

&&


           Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 am EST)     
Location   Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue    

Neuse River
Clayton    9.0   10.7  Fri 5 am EST 11.1  8.1   6.1   5.2   5.2    





&&

LAT...LON 3572 7843 3558 7829 3554 7829 3556 7834
      3569 7848

$$

NCC083-131-252315-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-201229T2100Z/
/SCON7.1.ER.201225T0115Z.201226T1800Z.201229T0900Z.NO/
612 AM EST Fri Dec 25 2020

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck.
* Until Tuesday afternoon.
* At 5:00 AM EST Friday the stage was 28.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 5:00 AM EST Friday was 28.2 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 28.3 feet 
  early tomorrow afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage 
  early Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, Minor flooding begins, especially on the 
  left bank.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 29.9 
  feet on 05/07/2017.

&&


                   Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 am EST)     
Location           Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Fri  Sat   Sun   Mon     

Lower Roanoke River
Scotland Neck      28.0  28.2  Fri 5 am EST 28.2 28.3  28.3  28.2    





&&

LAT...LON 3635 7750 3633 7742 3611 7720 3608 7727
      3628 7748 3628 7759

$$

NCC083-131-252315-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RRDN7.1.ER.201217T2345Z.201224T2345Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
612 AM EST Fri Dec 25 2020

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids.
* Until further notice.
* At 4:45 AM EST Friday the stage was 9.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 4:45 AM EST Friday was 9.4 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 9.4 feet 
  this morning, then remain steady.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor flooding begins. Farmlands and 
  timberlands adjacent to the river in Roanoke Rapids flood.  
  Property on the farmlands may be at risk from floodwaters.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet, The public boat ramp on Rockfish Ln in 
  Weldon is flooded.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.9 
  feet on 01/13/1992.

&&


                   Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 am EST)     
Location           Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Fri  Sat   Sun   Mon  

Lower Roanoke River
Roanoke Rapids     9.0   9.4   Fri 4 am EST 9.3   9.4   9.4   9.4    





&&

LAT...LON 3652 7765 3640 7751 3635 7750 3628 7759
      3638 7761 3645 7765

$$

7
523 
WGUS82 KRAH 251405
FLSRAH

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
905 AM EST Fri Dec 25 2020

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck affecting Halifax and 
  Northampton Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids affecting Halifax and 
  Northampton Counties.

For the Roanoke River...including Roanoke Rapids, Scotland Neck...
Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/rah/rivers.

The next statement will be issued this evening by 915 PM EST.

&&


NCC083-131-260215-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-201230T0600Z/
/SCON7.1.ER.201225T0115Z.201226T0000Z.201229T1800Z.NO/
905 AM EST Fri Dec 25 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Wednesday 
morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck.
* Until late Tuesday night.
* At 8:00 AM EST Friday the stage was 28.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:00 AM EST Friday was 28.3 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 28.4 feet 
  this evening. It will then fall below flood stage early Tuesday 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, Minor flooding begins, especially on the 
  left bank.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 29.9 
  feet on 05/07/2017.

&&


                   Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 am EST)     
Location           Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue    

Lower Roanoke River
Scotland Neck      28.0  28.3  Fri 8 am EST 28.4  28.4  28.4  28.1   





&&

LAT...LON 3635 7750 3633 7742 3611 7720 3608 7727
      3628 7748 3628 7759

$$

NCC083-131-260215-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RRDN7.1.ER.201217T2345Z.201224T2345Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
905 AM EST Fri Dec 25 2020

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids.
* Until further notice.
* At 8:45 AM EST Friday the stage was 9.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:45 AM EST Friday was 9.4 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 9.4 feet 
  this afternoon.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor flooding begins. Farmlands and 
  timberlands adjacent to the river in Roanoke Rapids flood.  
  Property on the farmlands may be at risk from floodwaters.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.9 
  feet on 01/13/1992.

&&


                   Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 am EST)     
Location           Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue    

Lower Roanoke River
Roanoke Rapids     9.0   9.4   Fri 8 am EST 9.4   9.3   9.3   9.3    





&&

LAT...LON 3652 7765 3640 7751 3635 7750 3628 7759
      3638 7761 3645 7765

$$

28
363 
WGUS82 KRAH 260129
FLSRAH

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
829 PM EST Fri Dec 25 2020

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck affecting Halifax and 
  Northampton Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids affecting Halifax and 
  Northampton Counties.

For the Roanoke River...including Roanoke Rapids and Scotland Neck...
Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/rah/rivers.

The next statement will be issued Saturday morning by 830 AM EST.

&&


NCC083-131-261330-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SCON7.1.ER.201225T0115Z.201226T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
829 PM EST Fri Dec 25 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck.
* Until further notice.
* At 8:00 PM EST Friday the stage was 28.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:00 PM EST Friday was 28.4 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 28.5 feet 
  early tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, Minor flooding begins, especially on the 
  left bank.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 29.9 
  feet on 05/07/2017.

&&


                   Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 pm EST)     
Location           Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue    

Lower Roanoke River
Scotland Neck      28.0  28.4  Fri 8 pm EST 28.5  28.5  28.5  28.5   





&&

LAT...LON 3635 7750 3633 7742 3611 7720 3608 7727
      3628 7748 3628 7759

$$

NCC083-131-261330-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RRDN7.1.ER.201217T2345Z.201224T2345Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
829 PM EST Fri Dec 25 2020

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids.
* Until further notice.
* At 7:45 PM EST Friday the stage was 9.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 7:45 PM EST Friday was 9.4 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 9.4 feet 
  just after midnight tonight.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor flooding begins. Farmlands and 
  timberlands adjacent to the river in Roanoke Rapids flood.  
  Property on the farmlands may be at risk from floodwaters.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.9 
  feet on 01/13/1992.

&&


                   Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 pm EST)     
Location           Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue    

Lower Roanoke River
Roanoke Rapids     9.0   9.4   Fri 7 pm EST 9.4   9.3   9.3   9.4    





&&

LAT...LON 3652 7765 3640 7751 3635 7750 3628 7759
      3638 7761 3645 7765

$$

88
690 
WGUS82 KRAH 261003
FLSRAH

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
503 AM EST Sat Dec 26 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck affecting Halifax and 
  Northampton Counties.

  Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids affecting Halifax and 
  Northampton Counties.

For the Roanoke River...including Roanoke Rapids, Scotland Neck...
Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/rah/rivers.

The next statement will be issued this morning by 1045 AM EST.

&&


NCC083-131-262215-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SCON7.1.ER.201225T0115Z.201226T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
503 AM EST Sat Dec 26 2020

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck.
* Until further notice.
* At 4:00 AM EST Saturday the stage was 28.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 28.5 feet 
  this afternoon.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, Minor flooding begins, especially on the 
  left bank.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 29.9 
  feet on 05/07/2017.

&&


                   Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 am EST)     
Location           Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Lower Roanoke River
Scotland Neck      28.0  28.4  Sat 4 am EST 28.4 28.5  28.5  28.5   





&&

LAT...LON 3635 7750 3633 7742 3611 7720 3608 7727
      3628 7748 3628 7759

$$

NCC083-131-262215-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RRDN7.1.ER.201217T2345Z.201224T2345Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
503 AM EST Sat Dec 26 2020

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids.
* Until further notice.
* At 3:45 AM EST Saturday the stage was 9.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 9.4 feet 
  this afternoon.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor flooding begins. Farmlands and 
  timberlands adjacent to the river in Roanoke Rapids flood.  
  Property on the farmlands may be at risk from floodwaters.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet, The public boat ramp on Rockfish Ln in 
  Weldon is flooded.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.9 
  feet on 01/13/1992.

&&


                   Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 am EST)     
Location           Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue 

Lower Roanoke River
Roanoke Rapids     9.0   9.4   Sat 3 am EST 9.4   9.3   9.3   9.4    





&&

LAT...LON 3652 7765 3640 7751 3635 7750 3628 7759
      3638 7761 3645 7765

$$

7
844 
WGUS82 KRAH 261405
FLSRAH

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
905 AM EST Sat Dec 26 2020

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Tar River At Louisburg affecting Franklin County.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Neuse River At Smithfield affecting Johnston County.

  Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck affecting Halifax and 
  Northampton Counties.

  Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids affecting Halifax and 
  Northampton Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. 

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/rah/rivers.

The next statement will be issued this evening by 915 PM EST.

&&


NCC069-270215-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0078.000000T0000Z-201227T1330Z/
/LOUN7.1.ER.201226T1023Z.201226T1800Z.201227T0130Z.NO/
905 AM EST Sat Dec 26 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until tomorrow morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tar River At Louisburg.
* Until Sunday morning.
* At 8:45 AM EST Saturday the stage was 20.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 20.5 feet 
  this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage this evening.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, banks overflow at Main Street. River Bend 
  Park is flooded and storm drains are inundated along the river.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.0 
  feet on 09/19/2018.

&&


         Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 am EST)     
Location Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed    

Tar River
Louisbur 20.0  20.4  Sat 8 am EST 17.5  11.8  8.9   7.4    





&&

LAT...LON 3615 7834 3611 7828 3595 7818 3590 7820
      3606 7830 3613 7838

$$

NCC101-270215-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0076.000000T0000Z-201228T0345Z/
/SMFN7.1.ER.201225T0633Z.201226T1200Z.201227T1545Z.NO/
905 AM EST Sat Dec 26 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late tomorrow evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River At Smithfield.
* Until Sunday evening.
* At 8:15 AM EST Saturday the stage was 18.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late 
  tomorrow morning and continue falling to 11.7 feet Thursday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, The Smithfield town park and the Neuse 
  Riverwalk at the US70 bridge are flooded.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 18.9 
  feet on 09/17/2018.

&&


           Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 am EST)     
Location   Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed    

Neuse River
Smithfield 15.0  18.0  Sat 8 am EST 15.5  13.2  12.5  12.2   





&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3547 7834 3544 7829 3540 7833
      3547 7842 3556 7834

$$

NCC083-131-270215-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SCON7.1.ER.201225T0115Z.201226T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
905 AM EST Sat Dec 26 2020

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck.
* Until further notice.
* At 8:00 AM EST Saturday the stage was 28.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 28.5 feet 
  this afternoon.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, Minor flooding begins, especially on the 
  left bank.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 29.9 
  feet on 05/07/2017.

&&


                   Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 am EST)     
Location           Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed    

Lower Roanoke River
Scotland Neck      28.0  28.5  Sat 8 am EST 28.5  28.5  28.4  28.4   





&&

LAT...LON 3635 7750 3633 7742 3611 7720 3608 7727
      3628 7748 3628 7759

$$

NCC083-131-270215-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RRDN7.1.ER.201217T2345Z.201224T2345Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
905 AM EST Sat Dec 26 2020

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids.
* Until further notice.
* At 8:45 AM EST Saturday the stage was 9.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 9.4 feet 
  this afternoon.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, farmlands and timberlands adjacent to the 
  river in Roanoke Rapids flood.  Property on the farmlands may be 
  at risk from floodwaters.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.9 
  feet on 01/13/1992.

&&


                   Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 am EST)     
Location           Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed    

Lower Roanoke River
Roanoke Rapids     9.0   9.4   Sat 8 am EST 9.4   9.4   9.4   9.4    





&&

LAT...LON 3652 7765 3640 7751 3635 7750 3628 7759
      3638 7761 3645 7765

$$

10
079 
WGUS82 KRAH 270102
FLSRAH

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
802 PM EST Sat Dec 26 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck affecting Halifax and 
  Northampton Counties.

  Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids affecting Halifax and 
  Northampton Counties.

For the Roanoke River...including Roanoke Rapids and Scotland Neck...
Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Be 
especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/rah/rivers.

The next statement will be issued Sunday morning by 815 AM EST.

&&


NCC083-131-271315-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SCON7.1.ER.201225T0115Z.201227T0600Z.201231T1200Z.NO/
802 PM EST Sat Dec 26 2020

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck.
* Until further notice.
* At 7:00 PM EST Saturday the stage was 28.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 7:00 PM EST Saturday was 28.5 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 28.5 feet 
  just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below flood stage 
  Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, Minor flooding begins, especially on the 
  left bank.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 29.9 
  feet on 05/07/2017.

&&


                   Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 pm EST)     
Location           Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed    

Lower Roanoke River
Scotland Neck      28.0  28.5  Sat 7 pm EST 28.4  28.3  28.2  28.1   





&&

LAT...LON 3635 7750 3633 7742 3611 7720 3608 7727
      3628 7748 3628 7759

$$

NCC083-131-271315-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RRDN7.1.ER.201217T2345Z.201224T2345Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
802 PM EST Sat Dec 26 2020

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids.
* Until further notice.
* At 7:45 PM EST Saturday the stage was 9.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 7:45 PM EST Saturday was 9.4 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to remain steady above flood 
  stage at 9.3 feet.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor flooding begins. Farmlands and 
  timberlands adjacent to the river in Roanoke Rapids flood.  
  Property on the farmlands may be at risk from floodwaters.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.9 
  feet on 01/13/1992.

&&


                   Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 pm EST)     
Location           Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed    

Lower Roanoke River
Roanoke Rapids     9.0   9.3   Sat 7 pm EST 9.3   9.3   9.3   9.3    





&&

LAT...LON 3652 7765 3640 7751 3635 7750 3628 7759
      3638 7761 3645 7765

$$

88
374 
WGUS82 KRAH 271059
FLSRAH

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
559 AM EST Sun Dec 27 2020

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Neuse River At Smithfield affecting Johnston County.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck affecting Halifax and 
  Northampton Counties.

  Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids affecting Halifax and 
  Northampton Counties.

For the Neuse River...including Smithfield...Minor flooding is 
forecast.
For the Roanoke River...including Roanoke Rapids, Scotland Neck...
Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/rah/rivers.

The next statement will be issued this evening by 1145 AM EST.

&&


NCC083-131-272300-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-210101T0000Z/
/SCON7.1.ER.201225T0115Z.201226T1730Z.201231T1200Z.NO/
559 AM EST Sun Dec 27 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Thursday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck.
* Until Thursday evening.
* At 5:00 AM EST Sunday the stage was 28.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage 
  Thursday morning and continue falling to 27.8 feet Thursday 
  evening.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, Minor flooding begins, especially on the 
  left bank.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 29.9 
  feet on 05/07/2017.

&&


                   Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 am EST)     
Location           Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed    

Lower Roanoke River
Scotland Neck      28.0  28.4  Sun 5 am EST 28.4  28.4  28.3  28.2





&&

LAT...LON 3635 7750 3633 7742 3611 7720 3608 7727
      3628 7748 3628 7759

$$

NCC101-272300-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0076.000000T0000Z-201228T1503Z/
/SMFN7.1.ER.201225T0633Z.201226T1200Z.201228T0303Z.NO/
559 AM EST Sun Dec 27 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late tomorrow morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River At Smithfield.
* Until Monday morning.
* At 5:15 AM EST Sunday the stage was 16.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late 
  this evening and continue falling to 13.8 feet Thursday evening.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, Flooding begins along the Neuse Riverwalk. 
  Water nears the base of the holding tank at the water treatment 
  plant.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 15.0 
  feet on 10/13/2018.

&&


           Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 am EST)     
Location   Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu    

Neuse River
Smithfield 15.0  16.3  Sun 5 am EST 16.2  14.2  13.0  13.5  13.7   





&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3547 7834 3544 7829 3540 7833
      3547 7842 3556 7834

$$

NCC083-131-272300-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RRDN7.1.ER.201217T2345Z.201224T2345Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
559 AM EST Sun Dec 27 2020

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids.
* Until further notice.
* At 4:45 AM EST Sunday the stage was 9.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to remain steady above flood 
  stage at 9.3 feet.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor flooding begins. Farmlands and 
  timberlands adjacent to the river in Roanoke Rapids flood.  
  Property on the farmlands may be at risk from floodwaters.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.9 
  feet on 01/13/1992.

&&


                   Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 am EST)     
Location           Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed

Lower Roanoke River
Roanoke Rapids     9.0   9.3   Sun 4 am EST 9.3   9.3   9.3   9.3    





&&

LAT...LON 3652 7765 3640 7751 3635 7750 3628 7759
      3638 7761 3645 7765

$$

7
965 
WGUS82 KRAH 271408
FLSRAH

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
908 AM EST Sun Dec 27 2020

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Neuse River At Smithfield affecting Johnston County.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Tar River At Tarboro affecting Edgecombe County.

  Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck affecting Halifax and 
  Northampton Counties.

  Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids affecting Halifax and 
  Northampton Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. 

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/rah/rivers.

The next statement will be issued this evening by 915 PM EST.

&&


NCC065-280215-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0079.000000T0000Z-201231T1500Z/
/TARN7.1.ER.201227T1240Z.201230T0000Z.201231T0300Z.NO/
908 AM EST Sun Dec 27 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late Thursday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tar River At Tarboro.
* Until Thursday morning.
* At 8:15 AM EST Sunday the stage was 19.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 20.5 feet 
  Tuesday evening. It will then fall below flood stage late 
  Wednesday evening.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, Minor flooding begins. The Riverside Park 
  and River Road at the US64 bridge flood. At 20.0 feet, Lowland 
  flooding begins south of Daniel Street in east Tarboro.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 22.2 
  feet on 04/02/2010.

&&


         Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 am EST)     
Location Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu    

Tar River
Tarboro  19.0  19.0  Sun 8 am EST 20.0  20.3  20.3  17.4   





&&

LAT...LON 3597 7759 3593 7748 3577 7751 3572 7756
      3590 7756 3593 7761

$$

NCC101-280215-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0076.000000T0000Z-201228T1630Z/
/SMFN7.1.ER.201225T0633Z.201226T1200Z.201228T0430Z.NO/
908 AM EST Sun Dec 27 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late tomorrow morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River At Smithfield.
* Until Monday morning.
* At 8:15 AM EST Sunday the stage was 16.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late 
  this evening and continue falling to 14.2 feet Friday morning.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, Flooding begins along the Neuse Riverwalk. 
  Water nears the base of the holding tank at the water treatment 
  plant.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 15.0 
  feet on 10/13/2018.

&&


           Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 am EST)     
Location   Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu    

Neuse River
Smithfield 15.0  16.1  Sun 8 am EST 14.6  14.4  14.6  14.4   





&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3547 7834 3544 7829 3540 7833
      3547 7842 3556 7834

$$

NCC083-131-280215-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-210101T0000Z/
/SCON7.1.ER.201225T0115Z.201226T1730Z.201231T1200Z.NO/
908 AM EST Sun Dec 27 2020

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck.
* Until Thursday evening.
* At 8:00 AM EST Sunday the stage was 28.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 28.4 feet 
  this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage Thursday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, Minor flooding begins, especially on the 
  left bank.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 29.9 
  feet on 05/07/2017.

&&


                   Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 am EST)     
Location           Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu    

Lower Roanoke River
Scotland Neck      28.0  28.4  Sun 8 am EST 28.3  28.2  28.1  28.0   





&&

LAT...LON 3635 7750 3633 7742 3611 7720 3608 7727
      3628 7748 3628 7759

$$

NCC083-131-280215-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RRDN7.1.ER.201217T2345Z.201224T2345Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
908 AM EST Sun Dec 27 2020

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids.
* Until further notice.
* At 8:45 AM EST Sunday the stage was 9.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to remain steady above flood 
  stage at 9.3 feet.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor flooding begins. Farmlands and 
  timberlands adjacent to the river in Roanoke Rapids flood.  
  Property on the farmlands may be at risk from floodwaters.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.9 
  feet on 01/13/1992.

&&


                   Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 am EST)     
Location           Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu    

Lower Roanoke River
Roanoke Rapids     9.0   9.3   Sun 8 am EST 9.3   9.3   9.3   9.3    





&&

LAT...LON 3652 7765 3640 7751 3635 7750 3628 7759
      3638 7761 3645 7765

$$

10
363 
WGUS82 KRAH 280102
FLSRAH

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
802 PM EST Sun Dec 27 2020

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Neuse River At Smithfield affecting Johnston County.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Tar River At Tarboro affecting Edgecombe County.

  Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck affecting Halifax and 
  Northampton Counties.

  Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids affecting Halifax and 
  Northampton Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/rah/rivers.

The next statement will be issued Monday morning by 1100 AM EST.

&&


NCC065-281615-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0079.000000T0000Z-201231T1320Z/
/TARN7.1.ER.201227T1240Z.201228T1800Z.201231T0120Z.NO/
802 PM EST Sun Dec 27 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Thursday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tar River At Tarboro.
* Until Thursday morning.
* At 7:15 PM EST Sunday the stage was 19.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 7:15 PM EST Sunday was 19.5 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to 20.1 feet tomorrow evening. It 
  will then fall to 20.0 feet and begin rising again early Tuesday 
  afternoon. It will rise to 20.1 feet early Wednesday morning. It 
  will then fall below flood stage Wednesday evening.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, The river is at bankfull.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, Minor flooding begins. The Riverside Park 
  and River Road at the US64 bridge flood.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Lowland flooding begins south of Daniel 
  Street in east Tarboro.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.7 
  feet on 03/13/1995.

&&


         Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 pm EST)     
Location Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu    

Tar River
Tarboro  19.0  19.5  Sun 7 pm EST 20.1  20.1  19.2  15.5   





&&

LAT...LON 3597 7759 3593 7748 3577 7751 3572 7756
      3590 7756 3593 7761

$$

NCC083-131-281615-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-201231T0000Z/
/SCON7.1.ER.201225T0115Z.201226T1730Z.201230T1200Z.NO/
802 PM EST Sun Dec 27 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Wednesday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck.
* Until Wednesday evening.
* At 7:00 PM EST Sunday the stage was 28.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 7:00 PM EST Sunday was 28.5 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage 
  Wednesday morning and continue falling to 27.7 feet Friday evening.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, Minor flooding begins, especially on the 
  left bank.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 29.9 
  feet on 05/07/2017.

&&


                   Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 pm EST)     
Location           Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu    

Lower Roanoke River
Scotland Neck      28.0  28.3  Sun 7 pm EST 28.1  28.0  27.9  27.8   





&&

LAT...LON 3635 7750 3633 7742 3611 7720 3608 7727
      3628 7748 3628 7759

$$

NCC101-281615-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0076.000000T0000Z-201228T1930Z/
/SMFN7.1.ER.201225T0633Z.201226T1200Z.201228T0730Z.NO/
802 PM EST Sun Dec 27 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early tomorrow 
afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River At Smithfield.
* Until Monday afternoon.
* At 7:15 PM EST Sunday the stage was 15.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 7:15 PM EST Sunday was 17.2 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage just 
  after midnight tonight and continue falling to 12.5 feet Friday 
  evening.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, Flooding begins along the Neuse Riverwalk. 
  Water nears the base of the holding tank at the water treatment 
  plant.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 15.0 
  feet on 10/13/2018.

&&


           Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 pm EST)     
Location   Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu    

Neuse River
Smithfield 15.0  15.4  Sun 7 pm EST 14.3  14.7  14.6  14.2   





&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3547 7834 3544 7829 3540 7833
      3547 7842 3556 7834

$$

NCC083-131-281615-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RRDN7.1.ER.201217T2345Z.201224T2345Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
802 PM EST Sun Dec 27 2020

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids.
* Until further notice.
* At 6:45 PM EST Sunday the stage was 9.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 6:45 PM EST Sunday was 9.4 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 9.3 feet 
  just after midnight tonight.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor flooding begins. Farmlands and 
  timberlands adjacent to the river in Roanoke Rapids flood.  
  Property on the farmlands may be at risk from floodwaters.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet, The public boat ramp on Rockfish Ln in 
  Weldon is flooded.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.9 
  feet on 01/13/1992.

&&


                   Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 pm EST)     
Location           Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu    

Lower Roanoke River
Roanoke Rapids     9.0   9.3   Sun 6 pm EST 9.3   9.3   9.3   9.3    





&&

LAT...LON 3652 7765 3640 7751 3635 7750 3628 7759
      3638 7761 3645 7765

$$

GIH
957 
WGUS82 KRAH 281002
FLSRAH

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
502 AM EST Mon Dec 28 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck affecting Halifax and 
  Northampton Counties.

For the Roanoke River...at Scotland Neck...Minor flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/rah/rivers.

The next statement will be issued this afternoon by 500 PM EST.

&&


NCC083-131-282215-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-201231T0000Z/
/SCON7.1.ER.201225T0115Z.201226T1730Z.201230T1200Z.NO/
502 AM EST Mon Dec 28 2020

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck.
* Until Wednesday evening.
* At 4:00 AM EST Monday the stage was 28.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 4:00 AM EST Monday was 28.4 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage 
  Wednesday and continue falling to below 28.0 feet by Friday.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, Minor flooding begins, especially on the 
  left bank.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 29.9 
  feet on 05/07/2017.

&&


                   Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 am EST)     
Location           Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   
Fri

Lower Roanoke River
Scotland Neck      28.0  28.2  Mon 4 am EST 28.2  28.1  28.0  27.9  
27.8





&&

LAT...LON 3635 7750 3633 7742 3611 7720 3608 7727
      3628 7748 3628 7759

$$

26
262 
WGUS82 KRAH 281402
FLSRAH

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
902 AM EST Mon Dec 28 2020

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Neuse River Near Goldsboro affecting Wayne County.

  Tar River At Tarboro affecting Edgecombe County.

  Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck affecting Halifax and 
  Northampton Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids affecting Halifax and 
  Northampton Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. 

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/rah/rivers.

The next statement will be issued this evening by 900 PM EST.

&&


NCC191-290215-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0080.000000T0000Z-210101T0730Z/
/GLDN7.1.ER.201228T1402Z.201230T1800Z.201231T1930Z.NO/
902 AM EST Mon Dec 28 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Friday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River Near Goldsboro.
* Until late Thursday night.
* At 8:15 AM EST Monday the stage was 18.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late 
  this morning to a crest of 18.7 feet early Wednesday afternoon. It 
  will then fall below flood stage early Thursday afternoon.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Water overflows the banks at the Arrington 
  Bridge Rd and upstream of the US-117 bridge.  Ferry Bridge Rd 
  begins to flood.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 20.1 
  feet on 11/19/2018.

&&


           Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 am EST)     
Location   Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri    

Neuse River
Goldsboro  18.0  18.0  Mon 8 am EST 18.2  18.6  18.3  17.0   





&&

LAT...LON 3538 7806 3533 7793 3528 7791 3525 7795
      3529 7797 3534 7809

$$

NCC065-290215-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0079.000000T0000Z-201231T1330Z/
/TARN7.1.ER.201227T1240Z.201228T1800Z.201231T0130Z.NO/
902 AM EST Mon Dec 28 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Thursday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tar River At Tarboro.
* Until Thursday morning.
* At 8:15 AM EST Monday the stage was 19.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 20.1 feet 
  this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage Wednesday 
  evening.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, the Riverside Park and River Road at the 
  US64 bridge flood. At 20.0 feet, Lowland flooding begins south of 
  Daniel Street in east Tarboro.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.7 
  feet on 03/13/1995.

&&


         Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 am EST)     
Location Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri    

Tar River
Tarboro  19.0  19.9  Mon 8 am EST 20.0  20.0  17.4  14.1   





&&

LAT...LON 3597 7759 3593 7748 3577 7751 3572 7756
      3590 7756 3593 7761

$$

NCC083-131-290215-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-201231T1200Z/
/SCON7.1.ER.201225T0115Z.201226T1730Z.201231T0000Z.NO/
902 AM EST Mon Dec 28 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Thursday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck.
* Until Thursday morning.
* At 8:00 AM EST Monday the stage was 28.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage 
  Wednesday evening and continue falling to 27.8 feet Saturday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, Minor flooding begins, especially on the 
  left bank.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 29.9 
  feet on 05/07/2017.

&&


                   Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 am EST)     
Location           Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri    

Lower Roanoke River
Scotland Neck      28.0  28.2  Mon 8 am EST 28.1  28.0  27.9  27.8   





&&

LAT...LON 3635 7750 3633 7742 3611 7720 3608 7727
      3628 7748 3628 7759

$$

NCC083-131-290215-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RRDN7.1.ER.201217T2345Z.201224T2345Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
902 AM EST Mon Dec 28 2020

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids.
* Until further notice.
* At 7:45 AM EST Monday the stage was 9.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 9.3 feet 
  this afternoon.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, farmlands and timberlands adjacent to the 
  river in Roanoke Rapids flood.  Property on the farmlands may be 
  at risk from floodwaters.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.9 
  feet on 01/13/1992.

&&


                   Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 am EST)     
Location           Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri    

Lower Roanoke River
Roanoke Rapids     9.0   9.3   Mon 7 am EST 9.3   9.3   9.2   9.2    





&&

LAT...LON 3652 7765 3640 7751 3635 7750 3628 7759
      3638 7761 3645 7765

$$

10
974 
WGUS82 KRAH 290124
FLSRAH

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
824 PM EST Mon Dec 28 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Neuse River Near Goldsboro affecting Wayne County.

  Tar River At Tarboro affecting Edgecombe County.

  Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck affecting Halifax and 
  Northampton Counties.

  Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids affecting Halifax and 
  Northampton Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/rah/rivers.

The next statement will be issued Tuesday morning by 1100 AM EST.

&&


NCC191-291600-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0080.000000T0000Z-210101T0600Z/
/GLDN7.1.ER.201228T1500Z.201230T1200Z.201231T1800Z.NO/
824 PM EST Mon Dec 28 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Friday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River Near Goldsboro.
* Until late Thursday night.
* At 7:15 PM EST Monday the stage was 18.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 7:15 PM EST Monday was 18.3 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 18.7 feet 
  Wednesday morning. It will then fall below flood stage early 
  Thursday afternoon.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Water overflows the banks at the Arrington 
  Bridge Rd and upstream of the US-117 bridge.  Ferry Bridge Rd 
  begins to flood.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Arrington Bridge Road and access roads 
  around Seymour Johnson Air Force Base flood.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 20.1 
  feet on 11/19/2018.

&&


           Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 pm EST)     
Location   Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri    

Neuse River
Goldsboro  18.0  18.3  Mon 7 pm EST 18.5  18.7  17.6  16.3   





&&

LAT...LON 3538 7806 3533 7793 3528 7791 3525 7795
      3529 7797 3534 7809

$$

NCC065-291600-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0079.000000T0000Z-201231T1330Z/
/TARN7.1.ER.201227T1240Z.201228T2345Z.201231T0130Z.NO/
824 PM EST Mon Dec 28 2020

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tar River At Tarboro.
* Until Thursday morning.
* At 7:15 PM EST Monday the stage was 20.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 7:15 PM EST Monday was 20.1 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage 
  Wednesday evening and continue falling to 10.3 feet Saturday 
  evening.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, The river is at bankfull.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, Minor flooding begins. The Riverside Park 
  and River Road at the US64 bridge flood.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Lowland flooding begins south of Daniel 
  Street in east Tarboro.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.7 
  feet on 03/13/1995.

&&


         Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 pm EST)     
Location Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri    

Tar River
Tarboro  19.0  20.0  Mon 7 pm EST 20.0  19.2  15.3  12.4   





&&

LAT...LON 3597 7759 3593 7748 3577 7751 3572 7756
      3590 7756 3593 7761

$$

NCC083-131-291600-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-201231T1200Z/
/SCON7.1.ER.201225T0115Z.201226T1730Z.201231T0000Z.NO/
824 PM EST Mon Dec 28 2020

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck.
* Until Thursday morning.
* At 7:00 PM EST Monday the stage was 28.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 7:00 PM EST Monday was 28.3 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage 
  Wednesday evening and continue falling to 27.7 feet Saturday 
  evening.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, Minor flooding begins, especially on the 
  left bank.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 29.9 
  feet on 05/07/2017.

&&


                   Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 pm EST)     
Location           Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri    

Lower Roanoke River
Scotland Neck      28.0  28.1  Mon 7 pm EST 28.0  28.0  27.8  27.8   





&&

LAT...LON 3635 7750 3633 7742 3611 7720 3608 7727
      3628 7748 3628 7759

$$

NCC083-131-291600-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RRDN7.1.ER.201217T2345Z.201224T2345Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
824 PM EST Mon Dec 28 2020

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids.
* Until further notice.
* At 7:45 PM EST Monday the stage was 9.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 7:45 PM EST Monday was 9.3 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 9.3 feet 
  just after midnight tonight.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor flooding begins. Farmlands and 
  timberlands adjacent to the river in Roanoke Rapids flood.  
  Property on the farmlands may be at risk from floodwaters.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet, The public boat ramp on Rockfish Ln in 
  Weldon is flooded.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.9 
  feet on 01/13/1992.

&&


                   Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 pm EST)     
Location           Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri    

Lower Roanoke River
Roanoke Rapids     9.0   9.3   Mon 7 pm EST 9.3   9.3   9.3   9.3    





&&

LAT...LON 3652 7765 3640 7751 3635 7750 3628 7759
      3638 7761 3645 7765

$$

GIH
386 
WGUS82 KRAH 291042
FLSRAH

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
542 AM EST Tue Dec 29 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck affecting Halifax and 
  Northampton Counties.

  Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids affecting Halifax and 
  Northampton Counties.

For the Roanoke River...including Roanoke Rapids, Scotland Neck...
Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/rah/rivers.

The next statement will be issued this afternoon by 545 PM EST.

&&


NCC083-131-292245-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-201231T1200Z/
/SCON7.1.ER.201225T0115Z.201226T1730Z.201231T0000Z.NO/
542 AM EST Tue Dec 29 2020

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck.
* Until Thursday morning.
* At 5:00 AM EST Tuesday the stage was 28.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 5:00 AM EST Tuesday was 28.2 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 28.1 feet 
  this morning. It will then fall below flood stage tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, Minor flooding begins, especially on the 
  left bank.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 29.9 
  feet on 05/07/2017.

&&


                   Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 am EST)     
Location           Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   
Sat

Lower Roanoke River
Scotland Neck      28.0  28.1  Tue 5 am EST 28.1  28.0  27.9  27.8  
27.7





&&

LAT...LON 3635 7750 3633 7742 3611 7720 3608 7727
      3628 7748 3628 7759

$$

NCC083-131-292245-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RRDN7.1.ER.201217T2345Z.201224T2345Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
542 AM EST Tue Dec 29 2020

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids.
* Until further notice.
* At 4:45 AM EST Tuesday the stage was 9.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 4:45 AM EST Tuesday was 9.3 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 9.3 feet 
  this morning.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor flooding begins. Farmlands and 
  timberlands adjacent to the river in Roanoke Rapids flood.  
  Property on the farmlands may be at risk from floodwaters.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet, The public boat ramp on Rockfish Ln in 
  Weldon is flooded.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.9 
  feet on 01/13/1992.

&&


                   Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 am EST)     
Location           Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   
Sat

Lower Roanoke River
Roanoke Rapids     9.0   9.3   Tue 4 am EST 9.3   9.3   9.3   9.3   
9.3





&&

LAT...LON 3652 7765 3640 7751 3635 7750 3628 7759
      3638 7761 3645 7765

$$

26
110 
WGUS82 KRAH 291528
FLSRAH

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1028 AM EST Tue Dec 29 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck affecting Halifax and 
  Northampton Counties.

  Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids affecting Halifax and 
  Northampton Counties.

For the Roanoke River...including Roanoke Rapids, Scotland Neck...
Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/rah/rivers.

The next statement will be issued this evening by 1030 PM EST.

&&


NCC083-131-300330-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-201230T1800Z/
/SCON7.1.ER.201225T0115Z.201226T1730Z.201230T0600Z.NO/
1028 AM EST Tue Dec 29 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early tomorrow 
afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck.
* Until Wednesday afternoon.
* At 9:00 AM EST Tuesday the stage was 28.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage just 
  after midnight tonight and continue falling to 27.7 feet Sunday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, Minor flooding begins, especially on the 
  left bank.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 29.9 
  feet on 05/07/2017.

&&


                   Fld   Observed           Forecasts (1 pm EST)     
Location           Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat    

Lower Roanoke River
Scotland Neck      28.0  28.0  Tue 9 am EST 27.9  27.8  27.7  27.7   





&&

LAT...LON 3635 7750 3633 7742 3611 7720 3608 7727
      3628 7748 3628 7759

$$

NCC083-131-300330-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RRDN7.1.ER.201217T2345Z.201224T2345Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1028 AM EST Tue Dec 29 2020

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids.
* Until further notice.
* At 8:45 AM EST Tuesday the stage was 9.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 9.3 feet 
  this afternoon.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor flooding begins. Farmlands and 
  timberlands adjacent to the river in Roanoke Rapids flood.  
  Property on the farmlands may be at risk from floodwaters.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.9 
  feet on 01/13/1992.

&&


                   Fld   Observed           Forecasts (1 pm EST)     
Location           Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat    

Lower Roanoke River
Roanoke Rapids     9.0   9.3   Tue 8 am EST 9.3   9.2   9.2   9.2    





&&

LAT...LON 3652 7765 3640 7751 3635 7750 3628 7759
      3638 7761 3645 7765

$$

BLS
941 
WGUS82 KRAH 300317
FLSRAH

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1017 PM EST Tue Dec 29 2020

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck affecting Halifax and 
  Northampton Counties.

NCC083-131-300430-
/O.CAN.KRAH.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-201230T0317Z/
/SCON7.1.ER.201225T0115Z.201226T1730Z.201230T0600Z.NO/
1017 PM EST Tue Dec 29 2020

...The Flood Warning for the Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck 
has been cancelled...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck.
* At 8:00 PM EST Tuesday the stage was 28.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to remain steady below flood 
  stage at 27.9 feet.

&&


                   Fld   Observed           Forecasts (1 am EST)     
Location           Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun    

Lower Roanoke River
Scotland Neck      28.0  28.0  Tue 8 pm EST 27.8  27.8  27.8  27.7   





&&

LAT...LON 3635 7750 3633 7742 3611 7720 3608 7727
      3628 7748 3628 7759

$$

88

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Dec 24, 9:59 PM EST, 46 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 24, 9:59 PM EST, 46 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
959 PM EST Thu Dec 24 2020

.SYNOPSIS...
A strong cold front will blast east across NC tonight. Arctic
high pressure will then build across the region Christmas Day
through the weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 955 PM Thursday...

Tornado Watch #518 was locally extended in time through 04Z for our
nern five counties and cancelled elsewhere.

Earlier training of mini supercells in the RAH Coastal Plain, driven
along the low level jet and maximum in 925-850 mb WAA; associated
forcing for ascent; and underlying surface pressure falls/confluence
axis, has moved to the NC coast. After a brief lull, a QLCS has
recently intensified from e-cntl SC newd into cntl and e-cntl NC,
with several observed gusts between 40-46 kts along the length of
that line from KFLO and KMAO in SC to KFBG and KFAY in NC in the
past couple of hours. This QLCS will continue to pose a risk of
surface wind gusts up to 50 or 55 kts and embedded mesovortex
tornadoes as it moves through the remainder of the Coastal Plain
through 04Z.

Sharply colder temperatures and additional wly wind gusts to 35 kts
will accompany the surface cold front, analyzed at 03Z from MTV to
CLT (on the doorstep of nwrn Forsyth Co.), as it surges ewd across
cntl NC with associated 15 F temperatures falls in just over an
hour, through 09Z. There remains a slight chance that the back edge
of the departing precipitation axis may result in a short-
lived/inconsequential mix with snow (less than an hour) over the
Piedmont.

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 350 PM EST Thu Dec 24 2020/

...Tornado watch in effect until 10 PM for much of eastern NC and a
Wind Advisory is in effect through 1 AM along and east of I-95...

As of 18Z this afternoon, the elongated area of low pressure was
over and just west of the Appalachians, with the cold front
extending south through GA and into the FL panhandle and north into
the eastern Great Lakes. The warm front has moved through most of
central NC sitting just south and east of the Triad. A line of
showers and thunderstorms with embedded northward moving supercells
continues to move through the Coastal Plain this afternoon. A second
line of storms is over GA and FL, which will move north through the
Carolinas this evening. Confluent moisture advection off the
Atlantic and Gulf will likely increase instability across eastern
and southeastern NC over the next several hours. Forecast soundings
at KFAY and KRWI have SBCAPE of 500-1000 J/Kg with strong shear (0-1
Km 40-50 kts, 0-3 Km 50-60 kts) over eastern NC this evening as the
QLCS moves into the area. The LLJ peaks at around 03Z, with 60-70
kts at 700-800 mb. Instability will be somewhat limited farther west
(especially north and west of the warm front). The cold front, with
its impressive wind fields suggests the treat of widespread damaging
wind gusts in the QLCS to 50kt and the potential for isolated
tornadoes, limited potential over the western Piedmont. The other
issue will be the potential for flooding, both flash and river.
Forecast PWATs at KFAY and KRWI are 1.4-1.6" this evening. Some
locations have already had an inch of rain or more. The additional
rainfall, if heavy enough over an urban area, could result in flash
flooding. Additionally, the runoff from all of this rain will result
in rises along the rivers, with the Neuse River having the greatest
chance to reach minor flood stage.

The upper low over the northern MS Valley will move east into the OH
Valley this evening as the surface low lifts north into NY and the
cold front surges east into central NC around midnight. As the cold
front moves through the area from west to east this evening/tonight,
the convection will shift east-northeast and out of the area
by/around daybreak Christmas morning. Strong cold advection behind
the front will result in a significant drop in temperatures and the
potential for some additional gusty winds. There is also a chance
for a very brief change-over to snow as the precipitation ends and
the cold air rushes in. Confidence is not terribly high but it is
possible. Regardless, no impacts expected. Most, if not all of the
precipitation should be out of the area by daybreak. Lows will
depend heavily on the fropa/caa but for now expect upper 20s to
around 30 degrees NW to mid/upper 30s east.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
As of 200 PM Thursday...

...Cold and blustery conditions Christmas Day with the potential for
a passing snow shower or flurries...

An anomalously deep upper low/trough(-2 to -3 S.D)moving through the
Deep South and SE US Christmas Day and Night will escort in the
coldest air of the season into the Carolinas Christmas Day and
night. In the wake of the cold front that will be moving out into
the Atlantic Christmas morning, a ~1028mb surface high diving into
the Deep South will drive strong cold dry air advection throughout
the day, resulting in very minimal temperature recovery/warming
Christmas day. With the calendar day high likely to occur right
after midnight at most locations, daytime highs are expected to
range from lower/mid 30s NW to upper 30s/near 40 SE, with temps
falling during the afternoon. The strong CAA will also result in
frequent NWLY winds gusts of 20 to 30 mph, strongest in the east,
which will also make it feel even colder, producing wind chills in
the lower/mid 20s NW to lower 30s SE.

Finally, although moisture will be limited and fleeting, the
incredibly strong upper forcing associated with the ~250 meter H5
falls pivoting through the region will be more than enough to
squeeze out what moisture there is, to produce some flurries and/or
passing snow shower by late morning and into the afternoon. No snow
accumulation is expected, but it will be a nice sight as any snow on
Christmas Day is a rarity across central NC.

The wind gusts will abate Christmas evening which will lead us to
the coldest night of the season. Lows in 15-20 north to lower 20s
SE, so bundle up in multiple layers if you plan to be outdoors.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 200 PM Thursday...

After the cold upper trough lifts NE, and out of the region during
the day on Saturday, central NC will be under the influence of quasi-
zonal flow aloft through Tuesday. Temperatures will gradually
moderate to near normal by Sunday and then slightly above normal on
Monday as a moisture deprived cold front moves through the area.

Renewed CAA will in the wake of the cold Monday night through
Tuesday, will lower temps back to near or slightly below normal. The
next chance of precip looks to arrive by late Wednesday and into
Thursday with models indicating the potential a wet CAD event across
the NC Piedmont as another strong/amplified upper trough over the
central US moves into the region. At this time, p-type looks to be
all rain due to the transit nature of the parent high.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 725 PM Thursday...

As the strong cold front pushes through tonight showers and
thunderstorms will move through the area.  Currently (as of 00z
observations) VFR conditions prevail at INT/GSO and RDU but as the
last line of showers and storms move from west to east MVFR/IFR
conditions will return quickly between now and 02z until 10-12z as
the cold front pushed through the eastern terminals. Ahead of the
front, southerly gutsy winds have been observed up to 35kts and will
change to more of a westerly wind and remain gusty though most of
the day tomorrow. As the rain moves out with the main cold front
there is a chance of post frontal un-impactful flurries and isolated
light snow showers late morning early afternoon in the Piedmont.  As
the low level jet crosses this evening this will allow for LLWS in
the more eastern sites (RDU, FAY, and INT) but as the jet moves off
by midnight LLWS chances diminish to none.

Outlook: Beyond 00Z Friday, arctic high pressure and drier weather
will take over, with VFR conditions building across central NC.
Gusty west-northwest winds will persist on Friday up to 30 knots,
decreasing to around 5-10 knots and becoming southwesterly on
Saturday.
&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory until 1 AM EST Friday for NCZ011-027-028-042-043-
078-088-089.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MWS
NEAR TERM...MWS/KC
SHORT TERM...CBL
LONG TERM...CBL
AVIATION...CA/Kren
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 24, 2:26 PM EST, 8 hours 19 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
226 PM EST Thu Dec 24 2020

NCZ011-027-028-042-043-078-088-089-251930-
Halifax-Nash-Edgecombe-Johnston-Wilson-Wayne-Cumberland-Sampson-
226 PM EST Thu Dec 24 2020

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST FRIDAY...
...TORNADO WATCH 518 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

Damaging wind gusts and a few tornadoes will be possible. The timing
of the severe threat appears to be two fold. The first will arrive
between 300 PM and 600 PM, when the potential for scattered severe
thunderstorms will be possible. The main hazards will be damaging
wind and the threat of tornadoes. Finally, a line of thunderstorms,
capable of producing widespread damaging wind gusts to 60 mph, can be
expected between 700 PM and 1000 PM. This will be the strong cold
front pushing through the region at that time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Very cold air is expected Friday night. Lows will dip to near 20
at most locations.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed.

NCZ007>009-021>025-038>040-073>076-083-084-251930-
Person-Granville-Vance-Forsyth-Guilford-Alamance-Orange-Durham-
Davidson-Randolph-Chatham-Stanly-Montgomery-Moore-Lee-Anson-Richmond-
226 PM EST Thu Dec 24 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

There is a risk of severe thunderstorms late this afternoon and
early evening. An intense line of showers and isolated thunderstorms
will accompany a strong cold front. The timing of the front should
be between 500 PM and 800 PM. Brief wind gusts to 50 to 60 mph will
be possible, along with heavy rainfall as the line moves through. An
isolated tornado will be possible, mainly east of the Triad.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Very cold air will arrive Friday and last into the weekend. Lows in
the teens are expected Friday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed.

NCZ010-026-041-077-085-086-251930-
Warren-Franklin-Wake-Harnett-Scotland-Hoke-
226 PM EST Thu Dec 24 2020

...TORNADO WATCH 518 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.

Damaging wind gusts and a few tornadoes will be possible. The timing
of the severe threat appears to be two fold. The first will arrive
between 300 PM and 600 PM, when the potential for scattered severe
thunderstorms will be possible. The main hazards will be damaging
wind and the threat of tornadoes. Finally, a line of thunderstorms,
capable of producing widespread damaging wind gusts to 60 mph, can be
expected between 700 PM and 1000 PM. This will be the strong cold
front pushing through the region at that time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Very cold air will arrive Friday and last into the weekend. Lows in
the teens are expected Friday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Dec 24, 8:30 PM EST, 2 hours 15 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
830 PM EST Thu Dec 24 2020

NCZ041-042-077-086-088-250230-
Johnston NC-Hoke NC-Harnett NC-Wake NC-Cumberland NC-
830 PM EST Thu Dec 24 2020

...A LINE HEAVY SHOWERS WILL AFFECT HARNETT...WESTERN CUMBERLAND...
SOUTH CENTRAL WAKE...WESTERN JOHNSTON AND NORTHEASTERN HOKE COUNTIES
UNTIL 930 PM EST...

At 828 PM EST, Doppler radar was tracking a line of heavy rain
showers near Fort Bragg, moving northeast at 65 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with these showers.

Locations impacted include...
Raleigh, Fayetteville, Smithfield, Lillington, Fort Bragg, Garner,
Clayton, Dunn, Angier and Benson.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM EST for central North
Carolina.

LAT...LON 3495 7903 3495 7904 3507 7920 3518 7911
      3517 7910 3519 7910 3581 7855 3561 7827
      3491 7896
TIME...MOT...LOC 0128Z 217DEG 59KT 3509 7905

26
Local storm report, Dec 24, 9:41 PM EST, 1 hour 4 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
941 PM EST THU DEC 24 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0925 PM     HEAVY RAIN       4 SW RALEIGH            35.77N 78.70W
12/24/2020  M1.62 INCH       WAKE               NC   COCORAHS

            ACCUMULATION SINCE 8:00 AM.

&&

NTL
Local storm report, Dec 24, 10:02 PM EST, 43 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1002 PM EST THU DEC 24 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0844 PM     TSTM WND GST     4 E HOPE MILLS          34.98N 78.88W
12/24/2020  M53 MPH          CUMBERLAND         NC   ASOS

            ASOS STATION KFAY FAYETTEVILLE.

&&

NTL
Local storm report, Dec 24, 10:03 PM EST, 42 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1003 PM EST THU DEC 24 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0839 PM     TSTM WND GST     3 ENE BONNIE DOONE      35.12N 78.92W
12/24/2020  M48 MPH          CUMBERLAND         NC   AWOS

            AWOS STATION KFBG FORT BRAGG SIMMONS.

&&

NTL
Local storm report, Dec 24, 10:08 PM EST, 37 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1008 PM EST THU DEC 24 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1000 PM     TSTM WND GST     3 WSW ELROY             35.32N 77.97W
12/24/2020  M52 MPH          WAYNE              NC   AWOS

            AWOS STATION KGSB GOLDSBORO S. J.

&&

NTL
Special weather statement, Dec 24, 10:35 PM EST, 10 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1035 PM EST Thu Dec 24 2020

NCZ007-008-021>025-038>040-073>076-083>086-250500-
Guilford NC-Anson NC-Hoke NC-Durham NC-Alamance NC-Davidson NC-
Moore NC-Montgomery NC-Granville NC-Scotland NC-Stanly NC-
Richmond NC-Lee NC-Chatham NC-Forsyth NC-Randolph NC-Person NC-
Orange NC-
1035 PM EST Thu Dec 24 2020

...A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH ALAMANCE...SCOTLAND...
EASTERN DAVIDSON...ANSON...MONTGOMERY...RICHMOND...STANLY...LEE
...HOKE...MOORE...SOUTHEASTERN FORSYTH...PERSON...
ORANGE...GRANVILLE...RANDOLPH...GUILFORD...CHATHAM AND DURHAM
COUNTIES THROUGH MIDNIGHT EST...

At 1032 PM EST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong cold front
producing gusty winds along a line extending from near Eden to near
High Rock Lake. Movement was east at 40 mph.

Wind gusts between 40 to 50 mph will be possible as the cold front
moves through a given location, along with a quick 15 to 20 degree
drop in temperatures.

Locations impacted include...
Greensboro, Durham, High Point, Chapel Hill, Burlington, Sanford,
Asheboro, Lexington, Laurinburg and Albemarle.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Seek shelter in a nearby building or vehicle. Wind gusts as high as
50 mph are capable of knocking down small or weakened trees and
blowing around trash cans, potted plants, lawn furniture and other
light outdoor objects.

&&

LAT...LON 3550 8030 3551 8018 3567 8031 3626 8001
      3624 7916 3654 7914 3654 7846 3593 7874
      3587 7891 3561 7899 3558 7892 3527 7922
      3518 7910 3484 7925 3483 7935 3464 7945
      3480 7968 3481 8032 3519 8028 3519 8051
TIME...MOT...LOC 0332Z 254DEG 34KT 3649 7973 3566 8024

77

The office that day

Everything else NWS Raleigh, NC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 24, 8:30 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementRAHCumberland, Harnett, Johnston60 min
Dec 24, 8:47 PM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryRAHChatham, Cumberland, Durham, Franklin, Granville, Harnett and 6 more3 hr
Dec 24, 8:58 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHCumberland, Franklin, Halifax, Harnett, Johnston, Nash and 5 more62 min
Dec 24, 9:06 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningRAHJohnston32 hr
Dec 24, 9:06 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningRAHJohnston3 days
Dec 24, 9:46 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHEdgecombe, Halifax, Nash, Wayne, Wilson74 min
Dec 24, 10:35 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementRAHAlamance, Anson, Chatham, Davidson, Durham, Granville and 11 more85 min
Dec 24, 11:56 PM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryRAHDurham3 hr
Dec 25, 12:05 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementRAHAnson, Chatham, Durham, Franklin, Granville, Harnett and 10 more85 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in North Carolina, 2020Every river flood warning in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.